Vitória vs São Paulo Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 11 Apr 2026

Série A Betting Preview: Vitória vs São Paulo

Vitória go head-to-head with São Paulo at Estádio Manoel Barradas in Salvador, with kick-off set for 15:30 on Saturday 11 April.

We’re splitting our Asian Handicap stake between 0 and +0.5 when backing Vitória +0.25 at -128 against São Paulo. We need the hosts to win for a maximum payout although the draw means we also get a return.

Vitória drew on the road in their last game. A 1-1 scoreline was played out against Chapecoense. Barra's Lion had nine shots on target and 46% possession, with Matheuzinho getting the goal.

São Paulo claimed a home win in their previous game. A 4-1 victory occurred against Cruzeiro. Roger Machado's men had just 37% possession and totalled five shots on goal, with Ferreira firing a hat-trick and Jonathan Calleri also on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The most recent head-to-head saw Vitória record a 1-0 home victory against São Paulo. São Paulo have landed victory in three of the previous 4 H2H games, with Vitória winning once.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
8	São Paulo	18	7	4	7	23	20	3	23:20	25
13	Vitória	17	6	4	7	21	25	-4	21:25	22

View Full Table

Vitória have 4 wins, 4 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.0 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 7.6 attempts. Jair Ventura's side have averaged 41.1% possession and 4.8 corners per match, with their opponents getting 1.4 goals from 4.3 shots on goal, 9.2 attempts and 5.0 corners.

Top goalscorer Gabriel Baralhas has found the net 3 times, with Matheuzinho and Renato Kayzer scoring 2 each. Gabriel Baralhas, Fabricio and Erick Serafim are the leading assists makers with 2.

São Paulo have won 6, lost 2 and drawn 2, averaging 7.1 attempts, 3.5 shots on goal and 1.5 goals. Tricolor Paulista average 50.6% possession, 5.7 corners in their favour and 3.6 corners against, while 0.7 goals have been conceded from 2.8 shots on goal and 6.7 attempts.

The top scorers have been Jonathan Calleri with 6, Ferreira on 3 and Luciano Neves 2. Marcos Antonio has had 2 assists in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Vitória confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Lucas Arcanjo (GK), Nathan Mendes, Caca, Luan Candido, Ramon, Gabriel Baralhas, Caique, Erick Serafim, Emmanuel Martinez, Matheuzinho, Renato Kayzer.

São Paulo confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Rafael (GK), Lucas Ramon, Alan Franco, Rafael Toloi, Enzo Hernan Diaz, Danielzinho, Marcos Antonio, Artur Guimaraes, Cauly Oliveira Souza, Ferreira, Andre.

Vitória vs São Paulo Prediction & Betting Tips

Our Vitória vs São Paulo betting outlook has it all, including a trusted match forecast, our predicted score, best corners advice, top player prop picks and a hand-picked bet builder.

Match Prediction

Vitória look a good bet in this Série A clash and we can back them at -128 with a +0.25 goal start. The latest stats suggest that the home team can avoid defeat and potentially triumph.

Sportsgambler.com boast Série A expertise and that comes from knowing the team news once it’s announced. The latest form will also fuel our football betting tips and we make sure that the best stats are on hand.

Key Vitória vs São Paulo league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Vitória in 16 of their last 20 games at home.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Vitória in 8 of their last 10 games at home.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Vitória in 2 consecutive games at home.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by São Paulo in 14 of their last 20 games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by São Paulo in 7 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by São Paulo in 2 consecutive games on the road.

When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 56.2% chance of winning. After careful examination, our tipsters calculate this probability to be somewhere between 60-65%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

If you’re hunting for greater odds, then a Bet Builder could be the perfect way to go. Combine Vitória to cover the line with other picks until you’re happy with the overall price.

Discover top betting offers to power your next wager, including free bets, welcome bonuses, and exciting new promos.

Our Match Prediction

Vitória Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -128 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 9, 21:57). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Vitória 1 - 0 São Paulo

Vitória are available to back at +600 to secure a 1-0 victory. This is a risky but potentially more rewarding bet, with this correct score option providing appeal.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Gabriel Baralhas to Score +800

Gabriel Baralhas (Vitória) has netted three goals in his past five Série A games on home soil. He looks like a value bet to find the net and you’re able to back this Anytime Goalscorer pick at odds of +800.

Latest Gabriel Baralhas Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+800

First

+1900

Shots

Over 0.5

-182

Under 0.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

São Paulo To Have Most Corners -108

São Paulo have had a corner average of 6.40 in the past 5 games, while Vitória have averaged 4.00 corners over 5 matches. São Paulo are capable of winning the Corner Match Bet and there’s a great option to get -108 that this happens.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Vitória

Total

9.80 4.80 5.00

Home

9.90 5.10 4.80

Away

8.80 3.00 5.80

São Paulo

Total

9.30 5.70 3.60

Home

9.30 5.20 4.10

Away

9.70 4.90 4.80

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-141

Under 9.5

-100

Vitória Corners

Over 4.5

-119

Under 4.5

-125

São Paulo Corners

Over 4.5

-159

Under 4.5

+106

Most Corners

1

+120

X

+650

2

-116

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Vitória vs São Paulo Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

You can get betting odds of +140 for São Paulo winning this Série A clash and the bookies have Vitória available at +215. If you want to back the draw, it’s on offer at +200.

There’s a Draw No Bet market should you wish to have some insurance and Vitória are +110 here. However, if you want to back favourites São Paulo, then -156 is on offer.

For those expecting a low-scoring contest, Under 2.5 is the market leader on the Total Goals market. For Both Teams to Score betting opportunities, the market suggests that BTTS Yes and No are both equally as likely to happen.

If you’re betting on Série A games, we recommend heading to the best football betting sites and scanning through the hundreds of markets. There’s a chance to bet pre-match and In-Play.

Full-Time Result

1

+215

X

+200

2

+140

Half-Time Result

1

+270

X

+102

2

+215

Double Chance

1X

-185

12

-270

X2

-294

Draw No Bet

1

+110

2

-156

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-128

2 Hcp -0.25

+104

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-167

Over 2.5

+130

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-111

No

-123

Favourite Jonathan Calleri is priced at +350 to be the first player to find the net. There’s also the opportunity to back him to score any time at odds of +150.

Jonathan Calleri (São Paulo)

First

+150

Anytime

+350

Luciano da Rocha (São Paulo)

First

+240

Anytime

+550

Renato Kayzer de Souza (Vitória)

First

+290

Anytime

+650

André Oliveira Silva (São Paulo)

First

+300

Anytime

+700

Gonzalo Tapia (São Paulo)

First

+330

Anytime

+800

Aitor Cantalapiedra (Vitória)

First

+340

Anytime

+750

Aldemir Ferreira (São Paulo)

First

+370

Anytime

+900

Artur Victor Guimarães (São Paulo)

First

+380

Anytime

+900

Lucca Marques Alencar (São Paulo)

First

+390

Anytime

+850

Erick de Arruda Serafim (Vitória)

First

+450

Anytime

+1050

Matheuzinho (Vitória)

First

+460

Anytime

+1100

Diego Tarzia (Vitória)

First

+500

Anytime

+1150

Emmanuel Martínez (Vitória)

First

+575

Anytime

+1300

Cauly Souza Oliveira (São Paulo)

First

+575

Anytime

+1400

Damián Bobadilla (São Paulo)

First

+750

Anytime

+1800

Gabriel Baralhas (Vitória)

First

+800

Anytime

+1900

Rafael Tolói (São Paulo)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Maik Gomes Viegas (São Paulo)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Neris (Vitória)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Caique Jesus Gonçalves (Vitória)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Robert Arboleda (São Paulo)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Jonathan Calleri (São Paulo)

Over 2.5

-159

Under 2.5

-

Renato Kayzer de Souza (Vitória)

Over 2.5

-106

Under 2.5

-

André Oliveira Silva (São Paulo)

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-

Aitor Cantalapiedra (Vitória)

Over 2.5

+140

Under 2.5

-

Luciano da Rocha (São Paulo)

Over 2.5

-141

Under 2.5

-

Erick de Arruda Serafim (Vitória)

Over 1.5

-114

Under 1.5

-

Emmanuel Martínez (Vitória)

Over 1.5

+150

Under 1.5

-

Diego Tarzia (Vitória)

Over 1.5

+133

Under 1.5

-

Matheuzinho (Vitória)

Over 1.5

-135

Under 1.5

-

Lucca Marques Alencar (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

-112

Under 1.5

-

Artur Victor Guimarães (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

-130

Under 1.5

-

Aldemir Ferreira (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

-139

Under 1.5

-

Gonzalo Tapia (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

-172

Under 1.5

-

Cauly Souza Oliveira (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

-

Damián Bobadilla (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-149

Under 0.5

-

Gabriel Baralhas (Vitória)

Over 0.5

-182

Under 0.5

-

Rafael Tolói (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-109

Under 0.5

-

Maik Gomes Viegas (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+104

Under 0.5

-

Neris (Vitória)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-

Caique Jesus Gonçalves (Vitória)

Over 0.5

-112

Under 0.5

-

Robert Arboleda (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-

Vitória vs São Paulo Lineups & Team News

Make sure you're up to date on the Vitória vs São Paulo team news before betting. Stay in the know with our predicted and confirmed Série A lineups and the latest on injuries.

Vitória Team Page São Paulo Team Page

Where to Bet on Football Games

Top Football Pages