Tampa Bay Lightning vs Buffalo Sabres Prediction, Picks & Odds | 06 Apr 2026

NHL Betting Preview: Lightning vs Sabres

The Tampa Bay Lightning square off against the Buffalo Sabres at KeyBank Center, with face-off scheduled for 19:00 on Monday, April 6.

There is a strong case that the Lightning will end up winning and that means betting the visitors on the Moneyline. You can get a value -114 that they overcome the Sabres.

Tampa Bay Lightning claimed a home victory in their previous game. A 3-1 triumph against Boston Bruins at Benchmark International Arena made it back-to-back wins. Darren Raddysh, Nikita Kucherov and Charles-Edouard D'Astous scored one goal each. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy was red hot in this one, making 21 saves (.955).

Buffalo Sabres have been defeated in back-to-back games. On the road, they recently suffered a 6-2 loss against Washington Capitals at Capital One Arena. Rasmus Dahlin and Beck Malenstyn scored one goal apiece.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Sabres have claimed back-to-back victories over the Lightning. At Benchmark International Arena they won 6-2 before winning 8-7 at KeyBank Center. The previous 10 games featuring these teams have resulted in six Sabres victories.

Starting Goalies

Andrei Vasilevskiy (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	37-13-4	2.3	.911	2
23/24	30-20-2	2.9	.900	2

Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	19-9-3	2.6	.909	1
23/24	27-22-4	2.57	.910	5

7 wins, 1 loss and 2 overtime losses, averaging 4.0 goals from 30.0 shots on goal, with a 10.0% powerplay efficiency. The Lightning have been giving up 2.7 goals from 24.9 shots, averaging 5.2 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 92.3%.

Jake Guentzel is the top points scorer with 14 points, 7 goals and 7 assists, with Nikita Kucherov recording 14 points, 5 goals and 9 assists, in the past 10 games. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy have a 2.26 goal against average with a .904 save percentage.

The Sabres have 5 wins, 3 losses and 2 overtime losses, averaging 3.0 goals from 28.8 shots on goal, with a 16.2% powerplay efficiency. They have conceded 3.1 goals from 27.7 shots, averaging 4.0 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 82.5%.

The top points scorer is Rasmus Dahlin with 9 points, 5 goals and 4 assists, while Tage Thompson is next best after having 8 points, 4 goals and 4 assists. Goalie Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen have a 1.98 GAA with a .930 SV%, including one shutout.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Buffalo Sabres Prediction & Picks

Our expert Tampa Bay Lightning vs Buffalo Sabres betting tips include a main match prediction, a correct score pick, standout player prop selections and bet builder advice. Explore each section below for detailed insights.

Game Prediction

The value wager could involve heading to the Moneyline where you can back Tampa Bay Lightning to win this NHL clash. Our pick is currently available at a generous -114.

Injuries can influence the outcome and our NHL handicappers factor that in alongside the latest form guide. We apply the same approach to the stats to build the clearest picture of how the game might unfold.

Key Lightning vs Sabres stats:

• Lightning have won 4 of their last 5 games.
• Lightning have won 7 of their last 10 games.
• Lightning have won 2 consecutive games.
• Sabres have lost 3 of their last 5 games.
• Sabres have lost their last 2 games.

Lightning Moneyline Probability

According to the top sportsbooks, our pick has a 53.2% chance of winning. However, our analysts have this figure closer to 60% based on their in-depth research. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

There are some value betting options beyond simply backing Tampa Bay to win, with Puck Line, Winning Margin and 3-Way Moneyline viable alternatives to get more juice.

Before placing your wager, discover the best bonus deals. Our guide highlights the most rewarding betting offers available.

Our Game Prediction

Lightning Moneyline @ -114 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 5, 23:56). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jake Guentzel To Score +175

Jake Guentzel (Lightning) has scored in 7 of the past 10 games. It’s worth a gamble on the +175 for him to be Anytime Goalscorer as there’s plenty of juice in these betting odds.

Latest Jake Guentzel Player Prop Odds

Goals

Anytime

+175

First

+1200

Assists

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-135

Shots on Goal

Over 2.5

-135

Under 2.5

-100

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Lightning 6 - 3 Sabres

You can secure odds of +2500 that the Lightning are able to land a 6-3 victory. Correct score betting can provide plenty of fun and it’s a way of landing bigger odds.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Lightning

Sabres

1-0

Lightning

+6600

Sabres

+6600

2-0

Lightning

+5500

Sabres

+5500

2-1

Lightning

+1700

Sabres

+1700

3-0

Lightning

+4000

Sabres

+4000

3-1

Lightning

+2200

Sabres

+2200

3-2

Lightning

+900

Sabres

+900

4-0

Lightning

+4500

Sabres

+5000

4-1

Lightning

+1700

Sabres

+1800

4-2

Lightning

+1600

Sabres

+1600

4-3

Lightning

+950

Sabres

+1000

5-0

Lightning

+7500

Sabres

+8000

5-1

Lightning

+2800

Sabres

+2800

5-2

Lightning

+1600

Sabres

+1700

5-3

Lightning

+2000

Sabres

+2200

5-4

Lightning

+1700

Sabres

+1700

6-0

Lightning

+11000

Sabres

+12000

6-1

Lightning

+5500

Sabres

+6000

6-2

Lightning

+3000

Sabres

+3300

6-3

Lightning

+2500

Sabres

+2800

6-4

Lightning

+4000

Sabres

+4000

6-5

Lightning

+4000

Sabres

+4000

7-1

Lightning

+9000

Sabres

+10000

7-2

Lightning

+7000

Sabres

+8000

7-3

Lightning

+5000

Sabres

+5500

7-4

Lightning

+5500

Sabres

+5500

7-5

Lightning

+9000

Sabres

+9000

7-6

Lightning

+9000

Sabres

+9000

8-2

Lightning

+12000

Sabres

+13000

8-3

Lightning

+12000

Sabres

+13000

8-4

Lightning

+10000

Sabres

+10000

8-5

Lightning

+12000

Sabres

+12000

View More

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Buffalo Sabres Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

When you consider the latest Moneyline odds, you can find Buffalo Sabres at -105 whereas Tampa Bay Lightning are -114. In the eyes of the leading sportsbooks, the home team are regarded as 51% likely to claim a victory.

The puck line is 1.5 and total goals is 6.5. There is no denying the popularity of wagering on Totals. If you’re going for Over 6.5, then the odds are -106.

Every National Hockey League matchup brings hundreds of team props and game lines to explore, with the top betting apps delivering a deep lineup of pre-game and in-game markets.

Moneyline

Lightning

-114

Sabres

-105

3-Way Moneyline

Lightning

+140

Tie

+320

Sabres

+150

Puck Line

Lightning -1.5

+198

Sabres +1.5

-250

Total Goals

Under 6.5

-114

Over 6.5

-106

Tage Thompson can be backed to find the net at anytime at +155. There is the chance to back the market leader to score the first goal at +1000.

Player Goals

Nikita Kucherov (Lightning)

First

+150

Anytime

+1100

Tage Thompson (Sabres)

First

+155

Anytime

+1000

Jake Guentzel (Lightning)

First

+175

Anytime

+1200

Brayden Point (Lightning)

First

+230

Anytime

+1500

Alex Tuch (Sabres)

First

+240

Anytime

+1600

Jason Zucker (Sabres)

First

+270

Anytime

+1800

Anthony Cirelli (Lightning)

First

+290

Anytime

+1800

Josh Doan (Sabres)

First

+290

Anytime

+2000

Josh Norris (Sabres)

First

+300

Anytime

+2000

Jack Quinn (Sabres)

First

+310

Anytime

+1900

Corey Perry (Lightning)

First

+350

Anytime

+2000

Gage Goncalves (Lightning)

First

+360

Anytime

+2200

Rasmus Dahlin (Sabres)

First

+360

Anytime

+2200

Oliver Bjorkstrand (Lightning)

First

+375

Anytime

+2200

Zach Benson (Sabres)

First

+400

Anytime

+2500

Peyton Krebs (Sabres)

First

+450

Anytime

+2500

Darren Raddysh (Lightning)

First

+475

Anytime

+2800

Ryan McLeod (Sabres)

First

+475

Anytime

+3000

Nicholas Paul (Lightning)

First

+500

Anytime

+2800

Yanni Gourde (Lightning)

First

+575

Anytime

+3000

Pontus Holmberg (Lightning)

First

+600

Anytime

+3300

Zemgus Girgensons (Lightning)

First

+650

Anytime

+3300

Bowen Byram (Sabres)

First

+725

Anytime

+4000

Charle-Edouard D'Astous (Lightning)

First

+900

Anytime

+4500

Tyson Kozak (Sabres)

First

+950

Anytime

+4500

Mitchell Chaffee (Lightning)

First

+1100

Anytime

+5000

Mattias Samuelsson (Sabres)

First

+1100

Anytime

+5000

Beck Malenstyn (Sabres)

First

+1100

Anytime

+5500

J.J. Moser (Lightning)

First

+1100

Anytime

+5500

Owen Power (Sabres)

First

+1200

Anytime

+5500

Player Assists

Nikita Kucherov (Lightning)

Over 0.5

-208

Under 0.5

+155

Rasmus Dahlin (Sabres)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-125

Jake Guentzel (Lightning)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-135

Darren Raddysh (Lightning)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-149

Tage Thompson (Sabres)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-161

Brayden Point (Lightning)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-175

Ryan McLeod (Sabres)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-250

Jack Quinn (Sabres)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-250

Alex Tuch (Sabres)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-250

Bowen Byram (Sabres)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-250

Anthony Cirelli (Lightning)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-286

Josh Norris (Sabres)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-286

Jason Zucker (Sabres)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-303

Josh Doan (Sabres)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-323

Zach Benson (Sabres)

Over 0.5

+275

Under 0.5

-400

Mattias Samuelsson (Sabres)

Over 0.5

+275

Under 0.5

-400

Owen Power (Sabres)

Over 0.5

+320

Under 0.5

-500

Player Shots

Nikita Kucherov (Lightning)

Over 3.5

+125

Under 3.5

-164

Tage Thompson (Sabres)

Over 3.5

+120

Under 3.5

-161

Jake Guentzel (Lightning)

Over 2.5

-135

Under 2.5

-100

Brayden Point (Lightning)

Over 2.5

+135

Under 2.5

-189

Alex Tuch (Sabres)

Over 2.5

+135

Under 2.5

-185

Jack Quinn (Sabres)

Over 2.5

+110

Under 2.5

-149

Rasmus Dahlin (Sabres)

Over 2.5

+115

Under 2.5

-161

Darren Raddysh (Lightning)

Over 2.5

-125

Under 2.5

-110

Jason Zucker (Sabres)

Over 1.5

-175

Under 1.5

+125

Anthony Cirelli (Lightning)

Over 1.5

-100

Under 1.5

-135

Josh Doan (Sabres)

Over 1.5

-135

Under 1.5

-100

Josh Norris (Sabres)

Over 1.5

-100

Under 1.5

-141

Zach Benson (Sabres)

Over 1.5

+110

Under 1.5

-149

There are always opportunities to enjoy NHL micro betting. It’s generally the case that you will find team and player props in-game and bettors can use their insight to wager on outcomes such as the Next Goal or Next Goalscorer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Tampa Bay Lightning Stats

Buffalo Sabres Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 7 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 9 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.70 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 8.50 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 6.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 on the Road: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 4.00 goals and allowed 2.70 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 4.30 pts and allowed 4.20 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.20 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 6.80 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 6.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.10 goals and allowed 3.10 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 3.60 goals and allowed 3.20 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 30
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.3
• Penalties: 5.2
• Empty Net Goals: 0.5
• Penalty Minutes: 12.7
• Blocks: 17
• Faceoff Wins : 26.8
• Hits: 17.6
• Giveaways: 15.3
• Takeaways: 4

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.7
• Shots: 29.1
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.2
• Penalties: 4.6
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 13.5
• Blocks: 14.6
• Faceoff Wins : 28.5
• Hits: 21.1
• Giveaways: 15.6
• Takeaways: 4.3

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.6
• Shots: 28.8
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 4
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 10.7
• Blocks: 13.7
• Faceoff Wins : 27.7
• Hits: 20.1
• Giveaways: 13.7
• Takeaways: 4.3

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 1
• Shots: 30.7
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 5
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 14
• Blocks: 14.2
• Faceoff Wins : 27.5
• Hits: 22.8
• Giveaways: 15.4
• Takeaways: 5.3

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Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of face-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

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