Toronto Maple Leafs vs New York Rangers Prediction, Picks & Odds | 05 Mar 2026

NHL Betting Preview: Maple Leafs vs Rangers

The Toronto Maple Leafs clash with the New York Rangers at Madison Square Garden, with face-off scheduled for 19:00 on Thursday, March 5.

We’re keeping things simple by wagering the Rangers on the Moneyline. They should get the better of the Maple Leafs and our prediction is available at odds of -120.

Toronto Maple Leafs were beaten in their previous five games and the latest was on the road at Prudential Center. New Jersey Devils claimed a 4-3 (SO) win. William Nylander, Matias Maccelli and Matthew Knies scored one goal each. Goalie Anthony Stolarz had 44 saves (.936).

New York Rangers were beaten 5-4 (OT) at Madison Square Garden in their last game, being turned over at home to Columbus Blue Jackets. Gabriel Perreault scored twice, with Vladislav Gavrikov and Will Borgen netting one goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Leafs won the most recent encounter between these teams. A 2-1 victory was registered against the Rangers at Scotiabank Arena. The Leafs have three straight victories against the Rangers. They have won 7 of the 10 previous head-to-head meetings.

Starting Goalies

Joseph Woll (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	13-9-4	3.1	.906	2
23/24	12-11-1	2.93	.907	0

Igor Shesterkin (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	18-12-6	2.5	.911	1
23/24	36-17-2	2.58	.912	4

3 wins, 5 losses and 2 overtime losses, averaging 2.7 goals from 28.9 shots on goal, with a 25.0% powerplay efficiency. The Leafs have given up 3.7 goals from 33.4 shots, averaging 3.2 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 87.5%.

Auston Matthews is the top points scorer with 10 points, 1 goal and 9 assists, with William Nylander recording 9 points, 4 goals and 5 assists, in the past 10 games. Goalie Anthony Stolarz have a 2.75 goal against average with a .915 save percentage.

The Rangers have 2 wins, 6 losses and 2 overtime losses, averaging 2.4 goals from 24.8 shots on goal, with a 13.8% powerplay efficiency. They have conceded 3.5 goals from 30.4 shots, averaging 4.0 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 80.0%.

The top points scorer is J.T. Miller with 8 points, 3 goals and 5 assists, while Vincent Trocheck is next best after having 8 points, 1 goal and 7 assists. Goalie Jonathan Quick have a 3.02 GAA with a .898 SV%.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs New York Rangers Prediction & Picks

Head into Toronto Maple Leafs vs New York Rangers with expert betting insights, including our main match prediction, best correct score pick and a value-driven bet builder. Dive into each section below for more.

Game Prediction

New York Rangers are available at -120 when it comes to winning this NHL clash. Our pick is that they’ll outscore the road team and there’s value available when it comes to these odds.

Our expert hockey predictions always start with checking the latest team news and understanding how it might impact the matchup. From there, we dive into the most valuable NHL stats to uncover the insights that matter most.

Key Maple Leafs vs Rangers stats:

• Maple Leafs have lost their last 5 games.
• Maple Leafs have lost 7 of their last 10 games.
• Maple Leafs have lost 13 of their last 20 games.

Rangers Moneyline Probability

Based on the odds from the best betting apps, our pick has a 54.6% chance of winning. In the opinion of our analysts, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

It’s worth considering all the options. If you’re looking for bigger odds about Rangers to win and a certain number of goals to be scored, then choose a selection for the Match Winner & Goals.

Get more from your wager using our bonus guide, which highlights top betting offers, free bets, and welcome promotions.

Our Game Prediction

Rangers Moneyline @ -120 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 5, 00:56). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Maple Leafs 3 - 5 Rangers

We’ve got a correct score prediction which involves the Rangers winning 5-3. Odds of +2200 look appealing and we should get a run for our money here.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Maple Leafs

Rangers

1-0

Maple Leafs

+5000

Rangers

+5000

2-0

Maple Leafs

+4500

Rangers

+4500

2-1

Maple Leafs

+1400

Rangers

+1400

3-0

Maple Leafs

+3300

Rangers

+3000

3-1

Maple Leafs

+1900

Rangers

+1800

3-2

Maple Leafs

+850

Rangers

+850

4-0

Maple Leafs

+4000

Rangers

+4000

4-1

Maple Leafs

+1600

Rangers

+1500

4-2

Maple Leafs

+1600

Rangers

+1500

4-3

Maple Leafs

+1050

Rangers

+1000

5-0

Maple Leafs

+7500

Rangers

+6600

5-1

Maple Leafs

+2800

Rangers

+2400

5-2

Maple Leafs

+1800

Rangers

+1600

5-3

Maple Leafs

+2500

Rangers

+2200

5-4

Maple Leafs

+2200

Rangers

+2000

6-0

Maple Leafs

+12000

Rangers

+10000

6-1

Maple Leafs

+6600

Rangers

+5500

6-2

Maple Leafs

+3500

Rangers

+3000

6-3

Maple Leafs

+3300

Rangers

+2900

6-4

Maple Leafs

+5000

Rangers

+5000

6-5

Maple Leafs

+5000

Rangers

+5000

7-1

Maple Leafs

+11000

Rangers

+9000

7-2

Maple Leafs

+9000

Rangers

+7500

7-3

Maple Leafs

+6600

Rangers

+5500

7-4

Maple Leafs

+7000

Rangers

+6600

7-5

Maple Leafs

+11000

Rangers

+11000

7-6

Maple Leafs

+12000

Rangers

+12000

8-2

Maple Leafs

+13000

Rangers

+13000

8-3

Maple Leafs

+14000

Rangers

+13000

8-4

Maple Leafs

+13000

Rangers

+12000

8-5

Maple Leafs

+14000

Rangers

+14000

View More

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs New York Rangers Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The betting odds about New York Rangers winning is -120, with Toronto Maple Leafs priced up at -100 to achieve victory. This means the leading sportsbooks give the visiting team a 50% chance of success.

The puck line is 1.5 and the total goals line is currently 5.5. The beauty of Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. If you're keen on Over 5.5, this selection is available at -133.

The top NHL sportsbooks offer a wide range of game lines and team props for every matchup. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Moneyline

Maple Leafs

-100

Rangers

-120

3-Way Moneyline

Maple Leafs

+160

Tie

+320

Rangers

+135

Puck Line

Maple Leafs +1.5

-250

Rangers -1.5

+198

Total Goals

Under 5.5

+110

Over 5.5

-133

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Toronto Maple Leafs Stats

New York Rangers Stats

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 5 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have not covered the -1.5 puck line in any of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have not covered the -1.5 puck line in any of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.70 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 6.90 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 5.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
• Over 5.5 on the Road: Covered in 9 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.80 goals and allowed 3.90 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 3.00 pts and allowed 3.90 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.00 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 6.10 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 5.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 5.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.50 goals and allowed 3.50 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 2.40 goals and allowed 3.70 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.7
• Shots: 28.9
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3.2
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 7.8
• Blocks: 12.9
• Faceoff Wins : 28.4
• Hits: 20.1
• Giveaways: 15.1
• Takeaways: 5.4

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.7
• Shots: 29.7
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 2.8
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 5.9
• Blocks: 10.1
• Faceoff Wins : 22.2
• Hits: 17.9
• Giveaways: 17.1
• Takeaways: 5.2

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.4
• Shots: 24.8
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 4
• Empty Net Goals: 0
• Penalty Minutes: 9.1
• Blocks: 14.8
• Faceoff Wins : 32.5
• Hits: 26.9
• Giveaways: 13.4
• Takeaways: 4

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 24.7
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 2.8
• Empty Net Goals: 0
• Penalty Minutes: 6.7
• Blocks: 13.5
• Faceoff Wins : 27.1
• Hits: 30.9
• Giveaways: 14.7
• Takeaways: 4.7

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of face-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

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