Toronto Maple Leafs vs Montreal Canadiens Prediction, Picks & Odds | 22 Nov 2025

NHL Betting Preview: Maple Leafs vs Canadiens

Fierce rivals Toronto Maple Leafs and Montreal Canadiens clash at Bell Centre, with face-off scheduled for 19:00 on Saturday, November 22.

We’re expecting the Maple Leafs and the Canadiens to frequently find the net and that leads us to an Over 5.5 prediction. Let’s grab the -139 that this outcome happens.

Toronto Maple Leafs have lost in back-to-back road appearances, while their previous game was a 3-2 (OT) home loss against Columbus Blue Jackets at Scotiabank Arena. John Tavares and Dakota Mermis scored one goal each.

Montreal Canadiens have lost their last five games, most recently suffering a 8-4 home defeat to Washington Capitals at Bell Centre. There were four different goalscorers including Mike Matheson.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was a 5-2 win for the Leafs at Scotiabank Arena when they last played the Habs. The Leafs have won four on the spin against the Habs. They’ve also claimed 9 victories in the past 10 head-to-head encounters.

Starting Goalies

Joseph Woll (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	15-14-6	3.2	.904	2
23/24	12-11-1	2.93	.907	0

Jakub Dobes (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	26-8-4	2.7	.903	0

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Montreal Canadiens Prediction & Picks

From our key match prediction to correct score pick, top player prop insights and a builder tailored for value — our Toronto Maple Leafs vs Montreal Canadiens betting tips covers it all.

Game Prediction

The -139 available that this NHL encounter goes over the 5.5 goal line makes plenty of appeal. Our pick is that the teams will combine to make this happen.

The hockey predictions at Sportsgambler.com are always guided by the latest team news, injury updates and overall form. Once we've reviewed that, we dive into the most relevant NHL stats to confidently recommend every pick.

Key Maple Leafs vs Canadiens stats:

• The 5.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Maple Leafs games on the road.
• The 5.5 line has been covered in 15 of the last 20 Maple Leafs games.
• The 5.5 line has been covered in 9 of the last 10 Canadiens games.
• The 5.5 line has been covered in 16 of the last 20 Canadiens games.
• The 5.5 line has been covered in the last 2 Canadiens games.

Over 5.5 Probability

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 58.1% chance of winning. After careful examination, our cappers calculate this probability to be somewhere between 65-70%. This is why we can recommend this hockey wager.

In order to land bigger odds on your Overs bet, it’s possible to combine this with the winning franchise. The Match Winner & Total Goals option can provide a larger potential payout.

Explore the latest free bet promotions and welcome bonuses in our expert betting guide, updated with the best offers.

Our Game Prediction

Over 5.5 Goals @ -139 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Nov 21, 23:56). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: John Tavares Over 0.5 Assists -110

John Tavares (Maple Leafs) has finished with at least one assist in 3 straight games. The odds for him on the Overs has lots of appeal, with bettors currently able to get odds of -110 for this happening.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Maple Leafs 5 - 2 Canadiens

A 5-2 win in favor of the Maple Leafs is available at odds of +1900. Correct score betting can be rewarding and you can also get plenty of entertainment with this option.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Maple Leafs

Canadiens

1-0

Maple Leafs

+6000

Canadiens

+6000

2-0

Maple Leafs

+5500

Canadiens

+5000

2-1

Maple Leafs

+1700

Canadiens

+1600

3-0

Maple Leafs

+4000

Canadiens

+3400

3-1

Maple Leafs

+2200

Canadiens

+1900

3-2

Maple Leafs

+950

Canadiens

+850

4-0

Maple Leafs

+5500

Canadiens

+4000

4-1

Maple Leafs

+2000

Canadiens

+1500

4-2

Maple Leafs

+1700

Canadiens

+1500

4-3

Maple Leafs

+1050

Canadiens

+950

5-0

Maple Leafs

+9000

Canadiens

+6600

5-1

Maple Leafs

+3300

Canadiens

+2400

5-2

Maple Leafs

+1900

Canadiens

+1500

5-3

Maple Leafs

+2400

Canadiens

+2000

5-4

Maple Leafs

+1900

Canadiens

+1700

6-0

Maple Leafs

+13000

Canadiens

+9000

6-1

Maple Leafs

+7500

Canadiens

+5000

6-2

Maple Leafs

+3500

Canadiens

+2800

6-3

Maple Leafs

+3000

Canadiens

+2500

6-4

Maple Leafs

+4500

Canadiens

+4000

6-5

Maple Leafs

+4500

Canadiens

+4000

7-0

Maple Leafs

+4500

Canadiens

+14000

7-1

Maple Leafs

+12000

Canadiens

+8000

7-2

Maple Leafs

+9000

Canadiens

+6600

7-3

Maple Leafs

+6000

Canadiens

+4500

7-4

Maple Leafs

+6600

Canadiens

+5500

7-5

Maple Leafs

+10000

Canadiens

+9000

7-6

Maple Leafs

+10000

Canadiens

+10000

8-1

Maple Leafs

+10000

Canadiens

+13000

8-2

Maple Leafs

+10000

Canadiens

+11000

8-3

Maple Leafs

+10000

Canadiens

+11000

8-4

Maple Leafs

+12000

Canadiens

+10000

8-5

Maple Leafs

+14000

Canadiens

+12000

View More

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Montreal Canadiens Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The Montreal Canadiens odds have been priced up by the sportsbooks and the Habs are -149 betting favorites to land victory in this game which means a 60% chance of winning. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Toronto Maple Leafs are trading at +125.

1.5 is the puck line and 6.5 is the total goals line. Hockey bettors regularly enjoy the opportunity to wager on Totals. If you want to wager Over 6.5, there are odds of -102.

The top NHL sportsbooks offer a wide range of game lines and team props for every matchup. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Moneyline

Maple Leafs

+125

Canadiens

-149

3-Way Moneyline

Maple Leafs

+180

Tie

+320

Canadiens

+117

Puck Line

Maple Leafs +1.5

-200

Canadiens -1.5

+160

Total Goals

Under 6.5

-120

Over 6.5

-102

Player prop bets don’t involve betting on a team to win and instead might look at a player’s individual performance. For example, the number of Goals they might score or the number of Shots they might have.

Micro betting is something that’s really popular with bettors, with NHL fans essentially being able to bet in-game when it comes to team and player props. Sometimes these are lines where you can wager on Shots or Goals.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Toronto Maple Leafs Stats

Montreal Canadiens Stats

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 5 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 4 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.40 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 7.00 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 6.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.60 goals and allowed 3.80 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 3.10 pts and allowed 3.90 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 7.90 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 6.90 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 6.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 4.50 goals and allowed 3.40 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 4.10 goals and allowed 2.80 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.6
• Shots: 29.6
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3.5
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 8.7
• Blocks: 11.9
• Faceoff Wins : 28.5
• Hits: 19.8
• Giveaways: 14.8
• Takeaways: 4.8

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.7
• Shots: 30.9
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 2.7
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 5.7
• Blocks: 11
• Faceoff Wins : 25.2
• Hits: 18.4
• Giveaways: 16.6
• Takeaways: 5

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.9
• Shots: 26.9
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.3
• Penalties: 3.5
• Empty Net Goals: 0.4
• Penalty Minutes: 7
• Blocks: 12.8
• Faceoff Wins : 30.3
• Hits: 20.9
• Giveaways: 12.5
• Takeaways: 4.6

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.4
• Shots: 29.4
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.2
• Penalties: 3.9
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 8.6
• Blocks: 13.7
• Faceoff Wins : 25.3
• Hits: 22.2
• Giveaways: 12.9
• Takeaways: 4.9

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

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