Toronto Maple Leafs vs Philadelphia Flyers Prediction, Picks & Odds | 08 Jan 2026

NHL Betting Preview: Maple Leafs vs Flyers

The Toronto Maple Leafs go up against the Philadelphia Flyers at Xfinity Mobile Arena, with face-off scheduled for 19:00 on Thursday, January 8.

We are going to bet against the Maple Leafs with our prediction. The best way of doing this is by siding with the home team and we really like the -133 about the Flyers winning on the Moneyline.

Toronto Maple Leafs have lost five straight road games. In their previous appearance, they recorded a 4-1 home win over Florida Panthers at Scotiabank Arena. Auston Matthews was one of four different players on the scoresheet. Goalie Joseph Woll had an awesome game, keeping out 31 shots (.969).

Philadelphia Flyers made it back-to-back wins in their last game. Landing a 5-2 home victory against Anaheim Ducks at Xfinity Mobile Arena. Trevor Zegras scored twice, with Travis Sanheim, Cam York and Nikita Grebyonkin scoring one goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last head-to-head saw the Leafs claim a 5-2 win over the Flyers at Xfinity Mobile Arena. The Leafs have enjoyed four consecutive victories against the Flyers. They’ve landed 9 wins from the past 10 head-to-head meetings.

Starting Goalies

Dennis Hildeby (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	5-7-4	2.9	.912	1

Dan Vladar (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	29-14-7	2.4	.906	0
23/24	8-9-2	3.61	.882	0

5 wins, 3 losses and 2 overtime losses, averaging 3.6 goals from 26.7 shots on goal, with a 16.1% powerplay efficiency. The Leafs have given up 3.5 goals from 31.4 shots, averaging 2.8 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 92.9%.

Auston Matthews is the top points scorer with 11 points, 7 goals and 4 assists, with Matthew Knies recording 9 points, 5 goals and 4 assists, over the past 10 games. Goalie Joseph Woll have a 3.09 goal against average with a .901 save percentage, including one shutout.

The Flyers have 6 wins, 3 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 3.7 goals from 30.5 shots on goal, with a 9.5% powerplay efficiency. They have conceded 2.9 goals from 24.7 shots, averaging 3.9 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 82.1%.

The top points scorer is Travis Konecny with 10 points, 5 goals and 5 assists, while Trevor Zegras is next best after registering 9 points, 4 goals and 5 assists. Goalie Daniel Vladar have a 2.01 GAA with a .916 SV%.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Philadelphia Flyers Prediction & Picks

Explore our best Toronto Maple Leafs vs Philadelphia Flyers picks, including our main match prediction, correct score forecast, player performance props and a bet builder ready to use.

Game Prediction

There are attractive odds about Philadelphia Flyers and our pick is for the home team to win this NHL clash. They can get the better of their opponents in various departments and you can get -133.

To deliver the best possible hockey predictions, we start by locking in the team news and taking time to review the latest form. There’s also no shortage of data to crunch from the most up-to-date NHL stats available.

Key Maple Leafs vs Flyers stats:

• Flyers have won 6 of their last 10 games.
• Flyers have won 3 of their last 5 games.
• Flyers have won 2 consecutive games.
• Maple Leafs have lost their last 5 games on the road.
• Maple Leafs have lost 14 of their last 20 games on the road.
• Maple Leafs have lost 6 of their last 10 games on the road.

Flyers Moneyline Probability

According to the top NHL sportsbooks, there’s a 57.1% likelihood of our pick landing a return. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be 60-65%. It is the reason why we are recommending this hockey wager.

We regularly consider a Match Winner & Total Goals bet as a way of backing Philadelphia at bigger odds. You simply need to decide whether to go Over or Under as part of the combo.

Check our complete list of betting promo codes, free bet deals and the latest welcome bonuses before wagering.

Our Game Prediction

Flyers Moneyline @ -133 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Jan 7, 23:56). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Auston Matthews Over 3.5 Shots -141

Auston Matthews (Maple Leafs) has had Over 3.5 shots on goal in 5 straight games. Out of all the prop bets available, we’re going to take the -141 when it comes to this Shots on Goal wager.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Maple Leafs 3 - 4 Flyers

The Flyers are available at +1000 to win by a 4-3 scoreline. Correct score betting allows us to bet at bigger odds and it’s also a fun type of wager.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Maple Leafs

Flyers

1-0

Maple Leafs

+5000

Flyers

+5000

2-0

Maple Leafs

+5000

Flyers

+4500

2-1

Maple Leafs

+1400

Flyers

+1400

3-0

Maple Leafs

+3500

Flyers

+3000

3-1

Maple Leafs

+1900

Flyers

+1800

3-2

Maple Leafs

+850

Flyers

+800

4-0

Maple Leafs

+4500

Flyers

+4000

4-1

Maple Leafs

+1700

Flyers

+1500

4-2

Maple Leafs

+1600

Flyers

+1500

4-3

Maple Leafs

+1050

Flyers

+1000

5-0

Maple Leafs

+8000

Flyers

+6600

5-1

Maple Leafs

+3000

Flyers

+2400

5-2

Maple Leafs

+1900

Flyers

+1600

5-3

Maple Leafs

+2500

Flyers

+2200

5-4

Maple Leafs

+2000

Flyers

+1900

6-0

Maple Leafs

+12500

Flyers

+10000

6-1

Maple Leafs

+7000

Flyers

+5500

6-2

Maple Leafs

+3500

Flyers

+3000

6-3

Maple Leafs

+3300

Flyers

+2800

6-4

Maple Leafs

+5000

Flyers

+4500

6-5

Maple Leafs

+5000

Flyers

+4500

7-1

Maple Leafs

+12000

Flyers

+9000

7-2

Maple Leafs

+10000

Flyers

+7500

7-3

Maple Leafs

+6600

Flyers

+5500

7-4

Maple Leafs

+7000

Flyers

+6000

7-5

Maple Leafs

+11000

Flyers

+10000

7-6

Maple Leafs

+12000

Flyers

+11000

8-1

Maple Leafs

+12000

Flyers

+14000

8-2

Maple Leafs

+12000

Flyers

+12500

8-3

Maple Leafs

+12000

Flyers

+13000

8-4

Maple Leafs

+13000

Flyers

+11000

8-5

Maple Leafs

+13000

Flyers

+14000

View More

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Philadelphia Flyers Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With a 56% chance of securing victory, Philadelphia Flyers are favorites for this game and the sportsbooks have them at betting odds of -127. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +105 about Toronto Maple Leafs.

1.5 is the puck line and 5.5 is the total goals line. The beauty of Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. If you're keen on Over 5.5, this selection is available at -139.

There are hundreds of game lines and team props when it comes to wagering on the National Hockey League and we recommend visiting the top betting sites to find the wager that matches your view on the game.

Moneyline

Maple Leafs

+105

Flyers

-127

3-Way Moneyline

Maple Leafs

+170

Tie

+310

Flyers

+128

Puck Line

Maple Leafs +1.5

-244

Flyers -1.5

+194

Total Goals

Under 5.5

+112

Over 5.5

-139

As an alternative to the game lines, check out the player prop bets that are available. It’s especially great if you have a view when it comes to Blocked Shots, Goaltender Saves or Shutouts while there are lots of other options.

Micro betting is something that’s really popular with bettors, with NHL fans essentially being able to bet in-game when it comes to team and player props. Sometimes these are lines where you can wager on Shots or Goals.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Toronto Maple Leafs Stats

Philadelphia Flyers Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 7 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 7.10 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 5.90 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 5.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 5.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.60 goals and allowed 3.50 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 2.90 pts and allowed 3.00 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.70 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 6.30 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 5.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 5.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 3.70 goals and allowed 3.00 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 3.60 goals and allowed 2.70 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 26.7
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 2.8
• Empty Net Goals: 0.5
• Penalty Minutes: 6.2
• Blocks: 10.7
• Faceoff Wins : 28.5
• Hits: 22.8
• Giveaways: 16.5
• Takeaways: 4

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.2
• Shots: 24.4
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 2.8
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 5.6
• Blocks: 11
• Faceoff Wins : 31.2
• Hits: 22.5
• Giveaways: 17.3
• Takeaways: 4.6

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.4
• Shots: 30.5
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.2
• Penalties: 3.9
• Empty Net Goals: 0.7
• Penalty Minutes: 10.1
• Blocks: 13.8
• Faceoff Wins : 30.3
• Hits: 19.9
• Giveaways: 13.3
• Takeaways: 3.4

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.4
• Shots: 29.1
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3.3
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 8
• Blocks: 14.2
• Faceoff Wins : 28.4
• Hits: 21.9
• Giveaways: 14
• Takeaways: 4.8

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

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