New York Islanders vs Pittsburgh Penguins Prediction, Picks & Odds | 09 Oct 2025

NHL Betting Preview: Islanders vs Penguins

The New York Islanders battle the Pittsburgh Penguins in this NHL matchup at PPG PAINTS Arena, with face-off scheduled for 19:00 on Thursday, October 9. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and the starting lineups.

We’re Going Over With Our Total Bet

The Islanders and the Penguins should be able to light the lamp several times over and that leads us to back Over 5.5. The -120 looks too good to miss for this selection.

Calling this one an over play? Get the latest BetMGM promo code and read our comprehensive site review ahead of making your move.

7 Wins in Last 10 H2H Clashes for Islanders

New York Islanders were defeated in their previous game. On the road, they suffered a 6-1 loss against Columbus Blue Jackets at Nationwide Arena. Islanders registered 37 shots although just one goal was scored. It was Hudson Fasching who found the net.

Pittsburgh Penguins won their last game 3-0. This was a road victory at Madison Square Garden against New York Rangers. Justin Brazeau recorded two goals and Blake Lizotte scored the other. For the shutout, Arturs Silovs made 25 saves.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Islanders won the last encounter between the pair. Enjoying a 4-2 triumph when facing the Penguins at PPG PAINTS Arena. In the past 10 H2H meetings, the Islanders have won seven.

Starting Goalies

Ilya Sorokin (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	30-24-6	2.7	.907	4
23/24	25-19-12	3.01	.908	2

Arturs Silovs (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	1-0-0	0	1.000	1
23/24	3-0-1	2.47	.881	0

3 wins, 5 losses and 2 overtime losses, averaging 2.6 goals from 31.0 shots on goal, with a 12.5% powerplay efficiency. The Islanders have given up 4.0 goals from 28.4 shots, averaging 2.7 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 74.1%.

Bo Horvat is the top points scorer with 8 points, 4 goals and 4 assists, with Simon Holmstroem recording 7 points, 3 goals and 4 assists, in the past 10 games. Goalie Ilya Sorokin have a 1.96 goal against average with a .933 save percentage, including one shutout.

The Penguins have 6 wins, 3 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 3.2 goals from 30.0 shots on goal, with a 31.0% powerplay efficiency. They have been conceding 2.6 goals from 26.6 shots, averaging 2.9 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 86.2%.

The top points scorer is Sidney Crosby with 12 points, 8 goals and 4 assists, while Bryan Rust is next in line after registering 10 points, 5 goals and 5 assists. Goalie Tristan Jarry have a 2.64 GAA with a .901 SV%, including two shutouts.

New York Islanders vs Pittsburgh Penguins Prediction & Picks

Get ready for New York Islanders vs Pittsburgh Penguins with all the betting angles covered, from an expert match prediction and correct score advice to player props and a custom bet builder.

Game Prediction

We’ve found some value for this NHL encounter as we expect the lamp to be lit at least six times. It means that Overs could be on the cards and that is available at -120.

Our hockey picks are always well-researched, starting with a combination of the latest NHL team news and current form. Once we’ve got a solid read on the matchup, we layer in the key data to back it up.

Key Islanders vs Penguins stats:

• The 5.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Islanders games on the road.
• The 5.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Islanders games on the road.
• The 5.5 line has been covered in 6 of the last 10 Penguins games at home.
• The 5.5 line has been covered in 12 of the last 20 Penguins games at home.

Over 5.5 Probability

According to the top betting sites, there’s a 54.6% chance of our pick landing a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

If you’re confident with your Over pick but want more juice from your wager, then a Bet Builder can offer the chance to add in other selections for a bigger return.

Thinking of betting? Browse our detailed guide for the best current offers, including free bets and the latest bonuses.

Best Bet

Over 5.5 Goals @ -120 Watch Live Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Ville Koivunen Over 0.5 Assists +165

Ville Koivunen (Penguins) has recorded one assist or more in 3 straight games at home. The odds are attractive when it comes to wagering on Player Assists and you can get +165 that he is able to land a return.

Latest Ville Koivunen Player Prop Odds

Goals

Anytime

+320

First

+1900

Assists

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-227

Shots on Goal

Over 1.5

-175

Under 1.5

+130

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Correct Score Prediction

Islanders 2 - 5 Penguins

Our prediction for the correct score is the Penguins to land a 5-2 victory and this is available at +1900. It’s a fun wager to place which lands a bigger potential return.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Islanders

Penguins

1-0

Islanders

+5000

Penguins

+5000

2-0

Islanders

+4000

Penguins

+4500

2-1

Islanders

+1300

Penguins

+1400

3-0

Islanders

+2800

Penguins

+3300

3-1

Islanders

+1700

Penguins

+1900

3-2

Islanders

+800

Penguins

+850

4-0

Islanders

+3400

Penguins

+4000

4-1

Islanders

+1400

Penguins

+1700

4-2

Islanders

+1500

Penguins

+1700

4-3

Islanders

+1050

Penguins

+1100

5-0

Islanders

+6000

Penguins

+8000

5-1

Islanders

+2200

Penguins

+2900

5-2

Islanders

+1600

Penguins

+1900

5-3

Islanders

+2400

Penguins

+2500

5-4

Islanders

+2200

Penguins

+2200

6-0

Islanders

+9000

Penguins

+12000

6-1

Islanders

+5000

Penguins

+7000

6-2

Islanders

+2900

Penguins

+4000

6-3

Islanders

+2900

Penguins

+3500

6-4

Islanders

+5000

Penguins

+5500

6-5

Islanders

+5500

Penguins

+5500

7-1

Islanders

+9000

Penguins

+12000

7-2

Islanders

+7500

Penguins

+10000

7-3

Islanders

+5500

Penguins

+7000

7-4

Islanders

+6600

Penguins

+8000

7-5

Islanders

+11000

Penguins

+12000

7-6

Islanders

+12500

Penguins

+13000

8-4

Islanders

+12000

Penguins

+14000

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New York Islanders vs Pittsburgh Penguins Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Latest Odds Suggest a Close Encounter

The New York Islanders odds have been priced up by the sportsbooks and they are -137 betting favorites to land victory in this game which means a 58% chance of winning. At +114, Pittsburgh Penguins are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

The puck line is 1.5 and the total goals line is currently 5.5. The beauty of Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. If you fancy Over 5.5, this outcome can be backed at -123.

Consider every angle when placing your bets. The best NHL sportsbooks offer a huge selection of game lines and team props and it’s all about finding a wager which matches your prediction of the clash.

Moneyline

Islanders

-137

Penguins

+114

3-Way Moneyline

Islanders

+123

Tie

+325

Penguins

+170

Puck Line

Islanders -1.5

+180

Penguins +1.5

-227

Total Goals

Under 5.5

+102

Over 5.5

-123

Sidney Crosby Favorite to Be First Goalscorer

Sidney Crosby is favorite to be First Goalscorer at +1000. If you want to back him to score the last goal, you can get similar odds.

Player Goals

Sidney Crosby (Penguins)

First

+170

Anytime

+1000

Bo Horvat (Islanders)

First

+195

Anytime

+1300

Rickard Rakell (Penguins)

First

+195

Anytime

+1200

Anders Lee (Islanders)

First

+200

Anytime

+1300

Kyle Palmieri (Islanders)

First

+210

Anytime

+1300

Mathew Barzal (Islanders)

First

+240

Anytime

+1400

Evgeni Malkin (Penguins)

First

+250

Anytime

+1700

Ville Koivunen (Penguins)

First

+320

Anytime

+1900

Anthony Mantha (Penguins)

First

+360

Anytime

+2000

Justin Brazeau (Penguins)

First

+375

Anytime

+2000

Jonathan Gruden (Penguins)

First

+390

Anytime

+2500

Simon Holmstrom (Islanders)

First

+475

Anytime

+2500

Jean-Gabriel Pageau (Islanders)

First

+500

Anytime

+2200

Tommy Novak (Penguins)

First

+525

Anytime

+3000

Erik Karlsson (Penguins)

First

+550

Anytime

+3000

Anthony Duclair (Islanders)

First

+550

Anytime

+2800

Tony DeAngelo (Islanders)

First

+575

Anytime

+3000

Filip Hallander (Penguins)

First

+650

Anytime

+3300

Kris Letang (Penguins)

First

+700

Anytime

+3500

Maxim Tsyplakov (Islanders)

First

+700

Anytime

+3500

Philip Tomasino (Penguins)

First

+700

Anytime

+3500

Ben Kindel (Penguins)

First

+800

Anytime

+4000

Blake Lizotte (Penguins)

First

+1000

Anytime

+4500

Casey Cizikas (Islanders)

First

+1000

Anytime

+4500

Noel Acciari (Penguins)

First

+1100

Anytime

+5000

Ryan Pulock (Islanders)

First

+1100

Anytime

+5000

Alexander Romanov (Islanders)

First

+1300

Anytime

+5000

Harrison Brunicke (Penguins)

First

+1600

Anytime

+6600

Adam Pelech (Islanders)

First

+1700

Anytime

+6600

Ryan Shea (Penguins)

First

+1800

Anytime

+8000

Player Assists

Sidney Crosby (Penguins)

Over 0.5

-141

Under 0.5

+105

Mathew Barzal (Islanders)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-154

Rickard Rakell (Penguins)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-161

Jonathan Gruden (Penguins)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-175

Erik Karlsson (Penguins)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-189

Tony DeAngelo (Islanders)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-208

Kris Letang (Penguins)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-208

Ville Koivunen (Penguins)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-227

Evgeni Malkin (Penguins)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-233

Anders Lee (Islanders)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-294

Kyle Palmieri (Islanders)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-294

Anthony Mantha (Penguins)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-323

Jean-Gabriel Pageau (Islanders)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-345

Simon Holmstrom (Islanders)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-370

Player Shots

Sidney Crosby (Penguins)

Over 2.5

-130

Under 2.5

-105

Rickard Rakell (Penguins)

Over 2.5

-115

Under 2.5

-115

Anders Lee (Islanders)

Over 2.5

+135

Under 2.5

-185

Mathew Barzal (Islanders)

Over 2.5

-105

Under 2.5

-135

Erik Karlsson (Penguins)

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-175

Kyle Palmieri (Islanders)

Over 1.5

-175

Under 1.5

+125

Evgeni Malkin (Penguins)

Over 1.5

-161

Under 1.5

+115

Ville Koivunen (Penguins)

Over 1.5

-175

Under 1.5

+130

Jonathan Gruden (Penguins)

Over 1.5

+120

Under 1.5

-161

Tony DeAngelo (Islanders)

Over 1.5

-185

Under 1.5

+135

Kris Letang (Penguins)

Over 1.5

-189

Under 1.5

+135

Micro Betting

There are lots of exciting NHL micro betting lines that are created and they are available in-game. Among them are next goalscorer, next team to find the net and whether a goal will be scored within the next 10 minutes.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

New York Islanders Stats

Pittsburgh Penguins Stats

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 2 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 2 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 7 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 8 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.70 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 6.80 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 5.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 5.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.60 goals and allowed 4.10 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 2.80 pts and allowed 4.00 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 5.80 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 6.70 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 5.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 5.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.20 goals and allowed 2.60 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 4.00 goals and allowed 2.70 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.4
• Shots: 31
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.2
• Penalties: 2.7
• Empty Net Goals: 0
• Penalty Minutes: 5.7
• Blocks: 16.3
• Faceoff Wins : 32.6
• Hits: 19.9
• Giveaways: 15.6
• Takeaways: 5.6

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 32.3
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 2.2
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 4.4
• Blocks: 15.6
• Faceoff Wins : 31.3
• Hits: 21.3
• Giveaways: 16.3
• Takeaways: 5.5

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.9
• Shots: 30
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 2.9
• Empty Net Goals: 0.4
• Penalty Minutes: 6.1
• Blocks: 10.9
• Faceoff Wins : 29.4
• Hits: 23.1
• Giveaways: 17.6
• Takeaways: 5.1

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.7
• Shots: 27.6
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 2.4
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 5.1
• Blocks: 15.6
• Faceoff Wins : 30.8
• Hits: 22
• Giveaways: 18.9
• Takeaways: 5.3

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Team News

Pittsburgh Penguins Player Stats & Roster

#	Player	GP	MIN	G	A	P	+/-
71	Evgeni Malkin	1	16.5	0	2	2	2
16	Justin Brazeau	1	12.8	2	0	2	2
5	Ryan Shea	1	22.5	0	1	1	2

46	Blake Lizotte	1	13.9	1	0	1	1
19	Connor Dewar	1	14.2	0	1	1	1
39	Anthony Mantha	1	15.7	0	1	1	2
55	Noel Acciari	1	13.7	0	0	0	1
82	Caleb Jones	1	15.6	0	0	0	0
67	Rickard Rakell	1	16	0	0	0	0
87	Sidney Crosby	1	17.8	0	0	0	0
28	Parker Wotherspoon	1	23.3	0	0	0	0
18	Thomas Novak	1	12.1	0	0	0	0
53	Philip Tomasino	1	13.6	0	0	0	0
65	Erik Karlsson	1	20.6	0	0	0	1
58	Kris Letang	1	22.8	0	0	0	3
41	Ville Koivunen	1	14.5	0	0	0	0
45	Harrison Brunicke	1	15.4	0	0	0	0
81	Benjamin Kindel	1	15.2	0	0	0	0

#	Goalies	GP	GAA	SV%
35	Tristan Jarry	-	-	-
37	Arturs Silovs	1	-	1

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Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of face-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.