Washington Capitals vs New York Islanders Prediction, Picks & Odds | 11 Oct 2025

NHL Betting Preview: Capitals vs Islanders

The Washington Capitals go up against the New York Islanders in this NHL matchup at UBS Arena, with face-off scheduled for 19:00 on Saturday, October 11. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and the starting lineups.

Caps to Get the Better of Islanders

The Capitals look excellent value on the Moneyline and our prediction is that the road team will get the better of the Islanders. We’re happy to take the -118 that they win.

If you're backing Caps to win, make the most of your wager and grab the latest BetMGM promo code and check out what our full review has to offer.

Caps Won 3-1 When Teams Last Met

Washington Capitals were defeated in their previous game. They were beaten at home to Boston Bruins by a 3-1 scoreline at Capital One Arena. Caps racked up 36 shots but only scored one goal in the process. It was Tom Wilson who found the net.

New York Islanders were beaten last game and this was on the road at PPG PAINTS Arena. Pittsburgh Penguins claimed a 4-3 win. Jonathan Drouin, Kyle Palmieri and Maxim Shabanov each scored one goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Caps had the edge in the most recent encounter between these teams. At UBS Arena, they recorded a 3-1 win over the Islanders. The previous 10 H2H meetings have involved the Caps winning six times.

Starting Goalies

Logan Thompson (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	0-1-0	2.1	.905	0
23/24	25-14-3	2.7	.908	1

Ilya Sorokin (Expected)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	0-1-0	4.2	.857	0
23/24	25-19-12	3.01	.908	2

4 wins, 5 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 2.3 goals from 23.9 shots on goal, with a 10.3% powerplay efficiency. The Caps have been giving up 2.8 goals from 28.4 shots, averaging 3.8 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 79.0%.

Dylan Strome is the top points scorer with 8 points, 2 goals and 6 assists, with Tom Wilson recording 7 points, 4 goals and 3 assists, over the past 10 games. Goalie Logan Thompson have a 2.43 goal against average with a .913 save percentage.

The Islanders have 3 wins, 5 losses and 2 overtime losses, averaging 2.5 goals from 31.6 shots on goal, with a 9.4% powerplay efficiency. They have conceded 3.8 goals from 28.2 shots, averaging 3.0 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 73.3%.

The top points scorer is Simon Holmstroem with 8 points, 3 goals and 5 assists, while Bo Horvat is next best after registering 6 points, 4 goals and 2 assists. Goalie Ilya Sorokin have a 2.28 GAA with a .921 SV%, including one shutout.

Washington Capitals vs New York Islanders Prediction & Picks

Our Washington Capitals vs New York Islanders betting preview covers everything you need, including a key match prediction, correct score insight, top player prop bets and a value-packed bet builder recommendation.

Game Prediction

Washington Capitals should be able to outscore the home team and our pick is to side with them on the Moneyline. There is a generous -118 available for the visitors to win this NHL clash.

We’re always on top of team news and when combined with recent form, it helps us uncover the best value. Our NHL handicappers also take a data-led approach, using key stats to back every pick.

Key Capitals vs Islanders stats:

• Islanders have lost 4 of their last 5 games.
• Islanders have lost 7 of their last 10 games.
• Islanders have lost their last 3 games.
• Islanders have lost 6 of their last 10 games against Capitals.

Caps Moneyline Probability

Based on the odds from the top NHL sportsbooks, there’s a 54.1% likelihood of our pick delivering a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our analysts think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this hockey wager.

For a bigger return on investment, bettors often wager Match Winner & Total Goals to get bigger odds for Washington. The Puck Line, Winning Margin and 3-Way Moneyline are good alternatives.

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Best Bet

Capitals Moneyline @ -118 Watch Live Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Tom Wilson Over 1.5 Shots -141

Tom Wilson (Capitals) has recorded Over 1.5 shots on goal in 3 straight games on the road. The stats suggest that he can oblige with our Overs wager and we’re more than happy to take the -141 available.

Latest Tom Wilson Player Prop Odds

Goals

Anytime

+230

First

+1500

Assists

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-200

Shots on Goal

Over 1.5

-135

Under 1.5

-100

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Correct Score Prediction

Capitals 5 - 3 Islanders

Let’s take a chance on the +2500 available that the Capitals secure a 5-3 victory. There’s a nice potential return waiting if we’re able to predict the correct score.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Capitals

Islanders

1-0

Capitals

+4500

Islanders

+4500

2-0

Capitals

+4000

Islanders

+4000

2-1

Capitals

+1300

Islanders

+1300

3-0

Capitals

+2800

Islanders

+2900

3-1

Capitals

+1700

Islanders

+1700

3-2

Capitals

+800

Islanders

+850

4-0

Capitals

+3500

Islanders

+4000

4-1

Capitals

+1400

Islanders

+1500

4-2

Capitals

+1500

Islanders

+1600

4-3

Capitals

+1100

Islanders

+1100

5-0

Capitals

+6600

Islanders

+7000

5-1

Capitals

+2400

Islanders

+2500

5-2

Capitals

+1700

Islanders

+1800

5-3

Capitals

+2500

Islanders

+2500

5-4

Capitals

+2200

Islanders

+2400

6-0

Capitals

+10000

Islanders

+11000

6-1

Capitals

+5500

Islanders

+6600

6-2

Capitals

+3300

Islanders

+3500

6-3

Capitals

+3300

Islanders

+3500

6-4

Capitals

+5500

Islanders

+5500

6-5

Capitals

+6000

Islanders

+6000

7-1

Capitals

+10000

Islanders

+11000

7-2

Capitals

+8000

Islanders

+9000

7-3

Capitals

+6000

Islanders

+7000

7-4

Capitals

+7500

Islanders

+8000

7-5

Capitals

+12000

Islanders

+12500

7-6

Capitals

+14000

Islanders

+14000

8-4

Capitals

+13000

Islanders

+14000

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Washington Capitals vs New York Islanders Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Close Contest Expected According to Latest Odds

New York Islanders are on offer at -102 on the Moneyline if you want to back this team, with Washington Capitals available at -118. The probability of the home team winning this game is 51% according to the sportsbooks.

The puck line is 1.5 and total goals is 5.5. There is no denying the popularity of wagering on Totals. If you’re wanting to back Over 5.5, the odds are -118.

Whether you're placing bets before the puck drops or during the live action, the top betting sites offer hundreds of game lines and team props to explore. The sheer variety means there's no shortage of options to match your strategy.

Moneyline

Capitals

-118

Islanders

-102

3-Way Moneyline

Capitals

+138

Tie

+325

Islanders

+155

Puck Line

Capitals -1.5

+205

Islanders +1.5

-263

Total Goals

Under 5.5

-104

Over 5.5

-118

Alex Ovechkin is the First Goalscorer Favorite

Alex Ovechkin is the market leader to be First Goalscorer at +900. Alternatively, there’s the chance to back him to find the net at any stage at +140.

Player Goals

Alex Ovechkin (Capitals)

First

+140

Anytime

+900

Bo Horvat (Islanders)

First

+210

Anytime

+1300

Anders Lee (Islanders)

First

+230

Anytime

+1500

Tom Wilson (Capitals)

First

+230

Anytime

+1500

Kyle Palmieri (Islanders)

First

+240

Anytime

+1400

Dylan Strome (Capitals)

First

+240

Anytime

+1600

Mathew Barzal (Islanders)

First

+260

Anytime

+1500

Connor McMichael (Capitals)

First

+310

Anytime

+1800

Pierre-Luc Dubois (Capitals)

First

+320

Anytime

+2000

Aliaksei Protas (Capitals)

First

+380

Anytime

+2000

Maxim Shabanov (Islanders)

First

+400

Anytime

+2200

Anthony Duclair (Islanders)

First

+400

Anytime

+2500

Ryan Leonard (Capitals)

First

+475

Anytime

+2800

Anthony Beauvillier (Capitals)

First

+500

Anytime

+3000

Jean-Gabriel Pageau (Islanders)

First

+500

Anytime

+2800

Emil Heineman (Islanders)

First

+525

Anytime

+3000

Simon Holmstrom (Islanders)

First

+550

Anytime

+2800

John Carlson (Capitals)

First

+600

Anytime

+3000

Tony DeAngelo (Islanders)

First

+625

Anytime

+3000

Jakob Chychrun (Capitals)

First

+625

Anytime

+3300

Marc Gatcomb (Islanders)

First

+750

Anytime

+3500

Maxim Tsyplakov (Islanders)

First

+800

Anytime

+3500

Hendrix Lapierre (Capitals)

First

+900

Anytime

+3500

Justin Sourdif (Capitals)

First

+900

Anytime

+4000

Ryan Pulock (Islanders)

First

+950

Anytime

+4500

Nic Dowd (Capitals)

First

+1000

Anytime

+4500

Casey Cizikas (Islanders)

First

+1000

Anytime

+4500

Brandon Duhaime (Capitals)

First

+1100

Anytime

+5000

Rasmus Sandin (Capitals)

First

+1200

Anytime

+6000

Adam Pelech (Islanders)

First

+1600

Anytime

+6000

Player Assists

Dylan Strome (Capitals)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-135

Mathew Barzal (Islanders)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-149

Tom Wilson (Capitals)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-200

John Carlson (Capitals)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-200

Pierre-Luc Dubois (Capitals)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-208

Tony DeAngelo (Islanders)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-208

Alex Ovechkin (Capitals)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-222

Jakob Chychrun (Capitals)

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-250

Aliaksei Protas (Capitals)

Over 0.5

+195

Under 0.5

-278

Anders Lee (Islanders)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-278

Kyle Palmieri (Islanders)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-278

Connor McMichael (Capitals)

Over 0.5

+225

Under 0.5

-303

Simon Holmstrom (Islanders)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-345

Jean-Gabriel Pageau (Islanders)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-370

Player Shots

Alex Ovechkin (Capitals)

Over 3.5

-100

Under 3.5

-141

Anders Lee (Islanders)

Over 2.5

+120

Under 2.5

-164

Mathew Barzal (Islanders)

Over 2.5

-115

Under 2.5

-118

Jakob Chychrun (Capitals)

Over 2.5

+120

Under 2.5

-161

Tom Wilson (Capitals)

Over 1.5

-135

Under 1.5

-100

Kyle Palmieri (Islanders)

Over 1.5

-200

Under 1.5

+140

Dylan Strome (Capitals)

Over 1.5

-130

Under 1.5

-105

Connor McMichael (Capitals)

Over 1.5

-135

Under 1.5

-105

Pierre-Luc Dubois (Capitals)

Over 1.5

-118

Under 1.5

-115

Aliaksei Protas (Capitals)

Over 1.5

-105

Under 1.5

-130

John Carlson (Capitals)

Over 1.5

-141

Under 1.5

+105

Tony DeAngelo (Islanders)

Over 1.5

-161

Under 1.5

+120

Micro Betting

It’s good to consider all wagering options when it comes to NHL and micro betting can be an exciting way to get involved in the action. When everything goes in-game, bet on the Next Goalscorer or Next Goal.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Washington Capitals Stats

New York Islanders Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 4 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 2 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 5.10 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 6.30 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 5.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 5.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.30 goals and allowed 2.80 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 2.10 pts and allowed 4.20 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 6.40 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 6.30 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 5.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 5.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.50 goals and allowed 3.90 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 2.70 goals and allowed 3.60 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.4
• Shots: 23.9
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3.8
• Empty Net Goals: 0.5
• Penalty Minutes: 9.2
• Blocks: 23.3
• Faceoff Wins : 28.8
• Hits: 32.7
• Giveaways: 14
• Takeaways: 3.6

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.6
• Shots: 24.9
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 6.1
• Empty Net Goals: 0.3
• Penalty Minutes: 20.9
• Blocks: 19.1
• Faceoff Wins : 30.2
• Hits: 25.6
• Giveaways: 14.3
• Takeaways: 4.4

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.3
• Shots: 31.6
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.2
• Penalties: 3
• Empty Net Goals: 0
• Penalty Minutes: 7.4
• Blocks: 16.6
• Faceoff Wins : 33
• Hits: 19.8
• Giveaways: 15.7
• Takeaways: 5.1

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.4
• Shots: 30.6
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.2
• Penalties: 2.7
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 5.7
• Blocks: 16.8
• Faceoff Wins : 31.9
• Hits: 20.3
• Giveaways: 14.8
• Takeaways: 4.4

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Team News

Washington Capitals Player Stats & Roster

#	Player	GP	MIN	G	A	P	+/-
21	Alexei Protas	1	19.3	0	1	1	1
43	Tom Wilson	1	22.3	1	0	1	-1
6	Jakob Chychrun	1	24.8	0	1	1	0

8	Alexander Ovechkin	1	18.3	0	0	0	-1
3	Matt Roy	1	17.6	0	0	0	0
22	Brandon Duhaime	1	10.2	0	0	0	0
29	Hendrix Lapierre	1	10.9	0	0	0	0
34	Justin Sourdif	1	11	0	0	0	0
24	Connor McMichael	1	15.6	0	0	0	-1
38	Rasmus Sandin	1	16.6	0	0	0	0
80	Pierre-Luc Dubois	1	18.1	0	0	0	-1
74	John Carlson	1	26.7	0	0	0	-1
42	Martin Fehervary	1	18.5	0	0	0	-1
72	Anthony Beauvillier	1	13.2	0	0	0	0
17	Dylan Strome	1	18.2	0	0	0	-1
57	Trevor van Riemsdyk	1	12.5	0	0	0	0
26	Nic Dowd	1	12.4	0	0	0	0
9	Ryan Leonard	1	13.2	0	0	0	0

#	Goalies	GP	GAA	SV%
48	Logan Thompson	1	2.05	0.905
79	Charlie Lindgren	-	-	-

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New York Islanders Player Stats & Roster

#	Player	GP	MIN	G	A	P	+/-
21	Kyle Palmieri	1	20.7	1	0	1	0
24	Scott Mayfield	1	15.5	0	1	1	1
49	Maxim Shabanov	1	9.8	1	0	1	1

74	Simon Holmstroem	1	11.8	0	1	1	1
13	Mathew Barzal	1	21	0	1	1	0
48	Matthew Schaefer	1	17.3	0	1	1	1
29	Jonathan Drouin	1	19.8	1	0	1	1
14	Bo Horvat	1	21.3	0	0	0	1
6	Ryan Pulock	1	18.1	0	0	0	0
44	Jean-Gabriel Pageau	1	13.4	0	0	0	1
11	Anthony Duclair	1	11.3	0	0	0	-1
77	Anthony DeAngelo	1	23.6	0	0	0	0
7	Maxim Tsyplakov	1	11	0	0	0	-1
27	Anders Lee	1	16.8	0	0	0	0
28	Alexander Romanov	1	20.4	0	0	0	0
51	Emil Heineman	1	13.2	0	0	0	1
53	Casey Cizikas	1	12.6	0	0	0	-1
3	Adam Pelech	1	18.1	0	0	0	0

#	Goalies	GP	GAA	SV%
33	David Rittich	-	-	-
30	Ilya Sorokin	1	4.16	0.857

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Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of face-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.