Tampa Bay Lightning vs Seattle Kraken Prediction, Picks & Odds | 17 Mar 2026

NHL Betting Preview: Lightning vs Kraken

The Tampa Bay Lightning go up against the Seattle Kraken at Climate Pledge Arena, with face-off scheduled for 21:00 on Tuesday, March 17.

Over 6.5 could well be on the cards and you can get an appealing +108 that this happens. The Lightning and the Kraken have plenty of scoring power.

Tampa Bay Lightning were beaten 4-2 at Benchmark International Arena in their previous game, being turned over at home to Carolina Hurricanes. Charles-Edouard D'Astous and Yanni Gourde scored one goal each.

Seattle Kraken last game was a 6-2 home win. This victory over Florida Panthers at Climate Pledge Arena made it back-to-back victories. Kaapo Kakko recorded 3 points, featuring 1 goal and 2 assists.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The scoreline was 4-1 in favor of the Lightning when they last played the Kraken, with the encounter taking place at Benchmark International Arena. The Lightning have beaten the Kraken in the past three meetings. They’ve also claimed 7 wins in the past 8 head-to-head meetings.

Starting Goalies

Andrei Vasilevskiy (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	39-15-4	2.3	.911	2
23/24	30-20-2	2.9	.900	2

Philipp Grubauer (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	13-12-4	2.7	.909	0
23/24	14-16-2	2.85	.899	2

3 wins and 7 losses, averaging 3.2 goals from 28.1 shots on goal, with a 11.1% powerplay efficiency. The Lightning have given up 4.2 goals from 31.7 shots, averaging 5.4 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 81.5%.

Nikita Kucherov is the top points scorer with 15 points, 5 goals and 10 assists, with Brayden Point recording 13 points, 5 goals and 8 assists, over the past 10 games. Goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy have a 3.29 goal against average with a .889 save percentage.

The Kraken have 4 wins and 6 losses, averaging 2.9 goals from 27.2 shots on goal, with a 10.8% powerplay efficiency. They have been conceding 3.4 goals from 30.4 shots, averaging 2.4 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 91.7%.

The top points scorer is Jordan Eberle with 10 points, 2 goals and 8 assists, while Matthew Beniers is next best after having 6 points, 4 goals and 2 assists. Goalie Joey Daccord have a 3.33 GAA with a .894 SV%.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Seattle Kraken Prediction & Picks

Gear up for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Seattle Kraken with our comprehensive betting guide, featuring an expert match prediction, scoreline advice, top player props and a hand-picked bet builder.

Game Prediction

Our pick is that the total will go over the line in this NHL clash. We’re especially keen to take advantage of the +108 that the lamp is lit on several occasions.

The handicappers at Sportsgambler.com regularly track NHL injury updates and pair that with current form. We also tap into a deep stats database to highlight the key numbers that help shape our hockey predictions.

Key Lightning vs Kraken stats:

• The 6.5 line has been covered in 3 of the last 5 Lightning games on the road.
• The 6.5 line has been covered in the last 2 Lightning games on the road.
• The 6.5 line has been covered in 3 of the last 5 Kraken games.
• The 6.5 line has been covered in the last 2 Kraken games.

Over 6.5 Probability

When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 48.1% chance of landing a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 55-60%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

There are ways to boost the odds on an Over pick and some bettors go down the Bet Builder route. It’s effectively a same game parlay where you throw in other selections.

Before you bet, take a look at our complete guide to the best free bets and new customer bonuses on offer now.

Our Game Prediction

Over 6.5 Goals @ +108 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 17, 01:56). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jordan Eberle Over 1.5 Shots -175

Jordan Eberle (Kraken) has finished with Over 1.5 shots on goal in 5 straight home games. We’re expecting history to repeat itself and for him to cover the Shots on Goal line at odds of -175.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Lightning 3 - 5 Kraken

A potentially entertaining bet is going for the Kraken to win by a 5-3 scoreline. At odds of +2900, there’s the chance to get a handsome return should this wager win.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Lightning

Kraken

1-0

Lightning

+5000

Kraken

+5500

2-0

Lightning

+4000

Kraken

+5500

2-1

Lightning

+1300

Kraken

+1600

3-0

Lightning

+2500

Kraken

+4500

3-1

Lightning

+1600

Kraken

+2400

3-2

Lightning

+800

Kraken

+1000

4-0

Lightning

+2900

Kraken

+6000

4-1

Lightning

+1200

Kraken

+2200

4-2

Lightning

+1300

Kraken

+2000

4-3

Lightning

+950

Kraken

+1200

5-0

Lightning

+5000

Kraken

+11000

5-1

Lightning

+1800

Kraken

+4000

5-2

Lightning

+1300

Kraken

+2400

5-3

Lightning

+2000

Kraken

+2900

5-4

Lightning

+1900

Kraken

+2200

6-1

Lightning

+4000

Kraken

+10000

6-2

Lightning

+2400

Kraken

+5000

6-3

Lightning

+2400

Kraken

+4000

6-4

Lightning

+4000

Kraken

+6000

6-5

Lightning

+4500

Kraken

+5500

7-2

Lightning

+5500

Kraken

+12500

7-3

Lightning

+4500

Kraken

+8000

7-4

Lightning

+5500

Kraken

+8000

7-5

Lightning

+10000

Kraken

+12000

7-6

Lightning

+11000

Kraken

+12500

View More

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Seattle Kraken Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With a 66% chance of securing victory, Tampa Bay Lightning are favorites for this game and the sportsbooks have them at betting odds of -192. Seattle Kraken are the underdogs at +158 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

1.5 is where the puck line lies, with total goals being 6.5 right now. The Totals offers hockey bettors an alternative way of getting involved. If you want to wager Over 6.5, there are odds of +108.

The top NHL sportsbooks offer a wide range of game lines and team props for every matchup. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Moneyline

Lightning

-192

Kraken

+158

3-Way Moneyline

Lightning

-116

Tie

+340

Kraken

+250

Puck Line

Lightning -1.5

+130

Kraken +1.5

-161

Total Goals

Under 6.5

-132

Over 6.5

+108

If you have a view on Player Goals, Powerplay Points, Assists, Shots or Goaltender Saves, then the player and goalie prop betting could be up your street. It’s a great way of wagering on individual performance.

For those looking to enjoy a thrilling in-game wager, then NHL micro betting could be up your street. You are now able to bet on the Next Goal, Next Goalscorer and what will happen within the next 10 minutes.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Tampa Bay Lightning Stats

Seattle Kraken Stats

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 3 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 2 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 5 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 7.40 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 7.10 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 6.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.20 goals and allowed 4.20 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 3.30 pts and allowed 3.80 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.30 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 6.40 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 6.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.90 goals and allowed 3.40 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 3.60 goals and allowed 2.80 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 28.1
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 5.4
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 15.6
• Blocks: 14.9
• Faceoff Wins : 27.4
• Hits: 25.1
• Giveaways: 13
• Takeaways: 3.4

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.7
• Shots: 29.5
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 4.9
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 15.6
• Blocks: 13.9
• Faceoff Wins : 27.1
• Hits: 21.7
• Giveaways: 15.7
• Takeaways: 3.9

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.4
• Shots: 27.2
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 2.4
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 5.6
• Blocks: 11.1
• Faceoff Wins : 27.2
• Hits: 20.6
• Giveaways: 14.7
• Takeaways: 4.9

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.4
• Shots: 26.9
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 3
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 7.3
• Blocks: 11.3
• Faceoff Wins : 28.7
• Hits: 20.1
• Giveaways: 13.7
• Takeaways: 5

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

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