Tampa Bay Lightning vs Washington Capitals Prediction, Picks & Odds | 22 Nov 2025

NHL Betting Preview: Lightning vs Capitals

The Tampa Bay Lightning clash with the Washington Capitals at Capital One Arena, with face-off scheduled for 20:00 on Saturday, November 22.

We think that the Lightning should prove too strong for the Capitals. Therefore, it’s all about going to the Moneyline to back them and there’s juice in the -100 available.

Tampa Bay Lightning beat Edmonton Oilers in their previous game, making it back-to-back victories. It was a 2-1 (OT) home win at Benchmark International Arena. Nick Paul and Jake Guentzel scored one goal apiece. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy was red hot in this one, making 24 saves (.960).

Washington Capitals won last time out by a 8-4 scoreline. On the road against Montreal Canadiens at Bell Centre, they made it three wins on the spin. Alexander Ovechkin had a hat trick along with 1 assist.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last head-to-head saw the Lightning claim a 3-2 win over the Caps at Benchmark International Arena. In the past 10 games between the teams, the Lightning have won six.

Starting Goalies

Jonas Johansson (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	10-9-1	3.3	.884	0
23/24	12-7-5	3.37	.890	2

Logan Thompson (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	22-19-5	2.4	.912	2
23/24	25-14-3	2.7	.908	1

7 wins and 3 losses, averaging 3.2 goals from 28.0 shots on goal, with a 12.2% powerplay efficiency. The Lightning have given up 2.7 goals from 26.2 shots, averaging 4.5 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 88.9%.

Jake Guentzel is the top points scorer with 11 points, 8 goals and 3 assists, with Nikita Kucherov racking up 9 points, 5 goals and 4 assists, in the last 10 games. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy have a 2.08 goal against average with a .923 save percentage.

The Caps have 5 wins, 3 losses and 2 overtime losses, averaging 4.0 goals from 30.7 shots on goal, with a 10.8% powerplay efficiency. They have been conceding 3.0 goals from 27.8 shots, averaging 4.8 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 79.2%.

The top points scorer is Alexander Ovechkin with 13 points, 8 goals and 5 assists, while John Carlson is next best after registering 12 points, 2 goals and 10 assists. Goalie Logan Thompson have a 2.65 GAA with a .902 SV%.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Washington Capitals Prediction & Picks

Explore our best Tampa Bay Lightning vs Washington Capitals picks, including our main match prediction, correct score forecast, player performance props and a bet builder ready to use.

Game Prediction

The best pick for this NHL clash is to back Tampa Bay Lightning at -100. We think that the home team are vulnerable, so this is the best angle of attack with our wager.

To deliver the best possible hockey predictions, we start by locking in the team news and taking time to review the latest form. There’s also no shortage of data to crunch from the most up-to-date NHL stats available.

Key Lightning vs Capitals stats:

• Lightning have won 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
• Lightning have won 7 of their last 10 games.
• Lightning have won 2 consecutive games.
• Capitals have lost 6 of their last 10 games against Lightning.

Lightning Moneyline Probability

Based on the latest odds from the top NHL sportsbooks, our pick carries a 50% chance of winning. Our analysts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 55-60%. It is the reason why we are recommending this hockey wager.

If you want bigger odds with your Moneyline wager, then you can combine this pick with other selections as part of a Bet Builder until you’re happy with the price.

Give yourself a head start. Find betting offers that include generous free bets and welcome packages in our bonus guide.

Our Game Prediction

Lightning Moneyline @ -100 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Nov 22, 00:56). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Tom Wilson Over 1.5 Shots -200

Tom Wilson (Capitals) has covered the 1.5 shots on goal total in 4 straight games at home. We’re going to take him on the Overs for Shots on Goal, with this line making plenty of appeal at odds of -200.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Lightning 5 - 3 Capitals

There’s the option to wager on the Lightning to win by a 5-3 scoreline. Odds of +2500 are on offer and this is a correct score bet that should provide plenty of entertainment.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Lightning

Capitals

1-0

Lightning

+5000

Capitals

+5000

2-0

Lightning

+4500

Capitals

+4500

2-1

Lightning

+1400

Capitals

+1300

3-0

Lightning

+3300

Capitals

+2900

3-1

Lightning

+1900

Capitals

+1700

3-2

Lightning

+850

Capitals

+800

4-0

Lightning

+4500

Capitals

+3500

4-1

Lightning

+1700

Capitals

+1500

4-2

Lightning

+1600

Capitals

+1500

4-3

Lightning

+1050

Capitals

+1000

5-0

Lightning

+8000

Capitals

+6600

5-1

Lightning

+2900

Capitals

+2400

5-2

Lightning

+1900

Capitals

+1600

5-3

Lightning

+2500

Capitals

+2200

5-4

Lightning

+2200

Capitals

+2000

6-0

Lightning

+12500

Capitals

+10000

6-1

Lightning

+7000

Capitals

+5500

6-2

Lightning

+4000

Capitals

+3000

6-3

Lightning

+3400

Capitals

+2900

6-4

Lightning

+5500

Capitals

+5000

6-5

Lightning

+5500

Capitals

+5000

7-1

Lightning

+12000

Capitals

+9000

7-2

Lightning

+10000

Capitals

+7500

7-3

Lightning

+7000

Capitals

+5500

7-4

Lightning

+7500

Capitals

+6600

7-5

Lightning

+12000

Capitals

+11000

7-6

Lightning

+12500

Capitals

+12000

8-2

Lightning

+12500

Capitals

+13000

8-3

Lightning

+12500

Capitals

+13000

8-4

Lightning

+14000

Capitals

+12000

View More

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Washington Capitals Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The betting odds about Washington Capitals winning is -125, with Tampa Bay Lightning priced up at +104 to achieve victory. The sportsbook traders give the road team a 49% probability of success.

There is a puck line of 1.5 and total goals has a line of 6.5. Hockey bettors regularly enjoy the opportunity to wager on Totals. The Over 6.5 selection is available to back at +110.

You can find a huge selection of team props and game lines for every National Hockey League matchup, with the top betting apps creating many different options. Check out the in-game and pre-game selections before placing your wagers.

Moneyline

Lightning

+104

Capitals

-125

3-Way Moneyline

Lightning

+170

Tie

+310

Capitals

+128

Puck Line

Lightning +1.5

-244

Capitals -1.5

+194

Total Goals

Under 6.5

-133

Over 6.5

+110

You shouldn’t overlook the player and goalie props when it comes to betting on individual games. Many gambling sites will give you the chance to get with or bet against a specific player when it comes to number of Goals, Assists, Points and Shots.

There are lots of exciting NHL micro betting lines that are created and they are available in-game. Among them are next goalscorer, next team to find the net and whether a goal will be scored within the next 10 minutes.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Tampa Bay Lightning Stats

Washington Capitals Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 8 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 9 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 4 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 4 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 5.90 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 5.70 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 5.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 5.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.20 goals and allowed 2.70 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 3.10 pts and allowed 2.60 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 7.20 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 6.10 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 5.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 5.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 4.00 goals and allowed 3.20 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 3.40 goals and allowed 2.70 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.6
• Shots: 28
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 4.5
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 12
• Blocks: 12.3
• Faceoff Wins : 25
• Hits: 20.4
• Giveaways: 13.9
• Takeaways: 4

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.4
• Shots: 24.7
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 4.8
• Empty Net Goals: 0.4
• Penalty Minutes: 10.4
• Blocks: 13.7
• Faceoff Wins : 24.9
• Hits: 18.4
• Giveaways: 15.2
• Takeaways: 4

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.4
• Shots: 30.7
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 4.8
• Empty Net Goals: 0.4
• Penalty Minutes: 12.4
• Blocks: 14.9
• Faceoff Wins : 26.6
• Hits: 17.6
• Giveaways: 14.8
• Takeaways: 5.3

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 28.3
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3.9
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 8.4
• Blocks: 18
• Faceoff Wins : 25.2
• Hits: 20
• Giveaways: 15.6
• Takeaways: 4.9

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

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