Carolina Hurricanes vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, Picks & Odds | 14 Mar 2026

NHL Betting Preview: Hurricanes vs Lightning

The Carolina Hurricanes meet the Tampa Bay Lightning at Benchmark International Arena, with face-off scheduled for 19:00 on Saturday, March 14.

The sportsbooks have been generous with the -100 that we see the Hurricanes and the Lightning score Over 6.5 goals combined. We’re expecting the lamp to be lit multiple times.

Carolina Hurricanes lost when they last took to the ice. At Lenovo Center, they were turned over 3-1 at home to St Louis Blues. Mark Jankowski was the solitary scorer after Canes registered 32 shots.

Tampa Bay Lightning last game saw them claim a 4-1 home win over Detroit Red Wings at Benchmark International Arena. Gage Goncalves managed a hat trick and Jake Guentzel netted one of the four goals. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy produced a great performance and had 24 saves (.960).

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Canes beat the Lightning when the teams last met. It was a 5-4 scoreline at Lenovo Center. The past 10 games between the teams have seen the Lightning win six times.

Starting Goalies

Brandon Bussi (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	25-5-1	2.4	.898	2

Andrei Vasilevskiy (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	30-11-3	2.3	.913	2
23/24	30-20-2	2.9	.900	2

7 wins and 3 losses, averaging 3.8 goals from 33.7 shots on goal, with a 23.3% powerplay efficiency. The Canes have given up 3.0 goals from 22.3 shots, averaging 3.0 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 73.3%.

Seth Jarvis is the top points scorer with 12 points, 5 goals and 7 assists, with Sebastian Antero Aho racking up 12 points, 4 goals and 8 assists, in the past 10 games. Goalie Brandon Bussi have a 3.03 goal against average with a .866 save percentage, including one shutout.

The Lightning have 4 wins and 6 losses, averaging 3.6 goals from 29.0 shots on goal, with a 10.9% powerplay efficiency. They have conceded 3.9 goals from 31.6 shots, averaging 6.6 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 83.3%.

The top points scorer is Nikita Kucherov with 16 points, 5 goals and 11 assists, while Brayden Point is next best after registering 12 points, 5 goals and 7 assists. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy have a 3.01 GAA with a .898 SV%.

Carolina Hurricanes vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction & Picks

This Carolina Hurricanes vs Tampa Bay Lightning betting guide features sharp analysis across major markets, including a match prediction, correct score bet, valuable player prop picks and a strategic bet builder.

Game Prediction

We’re not going to pass up the chance to take -100 that the teams go over the total goals line. They should be able to regularly find the net in this NHL clash.

Knowing which players are injured gives us a valuable edge when putting together hockey forecasts. After reviewing the form guide, we turn to the latest stats to shape our NHL predictions.

Key Hurricanes vs Lightning stats:

• The 6.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Hurricanes games.
• The 6.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Hurricanes games.
• The 6.5 line has been covered in the last 3 Hurricanes games on the road.
• The 6.5 line has been covered in 6 of the last 10 Lightning games.
• The 6.5 line has been covered in 3 of the last 5 Lightning games.
• The 6.5 line has been covered in the last 2 games between these teams.

Over 6.5 Probability

If you go by the best NHL sportsbooks, our pick has a 50% chance of landing a return. Based on our analysts in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this hockey wager.

If you want to get larger odds on your Over wager, there’s a smart way of doing this. The sportsbooks will allow you to move the line when it comes to betting on the Total.

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Our Game Prediction

Over 6.5 Goals @ -100 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 13, 23:56). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Oliver Bjorkstrand Over 1.5 Shots -120

Oliver Bjorkstrand (Lightning) has recorded Over 1.5 shots on goal in 7 straight games. There is odds of -120 available when it comes to this Shots on Goal wager and we think he’ll cover the line.

Latest Oliver Bjorkstrand Player Prop Odds

Goals

Anytime

+450

First

+2800

Assists

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-455

Shots on Goal

Over 1.5

-120

Under 1.5

-115

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Hurricanes 4 - 3 Lightning

The Hurricanes can be backed to win 4-3 when it comes to the correct score. We’ll go for the +1000 that this happens and hopefully we’ll get a good run for our money.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Hurricanes

Lightning

1-0

Hurricanes

+6000

Lightning

+6000

2-0

Hurricanes

+5500

Lightning

+5000

2-1

Hurricanes

+1600

Lightning

+1500

3-0

Hurricanes

+4000

Lightning

+3500

3-1

Hurricanes

+2200

Lightning

+1900

3-2

Hurricanes

+900

Lightning

+850

4-0

Hurricanes

+5000

Lightning

+4000

4-1

Hurricanes

+1900

Lightning

+1600

4-2

Hurricanes

+1700

Lightning

+1500

4-3

Hurricanes

+1000

Lightning

+950

5-0

Hurricanes

+9000

Lightning

+7000

5-1

Hurricanes

+3000

Lightning

+2400

5-2

Hurricanes

+1900

Lightning

+1500

5-3

Hurricanes

+2400

Lightning

+2000

5-4

Hurricanes

+1800

Lightning

+1700

6-0

Hurricanes

+13000

Lightning

+10000

6-1

Hurricanes

+7000

Lightning

+5500

6-2

Hurricanes

+3500

Lightning

+2800

6-3

Hurricanes

+3000

Lightning

+2500

6-4

Hurricanes

+4500

Lightning

+4000

6-5

Hurricanes

+4500

Lightning

+4000

7-1

Hurricanes

+12000

Lightning

+9000

7-2

Hurricanes

+9000

Lightning

+7000

7-3

Hurricanes

+6000

Lightning

+5000

7-4

Hurricanes

+6600

Lightning

+5500

7-5

Hurricanes

+10000

Lightning

+9000

7-6

Hurricanes

+10000

Lightning

+10000

8-1

Hurricanes

+10000

Lightning

+14000

8-2

Hurricanes

+10000

Lightning

+12000

8-3

Hurricanes

+10000

Lightning

+12000

8-4

Hurricanes

+12000

Lightning

+10000

8-5

Hurricanes

+13000

Lightning

+12000

View More

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Carolina Hurricanes vs Tampa Bay Lightning Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Tampa Bay Lightning have the shortest price to win this game, with the sportsbooks giving them a 57% probability due to their -133 Moneyline betting odds. Carolina Hurricanes are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +112.

The puck line is calculated to be 1.5, while total goals comes in at 6.5. There are many ways to wager on hockey including Totals. If you're keen on Over 6.5, this selection is available at -100.

From team props to game lines, National Hockey League wagering comes with no shortage of options. Head to the best betting apps to discover the market that fits your read on the game.

Moneyline

Hurricanes

+112

Lightning

-133

3-Way Moneyline

Hurricanes

+175

Tie

+310

Lightning

+125

Puck Line

Hurricanes +1.5

-222

Lightning -1.5

+176

Total Goals

Under 6.5

-122

Over 6.5

-100

You will find Nikita Kucherov at +1000 to be First Goalscorer which makes him the favorite. There’s the chance to get +150 that he finds the net at anytime.

Player Goals

Nikita Kucherov (Lightning)

First

+150

Anytime

+1000

Brandon Hagel (Lightning)

First

+190

Anytime

+1200

Jake Guentzel (Lightning)

First

+190

Anytime

+1200

Brayden Point (Lightning)

First

+200

Anytime

+1300

Sebastian Aho (Hurricanes)

First

+200

Anytime

+1400

Seth Jarvis (Hurricanes)

First

+210

Anytime

+1400

Andrei Svechnikov (Hurricanes)

First

+240

Anytime

+1600

Nikolaj Ehlers (Hurricanes)

First

+250

Anytime

+1700

Jackson Blake (Hurricanes)

First

+375

Anytime

+2200

Anthony Cirelli (Lightning)

First

+375

Anytime

+2200

Taylor Hall (Hurricanes)

First

+425

Anytime

+2500

Corey Perry (Lightning)

First

+450

Anytime

+2500

Oliver Bjorkstrand (Lightning)

First

+450

Anytime

+2800

Logan Stankoven (Hurricanes)

First

+450

Anytime

+2800

Jordan Staal (Hurricanes)

First

+475

Anytime

+2800

Gage Goncalves (Lightning)

First

+475

Anytime

+2800

Darren Raddysh (Lightning)

First

+550

Anytime

+3000

Alexander Nikishin (Hurricanes)

First

+575

Anytime

+3500

Yanni Gourde (Lightning)

First

+600

Anytime

+3000

Jordan Martinook (Hurricanes)

First

+600

Anytime

+3000

Nicholas Paul (Lightning)

First

+700

Anytime

+3300

Victor Hedman (Lightning)

First

+700

Anytime

+3500

Mark Jankowski (Hurricanes)

First

+725

Anytime

+4000

Zemgus Girgensons (Lightning)

First

+800

Anytime

+4000

K'Andre Miller (Hurricanes)

First

+900

Anytime

+4000

Pontus Holmberg (Lightning)

First

+900

Anytime

+4500

Sean Walker (Hurricanes)

First

+1000

Anytime

+4500

J.J. Moser (Lightning)

First

+1000

Anytime

+5000

Eric Robinson (Hurricanes)

First

+1100

Anytime

+4500

Ryan McDonagh (Lightning)

First

+1200

Anytime

+6600

Player Assists

Nikita Kucherov (Lightning)

Over 0.5

-227

Under 0.5

+170

Darren Raddysh (Lightning)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-141

Jake Guentzel (Lightning)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-141

Sebastian Aho (Hurricanes)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-141

Seth Jarvis (Hurricanes)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-149

Brayden Point (Lightning)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-164

Andrei Svechnikov (Hurricanes)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-164

Brandon Hagel (Lightning)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-189

Nikolaj Ehlers (Hurricanes)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-233

Victor Hedman (Lightning)

Over 0.5

+195

Under 0.5

-278

K'Andre Miller (Hurricanes)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-303

Alexander Nikishin (Hurricanes)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-345

Anthony Cirelli (Lightning)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-323

Jackson Blake (Hurricanes)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-400

Taylor Hall (Hurricanes)

Over 0.5

+275

Under 0.5

-400

Oliver Bjorkstrand (Lightning)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-455

Logan Stankoven (Hurricanes)

Over 0.5

+333

Under 0.5

-526

Player Shots

Nikita Kucherov (Lightning)

Over 2.5

-145

Under 2.5

+105

Brandon Hagel (Lightning)

Over 2.5

+115

Under 2.5

-154

Jake Guentzel (Lightning)

Over 2.5

+105

Under 2.5

-141

Sebastian Aho (Hurricanes)

Over 2.5

+105

Under 2.5

-145

Seth Jarvis (Hurricanes)

Over 2.5

-141

Under 2.5

-100

Andrei Svechnikov (Hurricanes)

Over 2.5

+115

Under 2.5

-154

Nikolaj Ehlers (Hurricanes)

Over 2.5

+105

Under 2.5

-145

Darren Raddysh (Lightning)

Over 2.5

+115

Under 2.5

-161

Brayden Point (Lightning)

Over 1.5

-164

Under 1.5

+125

Jackson Blake (Hurricanes)

Over 1.5

-161

Under 1.5

+120

Anthony Cirelli (Lightning)

Over 1.5

+125

Under 1.5

-164

Taylor Hall (Hurricanes)

Over 1.5

-105

Under 1.5

-130

Oliver Bjorkstrand (Lightning)

Over 1.5

-120

Under 1.5

-115

Logan Stankoven (Hurricanes)

Over 1.5

-135

Under 1.5

-105

Alexander Nikishin (Hurricanes)

Over 1.5

-100

Under 1.5

-141

Sean Walker (Hurricanes)

Over 1.5

-120

Under 1.5

-110

For those looking to enjoy a thrilling in-game wager, then NHL micro betting could be up your street. You are now able to bet on the Next Goal, Next Goalscorer and what will happen within the next 10 minutes.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Carolina Hurricanes Stats

Tampa Bay Lightning Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 9 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 9 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 4 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.90 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 6.00 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 6.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.90 goals and allowed 3.00 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 3.30 pts and allowed 2.70 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 7.50 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 6.30 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 6.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.60 goals and allowed 3.90 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 3.80 goals and allowed 2.50 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.7
• Shots: 33.7
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 6
• Blocks: 17.6
• Faceoff Wins : 29
• Hits: 18.6
• Giveaways: 16.8
• Takeaways: 6.3

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.6
• Shots: 31.6
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3.8
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 10
• Blocks: 12.9
• Faceoff Wins : 21.2
• Hits: 17
• Giveaways: 15.9
• Takeaways: 6.1

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.6
• Shots: 29
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 6.6
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 23.6
• Blocks: 14.4
• Faceoff Wins : 28
• Hits: 25.9
• Giveaways: 13.4
• Takeaways: 3.5

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.8
• Shots: 31.6
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 5.5
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 18.6
• Blocks: 13.7
• Faceoff Wins : 28.6
• Hits: 22.7
• Giveaways: 14.4
• Takeaways: 3.7

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Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of face-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

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