Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne City Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 28 Feb 2025

A Tight Game In Store

There’s a strong argument to go with Under 2.5 on the Total Goals market. Wellington and Melbourne City might not reach this total and we’re a fan of the odds of -110 that are available for this prediction.

City Are 7 From 10 on the Head-to-Head

Wellington Phoenix lost away in their last game, making it back-to-back losses. Auckland won 6-1 at Go Media Stadium. Giancarlo Italiano's side had 48% possession and managed five shots on target, with Luke Brooke-Smith registering the goal.

Melbourne City drew on the road in their previous game. A 2-2 scoreline was played out against Melbourne Victory at AAMI Park. The Cranbourne East club recorded 45% possession and had seven shots on goal, with Marco Tilio and Kai Trewin both on target.

Head-to-Head Statistics

City are bidding for a third successive win against Wellington, having previously obliged at home by 2-0 and 1-0 scorelines at AAMI Park. The previous 10 H2H games have included seven wins for City, two triumphs for Wellington and a single draw.

A-League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Melb City	26	14	6	6	41	25	16	41:25	48
11	Wellington	26	6	6	14	27	43	-16	27:43	24

View Full Table

2 wins, 5 losses and 3 draws, averaging 0.8 goals from 2.8 shots on goal and 5.0 attempts. Wellington have had 45.6% possession and 3.5 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.8 goals from 6.3 shots on goal and 13.7 attempts, while being awarded 5.7 corners.

Top goalscorer Kosta Barbarouses has found the net 2 times, with Luke Brooke-Smith, Isaac Robert Hughes, Kazuki Nagasawa and Corban Piper scoring 1 each. Leading assistor is Hideki Ishige with 3.

City have won 4, lost 3 and drawn 3, with an average of 4.7 shots on goal, 10.3 attempts and 1.0 goals. Aurelio Vidmar's team average 53.8% possession, 4.4 corners taken and 4.0 corners against them, while 0.9 goals have been conceded from 7.4 attempts and 4.5 shots on goal.

Benjamin Mazzeo and Harry Politidis have scored 2 goals, followed by Marco Tilio with 1. Max Caputo, Zane Schreiber and Arion Sulemani have managed 1 assists in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Wellington Phoenix confirmed lineup (4-3-2-1): Alby Kelly-Heald (GK), Tim Payne, Isaac Robert Hughes, Scott Wootton, Sam Sutton, Paulo Retre, Alex Rufer, Matthew Sheridan, Chico Geraldes, Nathan Walker, Kosta Barbarouses.

Melbourne City confirmed lineup (4-1-3-2): Patrick Beach (GK), Nathaniel Atkinson, German Ferreyra, Samuel Souprayen, Aziz Behich, Kai Trewin, Marco Tilio, Zane Schreiber, Kavian Rahmani, Max Caputo, Andreas Kuen.

Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne City Prediction & Betting Tips

The best bet for this A-League game could involve going low on the number of goals. We think that Under 2.5 is crying out to be backed based on the available stats and the odds of -110 look value.

We use the injury and suspension information to come up with the best possible football tips. You will also see that we take a stats-led approach by considering the key numbers.

Key Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne City league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Wellington games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 11 of the last 17 Wellington games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 3 Wellington games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 City games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 13 of the last 20 City games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 3 games between these teams.

Under 2.5 Probability

When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 52.4% chance of winning. However, our experts think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

If you’re in search of a larger price and anticipate things being tight, then it might be worth looking at Under 1.5 Goals, with less than two goals needing to be scored overall.

Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -110 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Wellington 0 - 0 City

We’re taking a correct score bet which involves a 0-0 scoreline. The odds of +1000 make plenty of appeal and you should hopefully get some entertainment with this wager.

Corners Prediction

Under 10.5 Corners -120

The 10.5 Total Corners line has not been covered in three straight Melbourne City matches, with the previous 10 Wellington games averaging 9.20 corners. We think the teams might end up being short on this front, with odds of -120 on offer when it comes to this Total Corners selection.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Wellington

Total

9.20 3.50 5.70

Home

10.40 4.60 5.80

Away

10.20 3.60 6.60

City

Total

8.40 4.40 4.00

Home

8.40 5.00 3.40

Away

9.00 4.90 4.10

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-120

Under 10.5

-120

Wellington Corners

Over 4.5

+110

Under 4.5

-150

City Corners

Over 6.5

+110

Under 6.5

-150

Most Corners

1

+170

X

+575

2

-189

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Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne City Odds

Melbourne City are the -138 favourites and that means a 58% chance of winning this A-League match according to the betting odds at the bookies. Wellington Phoenix are trading at a bigger price than their opponents and they can be backed at +350.

The latest betting suggests it’s a close call between Over 2.5 Goals and Under 2.5 Goals.

A Bet Builder allows you to combine different A-League betting markets for a match. For example, you might want to predict the Match Winner and Total Goals at a football betting site.

Full-Time Result

1

+350

X

+300

2

-138

Half-Time Result

1

+400

X

+125

2

+130

Double Chance

1X

+105

12

-450

X2

-549

Draw No Bet

1

+240

2

-333

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.75

-109

2 Hcp -0.75

-102

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-110

Over 2.5

-110

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-125

No

-105

Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne City Lineups & Team News

Make sure you know the lineups ahead of kick-off, with injuries also playing a part when it comes to Wellington vs City team news.

We’ve got details of the A-League squads so that you know every player on the roster.

Wellington Phoenix Team Page Melbourne City Team Page