Tampa Bay Lightning vs Winnipeg Jets Prediction, Picks & Odds | 05 Mar 2026

NHL Betting Preview: Lightning vs Jets

The Tampa Bay Lightning clash with the Winnipeg Jets at Canada Life Centre, with face-off scheduled for 20:00 on Thursday, March 5.

We think that the Lightning should get the better of the Jets in regulation time. Therefore, it’s all about going to the 3-Way Moneyline to back them and there’s juice in the -112 available.

Tampa Bay Lightning were beaten in their previous three games and the latest was on the road at Xcel Energy Center. Minnesota Wild claimed a 5-1 win. Lightning racked up 25 shots and Nikita Kucherov bagged the only goal.

Winnipeg Jets last game saw them claim a 3-2 (OT) home win over Chicago Blackhawks at Canada Life Centre. Mark Scheifele, Dylan Samberg and Cole Perfetti scored one goal each.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Lightning have won the last two encounters against the Jets. They achieved winning scorelines of 4-1 and 4-1 at Benchmark International Arena. The Jets have won six of the past 10 games that these teams have played.

Starting Goalies

Andrei Vasilevskiy (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	39-15-4	2.3	.911	2
23/24	30-20-2	2.9	.900	2

Connor Hellebuyck (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	23-23-11	2.9	.895	0
23/24	37-19-4	2.39	.921	5

6 wins and 4 losses, averaging 3.7 goals from 33.2 shots on goal, with a 15.8% powerplay efficiency. The Lightning have given up 3.6 goals from 30.1 shots, averaging 5.8 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 86.2%.

Nikita Kucherov is the top points scorer with 22 points, 7 goals and 15 assists, with Jake Guentzel recording 13 points, 4 goals and 9 assists, in the past 10 games. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy have a 2.81 goal against average with a .902 save percentage, including one shutout.

The Jets have 4 wins, 3 losses and 3 overtime losses, averaging 2.3 goals from 28.3 shots on goal, with a 9.7% powerplay efficiency. They have been conceding 3.3 goals from 29.5 shots, averaging 2.5 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 80.0%.

The top points scorer is Mark Scheifele with 12 points, 3 goals and 9 assists, while Kyle Connor is next in line after registering 10 points, 4 goals and 6 assists. Goalie Connor Hellebuyck have a 3.38 GAA with a .888 SV%.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Winnipeg Jets Prediction & Picks

Get set for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Winnipeg Jets with our full betting breakdown, complete with an expert match prediction, a likely final score, top player prop picks and a value-driven bet builder.

Game Prediction

There are many reasons to support the pick that Tampa Bay Lightning will win this NHL clash. Therefore, we’re heading to the 60-minute line where you can get odds of -112.

It’s important to know which players are unavailable for the upcoming action along with the current form of each NHL franchise. If you're after stats, you're in the right place because they form the foundation of our hockey picks.

Key Lightning vs Jets stats:

• Lightning have won 15 of their last 20 games.
• Lightning have won 6 of their last 10 games.
• Jets have lost 13 of their last 20 games at home.
• Jets have lost 6 of their last 10 games.
• Jets have lost their last 2 games against Lightning.

Lightning 3-Way Moneyline Probability

According to the best NHL betting sites, our pick has a 52.9% chance of winning. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success between 55-60%. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.

Those who are looking for more value when backing Tampa Bay should consider the Puck Line. Place a bet on them to cover the line that makes the most appeal at the odds.

Before placing your bet, explore our exclusive betting promo codes, welcome offers, and best free bets for today.

Our Game Prediction

Lightning 3-Way Moneyline @ -112 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 5, 00:56). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Cole Perfetti Over 2.5 Shots +110

Cole Perfetti (Jets) has covered the 2.5 shots on goal total in 8 straight games. We’re expecting history to repeat itself and for him to cover the Shots on Goal line at odds of +110.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Lightning 5 - 3 Jets

There are odds of +2000 available that the Lightning land a 5-3 win. We like the correct score option as there’s a nice reward if you can accurately predict the outcome.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Lightning

Jets

1-0

Lightning

+4500

Jets

+5500

2-0

Lightning

+4000

Jets

+5500

2-1

Lightning

+1200

Jets

+1500

3-0

Lightning

+2400

Jets

+4000

3-1

Lightning

+1500

Jets

+2200

3-2

Lightning

+750

Jets

+1000

4-0

Lightning

+2800

Jets

+6000

4-1

Lightning

+1150

Jets

+2200

4-2

Lightning

+1300

Jets

+2000

4-3

Lightning

+1000

Jets

+1200

5-0

Lightning

+4500

Jets

+11000

5-1

Lightning

+1700

Jets

+4000

5-2

Lightning

+1300

Jets

+2500

5-3

Lightning

+2000

Jets

+3000

5-4

Lightning

+2000

Jets

+2500

6-1

Lightning

+4000

Jets

+10000

6-2

Lightning

+2400

Jets

+5500

6-3

Lightning

+2500

Jets

+4500

6-4

Lightning

+4500

Jets

+6600

6-5

Lightning

+5000

Jets

+6000

7-2

Lightning

+5500

Jets

+14000

7-3

Lightning

+4500

Jets

+9000

7-4

Lightning

+6000

Jets

+9000

7-5

Lightning

+11000

Jets

+13000

7-6

Lightning

+12500

Jets

+14000

View More

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Winnipeg Jets Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The sportsbooks’ betting odds have Tampa Bay Lightning as -192 favorites for this game, implying that they are 66% likely to win. The market suggests that Winnipeg Jets are least likely to win at +158.

The puck line is 1.5 and the total goals line is currently 5.5. Hockey fans love the chance to get an alternative angle by going for a Totals wager. If you’re going for Over 5.5, then the odds are -130.

The good news is that you can access hundreds of team props and game lines for every National Hockey League matchup. The best sportsbooks have a huge range of pre-game and in-game betting options.

Moneyline

Lightning

-192

Jets

+158

3-Way Moneyline

Lightning

-122

Tie

+340

Jets

+265

Puck Line

Lightning -1.5

+126

Jets +1.5

-154

Total Goals

Under 5.5

+106

Over 5.5

-130

If you have a view on Goalscorers, Assists, Shots on Goal, Powerplay Points, Blocked Shots or Saves, then the goalie and player prop betting could be up your street. It’s a great way of wagering on individual performance.

There are lots of exciting NHL micro betting lines that are created and they are available in-game. Among them are next goalscorer, next team to find the net and whether a goal will be scored within the next 10 minutes.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Tampa Bay Lightning Stats

Winnipeg Jets Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 4 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 7 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 8 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 7.40 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 6.90 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 5.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
• Over 5.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.80 goals and allowed 3.60 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 3.90 pts and allowed 3.00 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 5.60 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 6.00 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 5.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 5.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.30 goals and allowed 3.30 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 2.90 goals and allowed 3.10 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.9
• Shots: 33.2
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 5.8
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 19.7
• Blocks: 13.1
• Faceoff Wins : 30.9
• Hits: 22.5
• Giveaways: 14.7
• Takeaways: 4.6

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.9
• Shots: 28.2
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 4.6
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 14.1
• Blocks: 13
• Faceoff Wins : 24.5
• Hits: 16.4
• Giveaways: 16
• Takeaways: 4.4

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.3
• Shots: 28.3
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 2.5
• Empty Net Goals: 0
• Penalty Minutes: 5.5
• Blocks: 13.3
• Faceoff Wins : 27
• Hits: 21.9
• Giveaways: 15.1
• Takeaways: 3.5

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 24
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 2.4
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 5.5
• Blocks: 11.2
• Faceoff Wins : 22.5
• Hits: 20.2
• Giveaways: 15.7
• Takeaways: 3.8

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

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