Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 06 Feb 2026

A-League Betting Preview: Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory

Wellington Phoenix go head-to-head with Melbourne Victory at Sky Stadium, with kick-off set for 01:00 on Friday 6 February.

Wellington +0.25 on the Asian Handicap could be the way forward at -108. They should be able to avoid defeat against Melbourne Victory, with our stake split between 0 and +0.5, meaning a victory is the desired outcome.

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Wellington Phoenix drew their last game 2-2 at home, with the action taking place at Sky Stadium against Melbourne City. The New Zealand outfit enjoyed 53% possession and four shots on target, while Ifeanyi Eze scored both of the goals.

Melbourne Victory have been defeated in back-to-back A-League away games. In their previous league game, Central Coast Mariners won 1-0 at Industree Group Stadium. Arthur Diles' side dominated possession with 64% of the ball and managed nine shots on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Melbourne have beaten Wellington on three consecutive occasions. In their last encounter, Melbourne banked a 5-1 home win at AAMI Park. The previous 10 H2H matches have ended up with five Melbourne wins, two Wellington victories and three draws.

A-League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
8	Melb Victory	15	6	2	7	20	19	1	20:19	20
10	Wellington	15	5	4	6	24	28	-4	24:28	19

View Full Table

4 wins, 4 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.8 goals from 5.6 shots on goal and 8.8 attempts. Wellington have had 49.8% possession and 4.0 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 2.1 goals from 5.0 shots on goal and 10.1 attempts, while being awarded 5.2 corners.

Ifeanyi Eze is the top scorer with 4 goals, while Carlo Armiento, Isaac Robert Hughes, Corban Piper and Ramy Najjarine each have 2. Kazuki Nagasawa is the leading assists maker on 3.

Victory have 5 victories, 4 defeats and 1 draw, with an average of 1.6 goals from 5.7 shots on goal and 12.4 attempts. The Boys in Blue have averaged 52.1% possession, 7.1 corners awarded and 5.1 corners against, while they’ve conceded 0.9 goals from 2.9 shots on goal and 6.7 attempts.

Nikolaos Vergos has recorded 5 goals, Clarismario Rodrigus 4, with Keegan Jelacic and Matthew Grimaldi both managing 2. Juan Mata has managed 7 assists in the last 10 games.

Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory Prediction & Betting Tips

Join us as we dissect the best Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory betting tips — from our expert match prediction and correct score advice to top player prop insights and a ready-made bet builder.

Match Prediction

If you agree with our verdict that Wellington can avoid defeat in this A-League clash, then you can back them with a +0.25 goal start at -108. There are several reasons to back this selection.

It’s always a case of checking out the latest A-League team news to make expert football predictions. Then we get to work when it comes to unearthing the stats that are the most valuable.

Key Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Wellington in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Wellington in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Wellington in 3 consecutive games at home.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Victory in 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Victory in 7 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Victory in 2 consecutive games on the road.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Wellington in 6 of their last 10 games against Victory.

The best bookies are estimating that there is a 51.8% likelihood of this pick landing a return. After careful examination, our tipsters calculate this probability to be somewhere between 55-60%. This wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

In the quest to secure larger odds, there’s the possibility of moving the line. There are plenty of choices when it comes to doing this, so you can choose the option that suits you.

Boost your wager with the newest free bets, sign-up promotions and the best betting offers featured in our easy-to-use guide.

Our Match Prediction

Wellington Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -108 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (07:08, 04 February 2026). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Wellington 1 - 0 Victory

We’ve picked out a correct score of 1-0 being landed by Wellington. You can secure odds of +800 and this provides an alternative way to place a wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Nikola Mileusnic To Score +260

Nikola Mileusnic (Wellington) can be wagered at +260 to be on the scoresheet. We’ll happily take the odds that he is able to score at least one goal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Nikola Mileusnic Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+260

First

+700

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With a roughly 49% chance of triumphing, the bookmakers aren’t giving too much away with their +106 betting odds for Melbourne Victory winning this A-League clash. If you want to wager on the underdog, Wellington Phoenix have been priced up at +225.

There’s the option to get some insurance on your bet by going down the Draw No Bet route. This allows you to back Melbourne at -200 with a safety net or alternatively opt for Wellington at +133.

The Total Goals market indicates that Over 2.5 Goals is the betting favourite right now. The Yes option in the Both Teams to Score market is regarded as the most likely outcome and is trading at -192.

Hundreds of markets for every A-League match await you, with the best football betting sites providing a huge range of choice. A first-class service awaits whether you’re betting pre-match or In-Play.

Full-Time Result

1

+225

X

+250

2

+106

Half-Time Result

1

+250

X

+135

2

+160

Double Chance

1X

-152

12

-400

X2

-357

Draw No Bet

1

+133

2

-200

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-108

2 Hcp -0.25

-132

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+116

Over 2.5

-167

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-192

No

+133

Those interested in Nikos Vergos to find the net anytime can get -100, with the favourite on offer to score the first goal at odds of +260.

Nikos Vergos (Victory)

First

-100

Anytime

+260

Nishan Velupillay (Victory)

First

+225

Anytime

+550

Nikola Mileusnic (Wellington)

First

+260

Anytime

+700

Luke Supyk (Wellington)

First

+295

Anytime

+750

Reno Piscopo (Victory)

First

+310

Anytime

+750

Ramy Najjarine (Wellington)

First

+330

Anytime

+800

Luke Brooke-Smith (Wellington)

First

+350

Anytime

+900

Kazuki Nagasawa (Wellington)

First

+410

Anytime

+1000

Jordi Valadon (Victory)

First

+510

Anytime

+1200

Fin Conchie (Wellington)

First

+575

Anytime

+1400

Paulo Retre (Wellington)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Joshua Inserra (Victory)

First

+700

Anytime

+1700

Matt Sheridan (Wellington)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Roderick Miranda (Victory)

First

+700

Anytime

+1700

Gabriel Sloane-Rodrigues (Wellington)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Alex Rufer (Wellington)

First

+700

Anytime

+1700

Corban Piper (Wellington)

First

+700

Anytime

+1700

Joshua Rawlins (Victory)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Adama Traoré (Victory)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Isaac Hughes (Wellington)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Wellington haven’t been beaten in three straight games at Sky Stadium. The New Zealand outfit have clocked up five losses, three wins and two draws in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 1.50 goals per match and conceding 1.80.

Melbourne have recorded six defeats, three victories and one draw in the previous 10 away matches, netting an average of 0.80 goals per game and conceding 1.30.

The most recent Sky Stadium meeting saw Melbourne claim a 3-2 win over Wellington. The past 7 H2H meetings at Sky Stadium have seen each team land three wins and there’s been one draw.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Wellington Phoenix Home Stats		3-2-5	3.30	1.50	1.80	8	2	8	2
Melbourne Victory Away Stats		3-1-6	2.10	0.80	1.30	3	7	2	8

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory Lineups & Team News

Don’t miss the latest Wellington vs Victory team news before you bet. We’ll share both predicted and confirmed lineups for the A-League along with the latest injury news.

Wellington Phoenix Team Page Melbourne Victory Team Page

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