Tampa Bay Lightning vs Washington Capitals Prediction, Picks & Odds | 14 Oct 2025

NHL Betting Preview: Lightning vs Capitals

The Tampa Bay Lightning battle the Washington Capitals in this NHL matchup at Capital One Arena, with face-off scheduled for 19:00 on Tuesday, October 14. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and the starting lineups.

Our best prediction is the Capitals to have the upper hand against the Lightning and we think that the -130 represents an attractive bet on the Moneyline.

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Tampa Bay Lightning triumphed in their previous game. It was on the road where Boston Bruins were beaten 4-3 at TD Garden. Anthony Cirelli registered two goals, with Yanni Gourde and Pontus Holmberg also finding the net.

Washington Capitals won last time out by a 1-0 scoreline. On the road against New York Rangers at Madison Square Garden, they made it back-to-back wins. Anthony Beauvillier scored the only goal, with Charlie Lindgren recording 35 saves.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Lightning had the edge in the most recent encounter between these teams. At Capital One Arena, they recorded a 3-1 win over the Caps. There has been five wins apiece in the past 10 H2H meetings.

Starting Goalies

Andrei Vasilevskiy (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	11-6-2	2.3	.916	1
23/24	30-20-2	2.9	.900	2

Logan Thompson (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	12-6-2	2.1	.919	0
23/24	25-14-3	2.7	.908	1

3 wins and 7 losses, averaging 2.8 goals from 23.5 shots on goal, with a 10.2% powerplay efficiency. The Lightning have given up 3.7 goals from 27.2 shots, averaging 4.9 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 89.8%.

Jake Guentzel is the top points scorer with 11 points, 4 goals and 7 assists, with Brayden Point racking up 9 points, 4 goals and 5 assists, in the past 10 games. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy have a 3.33 goal against average with a .877 save percentage.

The Caps have 5 wins, 4 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 2.2 goals from 23.6 shots on goal, with a 11.8% powerplay efficiency. They have been conceding 2.3 goals from 28.9 shots, averaging 3.1 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 74.2%.

The top points scorer is Tom Wilson with 7 points, 4 goals and 3 assists, while Jakob Chychrun is next best after having 7 points, 2 goals and 5 assists. Goalie Logan Thompson have a 2.23 GAA with a .920 SV%.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Washington Capitals Prediction & Picks

Our Tampa Bay Lightning vs Washington Capitals tips include the main match prediction, a correct score forecast, bet builder advice and top player prop picks. Each section below offers expert insight into the key betting angles.

Game Prediction

The -130 about Washington Capitals look very attractive when it comes to the Moneyline. We think the visitors can be beaten in this NHL clash, so this is our pick.

Knowing which players are injured gives us a valuable edge when putting together hockey forecasts. After reviewing the form guide, we turn to the latest stats to shape our NHL predictions.

Key Lightning vs Capitals stats:

• Capitals have won 6 of their last 10 games at home.
• Capitals have won 12 of their last 20 games at home.
• Capitals have won 2 consecutive games.
• Lightning have lost 4 of their last 5 games.
• Lightning have lost 7 of their last 10 games.

Caps Moneyline Probability

Based on the odds from the best betting apps, our pick has a 56.5% chance of winning. However, our analysts research has found that the actual probability is between 60-65%. This is why we can recommend this hockey wager.

If you also have a strong view on the Over / Under line, then it could be worth a Match Winner & Total Goals wager where you can effectively back Washington at a bigger price.

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Our Game Prediction

Capitals Moneyline @ -130 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Anthony Cirelli Over 1.5 Shots -141

Anthony Cirelli (Lightning) has totaled Over 1.5 shots on goal in 4 straight games. We’re anticipating that he is able to perform well and cover the line, with odds of -141 currently available.

Correct Score Prediction

Lightning 1 - 3 Capitals

There are odds of +1800 available that the Capitals land a 3-1 win. We like the correct score option as there’s a nice reward if you can accurately predict the outcome.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Lightning

Capitals

1-0

Lightning

+5000

Capitals

+5000

2-0

Lightning

+4500

Capitals

+4500

2-1

Lightning

+1400

Capitals

+1400

3-0

Lightning

+3000

Capitals

+3000

3-1

Lightning

+1800

Capitals

+1800

3-2

Lightning

+850

Capitals

+850

4-0

Lightning

+4000

Capitals

+4000

4-1

Lightning

+1600

Capitals

+1600

4-2

Lightning

+1500

Capitals

+1600

4-3

Lightning

+1050

Capitals

+1050

5-0

Lightning

+7000

Capitals

+7500

5-1

Lightning

+2500

Capitals

+2500

5-2

Lightning

+1700

Capitals

+1700

5-3

Lightning

+2400

Capitals

+2400

5-4

Lightning

+2000

Capitals

+2000

6-0

Lightning

+10000

Capitals

+11000

6-1

Lightning

+6000

Capitals

+6000

6-2

Lightning

+3300

Capitals

+3400

6-3

Lightning

+3000

Capitals

+3300

6-4

Lightning

+5000

Capitals

+5000

6-5

Lightning

+5000

Capitals

+5000

7-0

Lightning

+5000

Capitals

+15000

7-1

Lightning

+10000

Capitals

+11000

7-2

Lightning

+8000

Capitals

+9000

7-3

Lightning

+6000

Capitals

+6000

7-4

Lightning

+6600

Capitals

+7000

7-5

Lightning

+11000

Capitals

+11000

7-6

Lightning

+12000

Capitals

+12000

8-1

Lightning

+12000

Capitals

+14000

8-2

Lightning

+13000

Capitals

+13000

8-3

Lightning

+14000

Capitals

+13000

8-4

Lightning

+12000

Capitals

+12500

8-5

Lightning

+15000

Capitals

+14000

View More

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Washington Capitals Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Washington Capitals are -114 favorites and that means a 53% chance of winning this game according to the Moneyline betting odds with the sportsbooks. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get -106 about Tampa Bay Lightning.

The puck line is 1.5 and the total goals line is 5.5. There are many ways to wager on hockey including Totals. If you're keen on Over 5.5, this selection is available at -130.

The good news is that the top NHL betting sites offer hundreds of game lines and team props for every matchup, with a vast selection of pre-game and live wagering options available.

Moneyline

Lightning

-106

Capitals

-114

3-Way Moneyline

Lightning

+140

Tie

+330

Capitals

+148

Puck Line

Lightning +1.5

-263

Capitals -1.5

+210

Total Goals

Under 5.5

+106

Over 5.5

-130

Prop betting is very popular, with bettors looking to wager on player props such as Blocked Shots, Powerplay Points, Shots on Goal and Assists. It’s a great way of betting on individual player performance and the gambling sites will provide lots of options.

Micro betting is an exciting way to wager on the NHL. There are a huge range of live lines and it’s a simple case of predicting what is going to happen next. Next Goal, Next Goalscorer and several 10 Minute lines are among the options.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Tampa Bay Lightning Stats

Washington Capitals Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 8 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 9 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 4 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 4 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 5.90 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 5.70 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 5.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 5.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.20 goals and allowed 2.70 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 3.10 pts and allowed 2.60 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 7.20 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 6.10 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 5.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 5.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 4.00 goals and allowed 3.20 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 3.40 goals and allowed 2.70 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.6
• Shots: 28
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 4.5
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 12
• Blocks: 12.3
• Faceoff Wins : 25
• Hits: 20.4
• Giveaways: 13.9
• Takeaways: 4

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.4
• Shots: 24.7
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 4.8
• Empty Net Goals: 0.4
• Penalty Minutes: 10.4
• Blocks: 13.7
• Faceoff Wins : 24.9
• Hits: 18.4
• Giveaways: 15.2
• Takeaways: 4

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.4
• Shots: 30.7
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 4.8
• Empty Net Goals: 0.4
• Penalty Minutes: 12.4
• Blocks: 14.9
• Faceoff Wins : 26.6
• Hits: 17.6
• Giveaways: 14.8
• Takeaways: 5.3

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 28.3
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3.9
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 8.4
• Blocks: 18
• Faceoff Wins : 25.2
• Hits: 20
• Giveaways: 15.6
• Takeaways: 4.9

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

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