Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, Picks & Odds | 08 Oct 2025

NHL Betting Preview: Canadiens vs Maple Leafs

Historic rivals Montreal Canadiens and Toronto Maple Leafs lock horns in this NHL matchup at Scotiabank Arena, with face-off scheduled for 19:00 on Wednesday, October 8. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and the starting lineups.

Under 5.5 the Most Likely Outcome

There could be a shortage of goals between the Canadiens and the Maple Leafs, leading us to a prediction of Under 5.5 goals. There are appealing odds of +112 for this outcome.

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Leafs Are 8 From 10 on the Head-to-Head

Montreal Canadiens ended last season with a first-round Stanley Cup Playoff exit, losing the series 4–1 to the Washington Capitals. In Game 5, the Montreal Canadiens lost 4–1 on the road at Capital One Arena, with Emil Heineman scoring the lone goal as the Habs registered 29 shots on goal.

Toronto Maple Leafs' 2024/25 campaign ended in the second round of the Stanley Cup Playoffs, with the Leafs losing the series 4–3 to the Florida Panthers. In the decisive Game 7, Toronto fell 6–1 at home, as Max Domi scored the team’s only goal from 20 shots on target.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Leafs triumphed 1-0 when they last played the Habs. This head-to-head was played at Scotiabank Arena. The Leafs have enjoyed three consecutive victories against the Habs. They’ve landed 8 wins from the past 10 head-to-head meetings.

Starting Goalies

Sam Montembeault (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	31-24-7	2.8	.901	4
23/24	16-15-9	3.14	.903	0

Anthony Stolarz (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	21-8-3	2.2	.926	4
23/24	16-7-1	2.03	.925	2

3 wins, 4 losses and 3 overtime losses, averaging 2.5 goals from 24.9 shots on goal, with a 14.6% powerplay efficiency. The Habs have given up 3.0 goals from 29.8 shots, averaging 4.0 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 87.5%.

Cole Caufield is the top points scorer with 8 points, 4 goals and 4 assists, with Nick Suzuki recording 7 points, 5 goals and 2 assists, over the past 10 games. Goalie Sam Montembeault have a 2.57 goal against average with a .915 save percentage.

The Leafs have 4 wins, 4 losses and 2 overtime losses, averaging 2.4 goals from 25.9 shots on goal, with a 7.0% powerplay efficiency. They have conceded 3.6 goals from 28.1 shots, averaging 4.2 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 88.1%.

The top points scorer is William Nylander with 11 points, 5 goals and 6 assists, while Max Pacioretty is next best after registering 8 points, 3 goals and 5 assists. Goalie Joseph Woll have a 3.56 GAA with a .886 SV%, including one shutout.

Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction & Picks

Dive into our full Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs betting preview, featuring an expert match prediction, a projected scoreline, top player prop bets and a bet builder designed for value.

Game Prediction

The +112 available that this NHL clash goes under the 5.5 goal line certainly looks appealing. Our pick is that the teams’ combined goals will fall short of the mark.

Our expert NHL handicappers study recent form and take injuries into account when assessing each matchup. Before delivering a verdict, we combine that insight with the latest stats to strengthen our hockey analysis.

Key Canadiens vs Maple Leafs stats:

• The 5.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 4 Canadiens games on the road.
• The 5.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Canadiens games on the road.

Under 5.5 Probability

The best betting apps imply that our pick has a 47.2% prospect of winning. Our analysts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 50-55%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

For a larger payout, many bettors will include their Under pick on the Totals with other selections. A Bet Builder is perfect for combining all your predictions.

Find generous betting offers before placing your next wager. The latest free bets, promos, and welcome bonuses included.

Best Bet

Under 5.5 Goals @ +112 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Matthew Knies Over 1.5 Shots -200

Matthew Knies (Maple Leafs) has fired Over 1.5 shots on goal in 8 of the past 10 games. There is odds of -200 available when it comes to this Shots on Goal wager and we think he’ll cover the line.

Latest Matthew Knies Player Prop Odds

Goals

Anytime

+230

First

+1400

Assists

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-200

Shots on Goal

Over 1.5

-200

Under 1.5

+145

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Correct Score Prediction

Canadiens 3 - 2 Maple Leafs

There could be merit in backing the Canadiens to win 3-2. Odds of +950 are available about a correct score bet where a nice potential return is on the cards.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Canadiens

Maple Leafs

1-0

Canadiens

+5500

Maple Leafs

+5000

2-0

Canadiens

+5000

Maple Leafs

+4000

2-1

Canadiens

+1500

Maple Leafs

+1300

3-0

Canadiens

+4000

Maple Leafs

+2500

3-1

Canadiens

+2200

Maple Leafs

+1600

3-2

Canadiens

+950

Maple Leafs

+800

4-0

Canadiens

+5000

Maple Leafs

+2900

4-1

Canadiens

+2000

Maple Leafs

+1200

4-2

Canadiens

+1900

Maple Leafs

+1400

4-3

Canadiens

+1200

Maple Leafs

+1000

5-0

Canadiens

+10000

Maple Leafs

+5000

5-1

Canadiens

+3500

Maple Leafs

+1800

5-2

Canadiens

+2200

Maple Leafs

+1400

5-3

Canadiens

+2900

Maple Leafs

+2200

5-4

Canadiens

+2400

Maple Leafs

+2000

6-0

Canadiens

+14000

Maple Leafs

+7500

6-1

Canadiens

+9000

Maple Leafs

+4000

6-2

Canadiens

+4500

Maple Leafs

+2400

6-3

Canadiens

+4000

Maple Leafs

+2500

6-4

Canadiens

+6000

Maple Leafs

+4500

6-5

Canadiens

+6000

Maple Leafs

+5000

7-0

Canadiens

+6000

Maple Leafs

+11000

7-1

Canadiens

+14000

Maple Leafs

+7000

7-2

Canadiens

+12000

Maple Leafs

+6000

7-3

Canadiens

+8000

Maple Leafs

+5000

7-4

Canadiens

+9000

Maple Leafs

+6000

7-5

Canadiens

+12500

Maple Leafs

+11000

7-6

Canadiens

+13000

Maple Leafs

+12500

8-1

Canadiens

+13000

Maple Leafs

+11000

8-2

Canadiens

+13000

Maple Leafs

+10000

8-3

Canadiens

+13000

Maple Leafs

+11000

8-4

Canadiens

+14000

Maple Leafs

+11000

8-5

Canadiens

+14000

Maple Leafs

+14000

View More

Montreal Canadiens vs Toronto Maple Leafs Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Leafs Favorites to Win According to the Books

The sportsbooks have Toronto Maple Leafs at -167 when it comes to the Moneyline betting, implying the favorites are 63% likely to win this game according to the latest odds. Montreal Canadiens are the underdogs at +138 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

The puck line is calculated to be 1.5, while total goals comes in at 5.5. A wager on Totals allows bettors to use the latest data to good effect. If you want to back Over 5.5, it’s -139.

Whether you’re wagering pre-game or in-game, the best NHL betting sites offer a huge selection of team props and game lines. With practically endless options, it’s great to have so many alternatives to match your view of the encounter.

Moneyline

Canadiens

+138

Maple Leafs

-167

3-Way Moneyline

Canadiens

+220

Tie

+350

Maple Leafs

-109

Puck Line

Canadiens +1.5

-179

Maple Leafs -1.5

+146

Total Goals

Under 5.5

+112

Over 5.5

-139

Auston Matthews Favorite to Find the Net First

Those interested in Auston Matthews to light the lamp at anytime are able to get +110. There is the chance to back the favorite to score the first goal at odds of +750.

Player Goals

Auston Matthews (Maple Leafs)

First

+110

Anytime

+750

William Nylander (Maple Leafs)

First

+150

Anytime

+1000

John Tavares (Maple Leafs)

First

+210

Anytime

+1300

Cole Caufield (Canadiens)

First

+220

Anytime

+1400

Matthew Knies (Maple Leafs)

First

+230

Anytime

+1400

Nick Suzuki (Canadiens)

First

+280

Anytime

+1700

Ivan Demidov (Canadiens)

First

+290

Anytime

+1700

Juraj Slafkovsky (Canadiens)

First

+290

Anytime

+1700

Bobby McMann (Maple Leafs)

First

+333

Anytime

+2000

Matias Maccelli (Maple Leafs)

First

+340

Anytime

+2000

Brendan Gallagher (Canadiens)

First

+340

Anytime

+2200

Zack Bolduc (Canadiens)

First

+400

Anytime

+2200

Nicholas Robertson (Maple Leafs)

First

+425

Anytime

+2200

Patrik Laine (Canadiens)

First

+450

Anytime

+2500

Max Domi (Maple Leafs)

First

+525

Anytime

+3000

Dakota Joshua (Maple Leafs)

First

+550

Anytime

+3000

Kirby Dach (Canadiens)

First

+550

Anytime

+3000

Noah Dobson (Canadiens)

First

+575

Anytime

+3000

Nicolas Roy (Maple Leafs)

First

+625

Anytime

+3000

Alex Newhook (Canadiens)

First

+625

Anytime

+3500

Oliver Kapanen (Canadiens)

First

+700

Anytime

+4000

Josh Anderson (Canadiens)

First

+750

Anytime

+3500

Calle Jarnkrok (Maple Leafs)

First

+850

Anytime

+4000

Jake Evans (Canadiens)

First

+850

Anytime

+4000

Lane Hutson (Canadiens)

First

+1000

Anytime

+5500

Morgan Rielly (Maple Leafs)

First

+1000

Anytime

+5500

Mike Matheson (Canadiens)

First

+1100

Anytime

+4500

Oliver Ekman-Larsson (Maple Leafs)

First

+1100

Anytime

+5000

Steven Lorentz (Maple Leafs)

First

+1100

Anytime

+5500

Jake McCabe (Maple Leafs)

First

+1700

Anytime

+8000

Player Assists

Nick Suzuki (Canadiens)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-130

Lane Hutson (Canadiens)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-135

Auston Matthews (Maple Leafs)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-141

William Nylander (Maple Leafs)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-145

John Tavares (Maple Leafs)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-200

Matthew Knies (Maple Leafs)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-200

Morgan Rielly (Maple Leafs)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-227

Cole Caufield (Canadiens)

Over 0.5

+195

Under 0.5

-278

Noah Dobson (Canadiens)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-286

Juraj Slafkovsky (Canadiens)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-303

Ivan Demidov (Canadiens)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-323

Mike Matheson (Canadiens)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-345

Matias Maccelli (Maple Leafs)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-400

Max Domi (Maple Leafs)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-370

Oliver Ekman-Larsson (Maple Leafs)

Over 0.5

+275

Under 0.5

-400

Jake McCabe (Maple Leafs)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-400

Patrik Laine (Canadiens)

Over 0.5

+325

Under 0.5

-500

Zack Bolduc (Canadiens)

Over 0.5

+340

Under 0.5

-556

Player Shots

Auston Matthews (Maple Leafs)

Over 3.5

-118

Under 3.5

-115

William Nylander (Maple Leafs)

Over 2.5

-141

Under 2.5

-100

John Tavares (Maple Leafs)

Over 2.5

-110

Under 2.5

-120

Cole Caufield (Canadiens)

Over 2.5

-135

Under 2.5

-100

Nick Suzuki (Canadiens)

Over 2.5

+140

Under 2.5

-200

Matthew Knies (Maple Leafs)

Over 1.5

-200

Under 1.5

+145

Ivan Demidov (Canadiens)

Over 1.5

-149

Under 1.5

+110

Juraj Slafkovsky (Canadiens)

Over 1.5

-161

Under 1.5

+115

Bobby McMann (Maple Leafs)

Over 1.5

-154

Under 1.5

+115

Matias Maccelli (Maple Leafs)

Over 1.5

-200

Under 1.5

+140

Brendan Gallagher (Canadiens)

Over 1.5

-115

Under 1.5

-118

Zack Bolduc (Canadiens)

Over 1.5

-110

Under 1.5

-120

Patrik Laine (Canadiens)

Over 1.5

-130

Under 1.5

-105

Noah Dobson (Canadiens)

Over 1.5

-189

Under 1.5

+135

Morgan Rielly (Maple Leafs)

Over 1.5

-105

Under 1.5

-130

Mike Matheson (Canadiens)

Over 1.5

-115

Under 1.5

-118

Micro Betting

Micro betting provides an interesting rollercoaster ride for NHL bettors. It can be great to enjoy the live lines, with the opportunity to wager on the Next Goal and Next Goalscorer. Watch the live action before deciding which way to go.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Montreal Canadiens Stats

Toronto Maple Leafs Stats

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 2 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 2 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 5.60 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 5.30 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 5.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 5.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.50 goals and allowed 3.10 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 1.80 pts and allowed 3.50 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.00 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 6.00 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 5.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 5.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.40 goals and allowed 3.60 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 3.00 goals and allowed 3.00 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.6
• Shots: 24.9
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 4
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 9.4
• Blocks: 12.7
• Faceoff Wins : 28
• Hits: 28.6
• Giveaways: 14.3
• Takeaways: 3.4

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.3
• Shots: 23.7
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 4.6
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 11.7
• Blocks: 14.9
• Faceoff Wins : 28.9
• Hits: 24.5
• Giveaways: 12.9
• Takeaways: 4

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.3
• Shots: 25.9
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 4.2
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 10.3
• Blocks: 23.4
• Faceoff Wins : 33.3
• Hits: 39.9
• Giveaways: 15.2
• Takeaways: 3.7

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 25.8
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 4.5
• Empty Net Goals: 0
• Penalty Minutes: 10.7
• Blocks: 21
• Faceoff Wins : 30.7
• Hits: 32.1
• Giveaways: 14.5
• Takeaways: 4

Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of face-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.