Tampa Bay Lightning vs Washington Capitals Prediction, Picks & Odds | 14 Oct 2025

NHL Betting Preview: Lightning vs Capitals

The Tampa Bay Lightning battle the Washington Capitals in this NHL matchup at Capital One Arena, with face-off scheduled for 19:00 on Tuesday, October 14. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and the starting lineups.

Back Caps to Have the Edge Over Lightning

Our best prediction is the Capitals to have the upper hand against the Lightning and we think that the -130 represents an attractive bet on the Moneyline.

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Lightning Beat Caps Last Time Out

Tampa Bay Lightning triumphed in their previous game. It was on the road where Boston Bruins were beaten 4-3 at TD Garden. Anthony Cirelli registered two goals, with Yanni Gourde and Pontus Holmberg also finding the net.

Washington Capitals won last time out by a 1-0 scoreline. On the road against New York Rangers at Madison Square Garden, they made it back-to-back wins. Anthony Beauvillier scored the only goal, with Charlie Lindgren recording 35 saves.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Lightning had the edge in the most recent encounter between these teams. At Capital One Arena, they recorded a 3-1 win over the Caps. There has been five wins apiece in the past 10 H2H meetings.

Starting Goalies

Andrei Vasilevskiy (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	0-2-0	4.7	.855	0
23/24	30-20-2	2.9	.900	2

Logan Thompson (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	1-1-0	2.1	.930	0
23/24	25-14-3	2.7	.908	1

3 wins and 7 losses, averaging 2.8 goals from 23.5 shots on goal, with a 10.2% powerplay efficiency. The Lightning have given up 3.7 goals from 27.2 shots, averaging 4.9 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 89.8%.

Jake Guentzel is the top points scorer with 11 points, 4 goals and 7 assists, with Brayden Point racking up 9 points, 4 goals and 5 assists, in the past 10 games. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy have a 3.33 goal against average with a .877 save percentage.

The Caps have 5 wins, 4 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 2.2 goals from 23.6 shots on goal, with a 11.8% powerplay efficiency. They have been conceding 2.3 goals from 28.9 shots, averaging 3.1 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 74.2%.

The top points scorer is Tom Wilson with 7 points, 4 goals and 3 assists, while Jakob Chychrun is next best after having 7 points, 2 goals and 5 assists. Goalie Logan Thompson have a 2.23 GAA with a .920 SV%.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Washington Capitals Prediction & Picks

Our Tampa Bay Lightning vs Washington Capitals tips include the main match prediction, a correct score forecast, bet builder advice and top player prop picks. Each section below offers expert insight into the key betting angles.

Game Prediction

The -130 about Washington Capitals look very attractive when it comes to the Moneyline. We think the visitors can be beaten in this NHL clash, so this is our pick.

Knowing which players are injured gives us a valuable edge when putting together hockey forecasts. After reviewing the form guide, we turn to the latest stats to shape our NHL predictions.

Key Lightning vs Capitals stats:

• Capitals have won 6 of their last 10 games at home.
• Capitals have won 12 of their last 20 games at home.
• Capitals have won 2 consecutive games.
• Lightning have lost 4 of their last 5 games.
• Lightning have lost 7 of their last 10 games.

Caps Moneyline Probability

Based on the odds from the best betting apps, our pick has a 56.5% chance of winning. However, our analysts research has found that the actual probability is between 60-65%. This is why we can recommend this hockey wager.

If you also have a strong view on the Over / Under line, then it could be worth a Match Winner & Total Goals wager where you can effectively back Washington at a bigger price.

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Best Bet

Capitals Moneyline @ -130 Watch Live Bet Now

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Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Anthony Cirelli Over 1.5 Shots -141

Anthony Cirelli (Lightning) has totaled Over 1.5 shots on goal in 4 straight games. We’re anticipating that he is able to perform well and cover the line, with odds of -141 currently available.

Latest Anthony Cirelli Player Prop Odds

Goals

Anytime

+340

First

+2000

Assists

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-345

Shots on Goal

Over 1.5

-141

Under 1.5

+105

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Correct Score Prediction

Lightning 1 - 3 Capitals

There are odds of +1800 available that the Capitals land a 3-1 win. We like the correct score option as there’s a nice reward if you can accurately predict the outcome.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Lightning

Capitals

1-0

Lightning

+5500

Capitals

+5500

2-0

Lightning

+5000

Capitals

+4500

2-1

Lightning

+1500

Capitals

+1400

3-0

Lightning

+3400

Capitals

+3000

3-1

Lightning

+1900

Capitals

+1800

3-2

Lightning

+900

Capitals

+850

4-0

Lightning

+4500

Capitals

+4000

4-1

Lightning

+1700

Capitals

+1500

4-2

Lightning

+1600

Capitals

+1500

4-3

Lightning

+1050

Capitals

+1000

5-0

Lightning

+8000

Capitals

+6600

5-1

Lightning

+2900

Capitals

+2400

5-2

Lightning

+1800

Capitals

+1600

5-3

Lightning

+2400

Capitals

+2200

5-4

Lightning

+2000

Capitals

+2000

6-0

Lightning

+12000

Capitals

+10000

6-1

Lightning

+6600

Capitals

+5500

6-2

Lightning

+3500

Capitals

+2900

6-3

Lightning

+3300

Capitals

+2800

6-4

Lightning

+5000

Capitals

+4500

6-5

Lightning

+5000

Capitals

+5000

7-0

Lightning

+5000

Capitals

+15000

7-1

Lightning

+11000

Capitals

+9000

7-2

Lightning

+9000

Capitals

+7500

7-3

Lightning

+6600

Capitals

+5500

7-4

Lightning

+7000

Capitals

+6000

7-5

Lightning

+11000

Capitals

+10000

7-6

Lightning

+12000

Capitals

+11000

8-1

Lightning

+12000

Capitals

+14000

8-2

Lightning

+14000

Capitals

+12500

8-3

Lightning

+14000

Capitals

+12500

8-4

Lightning

+12500

Capitals

+11000

8-5

Lightning

+14000

Capitals

+14000

View More

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Washington Capitals Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Latest Odds Suggest Caps Win

Washington Capitals are -130 favorites and that means a 56% chance of winning this game according to the Moneyline betting odds with the sportsbooks. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +108 about Tampa Bay Lightning.

The puck line is 1.5 and the total goals line is 5.5. There are many ways to wager on hockey including Totals. If you're keen on Over 5.5, this selection is available at -132.

The good news is that the top NHL betting sites offer hundreds of game lines and team props for every matchup, with a vast selection of pre-game and live wagering options available.

Moneyline

Lightning

+108

Capitals

-130

3-Way Moneyline

Lightning

+163

Tie

+320

Capitals

+130

Puck Line

Lightning +1.5

-233

Capitals -1.5

+186

Total Goals

Under 5.5

+108

Over 5.5

-132

Alex Ovechkin Favorite to Find the Net First

Alex Ovechkin is favorite to be First Goalscorer at +950. If you want to back him to score the last goal, you can get similar odds.

Player Goals

Alex Ovechkin (Capitals)

First

+130

Anytime

+950

Brayden Point (Lightning)

First

+190

Anytime

+1200

Nikita Kucherov (Lightning)

First

+190

Anytime

+1200

Jake Guentzel (Lightning)

First

+220

Anytime

+1200

Tom Wilson (Capitals)

First

+230

Anytime

+1400

Dylan Strome (Capitals)

First

+250

Anytime

+1600

Brandon Hagel (Lightning)

First

+290

Anytime

+1800

Pierre-Luc Dubois (Capitals)

First

+290

Anytime

+1800

Aliaksei Protas (Capitals)

First

+320

Anytime

+1900

Anthony Cirelli (Lightning)

First

+340

Anytime

+2000

Connor McMichael (Capitals)

First

+360

Anytime

+1900

Oliver Bjorkstrand (Lightning)

First

+380

Anytime

+2200

Anthony Beauvillier (Capitals)

First

+475

Anytime

+2800

Gage Goncalves (Lightning)

First

+475

Anytime

+2800

Sonny Milano (Capitals)

First

+525

Anytime

+3000

John Carlson (Capitals)

First

+550

Anytime

+2800

Ryan Leonard (Capitals)

First

+550

Anytime

+3000

Jakob Chychrun (Capitals)

First

+550

Anytime

+3000

Victor Hedman (Lightning)

First

+600

Anytime

+3300

Yanni Gourde (Lightning)

First

+650

Anytime

+3300

Mitchell Chaffee (Lightning)

First

+800

Anytime

+4000

Conor Geekie (Lightning)

First

+900

Anytime

+4000

Justin Sourdif (Capitals)

First

+900

Anytime

+4000

Pontus Holmberg (Lightning)

First

+900

Anytime

+4000

Nic Dowd (Capitals)

First

+950

Anytime

+4500

Jack Finley (Lightning)

First

+1000

Anytime

+4500

Darren Raddysh (Lightning)

First

+1000

Anytime

+4500

Brandon Duhaime (Capitals)

First

+1100

Anytime

+5000

Rasmus Sandin (Capitals)

First

+1200

Anytime

+6000

Martin Fehervary (Capitals)

First

+1300

Anytime

+6600

Player Assists

Nikita Kucherov (Lightning)

Over 0.5

-135

Under 0.5

-100

Dylan Strome (Capitals)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-130

Victor Hedman (Lightning)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-145

Brayden Point (Lightning)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-164

Jake Guentzel (Lightning)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-164

Tom Wilson (Capitals)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-185

Pierre-Luc Dubois (Capitals)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-189

John Carlson (Capitals)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-189

Brandon Hagel (Lightning)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-208

Aliaksei Protas (Capitals)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-208

Alex Ovechkin (Capitals)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-208

Jakob Chychrun (Capitals)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-233

Oliver Bjorkstrand (Lightning)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-303

Connor McMichael (Capitals)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-323

Anthony Cirelli (Lightning)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-345

Player Shots

Alex Ovechkin (Capitals)

Over 3.5

+105

Under 3.5

-141

Brayden Point (Lightning)

Over 2.5

+145

Under 2.5

-200

Nikita Kucherov (Lightning)

Over 2.5

-164

Under 2.5

+125

Jake Guentzel (Lightning)

Over 2.5

-105

Under 2.5

-125

Brandon Hagel (Lightning)

Over 2.5

+135

Under 2.5

-185

Jakob Chychrun (Capitals)

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-164

Victor Hedman (Lightning)

Over 2.5

+140

Under 2.5

-189

Tom Wilson (Capitals)

Over 1.5

-161

Under 1.5

+120

Dylan Strome (Capitals)

Over 1.5

-149

Under 1.5

+110

Pierre-Luc Dubois (Capitals)

Over 1.5

-135

Under 1.5

-105

Aliaksei Protas (Capitals)

Over 1.5

-154

Under 1.5

+110

Anthony Cirelli (Lightning)

Over 1.5

-141

Under 1.5

+105

Connor McMichael (Capitals)

Over 1.5

-164

Under 1.5

+125

Oliver Bjorkstrand (Lightning)

Over 1.5

-115

Under 1.5

-118

John Carlson (Capitals)

Over 1.5

-185

Under 1.5

+135

Micro Betting

Micro betting is an exciting way to wager on the NHL. There are a huge range of live lines and it’s a simple case of predicting what is going to happen next. Next Goal, Next Goalscorer and several 10 Minute lines are among the options.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Tampa Bay Lightning Stats

Washington Capitals Stats

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 4 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 4 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 4 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.50 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 5.80 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 5.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
• Over 5.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.80 goals and allowed 3.70 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 2.90 pts and allowed 2.90 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 4.50 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 5.10 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 5.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 5.5 at Home: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.20 goals and allowed 2.30 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 2.70 goals and allowed 2.40 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 23.5
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 4.9
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 11.8
• Blocks: 13.7
• Faceoff Wins : 25.5
• Hits: 26.8
• Giveaways: 15
• Takeaways: 4.7

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 25.9
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3.9
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 9.5
• Blocks: 14.4
• Faceoff Wins : 26.7
• Hits: 17.5
• Giveaways: 13.8
• Takeaways: 4.3

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.4
• Shots: 23.6
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3.1
• Empty Net Goals: 0.4
• Penalty Minutes: 7
• Blocks: 22.8
• Faceoff Wins : 28.4
• Hits: 32
• Giveaways: 14.2
• Takeaways: 3.7

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.8
• Shots: 27
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 2.7
• Empty Net Goals: 0.4
• Penalty Minutes: 6
• Blocks: 21.7
• Faceoff Wins : 28.3
• Hits: 31.6
• Giveaways: 14.5
• Takeaways: 4.7

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Team News

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Stats & Roster

#	Player	GP	MIN	G	A	P	+/-
59	Jake Guentzel	3	22	0	4	4	-1
21	Brayden Point	3	19.27	1	3	4	-5
43	Darren Raddysh	2	17.6	1	2	3	-3

24	Maxwell Crozier	3	16	0	3	3	2
93	Gage Goncalves	3	12.7	0	3	3	1
22	Oliver Bjorkstrand	3	13.07	1	2	3	1
29	Pontus Holmberg	3	11.17	1	1	2	2
77	Victor Hedman	3	25.1	0	2	2	0
71	Anthony Cirelli	3	19.13	2	0	2	0
37	Yanni Gourde	3	16.1	2	0	2	0
86	Nikita Kucherov	3	20.3	2	0	2	-7
38	Brandon Hagel	3	18.63	0	1	1	-2
27	Ryan McDonagh	3	20.7	1	0	1	0
90	Janis Jerome Moser	1	24.4	0	1	1	0
78	Emil Lilleberg	3	16.1	0	0	0	-2
81	Erik Cernak	3	18.27	0	0	0	-2
14	Conor Geekie	3	8.6	0	0	0	0
41	Mitchell Chaffee	3	9.77	0	0	0	0
	Curtis Douglas	2	4.95	0	0	0	0
62	Jack Finley	1	9.1	0	0	0	0

#	Goalies	GP	GAA	SV%
31	Jonas Johansson	1	3.02	0.909
88	Andrei Vasilevskiy	2	4.67	0.855

View More

Washington Capitals Player Stats & Roster

#	Player	GP	MIN	G	A	P	+/-
21	Alexei Protas	3	19.03	2	2	4	4
6	Jakob Chychrun	3	21.97	0	3	3	4
8	Alexander Ovechkin	3	16.83	0	2	2	1

43	Tom Wilson	3	20.3	1	1	2	1
9	Ryan Leonard	3	11.83	1	0	1	1
74	John Carlson	3	23.8	0	1	1	0
47	Declan Chisholm	1	14.5	0	1	1	1
42	Martin Fehervary	3	19.03	1	0	1	0
72	Anthony Beauvillier	3	12.93	1	0	1	1
80	Pierre-Luc Dubois	3	17.37	0	0	0	1
38	Rasmus Sandin	3	19.63	0	0	0	1
24	Connor McMichael	3	15.7	0	0	0	1
17	Dylan Strome	3	17.07	0	0	0	1
34	Justin Sourdif	3	11.5	0	0	0	0
22	Brandon Duhaime	3	12.6	0	0	0	0
26	Nic Dowd	3	14.33	0	0	0	0
57	Trevor van Riemsdyk	2	13.8	0	0	0	2
29	Hendrix Lapierre	2	10.05	0	0	0	0
15	Sonny Milano	1	10.1	0	0	0	0
3	Matt Roy	3	19.4	0	0	0	0

#	Goalies	GP	GAA	SV%
79	Charlie Lindgren	1	-	1
48	Logan Thompson	2	2.03	0.93

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Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of face-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.