Watford vs Birmingham Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 01 Jan 2026
Championship Betting Preview: Watford vs Birmingham
Watford take on Birmingham at Vicarage Road, with kick-off set for 10:00 on Thursday 1 January.
Watford look like a value bet on the Asian Handicap 0.0. The beauty of this bet is that we’ll get a return at -141 if they get the better of Birmingham and money back if the game finishes in a draw.
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Watford got a third straight win in their last game. It was a 1-0 road triumph at Carrow Road when meeting Norwich City. Javi Gracia's team had 45% possession and recorded two shots on target, with a late strike from Vivaldo Semedo proving the difference.
Birmingham City drew 1-1 against Southampton in their previous game. This was on home soil at St Andrew's. Blues recorded just 38% possession and had four shots on goal, with Phil Neumann finding the net.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Birmingham beat Watford in their last head-to-head clash. It was a 2-1 home win at St Andrew's. The past 7 H2H games have involved five Watford victories, a single draw and one Birmingham win.
| Championship | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 |  Watford |
24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 34:29 | 38 |
| 15 |  Birmingham |
24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 32:31 | 31 |
5 wins, 1 loss and 4 draws, averaging 1.6 goals from 5.1 shots on goal and 14.3 attempts. Watford have had 54.0% possession and 5.1 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 1.2 goals from 2.7 shots on goal and 10.0 attempts, while being awarded 5.5 corners.
Luca Kjerrumgaard is the top goalscorer with 4, Othmane Maamma has 3, with Vivaldo Semedo and two other players on 2. Imran Louza is the leading assists maker on 4.
Birmingham have won 2, lost 4 and drawn 4, averaging 4.4 shots on goal, 15.3 attempts and 1.3 goals. The West Midlands outfit average 54.3% possession, 5.6 corners taken and 4.9 corners against them, while 1.6 goals have been conceded from 12.7 attempts and 4.5 shots on goal.
Marvin Ducksch and Demarai Gray top the team’s scoring charts on 3 goals, with Jay Stansfield on 2. Look no further than Demarai Gray for the top assist maker (3) in the last 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Watford predicted lineup (4-4-2): Egil Selvik (GK), Jeremy Ngakia, Max Alleyne, Mattie Pollock, Marc Bola, Othmane Maamma, Hector Kyprianou, Imran Louza, Tom Ince, Giorgi Chakvetadze, Luca Kjerrumgaard.
Birmingham predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): James Beadle (GK), Tomoki Iwata, Phil Neumann, Alfons Sampsted, Eiran Cashin, Jack Robinson, Seung-ho Paik, Patrick Roberts, Jay Stansfield, Willum Thór Willumsson, Kyogo Furuhashi.
Watford vs Birmingham Prediction & Betting Tips
Prepare for Watford vs Birmingham with our expert betting guide featuring a trusted match prediction, likely scoreline, top corners advice, key player props and a well-crafted bet builder.
Match Prediction
We’re happy to side with Watford 0.0 on the Asian Handicap for this Championship clash. At odds of -141, the home team offer plenty of appeal and we’re expecting a strong showing.
Team news plays a valuable role and our football experts are always monitoring the players who have an injury concern. We’ve also got a handle on the form guide, with plenty of Championship data provided which puts you in the picture in terms of stats.
Key Watford vs Birmingham league stats:
According to the best betting sites, our pick has a 58.5% chance of landing a return. However, our experts think that the probability sits between 65-70% taking all factors into consideration. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.
Want to back Watford to cover the line at bigger odds? Get more juice by taking the Bet Builder route where different legs can be combined to good effect.
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Correct Score Prediction
1
-
0
Birmingham
Watford are available at +600 to win by a 1-0 scoreline. Correct score betting allows us to bet at bigger odds and it’s also a fun type of wager.
Player Prop Picks
Jay Stansfield (Birmingham) is available at -130 to have one or more shots on goal. He looks like an attractive pick and we’ll have a bet on this Shots on Target outcome as the betting odds stand out.
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Othmane Maamma (Watford) has racked up two goals in his past five Championship games. There are odds of +300 on offer for this Anytime Goalscorer bet and we think this is an attractive wager for the player to be on the scoresheet.
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Corners Prediction
Watford have had over 4.5 corners in five straight home games, with Birmingham conceding over 4.5 corners in their past three away games. We’re expecting history to be repeated and that would mean the Watford Team Corners line is covered at -143.
Watford
Birmingham
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Bet Builder Tips
Our bet builder selections include Watford with an Asian Handicap of 0.0, one or both teams not scoring as well as Jay Stansfield (Birmingham) to end up with one or more shots on target.
It’s now the case that you can wager a bet builder on a specific football match. You can predict different outcomes and see their odds combined before going ahead and placing this tailored bet.
Watford vs Birmingham Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
The bookies have chalked up the draw at +230 on the 1x2 betting, with Watford available to bet at odds of +143. Birmingham City are +185 to claim victory in this Championship encounter.
If you want to back the favourites to be ahead by the break, then Watford are +190 on the Half-Time Result market. Alternatively, Birmingham are +230 and the draw is priced at +120.
The Under 2.5 / Over 2.5 Goals betting market suggests that there’s not much between the two options. A different approach is a Both Teams to Score bet and Yes has been priced at -141.
The best football betting sites cover Championship games in serious depth and there are hundreds of markets. We recommend scanning through the various bets before picking out the best angle.
Luca Tange Kjerrumgaard is the market leader at +500 to be First Goalscorer but if you think he will score the last goal, then a similar price can be found.
Watford have swerved defeat at Vicarage Road in the previous nine matches. Javi Gracia's team have collected six wins, three draws and one defeat in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 1.60 goals per match and conceding 0.90.
It’s now been three straight Birmingham defeats on the road. Blues have seven losses, two draws and one victory in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 0.60 goals per game and conceding 1.70.
Watford enjoyed a 2-0 winning scoreline when last meeting Birmingham at Vicarage Road. For the past 3 H2H meetings at Vicarage Road, Watford have won every time.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watford Home Stats |
6-3-1 | 2.50 | 1.60 | 0.90 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 3 | |
| Birmingham Away Stats |
1-2-7 | 2.30 | 0.60 | 1.70 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Championship: 01/12 2025 Birmingham 2 Watford 1
- Championship: 16/03 2024 Birmingham 0 Watford 1
- Championship: 16/09 2023 Watford 2 Birmingham 0
- Championship: 14/03 2023 Watford 3 Birmingham 0
- Championship: 16/08 2022 Birmingham 1 Watford 1
- Championship: 20/03 2021 Watford 3 Birmingham 0
- Championship: 12/12 2020 Birmingham 0 Watford 1
Watford League Stats
Birmingham League Stats
- 5 wins, 1 defeat and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 6 wins, 1 defeat and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 2 wins, 4 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 1 win, 7 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.60 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 9 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.10 corners awarded and 5.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.50 corners awarded and 4.50 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.00 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.60 corners awarded and 4.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.20 corners awarded and 4.70 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.90 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 54.00% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 53.50% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 54.30% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 53.10% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Watford this season are Luca Kjerrumgaard (8), Imran Louza (6), Othmane Maamma (3)
- Top Assistors for Watford this season are Imran Louza (6), Jeremy Ngakia (4), Marc Bola (3)
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Watford vs Birmingham Lineups & Team News
The latest Watford vs Birmingham team news could impact your bets — review it first. We’ll deliver the predicted and confirmed Championship lineups as well as the most recent injury news.
Watford Predicted Lineup 4-4-2
Birmingham Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Watford Predicted Lineup 4-4-2
Birmingham Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Previous Watford Lineups
Previous Birmingham Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Watford Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Javi Gracia
Birmingham Player Stats & Squad
Championship Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 54:25 | 51 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 33:25 | 43 |
| 3 | Ipswich | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 40:23 | 41 |
| 4 | Hull | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 40:37 | 41 |
| 5 | Millwall | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 27:32 | 39 |
| 6 | Watford | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 34:29 | 38 |
| 7 | Preston | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 31:25 | 37 |
| 8 | Bristol City | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 33:27 | 36 |
| 9 | QPR | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 34:37 | 35 |
| 10 | Stoke | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 29:23 | 34 |
| 11 | Wrexham | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 34:31 | 34 |
| 12 | Leicester | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 34:34 | 34 |
| 13 | Southampton | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 38:34 | 32 |
| 14 | Derby | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 33:33 | 32 |
| 15 | Birmingham | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 32:31 | 31 |
| 16 | West Brom | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 28:32 | 31 |
| 17 | Sheffield Utd | 24 | 9 | 2 | 13 | 33:37 | 29 |
| 18 | Swansea | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 25:31 | 29 |
| 19 | Blackburn | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 22:26 | 27 |
| 20 | Charlton | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 22:29 | 27 |
| 21 | Portsmouth | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 21:30 | 25 |
| 22 | Oxford | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 24:33 | 22 |
| 23 | Norwich | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 26:36 | 21 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 23 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 18:45 | -7 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 27:9 | 29 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 22:10 | 25 |
| 3 | Watford | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 20:12 | 25 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 16:11 | 24 |
| 5 | Birmingham | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 24:11 | 23 |
| 6 | Wrexham | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 24:19 | 23 |
| 7 | Hull | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19:18 | 23 |
| 8 | Millwall | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 15:16 | 23 |
| 9 | West Brom | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 16:11 | 22 |
| 10 | Stoke | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 18:10 | 20 |
| 11 | QPR | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 20:15 | 20 |
| 12 | Preston | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 16:12 | 20 |
| 13 | Southampton | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 17:11 | 19 |
| 14 | Leicester | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 17:14 | 19 |
| 15 | Bristol City | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:13 | 18 |
| 16 | Portsmouth | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:14 | 18 |
| 17 | Swansea | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15:16 | 18 |
| 18 | Charlton | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12:11 | 17 |
| 19 | Sheffield Utd | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15:12 | 14 |
| 20 | Derby | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15:18 | 14 |
| 21 | Oxford | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 13:17 | 13 |
| 22 | Norwich | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 12:17 | 10 |
| 23 | Blackburn | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11:16 | 9 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 13 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 7:29 | 4 |
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