Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction, Picks & Odds | 27 Dec 2025

NHL Betting Preview: Senators vs Maple Leafs

The Ottawa Senators go up against the Toronto Maple Leafs at Scotiabank Arena, with face-off scheduled for 19:00 on Saturday, December 27.

For a value wager, head to the Moneyline where you can back the Senators to get the better of the Maple Leafs. Our betting prediction is currently available at a generous -114.

Ottawa Senators have won in back-to-back road outings. In their previous game, they were turned over 3-2 (OT) at home to Buffalo Sabres at Canadian Tire Centre. Tim Stutzle and Ridly Greig scored one goal each.

Toronto Maple Leafs were winners last time out. Their 6-3 victory against Pittsburgh Penguins at Scotiabank Arena made it back-to-back home wins. William Nylander recorded 4 points, including 2 goals and 2 assists.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Leafs won the most recent encounter between these teams. A 4-2 victory was registered against the Sens at Canadian Tire Centre. The past 10 games between the teams have seen the Sens win six times.

Starting Goalies

Linus Ullmark (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	28-12-8	2.7	.891	3
23/24	22-10-5	2.57	.915	2

Joseph Woll (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	15-16-7	3.4	.898	2
23/24	12-11-1	2.93	.907	0

5 wins, 4 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 3.5 goals from 32.3 shots on goal, with a 26.4% powerplay efficiency. The Sens have been giving up 2.7 goals from 25.0 shots, averaging 3.9 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 89.7%.

Tim Stutzle is the top points scorer with 15 points, 7 goals and 8 assists, with Drake Batherson racking up 14 points, 5 goals and 9 assists, in the last 10 games. Goalie Linus Ullmark have a 2.30 goal against average with a .908 save percentage, including one shutout.

The Leafs have 4 wins, 4 losses and 2 overtime losses, averaging 2.6 goals from 26.0 shots on goal, with a 6.5% powerplay efficiency. They have conceded 3.0 goals from 30.7 shots, averaging 2.7 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 92.6%.

The top points scorer is William Nylander with 8 points, 2 goals and 6 assists, while Auston Matthews is next best after registering 5 points, 4 goals and 1 assist. Goalie Dennis Hildeby have a 2.71 GAA with a .909 SV%, including one shutout.

Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction & Picks

Get set for Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs with our full betting breakdown, complete with an expert match prediction, a likely final score, top player prop picks and a value-driven bet builder.

Game Prediction

Ottawa Senators look excellent value on the Moneyline and our pick is that the road team will claim a victory in this NHL encounter. We’re happy to take the -114 that they win.

The NHL experts at Sportsgambler.com start by analyzing recent form and staying on top of injury news before making any hockey predictions. From there, we interpret the story the stats are telling to help shape our picks.

Key Senators vs Maple Leafs stats:

• Senators have won 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
• Senators have won 6 of their last 10 games on the road.
• Senators have won 2 consecutive games on the road.
• Maple Leafs have lost 6 of their last 10 games.
• Maple Leafs have lost 12 of their last 20 games.
• Maple Leafs have lost 6 of their last 10 games against Senators.

Sens Moneyline Probability

When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 53.2% chance of landing a return. However, our cappers have this number closer to 60% based on their in-depth research. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.

We regularly consider a Match Winner & Total Goals wager as a way of backing Ottawa at bigger odds. You simply need to decide whether to go Under or Over as part of the combo.

Explore the latest free bet promotions and welcome bonuses in our expert betting guide, updated with the best offers.

Our Game Prediction

Senators Moneyline @ -114 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Dec 26, 23:57). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: John Tavares Under 2.5 Shots -161

John Tavares (Maple Leafs) has totaled Under 2.5 shots on goal in 8 of the past 10 games. We’re expecting the same thing to happen here, with this Shots on Goal bet available at -161.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Senators 4 - 1 Maple Leafs

There’s plenty of juice to be found by backing the Senators to win 4-1. We can’t pass up the odds of +1500 when it comes to correct score betting and it’s a fun wager.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Senators

Maple Leafs

1-0

Senators

+5000

Maple Leafs

+5500

2-0

Senators

+4500

Maple Leafs

+5000

2-1

Senators

+1400

Maple Leafs

+1500

3-0

Senators

+3000

Maple Leafs

+3500

3-1

Senators

+1800

Maple Leafs

+2000

3-2

Senators

+800

Maple Leafs

+900

4-0

Senators

+4000

Maple Leafs

+4500

4-1

Senators

+1500

Maple Leafs

+1800

4-2

Senators

+1500

Maple Leafs

+1700

4-3

Senators

+1000

Maple Leafs

+1050

5-0

Senators

+6600

Maple Leafs

+8000

5-1

Senators

+2400

Maple Leafs

+3000

5-2

Senators

+1600

Maple Leafs

+1900

5-3

Senators

+2200

Maple Leafs

+2500

5-4

Senators

+1900

Maple Leafs

+2000

6-0

Senators

+10000

Maple Leafs

+12500

6-1

Senators

+5000

Maple Leafs

+7000

6-2

Senators

+2900

Maple Leafs

+4000

6-3

Senators

+2800

Maple Leafs

+3300

6-4

Senators

+4500

Maple Leafs

+5000

6-5

Senators

+4500

Maple Leafs

+5000

7-1

Senators

+9000

Maple Leafs

+12000

7-2

Senators

+7000

Maple Leafs

+10000

7-3

Senators

+5500

Maple Leafs

+6600

7-4

Senators

+6000

Maple Leafs

+7000

7-5

Senators

+10000

Maple Leafs

+11000

7-6

Senators

+11000

Maple Leafs

+12000

8-2

Senators

+12000

Maple Leafs

+14000

8-3

Senators

+12500

Maple Leafs

+15000

8-4

Senators

+11000

Maple Leafs

+13000

8-5

Senators

+13000

Maple Leafs

+14000

View More

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The latest Moneyline odds are +110 that Toronto Maple Leafs win, while Ottawa Senators have been chalked up at -132. The sportsbooks give the home team a 48% chance of winning this game.

The puck line is calculated to be 1.5, while total goals comes in at 6.5. The beauty of Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. The Over 6.5 selection is available to back at +110.

You can find a huge selection of team props and game lines for every National Hockey League matchup, with the top betting apps creating many different options. Check out the in-game and pre-game selections before placing your wagers.

Moneyline

Senators

-132

Maple Leafs

+110

3-Way Moneyline

Senators

+123

Tie

+320

Maple Leafs

+175

Puck Line

Senators -1.5

+184

Maple Leafs +1.5

-233

Total Goals

Under 6.5

-133

Over 6.5

+110

Player prop bets don’t involve betting on a team to win and instead might look at a player’s individual performance. For example, the number of Goals they might score or the number of Shots they might have.

It’s possible to use stats to your advantage when it comes to NHL micro betting, especially if you’re predicting outcomes such as the Next Goal and Next Goalscorer. Check out the live team and player props and see if you can find an angle.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Ottawa Senators Stats

Toronto Maple Leafs Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 4 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 2 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 4 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 5.60 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 7.30 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 5.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 5.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.30 goals and allowed 2.30 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 3.40 pts and allowed 3.90 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.50 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 7.40 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 5.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 5.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.60 goals and allowed 3.90 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 3.80 goals and allowed 3.60 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 28.5
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3.1
• Empty Net Goals: 0.4
• Penalty Minutes: 7.5
• Blocks: 12.5
• Faceoff Wins : 30.2
• Hits: 24.2
• Giveaways: 14
• Takeaways: 6.2

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 27.9
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 3.9
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 10.2
• Blocks: 11.3
• Faceoff Wins : 27.8
• Hits: 21.7
• Giveaways: 13.6
• Takeaways: 4.8

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.6
• Shots: 29.3
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 2.3
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 4.9
• Blocks: 13.4
• Faceoff Wins : 29.5
• Hits: 20.6
• Giveaways: 15.3
• Takeaways: 5.1

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.8
• Shots: 27.8
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 6.9
• Blocks: 11.7
• Faceoff Wins : 30.6
• Hits: 23.5
• Giveaways: 14
• Takeaways: 4.5

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

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