Philadelphia Flyers vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, Picks & Odds | 24 Nov 2025

NHL Betting Preview: Flyers vs Lightning

The Philadelphia Flyers clash with the Tampa Bay Lightning at Benchmark International Arena, with face-off scheduled for 19:00 on Monday, November 24.

We can’t resist going for the Lightning on the 3-Way Moneyline. Our prediction is a confident one and there is -103 available that the home team beat the Flyers in 60 minutes.

Philadelphia Flyers have won their previous two games. The latest was a 6-3 home triumph at Xfinity Mobile Arena against New Jersey Devils. Noah Cates racked up 3 points, featuring 1 goal and 2 assists.

Tampa Bay Lightning won their last game 5-3, making it three on the bounce. This was a road victory at Capital One Arena against Washington Capitals. Brandon Hagel scored twice, with Nikita Kucherov, Anthony Cirelli and Oliver Bjorkstrand scoring one goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

These two teams last met at Benchmark International Arena, with the Lightning claiming the win. Beating the Flyers by a 2-0 scoreline. The previous 10 games featuring these teams have resulted in six Lightning victories.

Starting Goalies

Samuel Ersson (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	13-10-5	3.1	.870	0
23/24	23-19-7	2.82	.890	4

Andrei Vasilevskiy (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	35-13-4	2.3	.911	2
23/24	30-20-2	2.9	.900	2

5 wins, 3 losses and 2 overtime losses, averaging 2.8 goals from 27.1 shots on goal, with a 11.1% powerplay efficiency. The Flyers have given up 3.2 goals from 24.6 shots, averaging 3.2 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 84.4%.

Travis Konecny is the top points scorer with 11 points, 2 goals and 9 assists, with Christian Dvorak racking up 9 points, 4 goals and 5 assists, over the past 10 games. Goalie Daniel Vladar have a 3.07 goal against average with a .887 save percentage.

The Lightning have 7 wins and 3 losses, averaging 3.5 goals from 26.3 shots on goal, with a 12.2% powerplay efficiency. They have been conceding 2.9 goals from 27.3 shots, averaging 5.0 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 90.0%.

The top points scorer is Jake Guentzel with 12 points, 8 goals and 4 assists, while Nikita Kucherov is next in line after having 12 points, 6 goals and 6 assists. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy have a 2.26 GAA with a .920 SV%.

Philadelphia Flyers vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction & Picks

We cover the essential Philadelphia Flyers vs Tampa Bay Lightning betting angles, featuring our main match prediction, correct score pick, top player prop plays and a carefully crafted bet builder.

Game Prediction

For this NHL clash, our pick is Tampa Bay Lightning to win in regulation time against inferior opposition and we think that the -103 represents an attractive bet on the 60-minute line.

The NHL experts at Sportsgambler.com start by analyzing recent form and staying on top of injury news before making any hockey predictions. From there, we interpret the story the stats are telling to help shape our picks.

Key Flyers vs Lightning stats:

• Lightning have won 4 of their last 5 games.
• Lightning have won 7 of their last 10 games.
• Lightning have won 3 consecutive games.
• Flyers have lost 15 of their last 20 games on the road.
• Flyers have lost 6 of their last 10 games on the road.
• Lightning have won 6 of their last 10 games against Flyers.

Lightning 3-Way Moneyline Probability

When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 50.8% chance of landing a return. Based on our analysts in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

There’s always the opportunity to get bigger win odds for Tampa Bay by combining this with the number of goals that are scored. Match Winner & Total Goals is a popular betting option.

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Our Game Prediction

Lightning 3-Way Moneyline @ -103 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Nov 23, 23:56). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jake Guentzel To Score +175

Jake Guentzel (Lightning) has scored in 5 straight home games. We’re happy to take the +175 for this Anytime Goalscorer bet as there’s value in the odds that he finds the net at least once.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Flyers 3 - 5 Lightning

There are odds of +2200 available that the Lightning land a 5-3 win. We like the correct score option as there’s a nice reward if you can accurately predict the outcome.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Flyers

Lightning

1-0

Flyers

+5000

Lightning

+4500

2-0

Flyers

+5000

Lightning

+4000

2-1

Flyers

+1500

Lightning

+1200

3-0

Flyers

+4000

Lightning

+2400

3-1

Flyers

+2200

Lightning

+1500

3-2

Flyers

+950

Lightning

+750

4-0

Flyers

+5500

Lightning

+2900

4-1

Flyers

+2200

Lightning

+1200

4-2

Flyers

+1900

Lightning

+1300

4-3

Flyers

+1200

Lightning

+1000

5-0

Flyers

+11000

Lightning

+5000

5-1

Flyers

+4000

Lightning

+1900

5-2

Flyers

+2400

Lightning

+1400

5-3

Flyers

+3000

Lightning

+2200

5-4

Flyers

+2400

Lightning

+2000

6-0

Flyers

+2400

Lightning

+7500

6-1

Flyers

+10000

Lightning

+4000

6-2

Flyers

+5000

Lightning

+2500

6-3

Flyers

+4000

Lightning

+2500

6-4

Flyers

+6000

Lightning

+4500

6-5

Flyers

+6000

Lightning

+5000

7-0

Flyers

+6000

Lightning

+12000

7-1

Flyers

+6000

Lightning

+7000

7-2

Flyers

+13000

Lightning

+6000

7-3

Flyers

+9000

Lightning

+5000

7-4

Flyers

+9000

Lightning

+6000

7-5

Flyers

+13000

Lightning

+11000

7-6

Flyers

+13000

Lightning

+12500

8-1

Flyers

+13000

Lightning

+12000

8-2

Flyers

+13000

Lightning

+11000

8-3

Flyers

+13000

Lightning

+12000

8-4

Flyers

+13000

Lightning

+11000

8-5

Flyers

+13000

Lightning

+14000

View More

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Philadelphia Flyers vs Tampa Bay Lightning Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Tampa Bay Lightning have the shortest price to win this game, with the sportsbooks giving them a 64% probability due to their -179 Moneyline betting odds. Philadelphia Flyers are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +146.

The puck line is 1.5, with the total goals line at 5.5. The Totals offers hockey bettors an alternative way of getting involved. If you’re wanting to back Over 5.5, the odds are -123.

The good news is that you can access hundreds of team props and game lines for every National Hockey League matchup. The best sportsbooks have a huge range of pre-game and in-game betting options.

Moneyline

Flyers

+146

Lightning

-179

3-Way Moneyline

Flyers

+240

Tie

+325

Lightning

-110

Puck Line

Flyers +1.5

-175

Lightning -1.5

+142

Total Goals

Under 5.5

+102

Over 5.5

-123

We enjoy player props as an alternative to betting on the game result. The gambling sites will have Goalscorers, Assists, Points, Powerplay Points and Shots on Goal among the choices and you can take a particular view.

For those looking to enjoy a thrilling in-game wager, then NHL micro betting could be up your street. You are now able to bet on the Next Goal, Next Goalscorer and what will happen within the next 10 minutes.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Philadelphia Flyers Stats

Tampa Bay Lightning Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 8 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 9 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 5 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 1 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.20 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 7.20 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 5.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 5.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.00 goals and allowed 3.20 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 3.50 pts and allowed 3.70 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.40 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 5.80 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 5.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 5.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.50 goals and allowed 2.90 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 2.80 goals and allowed 3.00 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.4
• Shots: 27.1
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3.2
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 6.7
• Blocks: 13.5
• Faceoff Wins : 24.5
• Hits: 22.9
• Giveaways: 15.6
• Takeaways: 4.8

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.4
• Shots: 27.3
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 3.9
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 8.9
• Blocks: 14.2
• Faceoff Wins : 27.9
• Hits: 22.9
• Giveaways: 16.2
• Takeaways: 4.8

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.6
• Shots: 26.3
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.2
• Penalties: 5
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 14.1
• Blocks: 12.6
• Faceoff Wins : 25.9
• Hits: 19.8
• Giveaways: 14.1
• Takeaways: 3.9

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 29.2
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 4.3
• Empty Net Goals: 0
• Penalty Minutes: 11.9
• Blocks: 15
• Faceoff Wins : 26.8
• Hits: 21
• Giveaways: 15.3
• Takeaways: 3.6

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

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