Minnesota Wild vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, Picks & Odds | 24 Mar 2026

NHL Betting Preview: Wild vs Lightning

The Minnesota Wild go up against the Tampa Bay Lightning at Benchmark International Arena, with face-off scheduled for 19:30 on Tuesday, March 24.

We’re not going to pass up the chance to take +106 that there are Over 6.5 goals scored. The Wild and the Lightning should deliver on that front.

Minnesota Wild claimed a home victory in their previous game. A 2-1 (OT) win occurred against Dallas Stars at Xcel Energy Center. Vladimir Tarasenko and Bobby Brink scored one goal each. Goalie Filip Gustavsson was red hot in this one, making 28 saves (.966).

Tampa Bay Lightning were defeated in their last game. On the road, they suffered a 4-3 (OT) reverse against Calgary Flames at Scotiabank Saddledome. Darren Raddysh, Ryan McDonagh and Pontus Holmberg scored one goal each.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The scoreline was 5-1 in favor of the Wild when they last played the Lightning, with the encounter taking place at Xcel Energy Center. The Wild have won three on the spin against the Lightning. They’ve also claimed 6 victories in the past 10 head-to-head encounters.

Starting Goalies

Filip Gustavsson (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	26-11-6	2.5	.912	4
23/24	20-18-4	3.06	.899	3

Andrei Vasilevskiy (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	33-12-3	2.3	.913	2
23/24	30-20-2	2.9	.900	2

5 wins, 3 losses and 2 overtime losses, averaging 2.9 goals from 31.3 shots on goal, with a 10.4% powerplay efficiency. The Wild have been giving up 2.1 goals from 27.0 shots, averaging 4.8 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 93.8%.

Quinn Hughes is the top points scorer with 10 points, 1 goal and 9 assists, with Brock Faber racking up 9 points, 1 goal and 8 assists, over the last 10 games. Goalie Filip Gustavsson have a 1.83 goal against average with a .928 save percentage, including one shutout.

The Lightning have 5 wins, 4 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 4.1 goals from 27.4 shots on goal, with a 14.6% powerplay efficiency. They have been conceding 3.4 goals from 28.8 shots, averaging 4.6 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 87.0%.

The top points scorer is Nikita Kucherov with 23 points, 8 goals and 15 assists, while Anthony Cirelli is next in line after registering 13 points, 4 goals and 9 assists. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy have a 2.27 GAA with a .916 SV%.

Minnesota Wild vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction & Picks

Our Minnesota Wild vs Tampa Bay Lightning preview includes expert betting advice on all fronts — from a match prediction and correct score guidance to player prop selections and a bet builder tailored for value.

Game Prediction

Our confident pick is that the teams will combine to go over the total goals line. The +106 that this outcome happens looks really attractive for this NHL encounter.

The formbook is always a smart starting point when making hockey picks. Up-to-date NHL team news is just as important, while the stats we provide often reveal valuable insights.

Key Wild vs Lightning stats:

• The 6.5 line has been covered in 8 of the last 10 Wild games on the road.
• The 6.5 line has been covered in 14 of the last 20 Wild games on the road.
• The 6.5 line has been covered in the last 4 Lightning games.
• The 6.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Lightning games.
• The 6.5 line has been covered in 13 of the last 20 Lightning games.

Over 6.5 Probability

The odds at the top betting apps suggest our pick has a 48.5% chance of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our analysts think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 55-60%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

There are ways to increase the odds if you’re wanting to bet on Overs and one of them is wagering on Match Winner & Total Goals where you also predict a franchise to win.

Before your next bet, explore our betting offers guide filled with top bonuses, the latest promotions, and free bet deals.

Our Game Prediction

Over 6.5 Goals @ +106 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 23, 23:57). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Nikita Kucherov Over 0.5 Assists -250

Nikita Kucherov (Lightning) has made at least one assist in 8 of the past 10 games. The odds are attractive when it comes to wagering on Player Assists and you can get -250 that he is able to land a return.

Latest Nikita Kucherov Player Prop Odds

Goals

Anytime

+135

First

+1000

Assists

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

+180

Shots on Goal

Over 3.5

-110

Under 3.5

-125

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Wild 4 - 3 Lightning

We’re taking a correct score bet which involves the Wild to win 4-3. The odds of +1100 make plenty of appeal and you should hopefully get some entertainment with this wager.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Wild

Lightning

1-0

Wild

+6000

Lightning

+5500

2-0

Wild

+5500

Lightning

+4500

2-1

Wild

+1700

Lightning

+1400

3-0

Wild

+4500

Lightning

+3000

3-1

Wild

+2200

Lightning

+1800

3-2

Wild

+950

Lightning

+800

4-0

Wild

+6000

Lightning

+3500

4-1

Wild

+2200

Lightning

+1400

4-2

Wild

+1800

Lightning

+1400

4-3

Wild

+1100

Lightning

+950

5-0

Wild

+10000

Lightning

+6000

5-1

Wild

+3500

Lightning

+2000

5-2

Wild

+2200

Lightning

+1400

5-3

Wild

+2500

Lightning

+2000

5-4

Wild

+2000

Lightning

+1800

6-0

Wild

+2000

Lightning

+8000

6-1

Wild

+9000

Lightning

+4500

6-2

Wild

+4500

Lightning

+2500

6-3

Wild

+3500

Lightning

+2400

6-4

Wild

+5000

Lightning

+4000

6-5

Wild

+4500

Lightning

+4000

7-0

Wild

+4500

Lightning

+12500

7-1

Wild

+14000

Lightning

+7500

7-2

Wild

+11000

Lightning

+6000

7-3

Wild

+7000

Lightning

+4500

7-4

Wild

+7500

Lightning

+5500

7-5

Wild

+11000

Lightning

+9000

7-6

Wild

+11000

Lightning

+10000

8-1

Wild

+11000

Lightning

+12000

8-2

Wild

+11000

Lightning

+10000

8-3

Wild

+11000

Lightning

+11000

8-4

Wild

+13000

Lightning

+9000

8-5

Wild

+13000

Lightning

+12000

View More

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Minnesota Wild vs Tampa Bay Lightning Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Tampa Bay Lightning are regarded as having a 63% chance of winning this game according to the latest betting odds. The sportsbooks have priced them up at -172. For those wanting to back Minnesota Wild, you will find +142 about the underdogs.

The puck line stands at 1.5 and the total goals line is 6.5. A Totals bet relates to the number of goals that will be scored overall. If you’re wanting to back Over 6.5, the odds are +106.

The top NHL sportsbooks offer a wide range of game lines and team props for every matchup. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Moneyline

Wild

+142

Lightning

-172

3-Way Moneyline

Wild

+215

Tie

+320

Lightning

+102

Puck Line

Wild +1.5

-179

Lightning -1.5

+142

Total Goals

Under 6.5

-130

Over 6.5

+106

Nikita Kucherov is the First Goalscorer favorite at +1000. Alternatively, there’s the chance to simply back him to light the lamp at anytime at +135.

Player Goals

Nikita Kucherov (Lightning)

First

+135

Anytime

+1000

Kirill Kaprizov (Wild)

First

+155

Anytime

+1000

Jake Guentzel (Lightning)

First

+170

Anytime

+1200

Brandon Hagel (Lightning)

First

+195

Anytime

+1300

Matt Boldy (Wild)

First

+195

Anytime

+1300

Brayden Point (Lightning)

First

+210

Anytime

+1400

Anthony Cirelli (Lightning)

First

+290

Anytime

+1700

Joel Eriksson Ek (Wild)

First

+290

Anytime

+1900

Vladimir Tarasenko (Wild)

First

+375

Anytime

+2000

Mats Zuccarello (Wild)

First

+375

Anytime

+2200

Oliver Bjorkstrand (Lightning)

First

+400

Anytime

+2200

Darren Raddysh (Lightning)

First

+400

Anytime

+2800

Ryan Hartman (Wild)

First

+450

Anytime

+2500

Corey Perry (Lightning)

First

+450

Anytime

+2500

Marcus Johansson (Wild)

First

+450

Anytime

+2800

Bobby Brink (Wild)

First

+500

Anytime

+3000

Gage Goncalves (Lightning)

First

+525

Anytime

+3000

Nicholas Paul (Lightning)

First

+550

Anytime

+3000

Danila Yurov (Wild)

First

+550

Anytime

+3000

Quinn Hughes (Wild)

First

+550

Anytime

+3000

Yanni Gourde (Lightning)

First

+625

Anytime

+3300

Zemgus Girgensons (Lightning)

First

+650

Anytime

+3500

Pontus Holmberg (Lightning)

First

+700

Anytime

+3500

J.J. Moser (Lightning)

First

+725

Anytime

+3500

Brock Faber (Wild)

First

+750

Anytime

+4000

Nick Foligno (Wild)

First

+850

Anytime

+4500

Charle-Edouard D'Astous (Lightning)

First

+1100

Anytime

+5000

Michael McCarron (Wild)

First

+1100

Anytime

+5000

Ryan McDonagh (Lightning)

First

+1100

Anytime

+5500

Jared Spurgeon (Wild)

First

+1100

Anytime

+5500

Player Assists

Nikita Kucherov (Lightning)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

+180

Quinn Hughes (Wild)

Over 0.5

-161

Under 0.5

+120

Darren Raddysh (Lightning)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-130

Matt Boldy (Wild)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-135

Jake Guentzel (Lightning)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-161

Brandon Hagel (Lightning)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-161

Brayden Point (Lightning)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-164

Mats Zuccarello (Wild)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-185

Brock Faber (Wild)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-227

Anthony Cirelli (Lightning)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-233

Vladimir Tarasenko (Wild)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-250

Ryan Hartman (Wild)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-323

Gage Goncalves (Lightning)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-400

Oliver Bjorkstrand (Lightning)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-455

Jared Spurgeon (Wild)

Over 0.5

+333

Under 0.5

-526

Bobby Brink (Wild)

Over 0.5

+340

Under 0.5

-526

Player Shots

Nikita Kucherov (Lightning)

Over 3.5

-110

Under 3.5

-125

Matt Boldy (Wild)

Over 3.5

+110

Under 3.5

-149

Jake Guentzel (Lightning)

Over 2.5

-118

Under 2.5

-115

Brandon Hagel (Lightning)

Over 2.5

-175

Under 2.5

+125

Brayden Point (Lightning)

Over 2.5

+135

Under 2.5

-189

Mats Zuccarello (Wild)

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-175

Darren Raddysh (Lightning)

Over 2.5

-185

Under 2.5

+130

Ryan Hartman (Wild)

Over 2.5

-110

Under 2.5

-120

Quinn Hughes (Wild)

Over 2.5

+115

Under 2.5

-154

Anthony Cirelli (Lightning)

Over 1.5

-161

Under 1.5

+115

Vladimir Tarasenko (Wild)

Over 1.5

-200

Under 1.5

+140

Oliver Bjorkstrand (Lightning)

Over 1.5

-110

Under 1.5

-120

Bobby Brink (Wild)

Over 1.5

+125

Under 1.5

-175

Brock Faber (Wild)

Over 1.5

-175

Under 1.5

+130

There are always opportunities to enjoy NHL micro betting. It’s generally the case that you will find team and player props in-game and bettors can use their insight to wager on outcomes such as the Next Goal or Next Goalscorer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Minnesota Wild Stats

Tampa Bay Lightning Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 8 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 9 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 5 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 5.20 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 7.80 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 6.5: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 on the Road: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.90 goals and allowed 2.30 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 4.40 pts and allowed 3.40 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 7.50 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 6.40 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 6.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 4.10 goals and allowed 3.40 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 3.60 goals and allowed 2.80 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 31.3
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 4.8
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 11.3
• Blocks: 16
• Faceoff Wins : 27
• Hits: 25.3
• Giveaways: 14.1
• Takeaways: 4.3

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 1.3
• Shots: 32.1
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.2
• Penalties: 3.8
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 9.8
• Blocks: 14.3
• Faceoff Wins : 26
• Hits: 22.4
• Giveaways: 14.7
• Takeaways: 4.5

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.6
• Shots: 27.4
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.2
• Penalties: 4.6
• Empty Net Goals: 0.4
• Penalty Minutes: 13.3
• Blocks: 14.4
• Faceoff Wins : 25.9
• Hits: 22.6
• Giveaways: 14.9
• Takeaways: 3.7

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.8
• Shots: 31.5
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 5.8
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 19.5
• Blocks: 12.9
• Faceoff Wins : 28.3
• Hits: 24
• Giveaways: 14
• Takeaways: 4

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Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of face-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

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