Watford vs Birmingham Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 01 Jan 2026

Championship Betting Preview: Watford vs Birmingham

Watford take on Birmingham at Vicarage Road, with kick-off set for 10:00 on Thursday 1 January.

Watford look like a value bet on the Asian Handicap 0.0. The beauty of this bet is that we’ll get a return at -141 if they get the better of Birmingham and money back if the game finishes in a draw.

Watford got a third straight win in their last game. It was a 1-0 road triumph at Carrow Road when meeting Norwich City. Javi Gracia's team had 45% possession and recorded two shots on target, with a late strike from Vivaldo Semedo proving the difference.

Birmingham City drew 1-1 against Southampton in their previous game. This was on home soil at St Andrew's. Blues recorded just 38% possession and had four shots on goal, with Phil Neumann finding the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Birmingham beat Watford in their last head-to-head clash. It was a 2-1 home win at St Andrew's. The past 7 H2H games have involved five Watford victories, a single draw and one Birmingham win.

Championship		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
9	Watford	39	14	14	11	50	46	4	50:46	56
11	Birmingham	39	14	11	14	48	49	-1	48:49	53

View Full Table

5 wins, 1 loss and 4 draws, averaging 1.6 goals from 5.1 shots on goal and 14.3 attempts. Watford have had 54.0% possession and 5.1 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 1.2 goals from 2.7 shots on goal and 10.0 attempts, while being awarded 5.5 corners.

Luca Kjerrumgaard is the top goalscorer with 4, Othmane Maamma has 3, with Vivaldo Semedo and two other players on 2. Imran Louza is the leading assists maker on 4.

Birmingham have won 2, lost 4 and drawn 4, averaging 4.4 shots on goal, 15.3 attempts and 1.3 goals. The West Midlands outfit average 54.3% possession, 5.6 corners taken and 4.9 corners against them, while 1.6 goals have been conceded from 12.7 attempts and 4.5 shots on goal.

Marvin Ducksch and Demarai Gray top the team’s scoring charts on 3 goals, with Jay Stansfield on 2. Look no further than Demarai Gray for the top assist maker (3) in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Watford confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Egil Selvik (GK), James Abankwah, Matthew Pollock, Max Alleyne, Marc Bola, Othmane Maamma, Hector Kyprianou, Imran Louza, Thomas Ince, Giorgi Chakvetadze, Luca Kjerrumgaard.

Birmingham confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): James Beadle (GK), Alfons Sampsted, Phil Neumann, Jack Robinson, Alexander Cochrane, Tomoki Iwata, Seung-Ho Paik, Patrick Roberts, Willum Willumsson, Keshi Anderson, Kyogo Furuhashi.

Watford vs Birmingham Prediction & Betting Tips

Prepare for Watford vs Birmingham with our expert betting guide featuring a trusted match prediction, likely scoreline, top corners advice, key player props and a well-crafted bet builder.

Match Prediction

We’re happy to side with Watford 0.0 on the Asian Handicap for this Championship clash. At odds of -141, the home team offer plenty of appeal and we’re expecting a strong showing.

Team news plays a valuable role and our football experts are always monitoring the players who have an injury concern. We’ve also got a handle on the form guide, with plenty of Championship data provided which puts you in the picture in terms of stats.

Key Watford vs Birmingham league stats:

• The 0.0 line has been covered by Watford in 3 consecutive games.
• The 0.0 line has been covered by Watford in 6 of their last 10 games at home.
• The 0.0 line hasn’t been covered by Birmingham in any of their last 5 games on the road.
• The 0.0 line hasn’t been covered by Birmingham in 9 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The 0.0 line hasn’t been covered by Birmingham in 3 consecutive games on the road.
• The 0.0 line has been covered by Watford in 5 of their last 7 games against Birmingham.

According to the best betting sites, our pick has a 58.5% chance of landing a return. However, our experts think that the probability sits between 65-70% taking all factors into consideration. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.

Want to back Watford to cover the line at bigger odds? Get more juice by taking the Bet Builder route where different legs can be combined to good effect.

Check our complete list of betting promo codes, free bet deals and the latest welcome bonuses before wagering.

Our Match Prediction

Watford Asian Hcp 0.0 @ -141 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Dec 30, 16:38). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Watford 1 - 0 Birmingham

Watford are available at +600 to win by a 1-0 scoreline. Correct score betting allows us to bet at bigger odds and it’s also a fun type of wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jay Stansfield Over 0.5 Shots On Target -130

Jay Stansfield (Birmingham) is available at -130 to have one or more shots on goal. He looks like an attractive pick and we’ll have a bet on this Shots on Target outcome as the betting odds stand out.

Latest Jay Stansfield Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+270

First

+700

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-147

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Othmane Maamma to Score +300

Othmane Maamma (Watford) has racked up two goals in his past five Championship games. There are odds of +300 on offer for this Anytime Goalscorer bet and we think this is an attractive wager for the player to be on the scoresheet.

Latest Othmane Maamma Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+280

First

+700

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-120

Under 0.5

-143

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Watford Over 4.5 Corners -143

Watford have had over 4.5 corners in five straight home games, with Birmingham conceding over 4.5 corners in their past three away games. We’re expecting history to be repeated and that would mean the Watford Team Corners line is covered at -143.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Watford

Total

10.60 5.10 5.50

Home

10.00 5.50 4.50

Away

10.00 4.10 5.90

Birmingham

Total

10.50 5.60 4.90

Home

11.40 7.00 4.40

Away

8.90 4.20 4.70

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-147

Under 9.5

+102

Watford Corners

Over 5.5

-100

Under 5.5

-143

Birmingham Corners

Over 4.5

-109

Under 4.5

-132

Most Corners

1

-139

X

+650

2

+138

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Watford vs Birmingham Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The favourites have a 46% likelihood of success according to the bookies, with Watford chalked up at +118 to land a win in this Championship clash. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +225 about Birmingham City.

If you want to back the favourites to be ahead by the break, then Watford are +170 on the Half-Time Result market. Alternatively, Birmingham are +260 and the draw is priced at +120.

The Under 2.5 / Over 2.5 Goals betting market suggests that there’s not much between the two options. A different approach is a Both Teams to Score bet and Yes has been priced at -141.

The best football betting sites cover Championship games in serious depth and there are hundreds of markets. We recommend scanning through the various bets before picking out the best angle.

Full-Time Result

1

+118

X

+235

2

+225

Half-Time Result

1

+170

X

+120

2

+260

Double Chance

1X

-333

12

-333

X2

-159

Draw No Bet

1

-182

2

+125

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-116

2 Hcp +0.25

-112

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-122

Over 2.5

-106

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-141

No

+102

Luca Tange Kjerrumgaard is the market leader at +450 to be First Goalscorer but if you think he will score the last goal, then a similar price can be found.

Luca Tange Kjerrumgaard (Watford)

First

+180

Anytime

+450

Imran Louza (Watford)

First

+220

Anytime

+575

Demarai Gray (Birmingham)

First

+260

Anytime

+650

Mamadou Doumbia (Watford)

First

+260

Anytime

+700

Jay Stansfield (Birmingham)

First

+270

Anytime

+700

Othmane Maamma (Watford)

First

+280

Anytime

+700

Kyogo Furuhashi (Birmingham)

First

+290

Anytime

+700

Marvin Ducksch (Birmingham)

First

+320

Anytime

+700

Lyndon Dykes (Birmingham)

First

+360

Anytime

+900

Kwadwo Baah (Watford)

First

+380

Anytime

+950

Edo Kayembe (Watford)

First

+400

Anytime

+1000

Tom Ince (Watford)

First

+400

Anytime

+950

Keshi Anderson (Birmingham)

First

+480

Anytime

+1150

Patrick Roberts (Birmingham)

First

+500

Anytime

+1150

Lewis Koumas (Birmingham)

First

+500

Anytime

+1150

Scott Wright (Birmingham)

First

+525

Anytime

+1300

Giorgi Chakvetadze (Watford)

First

+540

Anytime

+1300

Willum Willumsson (Birmingham)

First

+575

Anytime

+1500

Tomoki Iwata (Birmingham)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Marc Leonard (Birmingham)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Hector Kyprianou (Watford)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Alex Cochrane (Birmingham)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Ethan Laird (Birmingham)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Luca Tange Kjerrumgaard (Watford)

Over 0.5

-204

Under 0.5

+115

Imran Louza (Watford)

Over 0.5

-154

Under 0.5

-112

Mamadou Doumbia (Watford)

Over 0.5

-123

Under 0.5

-141

Othmane Maamma (Watford)

Over 0.5

-120

Under 0.5

-143

Jay Stansfield (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-147

Demarai Gray (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

-114

Under 0.5

-154

Kyogo Furuhashi (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-172

Marvin Ducksch (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-182

Tom Ince (Watford)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-238

Lyndon Dykes (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-222

Kwadwo Baah (Watford)

Over 0.5

+133

Under 0.5

-244

Edo Kayembe (Watford)

Over 0.5

+143

Under 0.5

-270

Keshi Anderson (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-333

Lewis Koumas (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-345

Patrick Roberts (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-370

Scott Wright (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-370

Giorgi Chakvetadze (Watford)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-417

Willum Willumsson (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

+215

Under 0.5

-455

Tomoki Iwata (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-556

Alex Cochrane (Birmingham)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-1250

Watford have swerved defeat at Vicarage Road in the previous nine matches. Javi Gracia's team have collected six wins, three draws and one defeat in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 1.60 goals per match and conceding 0.90.

It’s now been three straight Birmingham defeats on the road. Blues have seven losses, two draws and one victory in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 0.60 goals per game and conceding 1.70.

Watford enjoyed a 2-0 winning scoreline when last meeting Birmingham at Vicarage Road. For the past 3 H2H meetings at Vicarage Road, Watford have won every time.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Watford Home Stats		6-3-1	2.50	1.60	0.90	5	5	7	3
Birmingham Away Stats		1-2-7	2.30	0.60	1.70	5	5	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Watford vs Birmingham Lineups & Team News

The latest Watford vs Birmingham team news could impact your bets — review it first. We’ll deliver the predicted and confirmed Championship lineups as well as the most recent injury news.

Watford Team Page Birmingham City Team Page

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