Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne City Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 30 Jan 2026
A-League Betting Preview: Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne City
Wellington Phoenix host Melbourne City at Sky Stadium, with kick-off set for 01:00 on Friday 30 January.
Wellington are a confident choice with a +0.5 goal start at odds of -127. They should be able to win or draw in their clash against Melbourne City, with this Asian Handicap prediction looking like a value bet and we expect the line to be covered.
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Wellington Phoenix were beaten in their last game. Away from home at McDonald Jones Stadium, Newcastle Jets claimed a 4-1 win. The New Zealand outfit had 50% possession and managed seven shots on target, while Sander Erik Kartum scored the goal.
Melbourne City lost their previous game. Away from home, they suffered a 6-2 defeat against Macarthur at Campbelltown Stadium. Aurelio Vidmar's team recorded four shots on goal and had 48% possession, while Medin Memeti and Marcus Younis found the net.
Head-to-Head Statistics
City have beaten Wellington on three consecutive occasions. Their last encounter was staged at Sky Stadium, with City winning 1-0 on the road. The 10 past H2H meetings have involved seven City victories, one draw and two Wellington wins.
| A-League | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Melb City |
15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 16:18 | 20 |
| 9 | Wellington |
14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 22:26 | 18 |
Wellington have 4 wins, 5 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.6 goals from 9.1 attempts and 5.3 shots on goal. Giancarlo Italiano's side have averaged 50.1% possession and 4.2 corners per game, conceding 2.0 goals and 5.6 corners from 10.2 attempts and 5.2 shots on goal.
Carlo Armiento is the top scorer along with five other players, with each of them scoring 2 goals. Tim Payne and Kazuki Nagasawa have been top assistors with 2.
City have won 3, lost 4 and drawn 3, with an average of 8.9 attempts, 4.2 shots on goal and 0.8 goals. The Cranbourne East club average 58.0% possession, 6.4 corners in their favour and 4.9 corners against, while 1.3 goals have been conceded from 3.6 shots on goal and 6.6 attempts.
The top scorers have been Medin Memeti and Max Caputo on 2, with Marcus Younis getting 1. Emin Durakovic is the top assists provider in the last 10 games with 2.
Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne City Prediction & Betting Tips
Our Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne City tips include the main match prediction, a correct score forecast, a corners recommendation, bet builder advice and top player prop picks. Each section below offers expert insight into the key betting angles.
Match Prediction
Wellington +0.5 can deliver a return for this A-League clash. We’ll side with the home team on the Asian Handicap, with the stats backing up this selection which is on offer at odds of -127.
The team news that filters through can have a knock-on effect as far as the A-League odds are concerned. We use this information along with the form guide, while the latest stats are also taken into consideration when making football predictions.
Key Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne City league stats:
According to the top bookies, our pick has a 55.9% chance of landing a return. In the opinion of our tipsters, there’s actually a probability of success between 60-65%. This bet can therefore be backed with confidence.
There are larger prices available to bettors who are prepared to move the line. By taking on more risk, you are able to get more juice from your selections as a result.
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Correct Score Prediction
The game ending in a 1-1 draw is available at odds of +440. Take a chance on the correct score and get rewarded for predicting the right scoreline.
Player Prop Picks
Medin Memeti (City) has scored in his past two A-League matches We’ll take a chance at +220 for this Anytime Goalscorer wager as the betting odds look really appealing.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
Wellington have had over 3.5 corners in seven straight home games, with Melbourne City conceding over 3.5 corners in their past four games. We recommend backing the -152 that Wellington are able to cover the line, with this Team Corners bet landing a handsome potential return.
Wellington
City
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
You’re welcome to follow our bet builder which has Wellington on the Asian Handicap at +0.5, Yes on the BTTS market and Wellington to rack up over 3.5 corners.
A bet builder provides football punters an option to bet a multiple on the same match. You can forecast specific things to happen and enjoy larger odds compared to betting a single. The odds multiply for each leg.
Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne City Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
With a 52% prospect of triumphing according to the 1x2 odds, Melbourne City are favourites to come out on top in this A-League clash and they’re available at -106 with the bookmakers. Wellington Phoenix are seen as the most unlikely winner at +280.
The Draw No Bet market simplifies things as it offers two options and money back if the game finishes level. City are -244, while Wellington are alternatively priced at +165.
There’s the opportunity to secure -119 when it comes to Over and Under 2.5 Goals. Punters expecting both teams to find the net can get -147 when it comes to BTTS Yes.
There’s lots to like about our recommended football betting sites and that includes the hundreds of markets available for each A-League game. You are spoilt for choice when it comes to available options.
Max Caputo is favourite to be First Goalscorer at +270 and if you’re keen to back him to simply find the net, then the price is +114.
Wellington have five defeats, three victories and two draws in the last 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.50 goals per game and conceding 1.80.
City have racked up four victories, four draws and two defeats in the previous 10 away games, netting an average of 1.50 goals per match and conceding 1.50.
The past meeting at Sky Stadium saw City defeat Wellington 1-0. In the past 4 H2H games at Sky Stadium, we’ve seen three Wellington wins and one City triumph.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Wellington Phoenix Home Stats |
3-2-5 | 3.30 | 1.50 | 1.80 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 2 | |
Melbourne City Away Stats |
4-4-2 | 3.00 | 1.50 | 1.50 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- A-League: 28/02 2025 Wellington 0 Melbourne City 1
- A-League: 03/01 2025 Melbourne City 2 Wellington 0
- A-League: 09/03 2024 Melbourne City 1 Wellington 0
- A-League: 25/11 2023 Wellington 1 Melbourne City 0
- Australia Cup: 27/08 2023 Melbourne City 3 Wellington 0
- A-League: 10/04 2023 Melbourne City 4 Wellington 1
- A-League: 02/01 2023 Wellington 1 Melbourne City 3
- A-League: 30/10 2022 Melbourne City 2 Wellington 2
- Australia Cup: 17/08 2022 Melbourne City 1 Wellington 2
- A-League: 09/05 2022 Melbourne City 2 Wellington 1
Wellington Phoenix League Stats
Melbourne City League Stats
- 4 wins, 5 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 5 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 2 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 2.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.30 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 0.80 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.20 corners awarded and 5.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.70 corners awarded and 4.50 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.20 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 6.40 corners awarded and 4.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.70 corners awarded and 4.30 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 11.30 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.00 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 50.10% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 55.40% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 58.00% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 53.40% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Wellington Phoenix this season are Ifeanyi Eze (5), Carlo Armiento (4), Alex Rufer (2)
- Top Assistors for Wellington Phoenix this season are Corban Piper (3), Kazuki Nagasawa (3), Tim Payne (3)
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Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne City Lineups & Team News
Stay informed and review the Wellington vs City team news before placing your bets. We’ll update you with predicted and confirmed A-League lineups plus current injury reports.
Previous Wellington Phoenix Lineups
Previous Melbourne City Lineups
Wellington Phoenix Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Giancarlo Italiano
Melbourne City Player Stats & Squad
A-League Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Auckland | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 21:15 | 25 |
| 2 | Newcastle Jets | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 30:25 | 24 |
| 3 | Macarthur | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 21:20 | 23 |
| 4 | Sydney FC | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 18:13 | 22 |
| 5 | Adelaide United | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 23:22 | 22 |
| 6 | Brisbane Roar | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 15:16 | 21 |
| 7 | Melb Victory | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 20:18 | 20 |
| 8 | Melb City | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16:18 | 20 |
| 9 | Wellington | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 22:26 | 18 |
| 10 | Perth Glory | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 16:19 | 16 |
| 11 | Western Sydney | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11:16 | 15 |
| 12 | Central Coast | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 18:23 | 13 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adelaide United | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13:10 | 15 |
| 2 | Melb Victory | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14:7 | 13 |
| 3 | Macarthur | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:11 | 12 |
| 4 | Melb City | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:7 | 11 |
| 5 | Auckland | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 6 | Western Sydney | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | 11 |
| 7 | Wellington | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:11 | 10 |
| 8 | Brisbane Roar | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | 10 |
| 9 | Sydney FC | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:2 | 9 |
| 10 | Newcastle Jets | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 17:15 | 9 |
| 11 | Perth Glory | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 12 | Central Coast | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | 6 |
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