Wellington Phoenix vs Adelaide United Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 10 Jan 2026

A-League Betting Preview: Wellington Phoenix vs Adelaide United

Wellington Phoenix welcome Adelaide United to Sky Stadium, with kick-off set for 21:00 on Saturday 10 January.

If you agree with our view that Adelaide can perform well against Wellington, then you can bet them with a +0.25 goal start at -135. This means our Asian Handicap stake is divided equally between 0 and +0.5.

Trusting our Asian Handicap bet? Read our thorough BetMGM review, then take advantage of the best promo code for today before jumping in.

Wellington Phoenix got the win in their last game. It was a 3-0 away triumph at Kayo Stadium when meeting Brisbane Roar. The New Zealand outfit had 49% of possession and four shots on target, with Ifeanyi Eze, Kazuki Nagasawa and Paulo Retre scoring one goal each.

Adelaide United were defeated in their previous game, being beaten at home to Central Coast Mariners by a 4-0 scoreline at Coopers Stadium. Airton Andrioli's side dominated possession with 70% of the ball and racked up five shots on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Wellington claimed victory in the previous meeting between these teams. A 2-1 home win was registered against Adelaide at Sky Stadium. Adelaide have won four of the previous 10 H2H meetings, with Wellington getting three victories along with three draws.

A-League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
8	Adelaide United	11	5	0	6	16	17	-1	16:17	15
9	Wellington	11	4	2	5	17	20	-3	17:20	14

View Full Table

Wellington have 4 wins, 5 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.5 goals from 9.1 attempts and 4.9 shots on goal. Giancarlo Italiano's team have averaged 53.1% possession and 5.4 corners per game, conceding 1.8 goals and 4.7 corners from 8.9 attempts and 4.5 shots on goal.

Top goalscorer Ifeanyi Eze has found the net 4 times, with Kazuki Nagasawa, Ramy Najjarine, Carlo Armiento and Alex Rufer scoring 2 each. Corban Piper is the leading assists maker on 3.

United have 4 victories and 6 defeats, averaging 4.3 shots on goal, 8.0 attempts and 1.4 goals. The Reds average 52.0% possession, 5.7 corners taken and 5.2 corners against them, while 1.6 goals have been conceded from 12.0 attempts and 5.8 shots on goal.

The top scorers have been Luka Jovanovic on 4, followed by Jonny Yull and Craig Goodwin with 2. Yaya Dukuly is the top assists provider in the last 10 games with 3.

Wellington Phoenix vs Adelaide United Prediction & Betting Tips

Make the most of Wellington Phoenix vs Adelaide United with our betting analysis that includes an expert match prediction, expected scoreline, corners advice, key player props and a value-focused bet builder.

Match Prediction

Wager on Adelaide +0.25 on the Asian Handicap at -135 for this A-League game. We’re keen on their prospects of outperforming their match winner price and this wager looks like good value.

Team news plays a valuable role and our football experts are always monitoring the players who have an injury concern. We’ve also got a handle on the form guide, with plenty of A-League data provided which puts you in the picture in terms of stats.

Key Wellington Phoenix vs Adelaide United league stats:

• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Wellington in 15 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Wellington in 12 of their last 16 games at home.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Wellington in 7 of their last 10 games against Adelaide.

The latest odds at the best betting sites suggest our pick carries a 57.5% chance of winning. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be 60-65%. This is why we can recommend this wager.

We advise that you move the line if you are looking for a larger price about the same selection. Make your prediction and land the bigger odds from your wager as a result.

Before you place your next wager, browse our guide for top betting offers including the latest free bets and welcome bonuses.

Our Match Prediction

Adelaide Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -135 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Wellington 1 - 2 Adelaide

We’ve picked out a correct score of 2-1 being landed by Adelaide. You can secure odds of +650 and this provides an alternative way to place a wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Luka Jovanovic to Score +170

Luka Jovanovic (United) has netted four goals in his past nine A-League games. Based on the stats, we think that odds of +170 are really appealing when it comes to betting on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Luka Jovanovic Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+170

First

+450

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Corners Prediction

Under 10.5 Corners -127

It has now been five straight Wellington matches where the 10.5 Total Corners line has not been covered. Let’s go along with this betting trend and back the teams to go under the Total Corners line at a price of -127.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Wellington

Total

10.10 5.40 4.70

Home

10.20 5.30 4.90

Away

8.60 2.80 5.80

Adelaide

Total

10.90 5.70 5.20

Home

10.60 6.30 4.30

Away

9.80 4.60 5.20

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-112

Under 10.5

-125

Wellington Corners

Over 4.5

-154

Under 4.5

+104

Adelaide Corners

Over 5.5

+106

Under 5.5

-159

Most Corners

1

+107

X

+650

2

-105

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Wellington Phoenix vs Adelaide United Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Wellington Phoenix are available at +130 to come away with a triumph in this A-League clash, meaning a 43% likelihood of winning according to the published betting odds. If you’re searching for a different slant, Adelaide United are available at +175.

For those wanting to reduce their risk, Wellington are -143 on the Draw No Bet market. This means a refund if the game ends level, with Adelaide being priced up at -100 with the same money back guarantee.

If you’re looking to bet on more than two goals, then Over 2.5 has the lowest price. If you think both sides will find the net, then you can back the Yes option on the Both Teams to Score market at -213.

The top football betting sites definitely give customers lots of choice. When it comes to A-League games, choose from hundreds of markets until you find the most attractive odds.

Full-Time Result

1

+130

X

+265

2

+175

Half-Time Result

1

+175

X

+143

2

+210

Double Chance

1X

-263

12

-417

X2

-189

Draw No Bet

1

-143

2

-100

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-104

2 Hcp +0.25

-135

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+128

Over 2.5

-185

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-213

No

+145

You will find favourite Luka Jovanovic at +450 to be First Goalscorer and there’s also the chance to get +170 that he finds the net any time.

Luka Jovanovic (United)

First

+170

Anytime

+450

Craig Goodwin (United)

First

+175

Anytime

+450

Nikola Mileusnic (Wellington)

First

+225

Anytime

+600

Luke Supyk (Wellington)

First

+255

Anytime

+600

Yaya Dukuly (United)

First

+260

Anytime

+650

Ramy Najjarine (Wellington)

First

+285

Anytime

+750

Luke Brooke-Smith (Wellington)

First

+300

Anytime

+800

Hideki Ishige (Wellington)

First

+320

Anytime

+800

Julian Kwaaitaal (United)

First

+330

Anytime

+750

Kazuki Nagasawa (Wellington)

First

+360

Anytime

+950

Dylan Pierias (United)

First

+390

Anytime

+900

Fin Conchie (Wellington)

First

+500

Anytime

+1300

Ethan Alagich (United)

First

+510

Anytime

+1200

Paulo Retre (Wellington)

First

+540

Anytime

+1300

Gabriel Sloane-Rodrigues (Wellington)

First

+575

Anytime

+1400

Ryan Kitto (United)

First

+600

Anytime

+1400

Alex Rufer (Wellington)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Matt Sheridan (Wellington)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Corban Piper (Wellington)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Isaac Hughes (Wellington)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Jay Barnett (United)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Lukas Kelly-Heald (Wellington)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Wellington have six defeats, three wins and one draw in the last 10 home games, scoring an average of 1.30 goals per match and conceding 1.70.

Adelaide have seven defeats, two draws and one win in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.20 goals per match and conceding 2.10.

The past meeting at Sky Stadium saw Wellington defeat Adelaide 2-1. The past 5 H2H meetings at Sky Stadium have involved three Wellington victories, a single draw and one Adelaide win.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Wellington Phoenix Home Stats		3-1-6	3.00	1.30	1.70	7	3	7	3
Adelaide United Away Stats		1-2-7	3.30	1.20	2.10	7	3	8	2

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Wellington Phoenix vs Adelaide United Lineups & Team News

Be prepared — check the Wellington vs Adelaide team news before wagering. We’ll keep you posted with predicted and confirmed lineups for the A-League and all current injury news.

Wellington Phoenix Team Page Adelaide United Team Page

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