Toronto Maple Leafs vs Dallas Stars Prediction, Picks & Odds | 21 Dec 2025

NHL Betting Preview: Maple Leafs vs Stars

The Toronto Maple Leafs meet the Dallas Stars at American Airlines Center, with face-off scheduled for 19:00 on Sunday, December 21.

The best wager could be backing the Stars to claim a regulation time victory when clashing with the Maple Leafs. Our prediction can be taken at -122 on the 3-Way Moneyline which yields a potentially nice return.

Thinking of betting on Stars to come out on top? Grab the latest BetMGM promo code and check out our comprehensive review to bet smarter.

Toronto Maple Leafs have now lost back-to-back games. On the road in their previous appearance, Nashville Predators won 5-3 at Bridgestone Arena. John Tavares, Bobby McMann and Nicolas Roy scored one goal apiece.

Dallas Stars have triumphed in their last three games. The latest of these was on the road where Anaheim Ducks were beaten 8-3 at Honda Center. Jason Robertson recorded 3 points, including 2 goals and 1 assist.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Stars had the edge in the most recent encounter between these teams. At Scotiabank Arena, they recorded a 4-1 win over the Leafs. It’s been eight Leafs wins in the past 10 games between these teams.

Starting Goalies

Dennis Hildeby (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	2-4-3	2.9	.915	1

Jake Oettinger (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	15-6-2	2.6	.907	2
23/24	35-14-2	2.72	.905	3

5 wins, 3 losses and 2 overtime losses, averaging 3.0 goals from 25.5 shots on goal, with a 9.4% powerplay efficiency. The Leafs have been giving up 2.5 goals from 31.4 shots, averaging 2.7 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 88.9%.

Auston Matthews is the top points scorer with 8 points, 5 goals and 3 assists, with Bobby McMann racking up 8 points, 4 goals and 4 assists, over the last 10 games. Goalie Dennis Hildeby have a 2.39 goal against average with a .925 save percentage, including one shutout.

The Stars have 7 wins, 2 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 3.4 goals from 23.4 shots on goal, with a 22.2% powerplay efficiency. They have conceded 2.5 goals from 29.6 shots, averaging 3.8 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 94.7%.

The top points scorer is Mikko Rantanen with 15 points, 4 goals and 11 assists, while Wyatt Johnston is next in line after having 11 points, 3 goals and 8 assists. Goalie Jake Oettinger have a 2.00 GAA with a .927 SV%, including one shutout.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Dallas Stars Prediction & Picks

We cover the essential Toronto Maple Leafs vs Dallas Stars betting angles, featuring our main match prediction, correct score pick, top player prop plays and a carefully crafted bet builder.

Game Prediction

For this NHL clash, our pick is Dallas Stars to win in regulation time against inferior opposition and we think that the -122 represents an attractive bet on the 60-minute line.

We keep a close eye on the NHL team news and our handicappers stay sharp by tracking the latest form and lineups. You’ll also find a full set of stats that offer valuable insight and help shape smarter hockey predictions ahead of the action.

Key Maple Leafs vs Stars stats:

• Stars have won 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• Stars have won 15 of their last 20 games.
• Stars have won 3 consecutive games.
• Maple Leafs have lost 4 of their last 5 games.
• Maple Leafs have lost 13 of their last 20 games.
• Maple Leafs have lost their last 2 games.

Stars 3-Way Moneyline Probability

According to the best NHL betting sites, our pick has a 54.9% chance of winning. However, we have this figure closer to 60% based on our in-depth research. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

If you want more juice from a wager on Dallas, there are several alternatives including Match Winner & Total Goals. Puck Line and Winning Margin provide even greater flexibility for bettors.

Give your wagers a boost. Explore our bonus guide for the latest free bets, welcome bonuses and promo codes.

Our Game Prediction

Stars 3-Way Moneyline @ -122 Watch Live Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Mikko Rantanen Over 0.5 Assists -154

Mikko Rantanen (Stars) has recorded at least one assist in 3 straight games. We’re happy to take him to cover the line at -154, with bettors able to land themselves an attractive price for this to happen.

Latest Mikko Rantanen Player Prop Odds

Goals

Anytime

+145

First

+1000

Assists

Over 0.5

-154

Under 0.5

+115

Shots on Goal

Over 2.5

-105

Under 2.5

-125

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Correct Score Prediction

Maple Leafs 3 - 4 Stars

Let’s go for the Stars to win 4-3, a bet which is available at +1000. Correct score betting provides plenty of excitement and a potentially bigger return if you win.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Maple Leafs

Stars

1-0

Maple Leafs

+5500

Stars

+5000

2-0

Maple Leafs

+5500

Stars

+4000

2-1

Maple Leafs

+1600

Stars

+1300

3-0

Maple Leafs

+4500

Stars

+2400

3-1

Maple Leafs

+2400

Stars

+1500

3-2

Maple Leafs

+1000

Stars

+800

4-0

Maple Leafs

+6000

Stars

+2800

4-1

Maple Leafs

+2400

Stars

+1150

4-2

Maple Leafs

+2000

Stars

+1300

4-3

Maple Leafs

+1200

Stars

+1000

5-0

Maple Leafs

+11000

Stars

+4500

5-1

Maple Leafs

+4000

Stars

+1700

5-2

Maple Leafs

+2500

Stars

+1300

5-3

Maple Leafs

+3000

Stars

+2000

5-4

Maple Leafs

+2400

Stars

+2000

6-0

Maple Leafs

+2400

Stars

+6600

6-1

Maple Leafs

+10000

Stars

+3500

6-2

Maple Leafs

+5000

Stars

+2200

6-3

Maple Leafs

+4500

Stars

+2400

6-4

Maple Leafs

+6000

Stars

+4500

6-5

Maple Leafs

+5500

Stars

+5000

7-0

Maple Leafs

+5500

Stars

+10000

7-1

Maple Leafs

+5500

Stars

+6000

7-2

Maple Leafs

+13000

Stars

+5500

7-3

Maple Leafs

+9000

Stars

+4500

7-4

Maple Leafs

+9000

Stars

+5500

7-5

Maple Leafs

+13000

Stars

+10000

7-6

Maple Leafs

+13000

Stars

+12000

8-1

Maple Leafs

+13000

Stars

+10000

8-2

Maple Leafs

+13000

Stars

+9000

8-3

Maple Leafs

+13000

Stars

+10000

8-4

Maple Leafs

+13000

Stars

+10000

8-5

Maple Leafs

+13000

Stars

+13000

View More

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Dallas Stars Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Dallas Stars have the shortest price to win this game, with the sportsbooks giving them a 67% probability due to their -200 Moneyline betting odds. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Toronto Maple Leafs are trading at +164.

The puck line is 1.5 and the total goals line is currently 5.5. Hockey bettors regularly enjoy the opportunity to wager on Totals. If you fancy Over 5.5, this outcome can be backed at -141.

If you're looking to place a National Hockey League wager, head to the top betting apps and explore the wide range of team props and game lines. Take your time to find the lines and odds that offer the best value.

Moneyline

Maple Leafs

+164

Stars

-200

3-Way Moneyline

Maple Leafs

+260

Tie

+340

Stars

-122

Puck Line

Maple Leafs +1.5

-149

Stars -1.5

+122

Total Goals

Under 5.5

+114

Over 5.5

-141

The Anytime Goalscorer betting indicates that Jason Robertson has odds of +110. He is available at +750 to find the net first which makes him favorite.

Player Goals

Jason Robertson (Stars)

First

+110

Anytime

+750

Mikko Rantanen (Stars)

First

+145

Anytime

+1000

Wyatt Johnston (Stars)

First

+165

Anytime

+1000

Auston Matthews (Maple Leafs)

First

+165

Anytime

+1100

William Nylander (Maple Leafs)

First

+240

Anytime

+1550

Roope Hintz (Stars)

First

+240

Anytime

+1550

John Tavares (Maple Leafs)

First

+260

Anytime

+1550

Matthew Knies (Maple Leafs)

First

+275

Anytime

+1700

Matt Duchene (Stars)

First

+300

Anytime

+1850

Sam Steel (Stars)

First

+400

Anytime

+2200

Jamie Benn (Stars)

First

+425

Anytime

+2500

Easton Cowan (Maple Leafs)

First

+425

Anytime

+2500

Bobby McMann (Maple Leafs)

First

+475

Anytime

+3000

Nicholas Robertson (Maple Leafs)

First

+525

Anytime

+3000

Miro Heiskanen (Stars)

First

+525

Anytime

+3000

Mavrik Bourque (Stars)

First

+525

Anytime

+2800

Matias Maccelli (Maple Leafs)

First

+575

Anytime

+3300

Nicolas Roy (Maple Leafs)

First

+675

Anytime

+3300

Thomas Harley (Stars)

First

+725

Anytime

+3500

Justin Hryckowian (Stars)

First

+825

Anytime

+4000

Oskar Back (Stars)

First

+825

Anytime

+4500

Oliver Ekman-Larsson (Maple Leafs)

First

+875

Anytime

+4500

Morgan Rielly (Maple Leafs)

First

+875

Anytime

+4500

Esa Lindell (Stars)

First

+950

Anytime

+4000

Dakota Joshua (Maple Leafs)

First

+950

Anytime

+4500

Adam Erne (Stars)

First

+950

Anytime

+5000

Calle Jarnkrok (Maple Leafs)

First

+1050

Anytime

+4500

Scott Laughton (Maple Leafs)

First

+1050

Anytime

+5000

Radek Faksa (Stars)

First

+1050

Anytime

+5500

Nils Lundkvist (Stars)

First

+1650

Anytime

+6600

Player Assists

Mikko Rantanen (Stars)

Over 0.5

-154

Under 0.5

+115

Miro Heiskanen (Stars)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-125

William Nylander (Maple Leafs)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-145

Jason Robertson (Stars)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-149

Wyatt Johnston (Stars)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-154

Roope Hintz (Stars)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-161

Auston Matthews (Maple Leafs)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-222

Morgan Rielly (Maple Leafs)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-208

John Tavares (Maple Leafs)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-233

Matthew Knies (Maple Leafs)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-233

Thomas Harley (Stars)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-233

Oliver Ekman-Larsson (Maple Leafs)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-286

Jamie Benn (Stars)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-303

Matt Duchene (Stars)

Over 0.5

+225

Under 0.5

-323

Player Shots

Jason Robertson (Stars)

Over 3.5

+120

Under 3.5

-161

Auston Matthews (Maple Leafs)

Over 3.5

+105

Under 3.5

-141

Mikko Rantanen (Stars)

Over 2.5

-105

Under 2.5

-125

Wyatt Johnston (Stars)

Over 2.5

+120

Under 2.5

-161

William Nylander (Maple Leafs)

Over 2.5

+135

Under 2.5

-185

John Tavares (Maple Leafs)

Over 2.5

+105

Under 2.5

-145

Roope Hintz (Stars)

Over 1.5

-164

Under 1.5

+120

Matthew Knies (Maple Leafs)

Over 1.5

-125

Under 1.5

-110

Matt Duchene (Stars)

Over 1.5

-120

Under 1.5

-110

Miro Heiskanen (Stars)

Over 1.5

-200

Under 1.5

+145

Thomas Harley (Stars)

Over 1.5

-110

Under 1.5

-125

Morgan Rielly (Maple Leafs)

Over 1.5

-149

Under 1.5

+110

Micro betting is something that’s really popular with bettors, with NHL fans essentially being able to bet in-game when it comes to team and player props. Sometimes these are lines where you can wager on Shots or Goals.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Toronto Maple Leafs Stats

Dallas Stars Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 7 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 5 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 4 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 5.60 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 6.10 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 5.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 5.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.00 goals and allowed 2.60 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 3.00 pts and allowed 3.10 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.00 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 5.90 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 5.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 5.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.50 goals and allowed 2.50 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 3.50 goals and allowed 2.40 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.3
• Shots: 25.5
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 2.7
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 6
• Blocks: 10.5
• Faceoff Wins : 31.4
• Hits: 23
• Giveaways: 15.9
• Takeaways: 5.8

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.3
• Shots: 26
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 3.9
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 9.7
• Blocks: 11.9
• Faceoff Wins : 32.2
• Hits: 23.6
• Giveaways: 16.1
• Takeaways: 4.7

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.6
• Shots: 23.4
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.2
• Penalties: 3.8
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 9.1
• Blocks: 13.3
• Faceoff Wins : 30.1
• Hits: 13.9
• Giveaways: 16
• Takeaways: 5.5

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 1
• Shots: 24.5
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3.7
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 9.8
• Blocks: 12.8
• Faceoff Wins : 28.4
• Hits: 17.5
• Giveaways: 14.7
• Takeaways: 4.7

You can watch NHL live streaming depending on where you are located. Sportsbook customers are required to have a funded betting account or place a bet within the past 24 hours.

It’s great to watch live sports and you’ll find a wide range of choice with the leading betting apps.

Maple Leafs vs Stars Live Stream Watch Live Geo-restrictions apply. To use the services you need to be logged in, a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours.

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of face-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

Top Ice Hockey Pages