Tampa Bay Lightning vs Edmonton Oilers Prediction, Picks & Odds | 21 Mar 2026

NHL Betting Preview: Lightning vs Oilers

The Tampa Bay Lightning go up against the Edmonton Oilers at Rogers Place, with face-off scheduled for 22:00 on Saturday, March 21.

We’re expecting the Lightning and the Oilers to frequently find the net and that leads us to an Over 6.5 prediction. Let’s grab the -130 that this outcome happens.

Tampa Bay Lightning won their previous game 6-2. This road victory at Delta Center against Vancouver Canucks was their second on the spin. Nikita Kucherov landed 3 points, featuring 1 goal and 2 assists.

Edmonton Oilers lost their last game, being beaten at home to Florida Panthers 4-0 at Rogers Place. Oilers lost the shots on goal battle, 21-23.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Lightning are bidding for a third successive win against the Oilers. They previously won 4-1 and 2-1 (OT) at Benchmark International Arena. The past 10 clashes between these teams have seen six Lightning wins.

Starting Goalies

Andrei Vasilevskiy (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	32-12-3	2.3	.913	2
23/24	30-20-2	2.9	.900	2

Connor Ingram (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	11-7-2	2.8	.892	1
23/24	23-21-3	2.91	.907	6

4 wins and 6 losses, averaging 3.6 goals from 27.3 shots on goal, with a 11.4% powerplay efficiency. The Lightning have given up 3.9 goals from 28.9 shots, averaging 5.6 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 85.7%.

Nikita Kucherov is the top points scorer with 19 points, 7 goals and 12 assists, with Anthony Cirelli recording 11 points, 2 goals and 9 assists, over the last 10 games. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy have a 3.14 goal against average with a .883 save percentage.

The Oilers have 5 wins, 4 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 3.2 goals from 27.8 shots on goal, with a 18.6% powerplay efficiency. They have conceded 3.8 goals from 27.4 shots, averaging 3.8 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 84.2%.

The top points scorer is Connor McDavid with 15 points, 2 goals and 13 assists, while Leon Draisaitl is next best after registering 13 points, 5 goals and 8 assists. Goalie Connor Ingram have a 3.11 GAA with a .882 SV%.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Edmonton Oilers Prediction & Picks

Take in the full Tampa Bay Lightning vs Edmonton Oilers betting outlook — from our expert match prediction and correct score pick to player prop insights and a bet builder tailored for value.

Game Prediction

The best play could be to take the -130 on offer that the Overs line is covered in this NHL clash. We think this pick represents great value.

The NHL experts at Sportsgambler.com start by analyzing recent form and staying on top of injury news before making any hockey predictions. From there, we interpret the story the stats are telling to help shape our picks.

Key Lightning vs Oilers stats:

• The 6.5 line has been covered in the last 4 Lightning games on the road.
• The 6.5 line has been covered in 6 of the last 10 Lightning games.
• The 6.5 line has been covered in 11 of the last 20 Lightning games.
• The 6.5 line has been covered in 8 of the last 10 Oilers games at home.
• The 6.5 line has been covered in 15 of the last 20 Oilers games.

Over 6.5 Probability

The top betting apps make it a 56.5% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, we have this number between 60-65% based on our in-depth research. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

If you are wanting bigger odds for your Total bet, then it’s possible to move the line and get more juice. You can choose to wager Over when it comes to different levels.

Our easy-to-use guide showcases the best betting offers available now, complete with free bets and the latest bonus deals.

Our Game Prediction

Over 6.5 Goals @ -130 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 21, 02:56). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Brandon Hagel To Score +190

Brandon Hagel (Lightning) has scored at least one goal in 4 straight games on the road. He looks like a value bet to light the lamp and you’re able to back this Anytime Goalscorer pick at odds of +190.

Latest Brandon Hagel Player Prop Odds

Goals

Anytime

+190

First

+1300

Assists

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-208

Shots on Goal

Over 2.5

-105

Under 2.5

-135

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Lightning 5 - 2 Oilers

We’re betting on the Lightning to secure a 5-2 winning scoreline. Odds of +1500 can be taken and it’s great fun to predict a correct score and hopefully land a winner.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Lightning

Oilers

1-0

Lightning

+6600

Oilers

+6600

2-0

Lightning

+5500

Oilers

+6000

2-1

Lightning

+1700

Oilers

+1800

3-0

Lightning

+3500

Oilers

+4500

3-1

Lightning

+2000

Oilers

+2400

3-2

Lightning

+900

Oilers

+1000

4-0

Lightning

+4000

Oilers

+6000

4-1

Lightning

+1600

Oilers

+2200

4-2

Lightning

+1500

Oilers

+1800

4-3

Lightning

+900

Oilers

+1000

5-0

Lightning

+6600

Oilers

+10000

5-1

Lightning

+2400

Oilers

+3400

5-2

Lightning

+1500

Oilers

+2000

5-3

Lightning

+1900

Oilers

+2400

5-4

Lightning

+1600

Oilers

+1700

6-0

Lightning

+9000

Oilers

+14000

6-1

Lightning

+5000

Oilers

+7500

6-2

Lightning

+2500

Oilers

+4000

6-3

Lightning

+2200

Oilers

+3000

6-4

Lightning

+3500

Oilers

+4500

6-5

Lightning

+3500

Oilers

+4000

7-1

Lightning

+8000

Oilers

+12500

7-2

Lightning

+6000

Oilers

+9000

7-3

Lightning

+4500

Oilers

+6000

7-4

Lightning

+5000

Oilers

+6000

7-5

Lightning

+8000

Oilers

+9000

7-6

Lightning

+9000

Oilers

+9000

8-3

Lightning

+10000

Oilers

+15000

8-4

Lightning

+9000

Oilers

+11000

8-5

Lightning

+11000

Oilers

+12500

View More

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Edmonton Oilers Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With a 59% chance of securing victory, Tampa Bay Lightning are favorites for this game and the sportsbooks have them at betting odds of -145. At +120, Edmonton Oilers are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

1.5 is where the puck line lies, with total goals being 6.5 right now. A Totals bet relates to the number of goals that will be scored overall. If you’re wanting to back Over 6.5, the odds are -130.

If you’re wagering on the matchup, be sure to visit the best NHL betting sites and browse the extensive selection of game lines and team props. You’ll find opportunities to place wagers both before the puck drops and during live play.

Moneyline

Lightning

-145

Oilers

+120

3-Way Moneyline

Lightning

+114

Tie

+320

Oilers

+190

Puck Line

Lightning -1.5

+164

Oilers +1.5

-204

Total Goals

Under 6.5

+106

Over 6.5

-130

There’s the chance to back Nikita Kucherov at +1000 to be the First Goalscorer. He’s the favorite and available at similar odds to find the net last instead.

Player Goals

Nikita Kucherov (Lightning)

First

+130

Anytime

+1000

Connor McDavid (Oilers)

First

+130

Anytime

+1000

Zach Hyman (Oilers)

First

+155

Anytime

+1100

Jake Guentzel (Lightning)

First

+170

Anytime

+1300

Brandon Hagel (Lightning)

First

+190

Anytime

+1300

Brayden Point (Lightning)

First

+200

Anytime

+1400

Matt Savoie (Oilers)

First

+270

Anytime

+1900

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (Oilers)

First

+275

Anytime

+1900

Anthony Cirelli (Lightning)

First

+290

Anytime

+1900

Darren Raddysh (Lightning)

First

+360

Anytime

+2500

Evan Bouchard (Oilers)

First

+375

Anytime

+2200

Jack Roslovic (Oilers)

First

+375

Anytime

+2200

Vasily Podkolzin (Oilers)

First

+375

Anytime

+2200

Oliver Bjorkstrand (Lightning)

First

+400

Anytime

+3000

Gage Goncalves (Lightning)

First

+425

Anytime

+2500

Corey Perry (Lightning)

First

+450

Anytime

+2800

Kasperi Kapanen (Oilers)

First

+450

Anytime

+2800

Jason Dickinson (Oilers)

First

+600

Anytime

+3500

Nicholas Paul (Lightning)

First

+650

Anytime

+3300

Yanni Gourde (Lightning)

First

+650

Anytime

+3500

J.J. Moser (Lightning)

First

+700

Anytime

+3300

Zemgus Girgensons (Lightning)

First

+700

Anytime

+3500

Pontus Holmberg (Lightning)

First

+700

Anytime

+4000

Mattias Ekholm (Oilers)

First

+825

Anytime

+5000

Adam Henrique (Oilers)

First

+900

Anytime

+4500

Max Jones (Oilers)

First

+950

Anytime

+5500

Jake Walman (Oilers)

First

+1000

Anytime

+5500

Josh Samanski (Oilers)

First

+1000

Anytime

+5500

Ryan McDonagh (Lightning)

First

+1100

Anytime

+5000

Charle-Edouard D'Astous (Lightning)

First

+1100

Anytime

+5000

Player Assists

Connor McDavid (Oilers)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

+180

Nikita Kucherov (Lightning)

Over 0.5

-208

Under 0.5

+155

Evan Bouchard (Oilers)

Over 0.5

-185

Under 0.5

+135

Darren Raddysh (Lightning)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-145

Jake Guentzel (Lightning)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-175

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (Oilers)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-189

Brandon Hagel (Lightning)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-208

Brayden Point (Lightning)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-208

Zach Hyman (Oilers)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-227

Mattias Ekholm (Oilers)

Over 0.5

+195

Under 0.5

-278

Anthony Cirelli (Lightning)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-286

Matt Savoie (Oilers)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-303

Vasily Podkolzin (Oilers)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-400

Player Shots

Nikita Kucherov (Lightning)

Over 2.5

-185

Under 2.5

+130

Connor McDavid (Oilers)

Over 2.5

-164

Under 2.5

+125

Zach Hyman (Oilers)

Over 2.5

-135

Under 2.5

-100

Jake Guentzel (Lightning)

Over 2.5

+130

Under 2.5

-175

Brandon Hagel (Lightning)

Over 2.5

-105

Under 2.5

-135

Darren Raddysh (Lightning)

Over 2.5

-125

Under 2.5

-110

Evan Bouchard (Oilers)

Over 2.5

-130

Under 2.5

-105

Brayden Point (Lightning)

Over 1.5

-145

Under 1.5

+110

Matt Savoie (Oilers)

Over 1.5

-154

Under 1.5

+110

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (Oilers)

Over 1.5

-161

Under 1.5

+120

Jack Roslovic (Oilers)

Over 1.5

-135

Under 1.5

-100

Oliver Bjorkstrand (Lightning)

Over 1.5

-105

Under 1.5

-130

Micro betting provides an interesting rollercoaster ride for NHL bettors. It can be great to enjoy the live lines, with the opportunity to wager on the Next Goal and Next Goalscorer. Watch the live action before deciding which way to go.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Tampa Bay Lightning Stats

Edmonton Oilers Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 4 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 7 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 7.50 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 7.90 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 6.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.60 goals and allowed 3.90 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 4.10 pts and allowed 3.80 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 7.00 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 8.00 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 6.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 at Home: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.20 goals and allowed 3.80 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 3.80 goals and allowed 4.20 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 27.3
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 5.6
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 16.3
• Blocks: 14.2
• Faceoff Wins : 26.5
• Hits: 25.2
• Giveaways: 13.3
• Takeaways: 3.6

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.6
• Shots: 28.4
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 4.7
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 13.4
• Blocks: 14
• Faceoff Wins : 27.2
• Hits: 22.3
• Giveaways: 15.3
• Takeaways: 4.3

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.8
• Shots: 27.8
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3.8
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 8.5
• Blocks: 10.3
• Faceoff Wins : 27.5
• Hits: 24
• Giveaways: 17.2
• Takeaways: 4.3

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.7
• Shots: 32.3
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3.4
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 8.7
• Blocks: 13.6
• Faceoff Wins : 28.9
• Hits: 21.3
• Giveaways: 15.5
• Takeaways: 4.2

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of face-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

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