Watford vs Millwall Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 17 Jan 2026
Championship Betting Preview: Watford vs Millwall
Watford welcome Millwall to Vicarage Road, with kick-off set for 07:30 on Saturday 17 January.
It’s great to get attractive odds of -109 for a home win when Watford go up against Millwall. We think that the hosts will have the upper hand and the Full-Time Result market is a way of getting the best value.
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Watford won their last Championship game 3-0, making it four league wins on the spin. This was a home victory at Vicarage Road against Birmingham City. The Hornets had six shots on target and 45% possession, with Thomas Ince bagging a hat-trick.
Their most recent encounter saw Watford beaten 5-1 away to Bristol City in the FA Cup.
Millwall claimed a 2-1 home win over Swansea City at The Den in their previous Championship game. The South London side enjoyed 47% possession and had nine shots on goal, while Mihailo Ivanovic and Caleb Taylor found the net.
The last outing involving Millwall saw them defeated 5-1 when visiting Burnley in the FA Cup.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Millwall have claimed victories in the last two clashes against Watford. A 1-0 win when hosting at The Den came after a 2-1 away victory at Vicarage Road. It’s been five Millwall wins, two draws and two Watford victories in the past 9 H2H matches.
| Championship | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Millwall |
26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 29:33 | 43 |
| 6 | Watford |
25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 37 | 29 | 8 | 37:29 | 41 |
6 wins, 1 loss and 3 draws, averaging 1.8 goals from 14.0 attempts and 4.7 shots on goal. Watford have had 52.1% possession and 4.9 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.1 goals from 9.7 attempts and 2.5 shots on goal, while earning 5.5 corners.
Thomas Ince and Luca Kjerrumgaard lead the way with 4 goals, while Othmane Maamma has scored 3. Imran Louza, Marc Bola and Jeremy Ngakia have racked up the most assists with 3 each.
Millwall have 5 victories, 2 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 1.1 goals from 5.2 shots on goal and 13.5 attempts. The Lions have averaged 44.4% possession, 5.7 corners taken and 5.5 corners against, while conceding 1.0 goals from 4.5 shots on goal and 12.5 attempts.
The top scorers have been Mihailo Ivanovic, Caleb Taylor and Femi Azeez, with 2 goals apiece. Alfie Doughty has had 3 assists in the previous 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Watford predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Egil Selvik (GK), Jeremy Ngakia, Mattie Pollock, Kevin Keben, Marc Bola, Imran Louza, Hector Kyprianou, Othmane Maamma, Giorgi Chakvetadze, Tom Ince, Luca Kjerrumgaard.
Millwall predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Max Crocombe (GK), Tristan Crama, Caleb Taylor, Jake Cooper, Zak Sturge, Billy Mitchell, Alfie Doughty, Femi Azeez, Macaulay Langstaff, Thierno Ballo, Mihailo Ivanovic.
Watford vs Millwall Prediction & Betting Tips
Gear up for Watford vs Millwall with our comprehensive betting guide, featuring an expert match prediction, scoreline advice, corners market value, top player props and a hand-picked bet builder.
Match Prediction
Watford look like the real deal to claim a victory, especially as odds of -109 are available. You can back this value selection with confidence when they line up in this Championship clash.
The football experts at Sportsgambler.com check injury updates regularly and combine this with the form guide. We’re also able to consult a database of Championship stats and present the key numbers to our readers.
Key Watford vs Millwall league stats:
The best betting sites make it a 52.1% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.
There are some different ways to back Watford if you’re in search of a bigger potential return. This includes the Asian Handicap where they have to win by a certain margin.
Get more from your bets with our detailed guide, featuring the best free bets and generous welcome bonuses.
Correct Score Prediction
We’ve got a correct score prediction which involves Watford winning 2-1. Odds of +600 look appealing and we should get a run for our money here.
Player Prop Picks
Femi Azeez (Millwall) can be backed to fail to register a shot on goal at -161. We’ll take a chance with this Shots on Target pick as the betting odds look pretty attractive.
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Othmane Maamma (Watford) has scored two goals in his past five Championship games. When it comes to him finding the net, we believe the +280 available is appealing when backing him on the Anytime Goalscorer market.
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Corners Prediction
The past 5 Watford games have seen them awarded an average of 4.20 corners, while Millwall have conceded 4.80 corners on average in their last 5 matches. There are odds of +102 when it comes to this Team Corners bet and we can see Watford fall short of the line here.
Watford
Millwall
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Bet Builder Tips
We’ve got a same-game multi and the legs include Watford to win, three or more goals to be registered combined with Femi Azeez (Millwall) failing to record a shot on target.
A bet builder provides an exciting opportunity to follow various picks for the same football match. It’s especially good if you have a strong view on the likely outcomes and the odds for each pick are combined.
Watford vs Millwall Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
The favourites are 52% likely to win according to the latest betting odds, with Watford being priced at -109 to come away with a victory in this Championship encounter. Millwall are an outside chance to get the job done and you can now back them at +300.
Watford are -111 on the Asian Handicap -0.5 which is the same as a victory on the Full-Time Result. The alternative is to oppose the favourites and get the draw onside by going for Millwall +0.5 at -116 instead.
A low-scoring contest will be anticipated by many and Under 2.5 Goals currently has the shortest odds. For the Both Teams to Score market, it’s hard to separate the BTTS Yes and No options when it comes to the odds available.
When it comes to every Championship match, you will find hundreds of markets available. Go through the various attractive options which are available at the best football betting sites.
Those interested in Luca Tange Kjerrumgaard to find the net anytime can get +170, with the favourite on offer to score the first goal at odds of +410.
Watford have swerved defeat at Vicarage Road in the previous ten matches. The Hornets have seven victories and three draws in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 1.90 goals per game and conceding 0.80.
Millwall have gone without an away win in the last three games. The South London side have five draws, three losses and two victories in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 0.90 goals per game and conceding 1.50.
Millwall beat Watford 2-1 when the teams last met at Vicarage Road. There have been two Millwall wins, one Watford success and one draw in the past 4 H2H meetings at Vicarage Road.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Watford Home Stats |
7-3-0 | 2.70 | 1.90 | 0.80 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 3 | |
Millwall Away Stats |
2-5-3 | 2.40 | 0.90 | 1.50 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 4 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Championship: 22/09 2025 Millwall 1 Watford 0
- Championship: 08/03 2025 Watford 1 Millwall 2
- Championship: 10/08 2024 Millwall 2 Watford 3
- Championship: 02/03 2024 Millwall 1 Watford 0
- Championship: 28/10 2023 Watford 2 Millwall 2
- Championship: 26/12 2022 Watford 0 Millwall 2
- Championship: 19/10 2022 Millwall 3 Watford 0
- Championship: 24/04 2021 Watford 1 Millwall 0
- Championship: 26/01 2021 Millwall 0 Watford 0
Watford League Stats
Millwall League Stats
- 6 wins, 1 defeat and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 7 wins and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 3 defeats and 5 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.80 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.90 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.90 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.90 corners awarded and 5.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.60 corners awarded and 4.40 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.00 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.70 corners awarded and 5.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.60 corners awarded and 5.50 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 11.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.10 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 52.10% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 52.90% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 44.40% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 45.20% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Watford this season are Luca Kjerrumgaard (8), Imran Louza (6), Thomas Ince (4)
- Top Assistors for Watford this season are Imran Louza (6), Jeremy Ngakia (4), Marc Bola (3)
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Watford vs Millwall Lineups & Team News
Get the latest team news for Watford vs Millwall before you bet. Stay updated with our predicted and confirmed lineups for the Championship and the newest injury information.
Watford Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Millwall Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Watford Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Millwall Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Previous Watford Lineups
Previous Millwall Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Watford Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Javi Gracia
Millwall Player Stats & Squad
Championship Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 57:29 | 52 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 37:26 | 46 |
| 3 | Ipswich | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 42:24 | 44 |
| 4 | Preston | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 36:25 | 43 |
| 5 | Millwall | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 29:33 | 43 |
| 6 | Watford | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 37:29 | 41 |
| 7 | Hull | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 40:38 | 41 |
| 8 | Stoke | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 32:23 | 40 |
| 9 | Wrexham | 26 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 38:32 | 40 |
| 10 | Bristol City | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 38:29 | 39 |
| 11 | QPR | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 38:39 | 38 |
| 12 | Leicester | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 37:38 | 37 |
| 13 | Derby | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 35:35 | 35 |
| 14 | Birmingham | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 35:36 | 34 |
| 15 | Southampton | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 38:38 | 33 |
| 16 | Sheffield Utd | 25 | 10 | 2 | 13 | 36:38 | 32 |
| 17 | Swansea | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 27:33 | 32 |
| 18 | West Brom | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 29:35 | 31 |
| 19 | Charlton | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 25:32 | 29 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 24:30 | 28 |
| 21 | Portsmouth | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 21:35 | 25 |
| 22 | Norwich | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 28:39 | 24 |
| 23 | Oxford | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 25:35 | 22 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 25 | 1 | 8 | 16 | 18:51 | -7 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 27:9 | 29 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 24:11 | 28 |
| 3 | Watford | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 23:12 | 28 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 20:11 | 27 |
| 5 | Birmingham | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 27:13 | 26 |
| 6 | Millwall | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 17:17 | 26 |
| 7 | QPR | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 24:17 | 23 |
| 8 | Preston | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 19:12 | 23 |
| 9 | Wrexham | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 24:19 | 23 |
| 10 | Hull | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 19:19 | 23 |
| 11 | West Brom | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 16:11 | 22 |
| 12 | Leicester | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 19:15 | 22 |
| 13 | Bristol City | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23:15 | 21 |
| 14 | Swansea | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16:16 | 21 |
| 15 | Stoke | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 18:10 | 20 |
| 16 | Southampton | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 17:11 | 20 |
| 17 | Charlton | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13:12 | 18 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:14 | 18 |
| 19 | Sheffield Utd | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18:13 | 17 |
| 20 | Derby | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 17:20 | 17 |
| 21 | Oxford | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 13:17 | 13 |
| 22 | Blackburn | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13:20 | 10 |
| 23 | Norwich | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12:19 | 10 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 13 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 7:29 | 4 |
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