Detroit Red Wings vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, Picks & Odds | 12 Mar 2026

NHL Betting Preview: Red Wings vs Lightning

The Detroit Red Wings meet the Tampa Bay Lightning at Benchmark International Arena, with face-off scheduled for 19:00 on Thursday, March 12.

The prediction is that the Lightning will have the edge over the Red Wings in regulation time, with odds of -130 currently available on the 3-Way Moneyline. That looks a price worth taking on this value selection.

Detroit Red Wings were defeated in their previous game. On the road, they suffered a 4-3 loss against Florida Panthers at Amerant Bank Arena. Patrick Kane, Justin Faulk and Marco Kasper scored one goal each.

Tampa Bay Lightning were beaten 5-2 at Benchmark International Arena in their last game. This loss at home to Columbus Blue Jackets was their second straight defeat. Janis Jerome Moser and Gage Goncalves scored one goal each.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Lightning beat the Red Wings in their last head-to-head encounter. It was a 6-3 scoreline at Little Caesars Arena. The past 10 games between the teams have seen the Red Wings win six times.

Starting Goalies

John Gibson (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	24-14-2	2.6	.906	4
23/24	13-27-1	3.54	.888	0

Andrei Vasilevskiy (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	29-11-3	2.3	.912	2
23/24	30-20-2	2.9	.900	2

4 wins, 5 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 2.1 goals from 27.6 shots on goal, with a 10.8% powerplay efficiency. The Red Wings have given up 2.8 goals from 26.7 shots, averaging 3.2 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 81.3%.

Moritz Seider is the top points scorer with 8 points, 1 goal and 7 assists, with Dylan Larkin recording 7 points, 3 goals and 4 assists, over the last 10 games. Goalie John Gibson have a 2.27 goal against average with a .912 save percentage, including one shutout.

The Lightning have 4 wins and 6 losses, averaging 3.6 goals from 29.6 shots on goal, with a 10.7% powerplay efficiency. They have conceded 4.1 goals from 31.6 shots, averaging 6.8 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 82.4%.

The top points scorer is Nikita Kucherov with 18 points, 6 goals and 12 assists, while Brayden Point is next best after having 10 points, 5 goals and 5 assists. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy have a 3.26 GAA with a .889 SV%.

Detroit Red Wings vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction & Picks

Discover our expert Detroit Red Wings vs Tampa Bay Lightning betting tips, featuring a match prediction, correct score suggestion and bet builder advice. Scroll down for full analysis.

Game Prediction

The road team look opposable on the 60-minute line, so we’re going to make Tampa Bay Lightning our pick for this NHL encounter. You can currently get -130 for this selection which looks value.

Team news plays a key role in our hockey predictions and we’re always tracking players with injury concerns. We also stay on top of the NHL form guide, supported by detailed stats that help paint a clearer picture of what to expect.

Key Red Wings vs Lightning stats:

• Lightning have won 8 of their last 10 games at home.
• Lightning have won 14 of their last 20 games at home.
• Red Wings have lost 6 of their last 10 games.
• Red Wings have lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Lightning 3-Way Moneyline Probability

According to the top sportsbooks, our pick has a 56.5% chance of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 60-65%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

Tampa Bay are available at range of odds on the Puck Line. If you are looking for more juice, then consider this wagering option and choose the right bet for you.

Claim bonuses and free bets before placing a wager. Our in-depth guide shows you the best current betting offers.

Our Game Prediction

Lightning 3-Way Moneyline @ -130 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 11, 23:56). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Red Wings 1 - 4 Lightning

There’s the option to wager on the Lightning to win by a 4-1 scoreline. Odds of +1150 are on offer and this is a correct score bet that should provide plenty of entertainment.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Red Wings

Lightning

1-0

Red Wings

+6000

Lightning

+5000

2-0

Red Wings

+6000

Lightning

+4000

2-1

Red Wings

+1700

Lightning

+1300

3-0

Red Wings

+4500

Lightning

+2400

3-1

Red Wings

+2500

Lightning

+1500

3-2

Red Wings

+1050

Lightning

+800

4-0

Red Wings

+6600

Lightning

+2800

4-1

Red Wings

+2400

Lightning

+1150

4-2

Red Wings

+2200

Lightning

+1300

4-3

Red Wings

+1300

Lightning

+950

5-0

Red Wings

+12000

Lightning

+4500

5-1

Red Wings

+4500

Lightning

+1600

5-2

Red Wings

+2500

Lightning

+1300

5-3

Red Wings

+3000

Lightning

+2000

5-4

Red Wings

+2400

Lightning

+1900

6-0

Red Wings

+2400

Lightning

+6600

6-1

Red Wings

+11000

Lightning

+3500

6-2

Red Wings

+5500

Lightning

+2200

6-3

Red Wings

+4500

Lightning

+2400

6-4

Red Wings

+6000

Lightning

+4000

6-5

Red Wings

+5500

Lightning

+5000

7-0

Red Wings

+5500

Lightning

+10000

7-1

Red Wings

+5500

Lightning

+6000

7-2

Red Wings

+14000

Lightning

+5000

7-3

Red Wings

+9000

Lightning

+4500

7-4

Red Wings

+9000

Lightning

+5500

7-5

Red Wings

+13000

Lightning

+10000

7-6

Red Wings

+13000

Lightning

+12000

8-1

Red Wings

+13000

Lightning

+10000

8-2

Red Wings

+13000

Lightning

+9000

8-3

Red Wings

+13000

Lightning

+10000

8-4

Red Wings

+13000

Lightning

+10000

8-5

Red Wings

+13000

Lightning

+13000

9-2

Red Wings

+13000

Lightning

+14000

View More

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Detroit Red Wings vs Tampa Bay Lightning Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With an estimated 69% chance of winning, the sportsbooks are taking no chances with their -222 betting odds about Tampa Bay Lightning triumphing in this game. At +180, Detroit Red Wings are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

The puck line is 1.5 and total goals is 6.5. Having a bet on Totals is one of the most popular hockey wagers. The Over 6.5 selection is available to back at +116.

From team props to game lines, National Hockey League wagering comes with no shortage of options. Head to the best betting apps to discover the market that fits your read on the game.

Moneyline

Red Wings

+180

Lightning

-222

3-Way Moneyline

Red Wings

+280

Tie

+340

Lightning

-130

Puck Line

Red Wings +1.5

-145

Lightning -1.5

+118

Total Goals

Under 6.5

-143

Over 6.5

+116

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Detroit Red Wings Stats

Tampa Bay Lightning Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 8 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 3 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 4.90 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 4.90 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 6.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.10 goals and allowed 2.80 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 2.70 pts and allowed 2.20 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 7.70 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 6.40 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 6.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.60 goals and allowed 4.10 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 3.80 goals and allowed 2.60 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.4
• Shots: 27.6
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 3.2
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 7.2
• Blocks: 12.5
• Faceoff Wins : 28.9
• Hits: 17.9
• Giveaways: 13.3
• Takeaways: 4.4

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.4
• Shots: 29.9
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 3.1
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 7
• Blocks: 13.5
• Faceoff Wins : 29.8
• Hits: 19.3
• Giveaways: 13.9
• Takeaways: 4.5

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.6
• Shots: 29.6
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 6.8
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 24
• Blocks: 13.4
• Faceoff Wins : 29
• Hits: 26.3
• Giveaways: 13.3
• Takeaways: 3.9

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.8
• Shots: 31.5
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 5.9
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 20.2
• Blocks: 13.6
• Faceoff Wins : 28.2
• Hits: 22.6
• Giveaways: 14
• Takeaways: 4

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Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of face-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

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