Toronto Maple Leafs

Ice Hockey Amerant Bank Arena Sun 11 May 19:30

Florida Panthers

  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Correct Score
  4. Odds
  5. Team Stats
  6. Player Stats
  7. Player Props
  8. Team News
  9. Lineups
  10. Injuries
  11. Roster
  12. Standings
Get Ready for a High-Scoring Clash

Toronto Maple Leafs (52-26-4, 25-13-3 Away) square off against Florida Panthers (47-31-4, 27-12-2 at Home) in game 4 of this Stanley Cup Playoffs Eastern Conference second round matchup at Amerant Bank Arena. The Leafs lead the series 2-1.

The Maple Leafs and the Panthers should be able to light the lamp multiple times and that leads us to backing the -141 that there are Over 5.5 goals.

Overtime Win for Panthers in Last H2H

When Toronto Maple Leafs and Florida Panthers clashed on Friday night, the Panthers claimed a 5-4 (OT) win at Amerant Bank Arena.

The Panthers had 25 shots on goal. Sam Reinhart found the net along with four other players. The Leafs registered 31 shots on goal. John Tavares scored twice, with Matthew Knies and Morgan Rielly netting one goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The H2H over the past 10 games have seen five wins for both teams.

Starting Goalies

Joseph Woll (Confirmed)
Season W-L-OTL: GAA: SV%: SO:
24/25 15-14-7 3.3 .901 2
23/24 12-11-1 2.93 .907 0
Sergei Bobrovsky (Confirmed)
Season W-L-OTL: GAA: SV%: SO:
24/25 27-22-1 3.1 .878 4
23/24 36-17-3 2.37 .915 6

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Florida Panthers Prediction & Picks

Game Prediction

The odds of -141 look really attractive when it comes to back overs on the total line. We’re expecting the scoring to tick over in this NHL game.

The form is always taken into consideration and it’s great to combine this with team news as it becomes available. In order to provide an expert NHL verdict, the latest player and goalie stats are analysed so that we have the best information.

Key Maple Leafs vs Panthers stats:

  • The 5.5 line has been covered in the last 4 Maple Leafs games
  • The 5.5 line has been covered in the last 6 Panthers games
  • The 5.5 line has been covered in 9 of the last 10 Panthers games.
  • The 5.5 line has been covered in the last 3 games between these teams.

Over 5.5 Probability

According to the sportsbooks, our pick has a 58.5% chance of winning. However, our analysts research has found that the actual probability is between 65-70%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

If you want to get larger odds on your Over wager, there’s a smart way of doing this. The sportsbooks will allow you to move the line when it comes to betting on the Total.

Our Game Prediction
Over 5.5 Goals @ -141 Bet Now BetMGM logo
BetMGM logo
BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+
Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (May 10, 21:43). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Published 21:43, 10 May 2025

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Matthew Knies Over 1.5 Shots -175 BetMGM logo

Matthew Knies (Maple Leafs) has covered the 1.5 shots on goal total in 6 straight games. In our opinion, there is value when it comes to him covering the line, with betting odds of -175 now available.

Latest Matthew Knies Player Prop Odds

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Same Game Parlay Picks

Totals Over 5.5
To Score Auston Matthews
Shots on Goal Matthew Knies Over 1.5

We’ve got a same game parlay with three options: Over 5.5 goals, Auston Matthews (Maple Leafs) to score and Matthew Knies (Maple Leafs) to register Over 1.5 shots.

A hockey same game parlay is a fantastic way of cheering on different selections within the same game. You can predict a number of outcomes and get bigger odds than a single bet. The odds can combine to great effect.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Maple Leafs Maple Leafs logo 4 - 3 Panthers logo Panthers

Our prediction for the correct score is the Maple Leafs to land a 4-3 victory and this is available at +1200. It’s a fun wager to place which lands a bigger potential return.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Florida Panthers Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Latest Moneyline Odds Suggest Panthers Victory

Florida Panthers have the shortest price to win this game, with the sportsbooks giving them a 67% probability due to their -200 Moneyline betting odds. Toronto Maple Leafs are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +164.

The puck line is 1.5 and the total goals line is 5.5. There are many ways to wager on the NHL including Totals. If you fancy Over 5.5, this outcome can be backed at -122.

If you’re betting on the National Hockey League, we recommend heading to the betting sites and scanning through the many team props and game lines. There’s a chance to wager pre-game and in-game.

Sam Reinhart Favorite to Score the First Goal

Player Goals

Sam Reinhart (Panthers)
First
+143
Anytime
+850
BetMGM Logo
Matthew Tkachuk (Panthers)
First
+155
Anytime
+950
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Auston Matthews (Maple Leafs)
First
+163
Anytime
+950
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William Nylander (Maple Leafs)
First
+180
Anytime
+1050
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Player Shots

Auston Matthews (Maple Leafs)
Over 3.5
-111
Under 3.5
-116
BetMGM Logo
Sam Reinhart (Panthers)
Over 2.5
-149
Under 2.5
+115
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Matthew Tkachuk (Panthers)
Over 2.5
-156
Under 2.5
+120
BetMGM Logo
William Nylander (Maple Leafs)
Over 2.5
-125
Under 2.5
-103
BetMGM Logo
Micro Betting

Micro betting is an exciting way to wager on the NHL. There are a huge range of live lines and it’s a simple case of predicting what is going to happen next. Next Goal, Next Goalscorer and several 10 Minute lines are among the options.

Live market odds and lines updated regularly. All odds subject to change. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Best Betting Offers
Last 5 & H2H
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Toronto Maple Leafs logo Toronto Maple Leafs Stats
Florida Panthers logo Florida Panthers Stats
Moneyline
  • 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 home games
Puck Line
Puck Line
Total Goals
Total Goals
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team Stats - Avg/Game
Team News
# Player GP MIN G A P +/-
88 William Nylander 41 18.56 18 36 54 2
34 Auston Matthews 52 20.86 26 23 49 5
23 Matthew Knies 55 18.86 15 33 48 -11
# Player GP MIN G A P +/-
13 Sam Reinhart 57 21.42 27 28 55 -16
63 Brad Marchand 46 18.19 25 25 50 -15
9 Sam Bennett 57 18.49 19 23 42 -11

Injuries & Suspensions

Toronto Maple Leafs Injury Table

Type
Name
Info
Anthony Stolarz
Injured
Jani Hakanpaeae
Injured

Florida Panthers Injury Table

Type
Name
Info
No players are currently reported injured or suspended.

Starting Lineups

Florida Panthers logo Florida Panthers

Toronto Maple Leafs logo Toronto Maple Leafs

72
Sergei Bobrovsky
42
Gustav Forsling
5
Aaron Ekblad
17
Evan Rodrigues
16
Aleksander Barkov
13
Sam Reinhart
16
Mitchell Marner
34
Auston Matthews
23
Matthew Knies
8
Christopher Tanev
22
Jake McCabe
60
Joseph Woll

Florida Panthers logo Florida Panthers

Toronto Maple Leafs logo Toronto Maple Leafs

72
Sergei Bobrovsky
77
Niko Mikkola
3
Seth Jones
23
Carter Verhaeghe
9
Sam Bennett
19
Matthew Tkachuk
88
William Nylander
91
John Tavares
67
Max Pacioretty
25
Brandon Carlo
44
Morgan Rielly
60
Joseph Woll

Florida Panthers logo Florida Panthers

Toronto Maple Leafs logo Toronto Maple Leafs

72
Sergei Bobrovsky
88
Nate Schmidt
7
Dmitry Kulikov
27
Eetu Luostarinen
15
Anton Lundell
63
Brad Marchand
19
Calle Jaernkrok
24
Scott Laughton
18
Steven Lorentz
95
Oliver Ekman-Larsson
2
Simon Benoit
60
Joseph Woll

Florida Panthers logo Florida Panthers

Toronto Maple Leafs logo Toronto Maple Leafs

72
Sergei Bobrovsky
10
A.J. Greer
92
Tomas Nosek
12
Jonah Gadjovich
29
Pontus Holmberg
11
Max Domi
74
Bobby McMann
60
Joseph Woll

Previous Toronto Maple Leafs Lineups

25 Feb NHL
Maple Leafs 2-4 Lightning
03 Feb NHL
Maple Leafs 5-2 Oilers
02 Feb NHL
Maple Leafs 4-2 Flames
31 Jan NHL
Maple Leafs 3-2 Canucks
29 Jan NHL
Maple Leafs 2-5 Kraken
27 Jan NHL
Sabres 7-4 Maple Leafs
25 Jan NHL
Avalanche 4-1 Maple Leafs
23 Jan NHL
Golden Knights 6-3 Maple Leafs
21 Jan NHL
Red Wings 2-1 Maple Leafs
19 Jan NHL
Wild 6-3 Maple Leafs

Previous Florida Panthers Lineups

05 Feb NHL
Panthers 1-6 Lightning
04 Feb NHL
Bruins 4-5 Panthers
02 Feb NHL
Sabres 5-3 Panthers
31 Jan NHL
Jets 2-1 Panthers
29 Jan NHL
Panthers 4-5 Blues
27 Jan NHL
Mammoth 4-3 Panthers
25 Jan NHL
Panthers 5-1 Blackhawks
24 Jan NHL
Panthers 4-3 Wild
22 Jan NHL
Panthers 2-1 Jets
19 Jan NHL
Sharks 4-1 Panthers
NHL Standings Select Season
Metropolitan GP W L OT PTS P% RW ROW GF GA DIFF Home Road S/O L10 Strk
1 Carolina 76 49 21 6 104 0.684 36 44 272 222 50 28-10-2 21-11-4 5-3 7-3 3W
2 Pittsburgh 77 39 22 16 94 0.61 32 36 275 248 27 19-12-8 20-10-8 3-10 5-5 1W
3 NY Islanders 78 42 31 5 89 0.571 28 38 226 229 -3 21-14-2 21-17-3 4-5 3-7 4L
4 Philadelphia 76 38 26 12 88 0.579 24 29 226 230 -4 17-13-8 21-13-4 9-4 7-3 1W
5 Columbus 77 38 27 12 88 0.571 27 32 241 238 3 20-11-8 18-16-4 6-2 3-7 6L
6 Washington 77 39 29 9 87 0.565 33 37 247 232 15 24-11-5 15-18-4 2-6 6-4 1W
7 New Jersey 76 39 34 3 81 0.533 27 35 215 234 -19 20-15-3 19-19-0 4-1 6-4 1L
8 NY Rangers 77 32 36 9 73 0.474 23 29 221 237 -16 13-19-7 19-17-2 3-1 4-6 1W
East Atlantic GP W L OT PTS P% RW ROW GF GA DIFF Home Road S/O L10 Strk
1 Tampa Bay 76 48 22 6 102 0.671 39 44 277 211 66 25-13-1 23-9-5 4-2 7-3 2W
2 Montreal 76 45 21 10 100 0.658 32 42 269 239 30 22-13-2 23-8-8 3-5 9-1 8W
3 Buffalo 77 46 23 8 100 0.649 38 41 266 231 35 24-10-4 22-13-4 5-0 5-5 2L
4 Boston 77 43 26 8 94 0.61 31 39 258 238 20 28-10-1 15-16-7 4-3 6-4 2L
5 Ottawa 76 39 27 10 88 0.579 33 36 252 235 17 19-12-6 20-15-4 3-1 5-5 1L
6 Detroit 76 40 28 8 88 0.579 29 38 221 229 -8 20-14-3 20-14-5 2-3 4-6 1L
7 Toronto 77 32 31 14 78 0.506 23 31 242 275 -33 18-12-8 14-19-6 1-4 4-6 2L
8 Florida 76 37 36 3 77 0.507 29 32 228 257 -29 21-15-3 16-21-0 5-1 4-6 1L
East Central GP W L OT PTS P% RW ROW GF GA DIFF Home Road S/O L10 Strk
1 Colorado 75 50 15 10 110 0.733 44 47 285 193 92 24-8-5 26-7-5 3-6 6-4 1W
2 Dallas 77 45 20 12 102 0.662 35 40 258 211 47 23-11-4 22-9-8 5-4 3-7 1L
3 Minnesota 76 43 21 12 98 0.645 28 39 251 219 32 21-10-8 22-11-4 4-5 5-5 2W
4 Utah 76 40 30 6 86 0.566 31 40 248 218 30 19-14-3 21-16-3 0-0 6-4 3W
5 Nashville 76 36 31 9 81 0.533 26 31 231 253 -22 20-15-3 16-16-6 5-1 7-3 2W
6 Winnipeg 76 33 31 12 78 0.513 26 31 215 232 -17 18-14-6 15-17-6 2-4 5-5 1W
7 St Louis 75 32 31 12 76 0.507 28 31 202 236 -34 18-12-7 14-19-5 1-4 6-4 1W
8 Chicago 77 28 35 14 70 0.455 21 25 200 253 -53 13-16-8 15-19-6 3-5 3-7 1W
West Pacific GP W L OT PTS P% RW ROW GF GA DIFF Home Road S/O L10 Strk
1 Edmonton 77 39 29 9 87 0.565 30 39 265 257 8 21-14-4 18-15-5 0-3 7-3 1L
2 Anaheim 77 41 31 5 87 0.565 24 33 257 271 -14 23-12-3 18-19-2 8-0 4-6 5L
3 Vegas 77 35 26 16 86 0.558 27 34 247 240 7 18-12-9 17-14-7 1-7 4-6 3W
4 LA Kings 76 31 26 19 81 0.533 19 27 208 234 -26 12-17-9 19-9-10 4-9 4-6 1W
5 San Jose 75 36 32 7 79 0.527 24 34 231 267 -36 20-13-5 16-19-2 2-1 4-6 1L
6 Seattle 75 32 32 11 75 0.5 25 31 210 237 -27 17-16-5 15-16-6 1-6 2-8 4L
7 Calgary 76 32 36 8 72 0.474 25 28 199 243 -44 21-12-5 11-24-3 4-3 6-4 1W
8 Vancouver 76 22 46 8 52 0.342 15 17 201 295 -94 8-26-5 14-20-3 5-2 2-8 2L
Eastern GP W L OT PTS P% RW ROW GF GA DIFF Home Road S/O L10 Strk
1 Carolina 76 49 21 6 104 0.684 36 44 272 222 50 28-10-2 21-11-4 5-3 7-3 3W
2 Tampa Bay 76 48 22 6 102 0.671 39 44 277 211 66 25-13-1 23-9-5 4-2 7-3 2W
3 Montreal 76 45 21 10 100 0.658 32 42 269 239 30 22-13-2 23-8-8 3-5 9-1 8W
4 Buffalo 77 46 23 8 100 0.649 38 41 266 231 35 24-10-4 22-13-4 5-0 5-5 2L
5 Pittsburgh 77 39 22 16 94 0.61 32 36 275 248 27 19-12-8 20-10-8 3-10 5-5 1W
6 Boston 77 43 26 8 94 0.61 31 39 258 238 20 28-10-1 15-16-7 4-3 6-4 2L
7 NY Islanders 78 42 31 5 89 0.571 28 38 226 229 -3 21-14-2 21-17-3 4-5 3-7 4L
8 Ottawa 76 39 27 10 88 0.579 33 36 252 235 17 19-12-6 20-15-4 3-1 5-5 1L
9 Detroit 76 40 28 8 88 0.579 29 38 221 229 -8 20-14-3 20-14-5 2-3 4-6 1L
10 Philadelphia 76 38 26 12 88 0.579 24 29 226 230 -4 17-13-8 21-13-4 9-4 7-3 1W
11 Columbus 77 38 27 12 88 0.571 27 32 241 238 3 20-11-8 18-16-4 6-2 3-7 6L
12 Washington 77 39 29 9 87 0.565 33 37 247 232 15 24-11-5 15-18-4 2-6 6-4 1W
13 New Jersey 76 39 34 3 81 0.533 27 35 215 234 -19 20-15-3 19-19-0 4-1 6-4 1L
14 Toronto 77 32 31 14 78 0.506 23 31 242 275 -33 18-12-8 14-19-6 1-4 4-6 2L
15 Florida 76 37 36 3 77 0.507 29 32 228 257 -29 21-15-3 16-21-0 5-1 4-6 1L
16 NY Rangers 77 32 36 9 73 0.474 23 29 221 237 -16 13-19-7 19-17-2 3-1 4-6 1W
Western GP W L OT PTS P% RW ROW GF GA DIFF Home Road S/O L10 Strk
1 Colorado 75 50 15 10 110 0.733 44 47 285 193 92 24-8-5 26-7-5 3-6 6-4 1W
2 Dallas 77 45 20 12 102 0.662 35 40 258 211 47 23-11-4 22-9-8 5-4 3-7 1L
3 Minnesota 76 43 21 12 98 0.645 28 39 251 219 32 21-10-8 22-11-4 4-5 5-5 2W
4 Edmonton 77 39 29 9 87 0.565 30 39 265 257 8 21-14-4 18-15-5 0-3 7-3 1L
5 Anaheim 77 41 31 5 87 0.565 24 33 257 271 -14 23-12-3 18-19-2 8-0 4-6 5L
6 Utah 76 40 30 6 86 0.566 31 40 248 218 30 19-14-3 21-16-3 0-0 6-4 3W
7 Vegas 77 35 26 16 86 0.558 27 34 247 240 7 18-12-9 17-14-7 1-7 4-6 3W
8 Nashville 76 36 31 9 81 0.533 26 31 231 253 -22 20-15-3 16-16-6 5-1 7-3 2W
9 LA Kings 76 31 26 19 81 0.533 19 27 208 234 -26 12-17-9 19-9-10 4-9 4-6 1W
10 San Jose 75 36 32 7 79 0.527 24 34 231 267 -36 20-13-5 16-19-2 2-1 4-6 1L
11 Winnipeg 76 33 31 12 78 0.513 26 31 215 232 -17 18-14-6 15-17-6 2-4 5-5 1W
12 St Louis 75 32 31 12 76 0.507 28 31 202 236 -34 18-12-7 14-19-5 1-4 6-4 1W
13 Seattle 75 32 32 11 75 0.5 25 31 210 237 -27 17-16-5 15-16-6 1-6 2-8 4L
14 Calgary 76 32 36 8 72 0.474 25 28 199 243 -44 21-12-5 11-24-3 4-3 6-4 1W
15 Chicago 77 28 35 14 70 0.455 21 25 200 253 -53 13-16-8 15-19-6 3-5 3-7 1W
16 Vancouver 76 22 46 8 52 0.342 15 17 201 295 -94 8-26-5 14-20-3 5-2 2-8 2L
GP W L OT PTS P% RW ROW GF GA DIFF Home Road S/O L10 Strk
1 Colorado 75 50 15 10 110 0.733 44 47 285 193 92 24-8-5 26-7-5 3-6 6-4 1W
2 Carolina 76 49 21 6 104 0.684 36 44 272 222 50 28-10-2 21-11-4 5-3 7-3 3W
3 Tampa Bay 76 48 22 6 102 0.671 39 44 277 211 66 25-13-1 23-9-5 4-2 7-3 2W
4 Dallas 77 45 20 12 102 0.662 35 40 258 211 47 23-11-4 22-9-8 5-4 3-7 1L
5 Montreal 76 45 21 10 100 0.658 32 42 269 239 30 22-13-2 23-8-8 3-5 9-1 8W
6 Buffalo 77 46 23 8 100 0.649 38 41 266 231 35 24-10-4 22-13-4 5-0 5-5 2L
7 Minnesota 76 43 21 12 98 0.645 28 39 251 219 32 21-10-8 22-11-4 4-5 5-5 2W
8 Pittsburgh 77 39 22 16 94 0.61 32 36 275 248 27 19-12-8 20-10-8 3-10 5-5 1W
9 Boston 77 43 26 8 94 0.61 31 39 258 238 20 28-10-1 15-16-7 4-3 6-4 2L
10 NY Islanders 78 42 31 5 89 0.571 28 38 226 229 -3 21-14-2 21-17-3 4-5 3-7 4L
11 Ottawa 76 39 27 10 88 0.579 33 36 252 235 17 19-12-6 20-15-4 3-1 5-5 1L
12 Detroit 76 40 28 8 88 0.579 29 38 221 229 -8 20-14-3 20-14-5 2-3 4-6 1L
13 Philadelphia 76 38 26 12 88 0.579 24 29 226 230 -4 17-13-8 21-13-4 9-4 7-3 1W
14 Columbus 77 38 27 12 88 0.571 27 32 241 238 3 20-11-8 18-16-4 6-2 3-7 6L
15 Washington 77 39 29 9 87 0.565 33 37 247 232 15 24-11-5 15-18-4 2-6 6-4 1W
16 Edmonton 77 39 29 9 87 0.565 30 39 265 257 8 21-14-4 18-15-5 0-3 7-3 1L
17 Anaheim 77 41 31 5 87 0.565 24 33 257 271 -14 23-12-3 18-19-2 8-0 4-6 5L
18 Utah 76 40 30 6 86 0.566 31 40 248 218 30 19-14-3 21-16-3 0-0 6-4 3W
19 Vegas 77 35 26 16 86 0.558 27 34 247 240 7 18-12-9 17-14-7 1-7 4-6 3W
20 New Jersey 76 39 34 3 81 0.533 27 35 215 234 -19 20-15-3 19-19-0 4-1 6-4 1L
21 Nashville 76 36 31 9 81 0.533 26 31 231 253 -22 20-15-3 16-16-6 5-1 7-3 2W
22 LA Kings 76 31 26 19 81 0.533 19 27 208 234 -26 12-17-9 19-9-10 4-9 4-6 1W
23 San Jose 75 36 32 7 79 0.527 24 34 231 267 -36 20-13-5 16-19-2 2-1 4-6 1L
24 Winnipeg 76 33 31 12 78 0.513 26 31 215 232 -17 18-14-6 15-17-6 2-4 5-5 1W
25 Toronto 77 32 31 14 78 0.506 23 31 242 275 -33 18-12-8 14-19-6 1-4 4-6 2L
26 Florida 76 37 36 3 77 0.507 29 32 228 257 -29 21-15-3 16-21-0 5-1 4-6 1L
27 St Louis 75 32 31 12 76 0.507 28 31 202 236 -34 18-12-7 14-19-5 1-4 6-4 1W
28 Seattle 75 32 32 11 75 0.5 25 31 210 237 -27 17-16-5 15-16-6 1-6 2-8 4L
29 NY Rangers 77 32 36 9 73 0.474 23 29 221 237 -16 13-19-7 19-17-2 3-1 4-6 1W
30 Calgary 76 32 36 8 72 0.474 25 28 199 243 -44 21-12-5 11-24-3 4-3 6-4 1W
31 Chicago 77 28 35 14 70 0.455 21 25 200 253 -53 13-16-8 15-19-6 3-5 3-7 1W
32 Vancouver 76 22 46 8 52 0.342 15 17 201 295 -94 8-26-5 14-20-3 5-2 2-8 2L