Buffalo Sabres vs Pittsburgh Penguins Prediction, Picks & Odds | 05 Mar 2026

NHL Betting Preview: Sabres vs Penguins

The Buffalo Sabres square off against the Pittsburgh Penguins at PPG PAINTS Arena, with face-off scheduled for 19:00 on Thursday, March 5.

We’re heading to the Moneyline and our betting prediction is for the Penguins to win. They have a strong chance of beating the Sabres and the -102 makes plenty of appeal.

Buffalo Sabres made it four consecutive wins after a 3-2 home success over Vegas Golden Knights at KeyBank Center. Tage Thompson, Owen Power and Jason Zucker scored one goal each. Goalie Alex Lyon had 27 saves (.931).

Pittsburgh Penguins have landed two home wins on the spin. It was a road defeat to Boston Bruins in their last game, losing 2-1 at TD Garden. Stuart Skinner recorded 26 saves (.929), with Erik Karlsson scoring the only goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Penguins have beaten the Sabres in the last two encounters. A 4-2 victory at PPG PAINTS Arena was followed by a 5-2 win at KeyBank Center. We’ve seen seven Penguins wins in the past 10 meetings between the teams.

Starting Goalies

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	13-7-2	2.6	.908	0
23/24	27-22-4	2.57	.910	5

Stuart Skinner (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	19-13-6	2.8	.892	2
23/24	36-16-5	2.62	.905	2

7 wins, 2 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 3.7 goals from 30.6 shots on goal, with a 18.6% powerplay efficiency. The Sabres have been giving up 2.8 goals from 32.5 shots, averaging 3.3 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 84.9%.

Rasmus Dahlin is the top points scorer with 16 points, 4 goals and 12 assists, with Tage Thompson racking up 11 points, 6 goals and 5 assists, in the past 10 games. Goalie Alex Lyon have a 2.37 goal against average with a .930 save percentage.

The Penguins have 6 wins, 2 losses and 2 overtime losses, averaging 3.8 goals from 31.5 shots on goal, with a 15.6% powerplay efficiency. They have been conceding 2.4 goals from 25.8 shots, averaging 3.6 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 91.7%.

The top points scorer is Anthony Mantha with 11 points, 5 goals and 6 assists, while Benjamin Kindel is next best after registering 9 points, 7 goals and 2 assists. Goalie Stuart Skinner have a 3.17 GAA with a .875 SV%.

Buffalo Sabres vs Pittsburgh Penguins Prediction & Picks

The Buffalo Sabres vs Pittsburgh Penguins betting tips feature sharp analysis across major markets, including a key match prediction, correct score guidance and a ready-made bet builder.

Game Prediction

It’s time to side with Pittsburgh Penguins to record a victory in this NHL game. They should have the upper hand and the -102 for our pick on the Moneyline looks a great price.

We track all injuries that could impact each franchise before making our hockey predictions. The form guide and latest stats also help the Sportsgambler.com team crunch the numbers ahead of the NHL action.

Key Sabres vs Penguins stats:

• Penguins have won 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• Penguins have won 6 of their last 10 games.
• Penguins have won 2 consecutive games at home.
• Penguins have won the last 2 games between these teams.

Penguins Moneyline Probability

When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 50.5% chance of landing a return. However, our analysts research has found that the actual probability is between 55-60%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

There’s a chance to back Pittsburgh at bigger odds against the Puck Line. The sportsbooks will create a series of lines and you can choose the one that makes the most appeal.

Give your betting journey a head start. Explore the latest welcome offers and free bets in our easy-to-follow guide.

Our Game Prediction

Penguins Moneyline @ -102 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 4, 23:56). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Sabres 2 - 4 Penguins

A 4-2 win in favor of the Penguins can be backed at odds of +1600. We like placing a bet on correct score due to the fun element and the big potential return.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Sabres

Penguins

1-0

Sabres

+6000

Penguins

+6000

2-0

Sabres

+5000

Penguins

+5500

2-1

Sabres

+1600

Penguins

+1600

3-0

Sabres

+3500

Penguins

+3500

3-1

Sabres

+2000

Penguins

+2000

3-2

Sabres

+900

Penguins

+900

4-0

Sabres

+4500

Penguins

+4500

4-1

Sabres

+1700

Penguins

+1700

4-2

Sabres

+1600

Penguins

+1600

4-3

Sabres

+1000

Penguins

+1000

5-0

Sabres

+7500

Penguins

+7500

5-1

Sabres

+2800

Penguins

+2800

5-2

Sabres

+1700

Penguins

+1700

5-3

Sabres

+2200

Penguins

+2200

5-4

Sabres

+1800

Penguins

+1800

6-0

Sabres

+11000

Penguins

+11000

6-1

Sabres

+6000

Penguins

+6000

6-2

Sabres

+3300

Penguins

+3000

6-3

Sabres

+2800

Penguins

+2800

6-4

Sabres

+4500

Penguins

+4000

6-5

Sabres

+4000

Penguins

+4000

7-1

Sabres

+10000

Penguins

+10000

7-2

Sabres

+8000

Penguins

+7500

7-3

Sabres

+5500

Penguins

+5500

7-4

Sabres

+6000

Penguins

+6000

7-5

Sabres

+9000

Penguins

+9000

7-6

Sabres

+10000

Penguins

+10000

8-2

Sabres

+13000

Penguins

+13000

8-3

Sabres

+13000

Penguins

+12500

8-4

Sabres

+11000

Penguins

+11000

8-5

Sabres

+13000

Penguins

+12500

View More

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Buffalo Sabres vs Pittsburgh Penguins Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

There are betting odds of -102 that Pittsburgh Penguins land victory, with Buffalo Sabres alternatively at -118. If you want to know the probability of the road team winning this game, it’s 54% according to the most popular sportsbooks.

There is a puck line of 1.5 and total goals has a line of 6.5. There are many ways to wager on hockey including Totals. If you’re wanting to back Over 6.5, the odds are -105.

There are hundreds of game lines and team props when it comes to wagering on the National Hockey League and we recommend visiting the top betting sites to find the wager that matches your view on the game.

Moneyline

Sabres

-118

Penguins

-102

3-Way Moneyline

Sabres

+145

Tie

+320

Penguins

+145

Puck Line

Sabres -1.5

+210

Penguins +1.5

-263

Total Goals

Under 6.5

-115

Over 6.5

-105

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Buffalo Sabres Stats

Pittsburgh Penguins Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 4 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.50 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 6.40 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 6.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.70 goals and allowed 2.80 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 4.10 pts and allowed 2.30 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.30 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 6.10 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 6.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.80 goals and allowed 2.50 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 3.80 goals and allowed 2.30 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.8
• Shots: 30.6
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3.3
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 9
• Blocks: 12
• Faceoff Wins : 28.1
• Hits: 16.7
• Giveaways: 17.4
• Takeaways: 5.2

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 27
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 3.5
• Empty Net Goals: 0.5
• Penalty Minutes: 7.3
• Blocks: 11.3
• Faceoff Wins : 24
• Hits: 18.7
• Giveaways: 17
• Takeaways: 5.1

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 31.5
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.2
• Penalties: 3.6
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 7.8
• Blocks: 12.1
• Faceoff Wins : 23.6
• Hits: 20.4
• Giveaways: 16.4
• Takeaways: 5.6

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.8
• Shots: 30.1
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 4
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 9.2
• Blocks: 13.4
• Faceoff Wins : 24.2
• Hits: 16.8
• Giveaways: 16.6
• Takeaways: 5.6

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of face-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

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