Minnesota Wild vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, Picks & Odds | 24 Mar 2026

NHL Betting Preview: Wild vs Lightning

The Minnesota Wild go up against the Tampa Bay Lightning at Benchmark International Arena, with face-off scheduled for 18:30 on Tuesday, March 24.

We’re not going to pass up the chance to take +106 that there are Over 6.5 goals scored. The Wild and the Lightning should deliver on that front.

Minnesota Wild claimed a home victory in their previous game. A 2-1 (OT) win occurred against Dallas Stars at Xcel Energy Center. Vladimir Tarasenko and Bobby Brink scored one goal each. Goalie Filip Gustavsson was red hot in this one, making 28 saves (.966).

Tampa Bay Lightning were defeated in their last game. On the road, they suffered a 4-3 (OT) reverse against Calgary Flames at Scotiabank Saddledome. Darren Raddysh, Ryan McDonagh and Pontus Holmberg scored one goal each.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The scoreline was 5-1 in favor of the Wild when they last played the Lightning, with the encounter taking place at Xcel Energy Center. The Wild have won three on the spin against the Lightning. They’ve also claimed 6 victories in the past 10 head-to-head encounters.

Starting Goalies

Filip Gustavsson (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	28-15-6	2.7	.903	4
23/24	20-18-4	3.06	.899	3

Andrei Vasilevskiy (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	39-15-4	2.3	.911	2
23/24	30-20-2	2.9	.900	2

5 wins, 3 losses and 2 overtime losses, averaging 2.9 goals from 31.3 shots on goal, with a 10.4% powerplay efficiency. The Wild have been giving up 2.1 goals from 27.0 shots, averaging 4.8 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 93.8%.

Quinn Hughes is the top points scorer with 10 points, 1 goal and 9 assists, with Brock Faber racking up 9 points, 1 goal and 8 assists, over the last 10 games. Goalie Filip Gustavsson have a 1.83 goal against average with a .928 save percentage, including one shutout.

The Lightning have 5 wins, 4 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 4.1 goals from 27.4 shots on goal, with a 14.6% powerplay efficiency. They have been conceding 3.4 goals from 28.8 shots, averaging 4.6 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 87.0%.

The top points scorer is Nikita Kucherov with 23 points, 8 goals and 15 assists, while Anthony Cirelli is next in line after registering 13 points, 4 goals and 9 assists. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy have a 2.27 GAA with a .916 SV%.

Minnesota Wild vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction & Picks

Our Minnesota Wild vs Tampa Bay Lightning preview includes expert betting advice on all fronts — from a match prediction and correct score guidance to player prop selections and a bet builder tailored for value.

Game Prediction

Our confident pick is that the teams will combine to go over the total goals line. The +106 that this outcome happens looks really attractive for this NHL encounter.

The formbook is always a smart starting point when making hockey picks. Up-to-date NHL team news is just as important, while the stats we provide often reveal valuable insights.

Key Wild vs Lightning stats:

• The 6.5 line has been covered in 8 of the last 10 Wild games on the road.
• The 6.5 line has been covered in 14 of the last 20 Wild games on the road.
• The 6.5 line has been covered in the last 4 Lightning games.
• The 6.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Lightning games.
• The 6.5 line has been covered in 13 of the last 20 Lightning games.

Over 6.5 Probability

The odds at the top betting apps suggest our pick has a 48.5% chance of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our analysts think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 55-60%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

There are ways to increase the odds if you’re wanting to bet on Overs and one of them is wagering on Match Winner & Total Goals where you also predict a franchise to win.

Before your next bet, explore our betting offers guide filled with top bonuses, the latest promotions, and free bet deals.

Our Game Prediction

Over 6.5 Goals @ +106 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 23, 22:57). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Nikita Kucherov Over 0.5 Assists -250

Nikita Kucherov (Lightning) has made at least one assist in 8 of the past 10 games. The odds are attractive when it comes to wagering on Player Assists and you can get -250 that he is able to land a return.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Wild 4 - 3 Lightning

We’re taking a correct score bet which involves the Wild to win 4-3. The odds of +1100 make plenty of appeal and you should hopefully get some entertainment with this wager.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Wild

Lightning

1-0

Wild

+6000

Lightning

+5500

2-0

Wild

+5500

Lightning

+4500

2-1

Wild

+1700

Lightning

+1500

3-0

Wild

+4500

Lightning

+3000

3-1

Wild

+2200

Lightning

+1800

3-2

Wild

+950

Lightning

+850

4-0

Wild

+5500

Lightning

+3400

4-1

Wild

+2200

Lightning

+1400

4-2

Wild

+1900

Lightning

+1400

4-3

Wild

+1100

Lightning

+950

5-0

Wild

+10000

Lightning

+5500

5-1

Wild

+3500

Lightning

+2000

5-2

Wild

+2200

Lightning

+1400

5-3

Wild

+2500

Lightning

+2000

5-4

Wild

+2000

Lightning

+1800

6-0

Wild

+2000

Lightning

+8000

6-1

Wild

+8000

Lightning

+4500

6-2

Wild

+4500

Lightning

+2400

6-3

Wild

+3500

Lightning

+2400

6-4

Wild

+5000

Lightning

+4000

6-5

Wild

+4500

Lightning

+4000

7-0

Wild

+4500

Lightning

+12000

7-1

Wild

+14000

Lightning

+7000

7-2

Wild

+11000

Lightning

+6000

7-3

Wild

+7000

Lightning

+4500

7-4

Wild

+7500

Lightning

+5500

7-5

Wild

+11000

Lightning

+9000

7-6

Wild

+11000

Lightning

+10000

8-1

Wild

+11000

Lightning

+12000

8-2

Wild

+11000

Lightning

+10000

8-3

Wild

+11000

Lightning

+10000

8-4

Wild

+13000

Lightning

+9000

8-5

Wild

+13000

Lightning

+12000

View More

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Minnesota Wild vs Tampa Bay Lightning Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Tampa Bay Lightning are regarded as having a 62% chance of winning this game according to the latest betting odds. The sportsbooks have priced them up at -161. For those wanting to back Minnesota Wild, you will find +132 about the underdogs.

The puck line stands at 1.5 and the total goals line is 6.5. A Totals bet relates to the number of goals that will be scored overall. If you’re wanting to back Over 6.5, the odds are +104.

The top NHL sportsbooks offer a wide range of game lines and team props for every matchup. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Moneyline

Wild

+132

Lightning

-161

3-Way Moneyline

Wild

+215

Tie

+330

Lightning

-102

Puck Line

Wild +1.5

-192

Lightning -1.5

+152

Total Goals

Under 6.5

-128

Over 6.5

+104

The gambling sites also allow you to place player prop bets such as Goals, Assists, Points and Blocked Shots. This means you can focus on an individual player’s performance rather than wager on the actual outcome of the game in question.

There are always opportunities to enjoy NHL micro betting. It’s generally the case that you will find team and player props in-game and bettors can use their insight to wager on outcomes such as the Next Goal or Next Goalscorer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Minnesota Wild Stats

Tampa Bay Lightning Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 8 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 9 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 5 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 5.20 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 7.80 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 6.5: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 on the Road: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.90 goals and allowed 2.30 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 4.40 pts and allowed 3.40 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 7.50 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 6.40 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 6.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 4.10 goals and allowed 3.40 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 3.60 goals and allowed 2.80 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 31.3
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 4.8
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 11.3
• Blocks: 16
• Faceoff Wins : 27
• Hits: 25.3
• Giveaways: 14.1
• Takeaways: 4.3

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 1.3
• Shots: 32.1
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.2
• Penalties: 3.8
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 9.8
• Blocks: 14.3
• Faceoff Wins : 26
• Hits: 22.4
• Giveaways: 14.7
• Takeaways: 4.5

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.6
• Shots: 27.4
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.2
• Penalties: 4.6
• Empty Net Goals: 0.4
• Penalty Minutes: 13.3
• Blocks: 14.4
• Faceoff Wins : 25.9
• Hits: 22.6
• Giveaways: 14.9
• Takeaways: 3.7

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.8
• Shots: 31.5
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 5.8
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 19.5
• Blocks: 12.9
• Faceoff Wins : 28.3
• Hits: 24
• Giveaways: 14
• Takeaways: 4

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

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