NHL Betting Preview: Lightning vs Capitals

The Tampa Bay Lightning clash with the Washington Capitals at Capital One Arena, with face-off scheduled for 19:00 on Saturday, November 22.

Lightning Great Value against Caps

We think that the Lightning should prove too strong for the Capitals. Therefore, it’s all about going to the Moneyline to back them and there’s juice in the -100 available.

Confident Lightning pulls out the W? Don’t forget to grab the BetMGM promo code and read our complete site review before placing your bet.

Lightning Beat Caps Last Time Out

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Edmonton Oilers in their previous game, making it back-to-back victories. It was a 2-1 (OT) home win at Benchmark International Arena. Nick Paul and Jake Guentzel scored one goal apiece. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy was red hot in this one, making 24 saves (.960).

Washington Capitals won last time out by a 8-4 scoreline. On the road against Montreal Canadiens at Bell Centre, they made it three wins on the spin. Alexander Ovechkin had a hat trick along with 1 assist.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last head-to-head saw the Lightning claim a 3-2 win over the Caps at Benchmark International Arena. In the past 10 games between the teams, the Lightning have won six.

Starting Goalies

Andrei Vasilevskiy (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	8-5-2	2.5	.907	0
23/24	30-20-2	2.9	.900	2

Logan Thompson (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	8-5-1	2	.920	0
23/24	25-14-3	2.7	.908	1

Tampa Bay Lightning – Last 10 Games

7 wins and 3 losses, averaging 3.2 goals from 28.0 shots on goal, with a 12.2% powerplay efficiency. The Lightning have given up 2.7 goals from 26.2 shots, averaging 4.5 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 88.9%.

Jake Guentzel is the top points scorer with 11 points, 8 goals and 3 assists, with Nikita Kucherov racking up 9 points, 5 goals and 4 assists, in the last 10 games. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy have a 2.08 goal against average with a .923 save percentage.

Washington Capitals – Last 10 Games

The Caps have 5 wins, 3 losses and 2 overtime losses, averaging 4.0 goals from 30.7 shots on goal, with a 10.8% powerplay efficiency. They have been conceding 3.0 goals from 27.8 shots, averaging 4.8 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 79.2%.

The top points scorer is Alexander Ovechkin with 13 points, 8 goals and 5 assists, while John Carlson is next best after registering 12 points, 2 goals and 10 assists. Goalie Logan Thompson have a 2.65 GAA with a .902 SV%.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Washington Capitals Prediction & Picks

Our Tampa Bay Lightning vs Washington Capitals betting tips provide expert coverage of all major angles, including our main match prediction, correct score recommendation and best bet builder insights.

Game Prediction

The best pick for this NHL clash is to back Tampa Bay Lightning at -100. We think that the home team are vulnerable, so this is the best angle of attack with our wager.

To deliver the best possible hockey predictions, we start by locking in the team news and taking time to review the latest form. There’s also no shortage of data to crunch from the most up-to-date NHL stats available.

Key Lightning vs Capitals stats:

Lightning have won 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
Lightning have won 7 of their last 10 games.
Lightning have won 2 consecutive games.
Capitals have lost 6 of their last 10 games against Lightning.

Lightning Moneyline Probability

Based on the latest odds from the top NHL sportsbooks, our pick carries a 50% chance of winning. Our analysts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 55-60%. It is the reason why we are recommending this hockey wager.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

If you want bigger odds with your Moneyline wager, then you can combine this pick with other selections as part of a Bet Builder until you’re happy with the price.

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Our Game Prediction

Lightning Moneyline @ -100 Bet Now

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Published 23:56, 21 November 2025

Same Game Parlay Picks

Moneyline Lightning

Totals Over 5.5

Highest Scoring Period First Period

We’ve loaded up a same game parlay with the combined picks of the Lightning on the moneyline, Over 5.5 goals and the highest-scoring period to be the first.

The same game parlay option allows you to combine different outcomes within the same hockey game. You need all your predictions to be correct although bettors love to place a tailored wager on the clash which interests them most.

Bet Boosts

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Correct Score Prediction

Lightning

5 - 3 Capitals logo

Capitals

There’s the option to wager on the Lightning to win by a 5-3 scoreline. Odds of +2500 are on offer and this is a correct score bet that should provide plenty of entertainment.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

1-0

2-0

2-1

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Washington Capitals Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Latest Odds Suggest a Close Contest

The betting odds about Washington Capitals winning is -120, with Tampa Bay Lightning priced up at -100 to achieve victory. The sportsbook traders give the road team a 50% probability of success.

There is a puck line of 1.5 and total goals has a line of 5.5. Hockey bettors regularly enjoy the opportunity to wager on Totals. The Over 5.5 selection is available to back at -130.

You can find a huge selection of team props and game lines for every National Hockey League matchup, with the top betting apps creating many different options. Check out the in-game and pre-game selections before placing your wagers.

Moneyline

3-Way Moneyline

Puck Line

Total Goals

Best Betting Offers

Last 5 & H2H

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Home
Away

Last 5 Games

Lightning

NHL: 21/11 Oilers1 Lightning 2
NHL: 19/11 Devils1 Lightning 5
NHL: 16/11 Canucks6 Lightning 2
NHL: 15/11 Lightning3 Panthers 1
NHL: 13/11 Rangers7 Lightning 3

Capitals

NHL: 21/11 Capitals8 Canadiens 4
NHL: 20/11 Oilers4 Capitals 7
NHL: 18/11 Kings1 Capitals 2
NHL: 16/11 Devils3 Capitals 2
NHL: 14/11 Capitals3 Panthers 6

Head to Head

Tampa Bay vs Washington

NHL: 09/11 2025 Capitals 2 Lightning 3
NHL: 15/10 2025 Lightning 2 Capitals 3
NHL: 01/03 2025 Lightning 3 Capitals 1
NHL: 28/11 2024 Capitals 5 Lightning 4
NHL: 27/10 2024 Capitals 0 Lightning 3
NHL: 13/04 2024 Lightning 2 Capitals 4
NHL: 23/02 2024 Capitals 5 Lightning 3
NHL: 24/12 2023 Lightning 2 Capitals 1
NHL: 31/03 2023 Capitals 1 Lightning 5
NHL: 14/11 2022 Capitals 3 Lightning 6

Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Tampa Bay Lightning Stats

Washington Capitals Stats

Moneyline

7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

+1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 8 of the last 10 games
+1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 9 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

-1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 4 of the last 10 games
-1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 4 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

Game Totals: An average of 5.90 goals in the previous 10 games
Game Totals on the Road: An average of 5.70 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
Over 5.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
Over 5.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.20 goals and allowed 2.70 goals in the last 10 games
Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 3.10 pts and allowed 2.60 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

Game Totals: An average of 7.20 goals in the previous 10 games
Game Totals at Home: An average of 6.10 goals in the previous 10 home games
Over 5.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
Over 5.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 4.00 goals and allowed 3.20 goals in the last 10 games
Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 3.40 goals and allowed 2.70 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

Goals Powerplay: 0.6
Shots: 28
Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
Penalties: 4.5
Empty Net Goals: 0.3
Penalty Minutes: 12
Blocks: 12.3
Faceoff Wins : 25
Hits: 20.4
Giveaways: 13.9
Takeaways: 4

Last 10 Games on the Road

Goals Powerplay: 0.4
Shots: 24.7
Goals Shorthanded: 0
Penalties: 4.8
Empty Net Goals: 0.4
Penalty Minutes: 10.4
Blocks: 13.7
Faceoff Wins : 24.9
Hits: 18.4
Giveaways: 15.2
Takeaways: 4

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

Goals Powerplay: 0.4
Shots: 30.7
Goals Shorthanded: 0
Penalties: 4.8
Empty Net Goals: 0.4
Penalty Minutes: 12.4
Blocks: 14.9
Faceoff Wins : 26.6
Hits: 17.6
Giveaways: 14.8
Takeaways: 5.3

Last 10 Home Games

Goals Powerplay: 0.5
Shots: 28.3
Goals Shorthanded: 0
Penalties: 3.9
Empty Net Goals: 0.3
Penalty Minutes: 8.4
Blocks: 18
Faceoff Wins : 25.2
Hits: 20
Giveaways: 15.6
Takeaways: 4.9

Team News

Tampa Bay Lightning Player Stats & Roster

#	Player	GP	MIN	G	A	P	+/-
59	Jake Guentzel	20	20.89	12	9	21	4
86	Nikita Kucherov	18	21.26	9	10	19	-3
38	Brandon Hagel	19	19.43	7	8	15	3

77	Victor Hedman	15	22.59	0	12	12	1
71	Anthony Cirelli	16	18.58	7	5	12	5
21	Brayden Point	20	19.23	3	8	11	-10
43	Darren Raddysh	14	17.45	2	6	8	-3
22	Oliver Bjorkstrand	20	14.59	1	6	7	-3
27	Ryan McDonagh	15	20.16	3	3	6	1
37	Yanni Gourde	20	16.09	3	3	6	1
90	Janis Jerome Moser	18	20.98	1	5	6	6
51	Charles-Edouard D'Astous	13	16.86	1	4	5	-6
28	Zemgus Girgensons	13	14.94	4	1	5	-3
29	Pontus Holmberg	15	12.4	1	4	5	1
93	Gage Goncalves	20	12.77	1	4	5	4
78	Emil Lilleberg	20	15.72	2	2	4	2
17	Dominic James	11	12.41	1	3	4	1
81	Erik Cernak	18	19.09	0	3	3	-1
24	Maxwell Crozier	8	14.41	0	3	3	3
	Curtis Douglas	14	5.81	0	2	2	2
62	Jack Finley	8	9.25	1	1	2	1
	Scott Sabourin	3	10.33	1	1	2	1
20	Nick Paul	1	15.4	1	0	1	1
14	Conor Geekie	6	10.03	0	1	1	0
64	Steven Santini	2	10.8	0	0	0	0
67	Declan Carlile	2	12.75	0	0	0	0
61	Boris Katchouk	3	12.2	0	0	0	0
41	Mitchell Chaffee	7	9.49	0	0	0	0
12	Jakob Pelletier	1	6.2	0	0	0	0

#	Goalies	GP	GAA	SV%
88	Andrei Vasilevskiy	15	2.45	0.909
31	Jonas Johansson	6	3.26	0.89

Washington Capitals Player Stats & Roster

#	Player	GP	MIN	G	A	P	+/-
8	Alexander Ovechkin	21	17.63	10	10	20	8
17	Dylan Strome	19	17.82	5	15	20	13
43	Tom Wilson	21	19.67	11	9	20	10

74	John Carlson	20	23.24	4	15	19	6
6	Jakob Chychrun	21	23.28	5	12	17	14
21	Alexei Protas	21	18.23	6	7	13	12
24	Connor McMichael	21	16.09	2	8	10	2
9	Ryan Leonard	21	12.92	5	5	10	1
53	Ethen Frank	10	10.55	2	5	7	4
38	Rasmus Sandin	16	19.15	2	5	7	8
72	Anthony Beauvillier	21	14.78	4	2	6	7
42	Martin Fehervary	21	19.1	1	5	6	6
26	Nic Dowd	19	15.13	1	4	5	2
3	Matt Roy	21	20.59	1	3	4	11
22	Brandon Duhaime	21	12.55	3	1	4	-2
29	Hendrix Lapierre	20	9.92	0	4	4	-1
34	Justin Sourdif	21	12.03	2	1	3	2
15	Sonny Milano	10	10.19	3	0	3	0
57	Trevor van Riemsdyk	16	15.04	1	1	2	-2
47	Declan Chisholm	9	14.41	0	1	1	2
80	Pierre-Luc Dubois	6	15.53	0	0	0	0
52	Dylan McIlrath	2	12.8	0	0	0	1

#	Goalies	GP	GAA	SV%
48	Logan Thompson	14	2	0.92
79	Charlie Lindgren	7	3.28	0.888

Injuries & Suspensions

Tampa Bay Lightning Injury Table

Type

Name

Info

Maxwell Crozier

Injured

Erik Cernak

Injured

Pontus Holmberg

Injured

Ryan McDonagh

Injured

Victor Hedman

Injured

Washington Capitals Injury Table

Type

Name

Info

Pierre-Luc Dubois

Injured

Nic Dowd

Injured

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of face-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

Previous Tampa Bay Lightning Lineups

20 Nov NHL

Oilers 1-2 Lightning

Metropolitan	GP	W	L	OT	PTS	P%	RW	ROW	GF	GA	DIFF	Home	Road	S/O	L10	Strk
1 Carolina	21	14	5	2	30	0.714	10	13	77	61	16	6-2-1	8-3-1	1-1	7-3	1W
2 New Jersey	20	13	6	1	27	0.675	8	11	62	58	4	7-0-1	6-6-0	2-0	5-5	2L
3 NY Islanders	21	12	7	2	26	0.619	9	12	69	64	5	4-3-1	8-4-1	0-2	7-3	2W
4 Pittsburgh	20	10	6	4	24	0.6	10	10	62	55	7	5-3-1	5-3-3	0-3	3-7	1L
5 Washington	21	11	8	2	24	0.571	10	11	68	57	11	6-4-1	5-4-1	0-2	5-5	3W
6 Columbus	21	11	8	2	24	0.571	6	8	65	67	-2	5-3-1	6-5-1	3-1	4-6	1W
7 Philadelphia	19	10	6	3	23	0.605	4	6	54	53	1	7-3-2	3-3-1	4-0	5-5	1W
8 NY Rangers	22	10	10	2	22	0.5	7	9	56	58	-2	1-7-1	9-3-1	1-0	5-5	3L

East Atlantic	GP	W	L	OT	PTS	P%	RW	ROW	GF	GA	DIFF	Home	Road	S/O	L10	Strk
1 Boston	23	13	10	0	26	0.565	8	12	74	74	0	8-4-0	5-6-0	1-0	7-3	1W
2 Detroit	21	12	8	1	25	0.595	9	10	62	67	-5	7-4-1	5-4-0	2-0	4-6	1L
3 Tampa Bay	20	11	7	2	24	0.6	8	11	61	57	4	6-5-0	5-2-2	0-0	7-3	2W
4 Ottawa	20	10	6	4	24	0.6	7	8	67	67	0	6-3-2	4-3-2	2-0	5-5	1W
5 Florida	20	11	8	1	23	0.575	10	10	59	59	0	8-2-1	3-6-0	1-1	6-4	2W
6 Montreal	20	10	7	3	23	0.575	5	10	67	74	-7	5-5-1	5-2-2	0-2	3-7	5L
7 Toronto	21	9	9	3	21	0.5	6	9	72	77	-5	8-4-3	1-5-0	0-0	4-6	1L
8 Buffalo	21	8	9	4	20	0.476	6	7	67	74	-7	7-4-2	1-5-2	1-0	4-6	1W

East Central	GP	W	L	OT	PTS	P%	RW	ROW	GF	GA	DIFF	Home	Road	S/O	L10	Strk
1 Colorado	20	14	1	5	33	0.825	13	14	84	50	34	8-0-2	6-1-3	0-2	9-1	7W
2 Dallas	21	13	5	3	29	0.69	10	11	70	59	11	6-4-1	7-1-2	2-1	7-3	1W
3 Minnesota	22	11	7	4	26	0.591	7	9	65	64	1	7-3-3	4-4-1	2-0	8-2	4W
4 Winnipeg	20	12	8	0	24	0.6	10	11	67	56	11	6-4-0	6-4-0	1-0	5-5	1L
5 Chicago	21	10	7	4	24	0.571	9	10	69	61	8	5-3-2	5-4-2	0-1	5-5	2L
6 Utah	21	10	8	3	23	0.548	7	10	63	65	-2	5-2-1	5-6-2	0-0	2-8	4L
7 St Louis	21	6	9	6	18	0.429	6	6	57	81	-24	3-5-4	3-4-2	0-2	3-7	4L
8 Nashville	20	6	10	4	16	0.4	4	5	49	70	-21	5-5-2	1-5-2	1-0	2-8	1L

West Pacific	GP	W	L	OT	PTS	P%	RW	ROW	GF	GA	DIFF	Home	Road	S/O	L10	Strk
1 Anaheim	21	13	7	1	27	0.643	9	12	76	66	10	7-2-0	6-5-1	1-0	6-4	1L
2 Vegas	20	10	4	6	26	0.65	9	10	64	56	8	5-3-3	5-1-3	0-1	4-6	2W
3 LA Kings	22	10	6	6	26	0.591	6	9	60	63	-3	1-4-3	9-2-3	1-4	5-5	3L
4 Seattle	20	10	5	5	25	0.625	7	10	54	56	-2	6-1-3	4-4-2	0-2	5-5	1W
5 San Jose	21	10	8	3	23	0.548	4	9	63	68	-5	6-3-3	4-5-0	1-1	7-3	2W
6 Edmonton	23	9	9	5	23	0.5	4	9	68	84	-16	5-1-2	4-8-3	0-2	3-7	3L
7 Vancouver	22	9	11	2	20	0.455	5	7	69	81	-12	3-6-1	6-5-1	2-0	3-7	2L
8 Calgary	22	6	13	3	15	0.341	5	5	51	69	-18	3-4-2	3-9-1	1-2	4-6	1W

Tampa Bay Lightning

Washington Capitals

NHL Betting Preview: Lightning vs Capitals

Head-to-Head Statistics

Starting Goalies

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Washington Capitals Prediction & Picks

Game Prediction

Lightning Moneyline Probability

Same Game Parlay Picks

Correct Score Prediction

Latest Correct Score Odds

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Washington Capitals Odds

Head to Head

Injuries & Suspensions

Tampa Bay Lightning Injury Table

Washington Capitals Injury Table

Starting Lineups

Previous Tampa Bay Lightning Lineups

Previous Washington Capitals Lineups

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