Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, Bet Builder Tips & Odds | NHL, 30 Nov 2024

Back Lightning to Beat Leafs

We’re keeping things simple by wagering the Lightning on the Moneyline. They should get the better of the Maple Leafs and our prediction is available at odds of -100.

7 Wins for Leafs in Previous 10 H2H Clashes

Toronto Maple Leafs were beaten in their previous game and this was on the road at Amerant Bank Arena. Florida Panthers claimed a 5-1 win. Mitchell Marner was the solitary scorer after Leafs registered 24 shots.

Tampa Bay Lightning got the win in their last game. A 3-2 (OT) triumph occurred on the road at Bridgestone Arena when meeting Nashville Predators. Brayden Point, Anthony Cirelli and Brandon Hagel each scored one goal. Goalie Jonas Johansson made a total of 28 saves (.933).

The Leafs had the edge in the most recent encounter between these teams. At Scotiabank Arena, they recorded a 5-2 win over the Lightning. The Leafs have triumphed in seven of the previous 10 clashes between these teams.

Starting Goalies

Joseph Woll (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	24-13-0	2.75	.907	1
23/24	12-11-1	2.93	.907	0

Andrei Vasilevskiy (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	34-19-3	2.22	.919	5
23/24	30-20-2	2.9	.900	2

7 wins, 2 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 2.7 goals from 27.0 shots on goal, with a 27.9% powerplay efficiency. The Leafs have given up 2.0 goals from 28.4 shots, averaging 3.7 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 83.8%.

Mitchell Marner is the top points scorer with 16 points, 7 goals and 9 assists, with William Nylander racking up 12 points, 6 goals and 6 assists, over the past 10 games. Goalie Anthony Stolarz have a 2.18 goal against average with a .927 save percentage, including one shutout.

The Lightning have 5 wins, 3 losses and 2 overtime losses, averaging 3.7 goals from 28.4 shots on goal, with a 26.7% powerplay efficiency. They have conceded 2.7 goals from 28.4 shots, averaging 2.7 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 85.2%.

The top points scorer is Nikita Kucherov with 14 points, 2 goals and 12 assists, while Brandon Hagel is next in line after registering 13 points, 3 goals and 10 assists. Goalie Andrei Vasilevski have a 2.24 GAA with a .915 SV%, including one shutout.

Expert NHL Analysis

We’re keen to follow the latest form and understand any patterns that emerge. The same applies to injuries that could affect key players. Combined with the most important player and goalie stats, there is plenty of information to make a verdict.

Key Maple Leafs vs Lightning stats:

• Lightning have won 7 of their last 11 games at home this season.
• Lightning have won 6 of their last 10 games at home.
• Maple Leafs have lost 7 of their last 10 games on the road.
• Maple Leafs have lost 6 of their last 9 games on the road this season.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction

The road team look opposable on the Moneyline, so we’re going to make Tampa Bay Lightning our pick for this NHL clash. You can currently get -100 for this prediction which looks good value.

It’s worth considering all the options. If you’re looking for bigger odds about Tampa Bay to win and a certain number of goals to be scored, then choose a selection for the Match Winner & Goals.

Lightning Moneyline Probability

The sportsbooks are estimating that there is a 50% likelihood of this pick winning. In the opinion of our cappers, there’s actually a probability of success between 55-60%. This hockey wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

Our Pick

Lightning Moneyline @ -100 Bet Now

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Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Player Props

Top Pick: Brayden Point To Score +143

Brayden Point (Lightning) has found the net in 3 straight games. This statistic guides us towards Anytime Goalscorer where we’re able to back him to light the lamp at appealing odds of +143.

Latest Brayden Point Player Prop Odds

Goals

Anytime

+150

First

+900

Shots on Goal

Over 2.5

-119

Under 2.5

-109

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Correct Score Prediction

Maple Leafs 2 - 4 Lightning

A 4-2 win in favor of the Lightning can be backed at odds of +1800. We like placing a bet on correct score due to the fun element and the big potential return.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Maple Leafs

Lightning

1-0

Maple Leafs

+5500

Lightning

+5500

2-0

Maple Leafs

+5000

Lightning

+5500

2-1

Maple Leafs

+1500

Lightning

+1600

3-0

Maple Leafs

+3000

Lightning

+3500

3-1

Maple Leafs

+2000

Lightning

+2200

3-2

Maple Leafs

+850

Lightning

+900

4-0

Maple Leafs

+3500

Lightning

+5000

4-1

Maple Leafs

+1400

Lightning

+1800

4-2

Maple Leafs

+1500

Lightning

+1800

4-3

Maple Leafs

+950

Lightning

+1050

5-0

Maple Leafs

+6600

Lightning

+9000

5-1

Maple Leafs

+2200

Lightning

+3000

5-2

Maple Leafs

+1500

Lightning

+1800

5-3

Maple Leafs

+2200

Lightning

+2500

5-4

Maple Leafs

+1800

Lightning

+2000

6-0

Maple Leafs

+9000

Lightning

+13000

6-1

Maple Leafs

+5000

Lightning

+7000

6-2

Maple Leafs

+2800

Lightning

+3500

6-3

Maple Leafs

+2500

Lightning

+3000

6-4

Maple Leafs

+4500

Lightning

+5000

6-5

Maple Leafs

+4500

Lightning

+4500

7-1

Maple Leafs

+8000

Lightning

+12000

7-2

Maple Leafs

+6600

Lightning

+10000

7-3

Maple Leafs

+5000

Lightning

+6600

7-4

Maple Leafs

+5500

Lightning

+6600

7-5

Maple Leafs

+10000

Lightning

+11000

7-6

Maple Leafs

+11000

Lightning

+11000

8-2

Maple Leafs

+12000

Lightning

+14000

8-3

Maple Leafs

+12000

Lightning

+14000

8-4

Maple Leafs

+10000

Lightning

+12000

8-5

Maple Leafs

+12500

Lightning

+14000

View More

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Tight Affair Likely According to the Books

Tampa Bay Lightning are available at Moneyline odds of +112, while opponents Toronto Maple Leafs can be backed at -135. The leading sportsbooks give the hosts a 47% chance of success.

The puck line is calculated to be 1.5, while total goals comes in at 6.5. Having a bet on Totals is one of the most popular NHL wagers. If you’re wanting to back Over 6.5, the odds are +102.

There’s the chance to back favorites Leafs at -130 to open the scoring. The Lightning to be the first team to score is available at odds of -110.

If you’re planning to wager on a National Hockey League clash, visit the betting sites and check out the hundreds of team props and game lines. Find the odds and lines which are the most attractive.

Moneyline

Maple Leafs

-135

Lightning

+112

3-Way Moneyline

Maple Leafs

+118

Tie

+325

Lightning

+180

Puck Line

Maple Leafs -1.5

+180

Lightning +1.5

-227

Total Goals

Under 6.5

-123

Over 6.5

+102

Auston Matthews Favorite to Score the First Goal

Auston Matthews is available at -108 when it comes to Anytime Goalscorer. The favorite is now priced at odds of +650 to find the net first.

Player Goals

Auston Matthews (Maple Leafs)

First

-108

Anytime

+650

Nikita Kucherov (Lightning)

First

+128

Anytime

+800

William Nylander (Maple Leafs)

First

+138

Anytime

+850

Brayden Point (Lightning)

First

+150

Anytime

+900

Jake Guentzel (Lightning)

First

+170

Anytime

+1000

Mitchell Marner (Maple Leafs)

First

+185

Anytime

+1050

John Tavares (Maple Leafs)

First

+190

Anytime

+1100

Brandon Hagel (Lightning)

First

+205

Anytime

+1150

Matthew Knies (Maple Leafs)

First

+225

Anytime

+1300

Bobby McMann (Maple Leafs)

First

+225

Anytime

+1300

Anthony Cirelli (Lightning)

First

+255

Anytime

+1400

Alexander Nylander (Maple Leafs)

First

+320

Anytime

+1600

Pontus Holmberg (Maple Leafs)

First

+340

Anytime

+1700

Conor Geekie (Lightning)

First

+350

Anytime

+1800

Fraser Minten (Maple Leafs)

First

+370

Anytime

+1900

Cam Atkinson (Lightning)

First

+380

Anytime

+1900

Nick Paul (Lightning)

First

+380

Anytime

+1900

Nikita Grebenkin (Maple Leafs)

First

+400

Anytime

+2000

Nicholas Robertson (Maple Leafs)

First

+400

Anytime

+2000

Alexander Steeves (Maple Leafs)

First

+440

Anytime

+2200

Darren Raddysh (Lightning)

First

+450

Anytime

+2200

Gage Goncalves (Lightning)

First

+450

Anytime

+2200

Michael Eyssimont (Lightning)

First

+450

Anytime

+2200

Connor Dewar (Maple Leafs)

First

+480

Anytime

+2200

Player Shots

Auston Matthews (Maple Leafs)

Over 4.5

+140

Under 4.5

-182

Nikita Kucherov (Lightning)

Over 3.5

-105

Under 3.5

-123

William Nylander (Maple Leafs)

Over 3.5

-103

Under 3.5

-125

John Tavares (Maple Leafs)

Over 3.5

+135

Under 3.5

-175

Brayden Point (Lightning)

Over 2.5

-119

Under 2.5

-109

Jake Guentzel (Lightning)

Over 2.5

-143

Under 2.5

+110

Mitchell Marner (Maple Leafs)

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-164

Brandon Hagel (Lightning)

Over 2.5

-100

Under 2.5

-130

Micro Betting

Instead of focusing on the overall outcome, some bettors prefer to look at the NHL micro betting lines. As the name suggests, it means placing short-term wagers and this might include the Next Goalscorer or Next Goal.

Last 5 & H2H

Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Team News

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

NHL Standings

Division Conference League

Metropolitan	GP	W	L	OT	PTS	P%	RW	ROW	GF	GA	DIFF	Home	Road	S/O	L10	Strk
1 Washington	82	51	22	9	111	0.677	43	49	288	232	56	26-9-6	25-13-3	2-3	4-6	1L
2 Carolina	82	47	30	5	99	0.604	42	47	266	233	33	31-9-1	16-21-4	0-3	3-7	3L
3 New Jersey	82	42	33	7	91	0.555	36	40	242	222	20	19-17-5	23-16-2	2-2	5-5	1L
4 Columbus	82	40	33	9	89	0.543	30	34	273	268	5	26-10-5	14-23-4	6-1	7-3	6W
5 NY Rangers	82	39	36	7	85	0.518	35	38	256	255	1	19-19-3	20-17-4	1-0	5-5	2W
6 NY Islanders	82	35	35	12	82	0.5	28	33	224	260	-36	19-17-5	16-18-7	2-3	3-7	2L
7 Pittsburgh	82	34	36	12	80	0.488	24	33	243	293	-50	21-15-5	13-21-7	1-6	5-5	1W
8 Philadelphia	82	33	39	10	76	0.463	21	27	238	286	-48	20-20-1	13-19-9	6-3	5-5	3L

East Atlantic	GP	W	L	OT	PTS	P%	RW	ROW	GF	GA	DIFF	Home	Road	S/O	L10	Strk
1 Toronto	82	52	26	4	108	0.659	41	51	268	231	37	27-13-1	25-13-3	1-2	9-1	5W
2 Tampa Bay	82	47	27	8	102	0.622	41	45	294	219	75	29-8-4	18-19-4	2-3	5-5	1L
3 Florida	82	47	31	4	98	0.598	37	41	252	223	29	27-12-2	20-19-2	6-0	3-7	2L
4 Ottawa	82	45	30	7	97	0.591	35	44	243	234	9	27-11-3	18-19-4	1-2	6-4	1W
5 Montreal	82	40	31	11	91	0.555	30	38	245	265	-20	23-12-6	17-19-5	2-4	7-3	1W
6 Detroit	82	39	35	8	86	0.524	30	36	238	259	-21	22-16-3	17-19-5	3-0	6-4	1L
7 Buffalo	82	36	39	7	79	0.482	29	32	269	289	-20	23-15-3	13-24-4	4-2	6-4	1W
8 Boston	82	33	39	10	76	0.463	26	33	222	272	-50	20-14-7	13-25-3	0-1	3-7	1L

East Central	GP	W	L	OT	PTS	P%	RW	ROW	GF	GA	DIFF	Home	Road	S/O	L10	Strk
1 Winnipeg	82	56	22	4	116	0.707	43	54	277	191	86	30-7-4	26-15-0	2-1	7-3	1W
2 Dallas	82	50	26	6	106	0.646	41	48	277	224	53	28-10-3	22-16-3	2-2	3-7	7L
3 Colorado	82	49	29	4	102	0.622	40	45	277	234	43	26-12-3	23-17-1	4-3	5-5	1W
4 Minnesota	82	45	30	7	97	0.591	33	42	228	239	-11	22-17-2	23-13-5	3-3	5-5	2W
5 St Louis	82	44	30	8	96	0.585	32	40	254	233	21	24-14-3	20-16-5	4-2	7-3	1W
6 Utah	82	38	31	13	89	0.543	30	37	241	251	-10	18-15-8	20-16-5	1-4	6-4	1L
7 Nashville	82	30	44	8	68	0.415	24	28	214	274	-60	20-18-3	10-26-5	2-0	3-7	1W
8 Chicago	82	25	46	11	61	0.372	20	23	226	296	-70	15-20-6	10-26-5	2-4	4-6	2W

West Pacific	GP	W	L	OT	PTS	P%	RW	ROW	GF	GA	DIFF	Home	Road	S/O	L10	Strk
1 Vegas	82	50	22	10	110	0.671	46	49	275	219	56	29-9-3	21-13-7	1-5	6-4	1W
2 LA Kings	81	48	24	9	105	0.648	43	47	249	201	48	31-5-4	17-19-5	1-3	8-2	4W
3 Edmonton	82	48	29	5	101	0.616	36	48	259	236	23	25-13-3	23-16-2	0-1	7-3	1W
4 Calgary	81	40	27	14	94	0.58	30	35	220	237	-17	23-12-6	17-15-8	5-2	6-4	3W
5 Vancouver	82	38	30	14	90	0.549	28	35	236	253	-17	17-16-8	21-14-6	3-2	4-6	1L
6 Anaheim	82	35	37	10	80	0.488	24	31	221	263	-42	21-18-2	14-19-8	4-2	3-7	4L
7 Seattle	82	35	41	6	76	0.463	28	33	247	265	-18	18-18-5	17-23-1	2-3	5-5	1L
8 San Jose	82	20	50	12	52	0.317	14	18	210	315	-105	12-27-2	8-23-10	2-5	0-10	11L

Eastern	GP	W	L	OT	PTS	P%	RW	ROW	GF	GA	DIFF	Home	Road	S/O	L10	Strk
1 Washington	82	51	22	9	111	0.677	43	49	288	232	56	26-9-6	25-13-3	2-3	4-6	1L
2 Toronto	82	52	26	4	108	0.659	41	51	268	231	37	27-13-1	25-13-3	1-2	9-1	5W
3 Tampa Bay	82	47	27	8	102	0.622	41	45	294	219	75	29-8-4	18-19-4	2-3	5-5	1L
4 Carolina	82	47	30	5	99	0.604	42	47	266	233	33	31-9-1	16-21-4	0-3	3-7	3L
5 Florida	82	47	31	4	98	0.598	37	41	252	223	29	27-12-2	20-19-2	6-0	3-7	2L
6 Ottawa	82	45	30	7	97	0.591	35	44	243	234	9	27-11-3	18-19-4	1-2	6-4	1W
7 New Jersey	82	42	33	7	91	0.555	36	40	242	222	20	19-17-5	23-16-2	2-2	5-5	1L
8 Montreal	82	40	31	11	91	0.555	30	38	245	265	-20	23-12-6	17-19-5	2-4	7-3	1W
9 Columbus	82	40	33	9	89	0.543	30	34	273	268	5	26-10-5	14-23-4	6-1	7-3	6W
10 Detroit	82	39	35	8	86	0.524	30	36	238	259	-21	22-16-3	17-19-5	3-0	6-4	1L
11 NY Rangers	82	39	36	7	85	0.518	35	38	256	255	1	19-19-3	20-17-4	1-0	5-5	2W
12 NY Islanders	82	35	35	12	82	0.5	28	33	224	260	-36	19-17-5	16-18-7	2-3	3-7	2L
13 Pittsburgh	82	34	36	12	80	0.488	24	33	243	293	-50	21-15-5	13-21-7	1-6	5-5	1W
14 Buffalo	82	36	39	7	79	0.482	29	32	269	289	-20	23-15-3	13-24-4	4-2	6-4	1W
15 Boston	82	33	39	10	76	0.463	26	33	222	272	-50	20-14-7	13-25-3	0-1	3-7	1L
16 Philadelphia	82	33	39	10	76	0.463	21	27	238	286	-48	20-20-1	13-19-9	6-3	5-5	3L

Western	GP	W	L	OT	PTS	P%	RW	ROW	GF	GA	DIFF	Home	Road	S/O	L10	Strk
1 Winnipeg	82	56	22	4	116	0.707	43	54	277	191	86	30-7-4	26-15-0	2-1	7-3	1W
2 Vegas	82	50	22	10	110	0.671	46	49	275	219	56	29-9-3	21-13-7	1-5	6-4	1W
3 Dallas	82	50	26	6	106	0.646	41	48	277	224	53	28-10-3	22-16-3	2-2	3-7	7L
4 LA Kings	81	48	24	9	105	0.648	43	47	249	201	48	31-5-4	17-19-5	1-3	8-2	4W
5 Colorado	82	49	29	4	102	0.622	40	45	277	234	43	26-12-3	23-17-1	4-3	5-5	1W
6 Edmonton	82	48	29	5	101	0.616	36	48	259	236	23	25-13-3	23-16-2	0-1	7-3	1W
7 Minnesota	82	45	30	7	97	0.591	33	42	228	239	-11	22-17-2	23-13-5	3-3	5-5	2W
8 St Louis	82	44	30	8	96	0.585	32	40	254	233	21	24-14-3	20-16-5	4-2	7-3	1W
9 Calgary	81	40	27	14	94	0.58	30	35	220	237	-17	23-12-6	17-15-8	5-2	6-4	3W
10 Vancouver	82	38	30	14	90	0.549	28	35	236	253	-17	17-16-8	21-14-6	3-2	4-6	1L
11 Utah	82	38	31	13	89	0.543	30	37	241	251	-10	18-15-8	20-16-5	1-4	6-4	1L
12 Anaheim	82	35	37	10	80	0.488	24	31	221	263	-42	21-18-2	14-19-8	4-2	3-7	4L
13 Seattle	82	35	41	6	76	0.463	28	33	247	265	-18	18-18-5	17-23-1	2-3	5-5	1L
14 Nashville	82	30	44	8	68	0.415	24	28	214	274	-60	20-18-3	10-26-5	2-0	3-7	1W
15 Chicago	82	25	46	11	61	0.372	20	23	226	296	-70	15-20-6	10-26-5	2-4	4-6	2W
16 San Jose	82	20	50	12	52	0.317	14	18	210	315	-105	12-27-2	8-23-10	2-5	0-10	11L

	GP	W	L	OT	PTS	P%	RW	ROW	GF	GA	DIFF	Home	Road	S/O	L10	Strk
1 Winnipeg	82	56	22	4	116	0.707	43	54	277	191	86	30-7-4	26-15-0	2-1	7-3	1W
2 Washington	82	51	22	9	111	0.677	43	49	288	232	56	26-9-6	25-13-3	2-3	4-6	1L
3 Vegas	82	50	22	10	110	0.671	46	49	275	219	56	29-9-3	21-13-7	1-5	6-4	1W
4 Toronto	82	52	26	4	108	0.659	41	51	268	231	37	27-13-1	25-13-3	1-2	9-1	5W
5 Dallas	82	50	26	6	106	0.646	41	48	277	224	53	28-10-3	22-16-3	2-2	3-7	7L
6 LA Kings	81	48	24	9	105	0.648	43	47	249	201	48	31-5-4	17-19-5	1-3	8-2	4W
7 Tampa Bay	82	47	27	8	102	0.622	41	45	294	219	75	29-8-4	18-19-4	2-3	5-5	1L
8 Colorado	82	49	29	4	102	0.622	40	45	277	234	43	26-12-3	23-17-1	4-3	5-5	1W
9 Edmonton	82	48	29	5	101	0.616	36	48	259	236	23	25-13-3	23-16-2	0-1	7-3	1W
10 Carolina	82	47	30	5	99	0.604	42	47	266	233	33	31-9-1	16-21-4	0-3	3-7	3L
11 Florida	82	47	31	4	98	0.598	37	41	252	223	29	27-12-2	20-19-2	6-0	3-7	2L
12 Ottawa	82	45	30	7	97	0.591	35	44	243	234	9	27-11-3	18-19-4	1-2	6-4	1W
13 Minnesota	82	45	30	7	97	0.591	33	42	228	239	-11	22-17-2	23-13-5	3-3	5-5	2W
14 St Louis	82	44	30	8	96	0.585	32	40	254	233	21	24-14-3	20-16-5	4-2	7-3	1W
15 Calgary	81	40	27	14	94	0.58	30	35	220	237	-17	23-12-6	17-15-8	5-2	6-4	3W
16 New Jersey	82	42	33	7	91	0.555	36	40	242	222	20	19-17-5	23-16-2	2-2	5-5	1L
17 Montreal	82	40	31	11	91	0.555	30	38	245	265	-20	23-12-6	17-19-5	2-4	7-3	1W
18 Vancouver	82	38	30	14	90	0.549	28	35	236	253	-17	17-16-8	21-14-6	3-2	4-6	1L
19 Utah	82	38	31	13	89	0.543	30	37	241	251	-10	18-15-8	20-16-5	1-4	6-4	1L
20 Columbus	82	40	33	9	89	0.543	30	34	273	268	5	26-10-5	14-23-4	6-1	7-3	6W
21 Detroit	82	39	35	8	86	0.524	30	36	238	259	-21	22-16-3	17-19-5	3-0	6-4	1L
22 NY Rangers	82	39	36	7	85	0.518	35	38	256	255	1	19-19-3	20-17-4	1-0	5-5	2W
23 NY Islanders	82	35	35	12	82	0.5	28	33	224	260	-36	19-17-5	16-18-7	2-3	3-7	2L
24 Pittsburgh	82	34	36	12	80	0.488	24	33	243	293	-50	21-15-5	13-21-7	1-6	5-5	1W
25 Anaheim	82	35	37	10	80	0.488	24	31	221	263	-42	21-18-2	14-19-8	4-2	3-7	4L
26 Buffalo	82	36	39	7	79	0.482	29	32	269	289	-20	23-15-3	13-24-4	4-2	6-4	1W
27 Seattle	82	35	41	6	76	0.463	28	33	247	265	-18	18-18-5	17-23-1	2-3	5-5	1L
28 Boston	82	33	39	10	76	0.463	26	33	222	272	-50	20-14-7	13-25-3	0-1	3-7	1L
29 Philadelphia	82	33	39	10	76	0.463	21	27	238	286	-48	20-20-1	13-19-9	6-3	5-5	3L
30 Nashville	82	30	44	8	68	0.415	24	28	214	274	-60	20-18-3	10-26-5	2-0	3-7	1W
31 Chicago	82	25	46	11	61	0.372	20	23	226	296	-70	15-20-6	10-26-5	2-4	4-6	2W
32 San Jose	82	20	50	12	52	0.317	14	18	210	315	-105	12-27-2	8-23-10	2-5	0-10	11L

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