Toronto Maple Leafs vs Dallas Stars Prediction, Picks & Odds | 21 Dec 2025

NHL Betting Preview: Maple Leafs vs Stars

The Toronto Maple Leafs meet the Dallas Stars at American Airlines Center, with face-off scheduled for 19:00 on Sunday, December 21.

The best wager could be backing the Stars to claim a regulation time victory when clashing with the Maple Leafs. Our prediction can be taken at -122 on the 3-Way Moneyline which yields a potentially nice return.

Toronto Maple Leafs have now lost back-to-back games. On the road in their previous appearance, Nashville Predators won 5-3 at Bridgestone Arena. John Tavares, Bobby McMann and Nicolas Roy scored one goal apiece.

Dallas Stars have triumphed in their last three games. The latest of these was on the road where Anaheim Ducks were beaten 8-3 at Honda Center. Jason Robertson recorded 3 points, including 2 goals and 1 assist.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Stars had the edge in the most recent encounter between these teams. At Scotiabank Arena, they recorded a 4-1 win over the Leafs. It’s been eight Leafs wins in the past 10 games between these teams.

Starting Goalies

Dennis Hildeby (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	5-6-4	2.9	.910	1

Jake Oettinger (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	30-12-6	2.7	.898	2
23/24	35-14-2	2.72	.905	3

5 wins, 3 losses and 2 overtime losses, averaging 3.0 goals from 25.5 shots on goal, with a 9.4% powerplay efficiency. The Leafs have been giving up 2.5 goals from 31.4 shots, averaging 2.7 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 88.9%.

Auston Matthews is the top points scorer with 8 points, 5 goals and 3 assists, with Bobby McMann racking up 8 points, 4 goals and 4 assists, over the last 10 games. Goalie Dennis Hildeby have a 2.39 goal against average with a .925 save percentage, including one shutout.

The Stars have 7 wins, 2 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 3.4 goals from 23.4 shots on goal, with a 22.2% powerplay efficiency. They have conceded 2.5 goals from 29.6 shots, averaging 3.8 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 94.7%.

The top points scorer is Mikko Rantanen with 15 points, 4 goals and 11 assists, while Wyatt Johnston is next in line after having 11 points, 3 goals and 8 assists. Goalie Jake Oettinger have a 2.00 GAA with a .927 SV%, including one shutout.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Dallas Stars Prediction & Picks

We cover the essential Toronto Maple Leafs vs Dallas Stars betting angles, featuring our main match prediction, correct score pick, top player prop plays and a carefully crafted bet builder.

Game Prediction

For this NHL clash, our pick is Dallas Stars to win in regulation time against inferior opposition and we think that the -122 represents an attractive bet on the 60-minute line.

We keep a close eye on the NHL team news and our handicappers stay sharp by tracking the latest form and lineups. You’ll also find a full set of stats that offer valuable insight and help shape smarter hockey predictions ahead of the action.

Key Maple Leafs vs Stars stats:

• Stars have won 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• Stars have won 15 of their last 20 games.
• Stars have won 3 consecutive games.
• Maple Leafs have lost 4 of their last 5 games.
• Maple Leafs have lost 13 of their last 20 games.
• Maple Leafs have lost their last 2 games.

Stars 3-Way Moneyline Probability

According to the best NHL betting sites, our pick has a 54.9% chance of winning. However, we have this figure closer to 60% based on our in-depth research. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

If you want more juice from a wager on Dallas, there are several alternatives including Match Winner & Total Goals. Puck Line and Winning Margin provide even greater flexibility for bettors.

Give your wagers a boost. Explore our bonus guide for the latest free bets, welcome bonuses and promo codes.

Our Game Prediction

Stars 3-Way Moneyline @ -122 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Dec 21, 00:57). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Mikko Rantanen Over 0.5 Assists -154

Mikko Rantanen (Stars) has recorded at least one assist in 3 straight games. We’re happy to take him to cover the line at -154, with bettors able to land themselves an attractive price for this to happen.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Maple Leafs 3 - 4 Stars

Let’s go for the Stars to win 4-3, a bet which is available at +950. Correct score betting provides plenty of excitement and a potentially bigger return if you win.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Maple Leafs

Stars

1-0

Maple Leafs

+6000

Stars

+5000

2-0

Maple Leafs

+6000

Stars

+4000

2-1

Maple Leafs

+1700

Stars

+1400

3-0

Maple Leafs

+4500

Stars

+2500

3-1

Maple Leafs

+2500

Stars

+1600

3-2

Maple Leafs

+1050

Stars

+800

4-0

Maple Leafs

+6600

Stars

+2800

4-1

Maple Leafs

+2500

Stars

+1150

4-2

Maple Leafs

+2200

Stars

+1300

4-3

Maple Leafs

+1200

Stars

+950

5-0

Maple Leafs

+12000

Stars

+4500

5-1

Maple Leafs

+4500

Stars

+1700

5-2

Maple Leafs

+2500

Stars

+1300

5-3

Maple Leafs

+3000

Stars

+1900

5-4

Maple Leafs

+2400

Stars

+1900

6-0

Maple Leafs

+2400

Stars

+6600

6-1

Maple Leafs

+10000

Stars

+3500

6-2

Maple Leafs

+5500

Stars

+2200

6-3

Maple Leafs

+4500

Stars

+2400

6-4

Maple Leafs

+6000

Stars

+4000

6-5

Maple Leafs

+5500

Stars

+4500

7-0

Maple Leafs

+5500

Stars

+10000

7-1

Maple Leafs

+5500

Stars

+6000

7-2

Maple Leafs

+13000

Stars

+5000

7-3

Maple Leafs

+9000

Stars

+4000

7-4

Maple Leafs

+9000

Stars

+5500

7-5

Maple Leafs

+12500

Stars

+9000

7-6

Maple Leafs

+12500

Stars

+11000

8-1

Maple Leafs

+12500

Stars

+10000

8-2

Maple Leafs

+12500

Stars

+9000

8-3

Maple Leafs

+12500

Stars

+10000

8-4

Maple Leafs

+12500

Stars

+9000

8-5

Maple Leafs

+12500

Stars

+12500

9-2

Maple Leafs

+12500

Stars

+14000

View More

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Dallas Stars Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Dallas Stars have the shortest price to win this game, with the sportsbooks giving them a 68% probability due to their -213 Moneyline betting odds. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Toronto Maple Leafs are trading at +176.

The puck line is 1.5 and the total goals line is currently 6.5. Hockey bettors regularly enjoy the opportunity to wager on Totals. If you fancy Over 6.5, this outcome can be backed at +108.

If you're looking to place a National Hockey League wager, head to the top betting apps and explore the wide range of team props and game lines. Take your time to find the lines and odds that offer the best value.

Moneyline

Maple Leafs

+176

Stars

-213

3-Way Moneyline

Maple Leafs

+280

Tie

+350

Stars

-132

Puck Line

Maple Leafs +1.5

-143

Stars -1.5

+116

Total Goals

Under 6.5

-132

Over 6.5

+108

The gambling sites also allow you to place player prop bets such as Goaltender Saves, Powerplay Points, Assists and Goals. This means you can focus on an individual player’s performance rather than wager on the actual outcome of the game in question.

Micro betting is something that’s really popular with bettors, with NHL fans essentially being able to bet in-game when it comes to team and player props. Sometimes these are lines where you can wager on Shots or Goals.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Toronto Maple Leafs Stats

Dallas Stars Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 7 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 5 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 4 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 5.60 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 6.10 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 5.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 5.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.00 goals and allowed 2.60 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 3.00 pts and allowed 3.10 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.00 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 5.90 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 5.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 5.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.50 goals and allowed 2.50 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 3.50 goals and allowed 2.40 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.3
• Shots: 25.5
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 2.7
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 6
• Blocks: 10.5
• Faceoff Wins : 31.4
• Hits: 23
• Giveaways: 15.9
• Takeaways: 5.8

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.3
• Shots: 26
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 3.9
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 9.7
• Blocks: 11.9
• Faceoff Wins : 32.2
• Hits: 23.6
• Giveaways: 16.1
• Takeaways: 4.7

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.6
• Shots: 23.4
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.2
• Penalties: 3.8
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 9.1
• Blocks: 13.3
• Faceoff Wins : 30.1
• Hits: 13.9
• Giveaways: 16
• Takeaways: 5.5

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 1
• Shots: 24.5
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3.7
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 9.8
• Blocks: 12.8
• Faceoff Wins : 28.4
• Hits: 17.5
• Giveaways: 14.7
• Takeaways: 4.7

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

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