Pittsburgh Penguins vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, Picks & Odds | 02 Apr 2026

NHL Betting Preview: Penguins vs Lightning

The Pittsburgh Penguins clash with the Tampa Bay Lightning at Benchmark International Arena, with face-off scheduled for 19:00 on Thursday, April 2.

There’s an attractive -108 that the Lightning are able to beat the Penguins in regulation time. This wager can be secured on the 3-Way Moneyline and we’re confident that it can happen.

Pittsburgh Penguins claimed a home victory in their previous game. A 5-1 triumph against Detroit Red Wings at PPG PAINTS Arena made it back-to-back wins. Yegor Chinakhov was one of five different players on the scoresheet. Goalie Stuart Skinner had an awesome game, keeping out 22 shots (.957).

Tampa Bay Lightning were beaten 4-1 at Benchmark International Arena in their last game, being turned over at home to Montreal Canadiens. Lightning had 37 shots but despite this only managed to score one goal. Jake Guentzel was the goalscorer.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was the Lightning who came out on top when they last played the Penguins. At PPG PAINTS Arena, a 2-1 win was recorded. There has been five wins apiece in the past 10 H2H meetings.

Starting Goalies

Stuart Skinner (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	22-15-9	2.9	.889	2
23/24	36-16-5	2.62	.905	2

Andrei Vasilevskiy (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	35-13-4	2.3	.911	2
23/24	30-20-2	2.9	.900	2

6 wins, 3 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 4.2 goals from 27.7 shots on goal, with a 15.0% powerplay efficiency. The Penguins have been giving up 3.9 goals from 28.2 shots, averaging 3.8 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 71.1%.

Erik Karlsson is the top points scorer with 16 points, 7 goals and 9 assists, with Rickard Rakell racking up 13 points, 7 goals and 6 assists, in the past 10 games. Goalie Stuart Skinner have a 3.45 goal against average with a .879 save percentage.

The Lightning have 6 wins, 2 losses and 2 overtime losses, averaging 3.9 goals from 28.9 shots on goal, with a 11.1% powerplay efficiency. They have been conceding 2.9 goals from 25.6 shots, averaging 5.1 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 94.1%.

The top points scorer is Nikita Kucherov with 15 points, 6 goals and 9 assists, while Brandon Hagel is next best after having 14 points, 5 goals and 9 assists. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy have a 2.14 GAA with a .911 SV%, including one shutout.

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction & Picks

Your complete Pittsburgh Penguins vs Tampa Bay Lightning betting guide is here, including our go-to match prediction, scoreline call, standout prop selections and a customized bet builder.

Game Prediction

The road team look opposable on the 60-minute line, so we’re going to make Tampa Bay Lightning our pick for this NHL encounter. You can currently get -108 for this selection which looks value.

Injuries can influence the outcome and our NHL handicappers factor that in alongside the latest form guide. We apply the same approach to the stats to build the clearest picture of how the game might unfold.

Key Penguins vs Lightning stats:

• Lightning have won 15 of their last 20 games at home.
• Lightning have won 6 of their last 10 games.

Lightning 3-Way Moneyline Probability

The best betting sites are estimating that there is a 51.8% likelihood of this pick winning. However, our research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this hockey bet.

There are some value betting options beyond simply backing Tampa Bay to win, with Match Winner & Total Goals, Puck Line and Winning Margin viable alternatives to get more juice.

Maximize your first bet with the latest betting promotions. Our guide covers all the top welcome bonuses out there.

Our Game Prediction

Lightning 3-Way Moneyline @ -108 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 1, 23:56). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jake Guentzel To Score +130

Jake Guentzel (Lightning) has scored at least one goal in 5 straight games. There are odds of +130 available for this Anytime Goalscorer wager and we think this is a value proposition for the player to find the net.

Latest Jake Guentzel Player Prop Odds

Goals

Anytime

+130

First

+900

Assists

Over 0.5

-110

Under 0.5

-118

Shots on Goal

Over 2.5

-125

Under 2.5

-105

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Penguins 3 - 6 Lightning

An exciting bet could be a 6-3 victory in favor of the Lightning at odds of +2500. A correct score wager provides a fun alternative and a nice potential return on the cards.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Penguins

Lightning

1-0

Penguins

+5500

Lightning

+5000

2-0

Penguins

+5500

Lightning

+4000

2-1

Penguins

+1600

Lightning

+1400

3-0

Penguins

+4000

Lightning

+2500

3-1

Penguins

+2200

Lightning

+1600

3-2

Penguins

+950

Lightning

+800

4-0

Penguins

+5500

Lightning

+3000

4-1

Penguins

+2200

Lightning

+1300

4-2

Penguins

+1900

Lightning

+1300

4-3

Penguins

+1150

Lightning

+950

5-0

Penguins

+10000

Lightning

+5000

5-1

Penguins

+4000

Lightning

+1900

5-2

Penguins

+2200

Lightning

+1400

5-3

Penguins

+2800

Lightning

+2000

5-4

Penguins

+2200

Lightning

+1900

6-0

Penguins

+2200

Lightning

+7500

6-1

Penguins

+9000

Lightning

+4000

6-2

Penguins

+4500

Lightning

+2400

6-3

Penguins

+4000

Lightning

+2500

6-4

Penguins

+5500

Lightning

+4500

6-5

Penguins

+5500

Lightning

+4500

7-0

Penguins

+5500

Lightning

+11000

7-1

Penguins

+14000

Lightning

+7000

7-2

Penguins

+12000

Lightning

+6000

7-3

Penguins

+8000

Lightning

+4500

7-4

Penguins

+8000

Lightning

+5500

7-5

Penguins

+12000

Lightning

+10000

7-6

Penguins

+12500

Lightning

+11000

8-1

Penguins

+12500

Lightning

+11000

8-2

Penguins

+12500

Lightning

+10000

8-3

Penguins

+12500

Lightning

+11000

8-4

Penguins

+13000

Lightning

+10000

8-5

Penguins

+14000

Lightning

+13000

View More

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Tampa Bay Lightning Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Tampa Bay Lightning are regarded as having a 64% chance of winning this game according to the latest betting odds. The sportsbooks have priced them up at -175. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +146 about Pittsburgh Penguins.

The puck line stands at 1.5 and the total goals line is 6.5. The beauty of Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. There’s an opportunity to bet Over 6.5 at -112.

From team props to game lines, National Hockey League wagering comes with no shortage of options. Head to the best betting apps to discover the market that fits your read on the game.

Moneyline

Penguins

+146

Lightning

-175

3-Way Moneyline

Penguins

+230

Tie

+330

Lightning

-108

Puck Line

Penguins +1.5

-169

Lightning -1.5

+138

Total Goals

Under 6.5

-108

Over 6.5

-112

There is +115 available that Nikita Kucherov finds the net at anytime. If you’re interested in the favorite to score the first goal, then you are able to secure +850.

Player Goals

Nikita Kucherov (Lightning)

First

+115

Anytime

+850

Jake Guentzel (Lightning)

First

+130

Anytime

+900

Brayden Point (Lightning)

First

+195

Anytime

+1300

Sidney Crosby (Penguins)

First

+200

Anytime

+1500

Rickard Rakell (Penguins)

First

+220

Anytime

+1500

Yegor Chinakhov (Penguins)

First

+250

Anytime

+1600

Anthony Cirelli (Lightning)

First

+260

Anytime

+1700

Anthony Mantha (Penguins)

First

+275

Anytime

+1800

Evgeni Malkin (Penguins)

First

+290

Anytime

+1800

Corey Perry (Lightning)

First

+290

Anytime

+1900

Gage Goncalves (Lightning)

First

+320

Anytime

+1900

Oliver Bjorkstrand (Lightning)

First

+350

Anytime

+2200

Ben Kindel (Penguins)

First

+375

Anytime

+2500

Nicholas Paul (Lightning)

First

+375

Anytime

+2500

Darren Raddysh (Lightning)

First

+425

Anytime

+2500

Erik Karlsson (Penguins)

First

+425

Anytime

+2500

Tommy Novak (Penguins)

First

+450

Anytime

+2500

Justin Brazeau (Penguins)

First

+450

Anytime

+3000

Yanni Gourde (Lightning)

First

+475

Anytime

+3000

Avery Hayes (Penguins)

First

+525

Anytime

+3300

Zemgus Girgensons (Lightning)

First

+575

Anytime

+3300

Pontus Holmberg (Lightning)

First

+575

Anytime

+3500

Connor Dewar (Penguins)

First

+900

Anytime

+4500

Charle-Edouard D'Astous (Lightning)

First

+950

Anytime

+5500

Kris Letang (Penguins)

First

+1000

Anytime

+5500

Noel Acciari (Penguins)

First

+1000

Anytime

+5500

Elmer Soderblom (Penguins)

First

+1100

Anytime

+5500

Ryan McDonagh (Lightning)

First

+1100

Anytime

+5500

J.J. Moser (Lightning)

First

+1100

Anytime

+6600

Samuel Girard (Penguins)

First

+1200

Anytime

+8000

Player Assists

Darren Raddysh (Lightning)

Over 0.5

-115

Under 0.5

-115

Jake Guentzel (Lightning)

Over 0.5

-110

Under 0.5

-118

Sidney Crosby (Penguins)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-145

Brayden Point (Lightning)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-149

Erik Karlsson (Penguins)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-149

Evgeni Malkin (Penguins)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-164

Rickard Rakell (Penguins)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-189

Anthony Cirelli (Lightning)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-208

Nikita Kucherov (Lightning)

Over 1.5

+170

Under 1.5

-233

Anthony Mantha (Penguins)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-286

Gage Goncalves (Lightning)

Over 0.5

+225

Under 0.5

-323

Yegor Chinakhov (Penguins)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-323

Kris Letang (Penguins)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-370

Corey Perry (Lightning)

Over 0.5

+275

Under 0.5

-400

Player Shots

Nikita Kucherov (Lightning)

Over 3.5

-110

Under 3.5

-125

Jake Guentzel (Lightning)

Over 2.5

-125

Under 2.5

-105

Brayden Point (Lightning)

Over 2.5

+110

Under 2.5

-149

Sidney Crosby (Penguins)

Over 2.5

+110

Under 2.5

-154

Rickard Rakell (Penguins)

Over 2.5

+115

Under 2.5

-161

Yegor Chinakhov (Penguins)

Over 2.5

+110

Under 2.5

-154

Evgeni Malkin (Penguins)

Over 2.5

+135

Under 2.5

-189

Darren Raddysh (Lightning)

Over 2.5

-164

Under 2.5

+120

Erik Karlsson (Penguins)

Over 2.5

-100

Under 2.5

-135

Anthony Cirelli (Lightning)

Over 1.5

-130

Under 1.5

-105

Anthony Mantha (Penguins)

Over 1.5

-154

Under 1.5

+115

Corey Perry (Lightning)

Over 1.5

+140

Under 1.5

-189

Gage Goncalves (Lightning)

Over 1.5

-100

Under 1.5

-141

Ben Kindel (Penguins)

Over 1.5

-145

Under 1.5

+105

It’s possible to use stats to your advantage when it comes to NHL micro betting, especially if you’re predicting outcomes such as the Next Goal and Next Goalscorer. Check out the live team and player props and see if you can find an angle.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Pittsburgh Penguins Stats

Tampa Bay Lightning Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 7 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 9 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 5 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 4 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 8.30 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 7.70 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 6.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 on the Road: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 4.40 goals and allowed 3.90 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 4.20 pts and allowed 3.50 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.80 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 6.40 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 6.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.90 goals and allowed 2.90 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 3.10 goals and allowed 3.30 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.6
• Shots: 27.7
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 3.8
• Empty Net Goals: 0
• Penalty Minutes: 8.5
• Blocks: 13.8
• Faceoff Wins : 26
• Hits: 20.6
• Giveaways: 16.5
• Takeaways: 4.8

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.7
• Shots: 30.5
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.2
• Penalties: 4
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 8.9
• Blocks: 12.2
• Faceoff Wins : 23.1
• Hits: 18.2
• Giveaways: 16.8
• Takeaways: 5

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.6
• Shots: 28.9
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.2
• Penalties: 5.1
• Empty Net Goals: 0.4
• Penalty Minutes: 13.1
• Blocks: 16.8
• Faceoff Wins : 26.9
• Hits: 18.5
• Giveaways: 15.4
• Takeaways: 4.2

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 29
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 5.8
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 14.7
• Blocks: 17.6
• Faceoff Wins : 27.5
• Hits: 22.1
• Giveaways: 13.3
• Takeaways: 3.4

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Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of face-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

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