Dallas Stars vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, Picks & Odds | 30 Oct 2025

NHL Betting Preview: Stars vs Lightning

The Dallas Stars battle the Tampa Bay Lightning in this NHL matchup at Benchmark International Arena, with face-off scheduled for 18:00 on Thursday, October 30. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and the starting lineups.

The Stars and the Lightning should combine to produce Over 5.5 goals. Our prediction is available at -133 which looks a great price.

Dallas Stars made it three consecutive wins after a 1-0 home success over Washington Capitals at American Airlines Center. Jake Oettinger made 24 saves, with Tyler Seguin being the only player to score.

Tampa Bay Lightning got a third straight win in their last game. It was a 5-2 road triumph at Bridgestone Arena when meeting Nashville Predators. Zemgus Girgensons scored twice, with Nikita Kucherov, Brandon Hagel and Charles-Edouard D'Astous scoring one goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Lightning beat the Stars in their last head-to-head encounter. It was a 3-2 scoreline at American Airlines Center. The Lightning have won six of the previous 10 H2H meetings.

Starting Goalies

Jake Oettinger (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	30-12-6	2.7	.898	2
23/24	35-14-2	2.72	.905	3

Andrei Vasilevskiy (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	35-13-4	2.3	.911	2
23/24	30-20-2	2.9	.900	2

6 wins, 3 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 2.8 goals from 26.9 shots on goal, with a 27.5% powerplay efficiency. The Stars have given up 3.0 goals from 28.4 shots, averaging 3.6 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 75.0%.

Mikko Rantanen is the top points scorer with 12 points, 4 goals and 8 assists, with Wyatt Johnston racking up 10 points, 6 goals and 4 assists, in the last 10 games. Goalie Jake Oettinger have a 2.61 goal against average with a .909 save percentage, including one shutout.

The Lightning have 4 wins, 4 losses and 2 overtime losses, averaging 2.9 goals from 26.2 shots on goal, with a 9.8% powerplay efficiency. They have conceded 3.0 goals from 29.2 shots, averaging 5.1 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 92.2%.

Nikita Kucherov and Jake Guentzel have scored the most points on 10, with each player managing 4 goals and 6 assists. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy have a 2.86 GAA with a .892 SV%.

Dallas Stars vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction & Picks

Get the full betting picture for Dallas Stars vs Tampa Bay Lightning, including a key match prediction, our best correct score selection, top player prop picks and a ready-made bet builder.

Game Prediction

We’re not going to pass up the chance to take -133 that the teams go over the total goals line. They should be able to regularly find the net in this NHL clash.

The handicappers at Sportsgambler.com always keep close tabs on team news as it develops. We also rely on recent form and key NHL stats to help shape our hockey predictions and guide the final call.

Key Stars vs Lightning stats:

• The 5.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Lightning games at home.
• The 5.5 line has been covered in 14 of the last 20 Lightning games at home.

Over 5.5 Probability

Based on the odds from the top NHL sportsbooks, there’s a 57.1% likelihood of our pick delivering a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 60-65%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this hockey wager.

Placing a Bet Builder means you can include your Over selection with other picks. It can be a fun and potentially profitable wager where the odds provide a bigger return on investment.

Thinking of betting? Browse our detailed guide for the best current offers, including free bets and the latest bonuses.

Our Game Prediction

Over 5.5 Goals @ -133 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Oct 29, 22:43). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jason Robertson Over 2.5 Shots -161

Jason Robertson (Stars) has covered the 2.5 shots on goal total in 8 of the past 10 games. We think this could be a telling statistic and we’ll back him to cover the line which is available at odds of -161.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Stars 2 - 5 Lightning

There’s the option to wager on the Lightning to win by a 5-2 scoreline. Odds of +1500 are on offer and this is a correct score bet that should provide plenty of entertainment.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Stars

Lightning

1-0

Stars

+5500

Lightning

+5000

2-0

Stars

+5000

Lightning

+4000

2-1

Stars

+1500

Lightning

+1300

3-0

Stars

+3500

Lightning

+2800

3-1

Stars

+2000

Lightning

+1700

3-2

Stars

+900

Lightning

+800

4-0

Stars

+5000

Lightning

+3300

4-1

Stars

+1900

Lightning

+1300

4-2

Stars

+1800

Lightning

+1400

4-3

Stars

+1150

Lightning

+1000

5-0

Stars

+9000

Lightning

+5500

5-1

Stars

+3300

Lightning

+2000

5-2

Stars

+2000

Lightning

+1500

5-3

Stars

+2800

Lightning

+2200

5-4

Stars

+2200

Lightning

+2000

6-0

Stars

+13000

Lightning

+8000

6-1

Stars

+8000

Lightning

+4500

6-2

Stars

+4000

Lightning

+2800

6-3

Stars

+3500

Lightning

+2800

6-4

Stars

+5500

Lightning

+4500

6-5

Stars

+5500

Lightning

+5000

7-0

Stars

+5500

Lightning

+12500

7-1

Stars

+13000

Lightning

+8000

7-2

Stars

+11000

Lightning

+6600

7-3

Stars

+7500

Lightning

+5000

7-4

Stars

+8000

Lightning

+6000

7-5

Stars

+12000

Lightning

+10000

7-6

Stars

+12500

Lightning

+12000

8-1

Stars

+12500

Lightning

+13000

8-2

Stars

+12500

Lightning

+11000

8-3

Stars

+12500

Lightning

+12000

8-4

Stars

+14000

Lightning

+11000

8-5

Stars

+14000

Lightning

+14000

View More

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Dallas Stars vs Tampa Bay Lightning Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The Tampa Bay Lightning odds have been priced up by the sportsbooks and they are -152 betting favorites to land victory in this game which means a 60% chance of winning. Dallas Stars are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +126.

The puck line stands at 1.5 and the total goals line is 5.5. Hockey fans love the chance to get an alternative angle by going for a Totals wager. If you're keen on Over 5.5, this selection is available at -130.

If you’re wagering on National Hockey League clashes, we recommend heading to the top sportsbooks and scanning through the hundreds of team props and game lines. There’s the opportunity to bet pre-game and in-game.

Moneyline

Stars

+126

Lightning

-152

3-Way Moneyline

Stars

+195

Tie

+335

Lightning

+107

Puck Line

Stars +1.5

-208

Lightning -1.5

+168

Total Goals

Under 5.5

+106

Over 5.5

-130

If you’re looking for an alternative to the game lines, check out the goalie and player props instead. It’s great to wager on Goalscorers, Assists, Points, Shots on Goal, Blocked Shots and Powerplay Points as potential options.

There are lots of exciting NHL micro betting lines that are created and they are available in-game. Among them are next goalscorer, next team to find the net and whether a goal will be scored within the next 10 minutes.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Dallas Stars Stats

Tampa Bay Lightning Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 7 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 1 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 2 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 5.90 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 6.30 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 5.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 5.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.90 goals and allowed 3.00 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 2.30 pts and allowed 4.00 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 5.90 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 6.80 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 5.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 5.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.90 goals and allowed 3.00 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 3.20 goals and allowed 3.60 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 1.1
• Shots: 26.9
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3.6
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 8.8
• Blocks: 10.8
• Faceoff Wins : 30.6
• Hits: 22.8
• Giveaways: 15.1
• Takeaways: 4

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 26.2
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 4.5
• Empty Net Goals: 0
• Penalty Minutes: 10.5
• Blocks: 11.8
• Faceoff Wins : 31.6
• Hits: 26.4
• Giveaways: 14.2
• Takeaways: 2.6

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 26.2
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 5.1
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 11.9
• Blocks: 15.4
• Faceoff Wins : 26.5
• Hits: 20.2
• Giveaways: 17
• Takeaways: 3.9

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.7
• Shots: 26.6
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 4.7
• Empty Net Goals: 0
• Penalty Minutes: 11.4
• Blocks: 14
• Faceoff Wins : 28.3
• Hits: 25.4
• Giveaways: 16
• Takeaways: 3.9

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

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