NHL Betting Preview: Lightning vs Capitals

The Tampa Bay Lightning battle the Washington Capitals in this NHL matchup at Capital One Arena, with face-off scheduled for 19:00 on Tuesday, October 14. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and the starting lineups.

Back Caps to Have the Edge Over Lightning

Our best prediction is the Capitals to have the upper hand against the Lightning and we think that the -130 represents an attractive bet on the Moneyline.

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Lightning Beat Caps Last Time Out

Tampa Bay Lightning triumphed in their previous game. It was on the road where Boston Bruins were beaten 4-3 at TD Garden. Anthony Cirelli registered two goals, with Yanni Gourde and Pontus Holmberg also finding the net.

Washington Capitals won last time out by a 1-0 scoreline. On the road against New York Rangers at Madison Square Garden, they made it back-to-back wins. Anthony Beauvillier scored the only goal, with Charlie Lindgren recording 35 saves.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Lightning had the edge in the most recent encounter between these teams. At Capital One Arena, they recorded a 3-1 win over the Caps. There has been five wins apiece in the past 10 H2H meetings.

Starting Goalies

Andrei Vasilevskiy (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	5-5-2	2.9	.892	0
23/24	30-20-2	2.9	.900	2

Logan Thompson (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	7-4-0	1.6	.935	0
23/24	25-14-3	2.7	.908	1

Tampa Bay Lightning – Last 10 Games

3 wins and 7 losses, averaging 2.8 goals from 23.5 shots on goal, with a 10.2% powerplay efficiency. The Lightning have given up 3.7 goals from 27.2 shots, averaging 4.9 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 89.8%.

Jake Guentzel is the top points scorer with 11 points, 4 goals and 7 assists, with Brayden Point racking up 9 points, 4 goals and 5 assists, in the past 10 games. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy have a 3.33 goal against average with a .877 save percentage.

Washington Capitals – Last 10 Games

The Caps have 5 wins, 4 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 2.2 goals from 23.6 shots on goal, with a 11.8% powerplay efficiency. They have been conceding 2.3 goals from 28.9 shots, averaging 3.1 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 74.2%.

The top points scorer is Tom Wilson with 7 points, 4 goals and 3 assists, while Jakob Chychrun is next best after having 7 points, 2 goals and 5 assists. Goalie Logan Thompson have a 2.23 GAA with a .920 SV%.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Washington Capitals Prediction & Picks

Our Tampa Bay Lightning vs Washington Capitals tips include the main match prediction, a correct score forecast, bet builder advice and top player prop picks. Each section below offers expert insight into the key betting angles.

Game Prediction

The -130 about Washington Capitals look very attractive when it comes to the Moneyline. We think the visitors can be beaten in this NHL clash, so this is our pick.

Knowing which players are injured gives us a valuable edge when putting together hockey forecasts. After reviewing the form guide, we turn to the latest stats to shape our NHL predictions.

Key Lightning vs Capitals stats:

Capitals have won 6 of their last 10 games at home.
Capitals have won 12 of their last 20 games at home.
Capitals have won 2 consecutive games.
Lightning have lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Lightning have lost 7 of their last 10 games.

Caps Moneyline Probability

Based on the odds from the best betting apps, our pick has a 56.5% chance of winning. However, our analysts research has found that the actual probability is between 60-65%. This is why we can recommend this hockey wager.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

If you also have a strong view on the Over / Under line, then it could be worth a Match Winner & Total Goals wager where you can effectively back Washington at a bigger price.

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Best Bet

Capitals Moneyline @ -130 Bet Now

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Published 23:43, 13 October 2025

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Anthony Cirelli Over 1.5 Shots -141

Anthony Cirelli (Lightning) has totaled Over 1.5 shots on goal in 4 straight games. We’re anticipating that he is able to perform well and cover the line, with odds of -141 currently available.

Same Game Parlay Picks

Moneyline Capitals

To Score Tom Wilson

Shots on Goal Anthony Cirelli Over 1.5

Take a same game parlay that incorporates the Capitals on the moneyline accompanied by Tom Wilson (Capitals) to score and Anthony Cirelli (Lightning) to register Over 1.5 shots.

Should you want to back different outcomes for the same hockey game, then a same game parlay will suit your needs. The betting sites create this personalised wagering tool where you can hand-pick different selections and combine the odds together.

Bet Boosts

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Correct Score Prediction

Lightning

1 - 3 Capitals logo

Capitals

There are odds of +1800 available that the Capitals land a 3-1 win. We like the correct score option as there’s a nice reward if you can accurately predict the outcome.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

1-0

2-0

2-1

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Washington Capitals Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Latest Odds Suggest Caps Win

Washington Capitals are -114 favorites and that means a 53% chance of winning this game according to the Moneyline betting odds with the sportsbooks. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get -106 about Tampa Bay Lightning.

The puck line is 1.5 and the total goals line is 5.5. There are many ways to wager on hockey including Totals. If you're keen on Over 5.5, this selection is available at -130.

The good news is that the top NHL betting sites offer hundreds of game lines and team props for every matchup, with a vast selection of pre-game and live wagering options available.

Moneyline

3-Way Moneyline

Puck Line

Total Goals

Player Props & Micro Betting

Prop betting is very popular, with bettors looking to wager on player props such as Blocked Shots, Powerplay Points, Shots on Goal and Assists. It’s a great way of betting on individual player performance and the gambling sites will provide lots of options.

Micro betting is an exciting way to wager on the NHL. There are a huge range of live lines and it’s a simple case of predicting what is going to happen next. Next Goal, Next Goalscorer and several 10 Minute lines are among the options.

Best Betting Offers

Last 5 & H2H

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Last 5 Games

Lightning

NHL: 13/10 Lightning4 Bruins 3
NHL: 12/10 Devils5 Lightning 3
NHL: 10/10 Senators5 Lightning 4
NHL Playoffs: 01/05 Panthers6 Lightning 3
NHL Playoffs: 29/04 Lightning2 Panthers 4

Capitals

NHL: 13/10 Capitals1 Rangers 0
NHL: 12/10 Capitals4 Islanders 2
NHL: 09/10 Bruins3 Capitals 1
NHL Playoffs: 16/05 Hurricanes3 Capitals 1
NHL Playoffs: 13/05 Capitals2 Hurricanes 5

Head to Head

Tampa Bay vs Washington

NHL: 01/03 2025 Lightning 3 Capitals 1
NHL: 28/11 2024 Capitals 5 Lightning 4
NHL: 27/10 2024 Capitals 0 Lightning 3
NHL: 13/04 2024 Lightning 2 Capitals 4
NHL: 23/02 2024 Capitals 5 Lightning 3
NHL: 24/12 2023 Lightning 2 Capitals 1
NHL: 31/03 2023 Capitals 1 Lightning 5
NHL: 14/11 2022 Capitals 3 Lightning 6
NHL: 12/11 2022 Lightning 1 Capitals 5
NHL: 07/04 2022 Lightning 3 Capitals 4

Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Tampa Bay Lightning Stats

Washington Capitals Stats

Moneyline

3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

+1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 4 of the last 10 games
+1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

-1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 4 of the last 10 games
-1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 4 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

Game Totals: An average of 6.50 goals in the previous 10 games
Game Totals on the Road: An average of 5.80 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
Over 5.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
Over 5.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.80 goals and allowed 3.70 goals in the last 10 games
Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 2.90 pts and allowed 2.90 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

Game Totals: An average of 4.50 goals in the previous 10 games
Game Totals at Home: An average of 5.10 goals in the previous 10 home games
Over 5.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
Over 5.5 at Home: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 home games
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.20 goals and allowed 2.30 goals in the last 10 games
Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 2.70 goals and allowed 2.40 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

Goals Powerplay: 0.5
Shots: 23.5
Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
Penalties: 4.9
Empty Net Goals: 0.1
Penalty Minutes: 11.8
Blocks: 13.7
Faceoff Wins : 25.5
Hits: 26.8
Giveaways: 15
Takeaways: 4.7

Last 10 Games on the Road

Goals Powerplay: 0.5
Shots: 25.9
Goals Shorthanded: 0
Penalties: 3.9
Empty Net Goals: 0.3
Penalty Minutes: 9.5
Blocks: 14.4
Faceoff Wins : 26.7
Hits: 17.5
Giveaways: 13.8
Takeaways: 4.3

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

Goals Powerplay: 0.4
Shots: 23.6
Goals Shorthanded: 0
Penalties: 3.1
Empty Net Goals: 0.4
Penalty Minutes: 7
Blocks: 22.8
Faceoff Wins : 28.4
Hits: 32
Giveaways: 14.2
Takeaways: 3.7

Last 10 Home Games

Goals Powerplay: 0.8
Shots: 27
Goals Shorthanded: 0
Penalties: 2.7
Empty Net Goals: 0.4
Penalty Minutes: 6
Blocks: 21.7
Faceoff Wins : 28.3
Hits: 31.6
Giveaways: 14.5
Takeaways: 4.7

Team News

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Stats & Roster

#	Player	GP	MIN	G	A	P	+/-
59	Jake Guentzel	3	22	0	4	4	-1
21	Brayden Point	3	19.27	1	3	4	-5
43	Darren Raddysh	2	17.6	1	2	3	-3

24	Maxwell Crozier	3	16	0	3	3	2
93	Gage Goncalves	3	12.7	0	3	3	1
22	Oliver Bjorkstrand	3	13.07	1	2	3	1
29	Pontus Holmberg	3	11.17	1	1	2	2
77	Victor Hedman	3	25.1	0	2	2	0
71	Anthony Cirelli	3	19.13	2	0	2	0
37	Yanni Gourde	3	16.1	2	0	2	0
86	Nikita Kucherov	3	20.3	2	0	2	-7
38	Brandon Hagel	3	18.63	0	1	1	-2
27	Ryan McDonagh	3	20.7	1	0	1	0
90	Janis Jerome Moser	1	24.4	0	1	1	0
78	Emil Lilleberg	3	16.1	0	0	0	-2
81	Erik Cernak	3	18.27	0	0	0	-2
14	Conor Geekie	3	8.6	0	0	0	0
41	Mitchell Chaffee	3	9.77	0	0	0	0
	Curtis Douglas	2	4.95	0	0	0	0
62	Jack Finley	1	9.1	0	0	0	0

#	Goalies	GP	GAA	SV%
31	Jonas Johansson	1	3.02	0.909
88	Andrei Vasilevskiy	2	4.67	0.855

Washington Capitals Player Stats & Roster

#	Player	GP	MIN	G	A	P	+/-
21	Alexei Protas	3	19.03	2	2	4	4
6	Jakob Chychrun	3	21.97	0	3	3	4
8	Alexander Ovechkin	3	16.83	0	2	2	1

43	Tom Wilson	3	20.3	1	1	2	1
9	Ryan Leonard	3	11.83	1	0	1	1
74	John Carlson	3	23.8	0	1	1	0
47	Declan Chisholm	1	14.5	0	1	1	1
42	Martin Fehervary	3	19.03	1	0	1	0
72	Anthony Beauvillier	3	12.93	1	0	1	1
80	Pierre-Luc Dubois	3	17.37	0	0	0	1
38	Rasmus Sandin	3	19.63	0	0	0	1
24	Connor McMichael	3	15.7	0	0	0	1
17	Dylan Strome	3	17.07	0	0	0	1
34	Justin Sourdif	3	11.5	0	0	0	0
22	Brandon Duhaime	3	12.6	0	0	0	0
26	Nic Dowd	3	14.33	0	0	0	0
57	Trevor van Riemsdyk	2	13.8	0	0	0	2
29	Hendrix Lapierre	2	10.05	0	0	0	0
15	Sonny Milano	1	10.1	0	0	0	0
3	Matt Roy	3	19.4	0	0	0	0

#	Goalies	GP	GAA	SV%
79	Charlie Lindgren	1	-	1
48	Logan Thompson	2	2.03	0.93

Injuries & Suspensions

Tampa Bay Lightning Injury Table

Type

Name

Info

Nick Paul

Injured

Zemgus Girgensons

Injured

Scott Sabourin

Suspended

Washington Capitals Injury Table

Type

Name

Info

Dylan McIlrath

Injured

Pierre-Luc Dubois

Injured

Starting Lineups

Line 1

Washington Capitals

Tampa Bay Lightning

48

Logan Thompson

42

Martin Fehervary

74

John Carlson

8

Alexander Ovechkin

17

Dylan Strome

72

Anthony Beauvillier

86

Nikita Kucherov

21

Brayden Point

38

Brandon Hagel

90

Janis Jerome Moser

77

Victor Hedman

88

Andrei Vasilevskiy

Line 2

Washington Capitals

Tampa Bay Lightning

48

Logan Thompson

6

Jakob Chychrun

57

Trevor van Riemsdyk

21

Alexei Protas

24

Connor McMichael

43

Tom Wilson

93

Gage Goncalves

71

Anthony Cirelli

59

Jake Guentzel

81

Erik Cernak

27

Ryan McDonagh

88

Andrei Vasilevskiy

Line 3

Washington Capitals

Tampa Bay Lightning

48

Logan Thompson

38

Rasmus Sandin

3

Matt Roy

15

Sonny Milano

29

Hendrix Lapierre

9

Ryan Leonard

22

Oliver Bjorkstrand

37

Yanni Gourde

29

Pontus Holmberg

24

Maxwell Crozier

78

Emil Lilleberg

88

Andrei Vasilevskiy

Line 4

Washington Capitals

Tampa Bay Lightning

48

Logan Thompson

22

Brandon Duhaime

26

Nic Dowd

34

Justin Sourdif

42

Curtis Douglas

14

Conor Geekie

41

Mitchell Chaffee

88

Andrei Vasilevskiy

Previous Tampa Bay Lightning Lineups

13 Oct NHL

Lightning 4-3 Bruins

Metropolitan	GP	W	L	OT	PTS	P%	RW	ROW	GF	GA	DIFF	Home	Road	S/O	L10	Strk
1 New Jersey	16	11	4	1	23	0.719	8	10	54	47	7	7-0-1	4-4-0	1-0	6-4	1L
2 Carolina	16	11	5	0	22	0.688	8	10	60	46	14	5-2-0	6-3-0	1-0	6-4	1L
3 Pittsburgh	17	9	5	3	21	0.618	9	9	57	48	9	4-2-1	5-3-2	0-3	4-6	2L
4 Philadelphia	15	8	5	2	18	0.6	4	5	43	39	4	6-3-1	2-2-1	3-0	6-4	1L
5 NY Islanders	16	8	6	2	18	0.563	7	8	53	53	0	4-3-1	4-3-1	0-2	5-5	2W
6 NY Rangers	17	8	7	2	18	0.529	6	8	41	43	-2	1-6-1	7-1-1	0-0	5-5	1W
7 Washington	16	8	7	1	17	0.531	7	8	46	39	7	4-4-0	4-3-1	0-1	4-6	1W
8 Columbus	16	8	7	1	17	0.531	5	6	50	51	-1	3-3-0	5-4-1	2-0	5-5	1W

East Atlantic	GP	W	L	OT	PTS	P%	RW	ROW	GF	GA	DIFF	Home	Road	S/O	L10	Strk
1 Montreal	16	10	4	2	22	0.688	5	10	58	52	6	5-2-1	5-2-1	0-1	6-4	1L
2 Boston	18	11	7	0	22	0.611	7	10	62	59	3	8-3-0	3-4-0	1-0	8-2	7W
3 Ottawa	17	8	5	4	20	0.588	5	6	59	61	-2	5-2-2	3-3-2	2-0	6-4	1L
4 Tampa Bay	15	8	5	2	18	0.6	6	8	46	41	5	4-3-0	4-2-2	0-0	7-3	2W
5 Detroit	16	9	7	0	18	0.563	6	7	46	51	-5	5-3-0	4-4-0	2-0	4-6	3L
6 Florida	16	8	7	1	17	0.531	7	7	43	48	-5	5-1-1	3-6-0	1-1	5-5	1W
7 Toronto	17	8	8	1	17	0.5	6	8	62	65	-3	7-4-1	1-4-0	0-0	5-5	3L
8 Buffalo	15	5	6	4	14	0.467	4	4	41	49	-8	5-3-2	0-3-2	1-0	3-7	3L

East Central	GP	W	L	OT	PTS	P%	RW	ROW	GF	GA	DIFF	Home	Road	S/O	L10	Strk
1 Colorado	17	11	1	5	27	0.794	10	11	68	43	25	5-0-2	6-1-3	0-2	6-4	4W
2 Dallas	17	10	4	3	23	0.676	7	8	52	53	-1	5-3-1	5-1-2	2-1	7-3	3W
3 Winnipeg	16	10	6	0	20	0.625	9	10	52	42	10	5-3-0	5-3-0	0-0	5-5	1W
4 Chicago	16	8	5	3	19	0.594	7	8	53	41	12	3-2-1	5-3-2	0-1	6-4	3W
5 Utah	16	9	7	0	18	0.563	6	9	51	50	1	4-1-0	5-6-0	0-0	5-5	3L
6 Minnesota	18	7	7	4	18	0.5	5	6	51	59	-8	4-3-3	3-4-1	1-0	4-6	1L
7 St Louis	17	6	8	3	15	0.441	6	6	47	65	-18	3-4-3	3-4-0	0-1	3-7	1W
8 Nashville	18	5	9	4	14	0.389	4	4	47	65	-18	4-5-2	1-4-2	1-0	2-8	5L

West Pacific	GP	W	L	OT	PTS	P%	RW	ROW	GF	GA	DIFF	Home	Road	S/O	L10	Strk
1 Anaheim	16	11	4	1	23	0.719	8	10	64	50	14	5-1-0	6-3-1	1-0	8-2	1L
2 LA Kings	17	8	5	4	20	0.588	5	7	50	52	-2	1-4-2	7-1-2	1-3	6-4	2W
3 Seattle	16	7	4	5	19	0.594	4	7	40	46	-6	4-1-3	3-3-2	0-2	4-6	2L
4 San Jose	17	8	6	3	19	0.559	4	8	55	57	-2	4-3-3	4-3-0	0-1	7-3	4W
5 Vegas	15	7	4	4	18	0.6	6	7	48	45	3	4-3-2	3-1-2	0-1	4-6	3L
6 Edmonton	17	7	6	4	18	0.529	4	7	52	61	-9	5-1-2	2-5-2	0-2	4-6	1W
7 Vancouver	18	8	9	1	17	0.472	4	6	53	63	-10	3-5-1	5-4-0	2-0	4-6	2L
8 Calgary	18	4	12	2	10	0.278	3	3	38	58	-20	2-4-1	2-8-1	1-1	3-7	3L

Tampa Bay Lightning

Washington Capitals

NHL Betting Preview: Lightning vs Capitals

Head-to-Head Statistics

Starting Goalies

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Washington Capitals Prediction & Picks

Game Prediction

Caps Moneyline Probability

Best Bet

Player Prop Picks

Same Game Parlay Picks

Correct Score Prediction

Latest Correct Score Odds

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Washington Capitals Odds

Latest Odds Suggest Caps Win

Last 5 & H2H

Head to Head

Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Tampa Bay Lightning Injury Table

Washington Capitals Injury Table

Starting Lineups

Washington Capitals

Tampa Bay Lightning

Washington Capitals

Tampa Bay Lightning

Washington Capitals

Tampa Bay Lightning

Washington Capitals

Tampa Bay Lightning

Previous Tampa Bay Lightning Lineups

Previous Washington Capitals Lineups

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