Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, Bet Builder Tips & Odds | NHL, 20 Apr 2025

Can Leafs Gain the Upper Hand?

WC1 Ottawa Senators (45-30-7, 18-19-4 Away) play East Atlantic winners Toronto Maple Leafs (52-26-4, 27-13-1 at Home) in this Stanley Cup Playoffs first round game at Scotiabank Arena.

There are attractive odds about the Maple Leafs and our prediction is for them to benefit from home-ice advantage and win in 60 minutes. They can get the better of the Senators and you can get +104.

Senators Have Won 7 of Previous 10 H2H Encounters

Ottawa Senators have lost their previous two on the road. Their most recent game was at home at Canadian Tire Centre where they recorded a 7-5 victory over Carolina Hurricanes. Tim Stutzle landed 3 points, featuring 1 goal and 2 assists.

Toronto Maple Leafs last game was a 4-3 (OT) victory over Detroit Red Wings at Scotiabank Arena. That means it’s now been seven home wins on the spin. The goals were shared around between four players including Christopher Tanev.

The last head-to-head saw the Sens claim a 4-2 win over the Leafs at Scotiabank Arena. It’s been five victories on the bounce for the Sens when playing the Leafs. On the head-to-head front, they have won 7 of the past 10.

Starting Goalies

Linus Ullmark (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	19-13-3	2.78	.908	3
23/24	22-10-5	2.57	.915	2

Anthony Stolarz (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	15-8-3	2.4	.917	1
23/24	16-7-1	2.03	.925	2

6 wins, 2 losses and 2 overtime losses, averaging 3.2 goals from 30.0 shots on goal, with a 18.0% powerplay efficiency. The Sens have been giving up 2.6 goals from 29.5 shots, averaging 3.1 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 87.1%.

Thomas Chabot is the top points scorer with 10 points, 3 goals and 7 assists, with Drake Batherson recording 9 points, 5 goals and 4 assists, over the past 10 games. Goalie Anton Forsberg have a 2.57 goal against average with a .918 save percentage, including one shutout.

The Leafs have 9 wins and 1 loss, averaging 3.2 goals from 25.8 shots on goal, with a 6.7% powerplay efficiency. They have conceded 1.5 goals from 30.0 shots, averaging 3.4 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 82.4%.

The top points scorer is Mitchell Marner with 13 points, 5 goals and 8 assists, while Auston Matthews is next in line after having 12 points, 5 goals and 7 assists. Goalie Anthony Stolarz have a 0.99 GAA with a .965 SV%, including three shutouts.

Expert NHL Analysis

Our expert NHL handicappers study the latest form, while injuries can also affect the potential outcome. Before coming up with a verdict, we combine this data with the latest player and goalie stats.

Key Senators vs Maple Leafs stats:

• Maple Leafs have won 5 of their last 5 games.
• Maple Leafs have won 9 of their last 10 games.
• Maple Leafs have won 7 consecutive games at home this season.
• Senators have lost 3 of their last 5 games on the road.
• Senators have lost 15 of their last 26 games on the road this season.
• Senators have lost their last 2 games on the road.

Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction

We think that Toronto Maple Leafs should prove too strong in this NHL clash. Therefore, we’re confidently wagering them to win in 60 minutes and there’s juice in the +104 available.

We regularly consider a Match Winner & Total Goals wager as a way of backing Toronto at bigger odds. You simply need to decide whether to go Over or Under as part of the combo.

Leafs 3-Way Moneyline Probability

The sportsbooks make it a 49% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be 55-60%. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.

Our Pick

Maple Leafs 3-Way Moneyline @ +104 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Drake Batherson Over 1.5 Shots -200

Drake Batherson (Senators) has fired Over 1.5 shots on goal in 5 straight games. If you agree with our verdict that he can cover the line again, then you can land odds of -200 that this happens.

Latest Drake Batherson Player Prop Odds

Goals

Anytime

+230

First

+1200

Shots on Goal

Over 1.5

-200

Under 1.5

+150

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Correct Score Prediction

Senators 1 - 4 Maple Leafs

Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Leafs Could Have the Edge Say the Books

The Toronto Maple Leafs odds have been priced up by the sportsbooks and they are -169 betting favorites to land victory in this game which means a 63% chance of winning. Ottawa Senators are the underdogs at +140 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

The puck line is 1.5 and total goals is 5.5. Having a bet on Totals is one of the most popular NHL wagers. If you want to wager Over 5.5, there are odds of -112.

There are a wide range of team props and game lines when it comes to wagering on the National Hockey League and we recommend visiting the leading betting sites to find the wager that matches your view on the clash.

Moneyline

Senators

+140

Maple Leafs

-169

3-Way Moneyline

Senators

+235

Tie

+310

Maple Leafs

-105

Puck Line

Senators +1.5

-192

Maple Leafs -1.5

+152

Total Goals

Under 5.5

-108

Over 5.5

-112

Auston Matthews Favorite to Score the First Goal

Auston Matthews is the market leader at +650 to be the First Goalscorer. Should you think he will score the last goal, then a similar price can be found.

Player Goals

Auston Matthews (Maple Leafs)

First

+104

Anytime

+650

William Nylander (Maple Leafs)

First

+150

Anytime

+850

Brady Tkachuk (Senators)

First

+200

Anytime

+1100

Mitchell Marner (Maple Leafs)

First

+205

Anytime

+1100

John Tavares (Maple Leafs)

First

+215

Anytime

+1150

Matthew Knies (Maple Leafs)

First

+225

Anytime

+1200

Drake Batherson (Senators)

First

+230

Anytime

+1200

Tim Stützle (Senators)

First

+255

Anytime

+1300

Dylan Cozens (Senators)

First

+300

Anytime

+1500

Bobby McMann (Maple Leafs)

First

+340

Anytime

+1600

Ridly Greig (Senators)

First

+380

Anytime

+1800

Claude Giroux (Senators)

First

+380

Anytime

+1800

Max Domi (Maple Leafs)

First

+400

Anytime

+1900

Scott Laughton (Maple Leafs)

First

+410

Anytime

+1900

Shane Pinto (Senators)

First

+410

Anytime

+1900

David Perron (Senators)

First

+410

Anytime

+1900

Nicholas Robertson (Maple Leafs)

First

+440

Anytime

+2000

Calle Järnkrok (Maple Leafs)

First

+450

Anytime

+2000

Jake Sanderson (Senators)

First

+475

Anytime

+2200

Alexander Steeves (Maple Leafs)

First

+480

Anytime

+2200

Pontus Holmberg (Maple Leafs)

First

+480

Anytime

+2200

Fabian Zetterlund (Senators)

First

+500

Anytime

+2200

Adam Gaudette (Senators)

First

+500

Anytime

+2200

Michael Amadio (Senators)

First

+510

Anytime

+2200

Player Shots

Auston Matthews (Maple Leafs)

Over 3.5

-114

Under 3.5

-114

Brady Tkachuk (Senators)

Over 3.5

-125

Under 3.5

-105

William Nylander (Maple Leafs)

Over 2.5

-143

Under 2.5

+110

Mitchell Marner (Maple Leafs)

Over 2.5

+150

Under 2.5

-200

John Tavares (Maple Leafs)

Over 2.5

+120

Under 2.5

-156

Jake Sanderson (Senators)

Over 2.5

+140

Under 2.5

-185

Matthew Knies (Maple Leafs)

Over 1.5

-175

Under 1.5

+135

Drake Batherson (Senators)

Over 1.5

-200

Under 1.5

+150

Tim Stützle (Senators)

Over 1.5

-156

Under 1.5

+120

Dylan Cozens (Senators)

Over 1.5

-185

Under 1.5

+140

Bobby McMann (Maple Leafs)

Over 1.5

-156

Under 1.5

+120

Claude Giroux (Senators)

Over 1.5

-110

Under 1.5

-118

Micro Betting

Micro betting is something that’s really popular with bettors, with NHL fans essentially being able to bet in-game when it comes to team and player props. Sometimes these are lines where you can wager on Shots or Goals.

Last 5 & H2H

Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

NHL Standings

Division Conference League

Metropolitan	GP	W	L	OT	PTS	P%	RW	ROW	GF	GA	DIFF	Home	Road	S/O	L10	Strk
1 Carolina	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
1 Columbus	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
1 New Jersey	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
1 NY Islanders	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
1 NY Rangers	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
1 Philadelphia	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
1 Pittsburgh	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
1 Washington	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-

East Atlantic	GP	W	L	OT	PTS	P%	RW	ROW	GF	GA	DIFF	Home	Road	S/O	L10	Strk
1 Boston	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
1 Buffalo	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
1 Detroit	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
1 Florida	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
1 Montreal	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
1 Ottawa	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
1 Tampa Bay	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
1 Toronto	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-

East Central	GP	W	L	OT	PTS	P%	RW	ROW	GF	GA	DIFF	Home	Road	S/O	L10	Strk
1 Chicago	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
1 Colorado	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
1 Dallas	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
1 Minnesota	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
1 Nashville	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
1 St Louis	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
1 Utah	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
1 Winnipeg	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-

West Pacific	GP	W	L	OT	PTS	P%	RW	ROW	GF	GA	DIFF	Home	Road	S/O	L10	Strk
1 Anaheim	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
1 Calgary	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
1 Edmonton	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
1 LA Kings	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
1 San Jose	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
1 Seattle	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
1 Vancouver	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
1 Vegas	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-

Eastern	GP	W	L	OT	PTS	P%	RW	ROW	GF	GA	DIFF	Home	Road	S/O	L10	Strk
1 Boston	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
1 Buffalo	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
1 Detroit	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
1 Florida	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
1 Montreal	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
1 Ottawa	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
1 Tampa Bay	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
1 Toronto	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
1 Carolina	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
1 Columbus	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
1 New Jersey	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
1 NY Islanders	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
1 NY Rangers	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
1 Philadelphia	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
1 Pittsburgh	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
1 Washington	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-

Western	GP	W	L	OT	PTS	P%	RW	ROW	GF	GA	DIFF	Home	Road	S/O	L10	Strk
1 Chicago	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
1 Colorado	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
1 Dallas	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
1 Minnesota	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
1 Nashville	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
1 St Louis	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
1 Utah	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
1 Winnipeg	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
1 Anaheim	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
1 Calgary	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
1 Edmonton	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
1 LA Kings	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
1 San Jose	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
1 Seattle	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
1 Vancouver	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
1 Vegas	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-

	GP	W	L	OT	PTS	P%	RW	ROW	GF	GA	DIFF	Home	Road	S/O	L10	Strk
1 Anaheim	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
2 Boston	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
3 Buffalo	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
4 Calgary	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
5 Carolina	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
6 Chicago	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
7 Colorado	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
8 Columbus	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
9 Dallas	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
10 Detroit	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
11 Edmonton	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
12 Florida	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
13 LA Kings	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
14 Minnesota	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
15 Montreal	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
16 Nashville	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
17 New Jersey	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
18 NY Islanders	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
19 NY Rangers	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
20 Ottawa	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
21 Philadelphia	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
22 Pittsburgh	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
23 San Jose	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
24 Seattle	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
25 St Louis	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
26 Tampa Bay	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
27 Toronto	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
28 Utah	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
29 Vancouver	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
30 Vegas	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
31 Washington	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-
32 Winnipeg	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	0	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0	-	-

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