Tampa Bay Lightning vs Edmonton Oilers Prediction, Picks & Odds | 21 Mar 2026

NHL Betting Preview: Lightning vs Oilers

The Tampa Bay Lightning go up against the Edmonton Oilers at Rogers Place, with face-off scheduled for 21:00 on Saturday, March 21.

We’re expecting the Lightning and the Oilers to frequently find the net and that leads us to an Over 6.5 prediction. Let’s grab the -130 that this outcome happens.

Tampa Bay Lightning won their previous game 6-2. This road victory at Delta Center against Vancouver Canucks was their second on the spin. Nikita Kucherov landed 3 points, featuring 1 goal and 2 assists.

Edmonton Oilers lost their last game, being beaten at home to Florida Panthers 4-0 at Rogers Place. Oilers lost the shots on goal battle, 21-23.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Lightning are bidding for a third successive win against the Oilers. They previously won 4-1 and 2-1 (OT) at Benchmark International Arena. The past 10 clashes between these teams have seen six Lightning wins.

Starting Goalies

Andrei Vasilevskiy (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	39-15-4	2.3	.911	2
23/24	30-20-2	2.9	.900	2

Connor Ingram (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	16-10-3	2.6	.899	2
23/24	23-21-3	2.91	.907	6

4 wins and 6 losses, averaging 3.6 goals from 27.3 shots on goal, with a 11.4% powerplay efficiency. The Lightning have given up 3.9 goals from 28.9 shots, averaging 5.6 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 85.7%.

Nikita Kucherov is the top points scorer with 19 points, 7 goals and 12 assists, with Anthony Cirelli recording 11 points, 2 goals and 9 assists, over the last 10 games. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy have a 3.14 goal against average with a .883 save percentage.

The Oilers have 5 wins, 4 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 3.2 goals from 27.8 shots on goal, with a 18.6% powerplay efficiency. They have conceded 3.8 goals from 27.4 shots, averaging 3.8 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 84.2%.

The top points scorer is Connor McDavid with 15 points, 2 goals and 13 assists, while Leon Draisaitl is next best after registering 13 points, 5 goals and 8 assists. Goalie Connor Ingram have a 3.11 GAA with a .882 SV%.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Edmonton Oilers Prediction & Picks

Take in the full Tampa Bay Lightning vs Edmonton Oilers betting outlook — from our expert match prediction and correct score pick to player prop insights and a bet builder tailored for value.

Game Prediction

The best play could be to take the -130 on offer that the Overs line is covered in this NHL clash. We think this pick represents great value.

The NHL experts at Sportsgambler.com start by analyzing recent form and staying on top of injury news before making any hockey predictions. From there, we interpret the story the stats are telling to help shape our picks.

Key Lightning vs Oilers stats:

• The 6.5 line has been covered in the last 4 Lightning games on the road.
• The 6.5 line has been covered in 6 of the last 10 Lightning games.
• The 6.5 line has been covered in 11 of the last 20 Lightning games.
• The 6.5 line has been covered in 8 of the last 10 Oilers games at home.
• The 6.5 line has been covered in 15 of the last 20 Oilers games.

Over 6.5 Probability

The top betting apps make it a 56.5% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, we have this number between 60-65% based on our in-depth research. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

If you are wanting bigger odds for your Total bet, then it’s possible to move the line and get more juice. You can choose to wager Over when it comes to different levels.

Our easy-to-use guide showcases the best betting offers available now, complete with free bets and the latest bonus deals.

Our Game Prediction

Over 6.5 Goals @ -130 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 21, 01:56). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Brandon Hagel To Score +190

Brandon Hagel (Lightning) has scored at least one goal in 4 straight games on the road. He looks like a value bet to light the lamp and you’re able to back this Anytime Goalscorer pick at odds of +190.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Lightning 5 - 2 Oilers

We’re betting on the Lightning to secure a 5-2 winning scoreline. Odds of +1500 can be taken and it’s great fun to predict a correct score and hopefully land a winner.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Lightning

Oilers

1-0

Lightning

+7000

Oilers

+7000

2-0

Lightning

+6000

Oilers

+6600

2-1

Lightning

+1800

Oilers

+1900

3-0

Lightning

+4000

Oilers

+4500

3-1

Lightning

+2200

Oilers

+2400

3-2

Lightning

+900

Oilers

+1000

4-0

Lightning

+4500

Oilers

+6000

4-1

Lightning

+1700

Oilers

+2200

4-2

Lightning

+1500

Oilers

+1800

4-3

Lightning

+900

Oilers

+1000

5-0

Lightning

+7000

Oilers

+10000

5-1

Lightning

+2400

Oilers

+3400

5-2

Lightning

+1500

Oilers

+1900

5-3

Lightning

+1900

Oilers

+2200

5-4

Lightning

+1500

Oilers

+1700

6-0

Lightning

+10000

Oilers

+14000

6-1

Lightning

+5000

Oilers

+7500

6-2

Lightning

+2500

Oilers

+3500

6-3

Lightning

+2200

Oilers

+2900

6-4

Lightning

+3500

Oilers

+4000

6-5

Lightning

+3400

Oilers

+3500

7-1

Lightning

+8000

Oilers

+12000

7-2

Lightning

+6000

Oilers

+9000

7-3

Lightning

+4000

Oilers

+5500

7-4

Lightning

+4500

Oilers

+5500

7-5

Lightning

+7500

Oilers

+8000

7-6

Lightning

+8000

Oilers

+9000

8-2

Lightning

+10000

Oilers

+14000

8-3

Lightning

+10000

Oilers

+14000

8-4

Lightning

+8000

Oilers

+11000

8-5

Lightning

+10000

Oilers

+12000

View More

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Edmonton Oilers Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With a 57% chance of securing victory, Tampa Bay Lightning are favorites for this game and the sportsbooks have them at betting odds of -133. At +112, Edmonton Oilers are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

1.5 is where the puck line lies, with total goals being 6.5 right now. A Totals bet relates to the number of goals that will be scored overall. If you’re wanting to back Over 6.5, the odds are -139.

If you’re wagering on the matchup, be sure to visit the best NHL betting sites and browse the extensive selection of game lines and team props. You’ll find opportunities to place wagers both before the puck drops and during live play.

Moneyline

Lightning

-133

Oilers

+112

3-Way Moneyline

Lightning

+116

Tie

+325

Oilers

+185

Puck Line

Lightning -1.5

+176

Oilers +1.5

-222

Total Goals

Under 6.5

+112

Over 6.5

-139

The gambling sites also allow you to place player prop bets such as Goals, Assists, Points and Blocked Shots. This means you can focus on an individual player’s performance rather than wager on the actual outcome of the game in question.

Micro betting provides an interesting rollercoaster ride for NHL bettors. It can be great to enjoy the live lines, with the opportunity to wager on the Next Goal and Next Goalscorer. Watch the live action before deciding which way to go.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Tampa Bay Lightning Stats

Edmonton Oilers Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 4 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 7 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 7.50 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 7.90 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 6.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.60 goals and allowed 3.90 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 4.10 pts and allowed 3.80 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 7.00 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 8.00 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 6.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 at Home: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.20 goals and allowed 3.80 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 3.80 goals and allowed 4.20 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 27.3
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 5.6
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 16.3
• Blocks: 14.2
• Faceoff Wins : 26.5
• Hits: 25.2
• Giveaways: 13.3
• Takeaways: 3.6

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.6
• Shots: 28.4
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 4.7
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 13.4
• Blocks: 14
• Faceoff Wins : 27.2
• Hits: 22.3
• Giveaways: 15.3
• Takeaways: 4.3

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.8
• Shots: 27.8
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3.8
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 8.5
• Blocks: 10.3
• Faceoff Wins : 27.5
• Hits: 24
• Giveaways: 17.2
• Takeaways: 4.3

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.7
• Shots: 32.3
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3.4
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 8.7
• Blocks: 13.6
• Faceoff Wins : 28.9
• Hits: 21.3
• Giveaways: 15.5
• Takeaways: 4.2

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

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