Washington Capitals vs New York Islanders Prediction, Picks & Odds | 11 Oct 2025

NHL Betting Preview: Capitals vs Islanders

The Washington Capitals go up against the New York Islanders in this NHL matchup at UBS Arena, with face-off scheduled for 19:00 on Saturday, October 11. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and the starting lineups.

The Capitals look excellent value on the Moneyline and our prediction is that the road team will get the better of the Islanders. We’re happy to take the -118 that they win.

Washington Capitals were defeated in their previous game. They were beaten at home to Boston Bruins by a 3-1 scoreline at Capital One Arena. Caps racked up 36 shots but only scored one goal in the process. It was Tom Wilson who found the net.

New York Islanders were beaten last game and this was on the road at PPG PAINTS Arena. Pittsburgh Penguins claimed a 4-3 win. Jonathan Drouin, Kyle Palmieri and Maxim Shabanov each scored one goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Caps had the edge in the most recent encounter between these teams. At UBS Arena, they recorded a 3-1 win over the Islanders. The previous 10 H2H meetings have involved the Caps winning six times.

Starting Goalies

Logan Thompson (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	27-21-6	2.5	.909	2
23/24	25-14-3	2.7	.908	1

Ilya Sorokin (Confirmed)

Season	W-L-OTL:	GAA:	SV%:	SO:
24/25	28-20-2	2.6	.910	7
23/24	25-19-12	3.01	.908	2

4 wins, 5 losses and 1 overtime loss, averaging 2.3 goals from 23.9 shots on goal, with a 10.3% powerplay efficiency. The Caps have been giving up 2.8 goals from 28.4 shots, averaging 3.8 penalties with a penalty-killing efficiency of 79.0%.

Dylan Strome is the top points scorer with 8 points, 2 goals and 6 assists, with Tom Wilson recording 7 points, 4 goals and 3 assists, over the past 10 games. Goalie Logan Thompson have a 2.43 goal against average with a .913 save percentage.

The Islanders have 3 wins, 5 losses and 2 overtime losses, averaging 2.5 goals from 31.6 shots on goal, with a 9.4% powerplay efficiency. They have conceded 3.8 goals from 28.2 shots, averaging 3.0 penalties per game with a penalty-killing efficiency of 73.3%.

The top points scorer is Simon Holmstroem with 8 points, 3 goals and 5 assists, while Bo Horvat is next best after registering 6 points, 4 goals and 2 assists. Goalie Ilya Sorokin have a 2.28 GAA with a .921 SV%, including one shutout.

Washington Capitals vs New York Islanders Prediction & Picks

Our Washington Capitals vs New York Islanders betting preview covers everything you need, including a key match prediction, correct score insight, top player prop bets and a value-packed bet builder recommendation.

Game Prediction

Washington Capitals should be able to outscore the home team and our pick is to side with them on the Moneyline. There is a generous -118 available for the visitors to win this NHL clash.

We’re always on top of team news and when combined with recent form, it helps us uncover the best value. Our NHL handicappers also take a data-led approach, using key stats to back every pick.

Key Capitals vs Islanders stats:

• Islanders have lost 4 of their last 5 games.
• Islanders have lost 7 of their last 10 games.
• Islanders have lost their last 3 games.
• Islanders have lost 6 of their last 10 games against Capitals.

Caps Moneyline Probability

Based on the odds from the top NHL sportsbooks, there’s a 54.1% likelihood of our pick delivering a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our analysts think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this hockey wager.

For a bigger return on investment, bettors often wager Match Winner & Total Goals to get bigger odds for Washington. The Puck Line, Winning Margin and 3-Way Moneyline are good alternatives.

Take your betting up a notch with the latest promos, free bets and top betting offers inside our easy-to-use bonus guide.

Our Game Prediction

Capitals Moneyline @ -118 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Oct 10, 23:43). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Tom Wilson Over 1.5 Shots -141

Tom Wilson (Capitals) has recorded Over 1.5 shots on goal in 3 straight games on the road. The stats suggest that he can oblige with our Overs wager and we’re more than happy to take the -141 available.

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Capitals 5 - 3 Islanders

Let’s take a chance on the +2500 available that the Capitals secure a 5-3 victory. There’s a nice potential return waiting if we’re able to predict the correct score.

Latest Correct Score Odds

Score

Capitals

Islanders

1-0

Capitals

+4500

Islanders

+4500

2-0

Capitals

+4000

Islanders

+4000

2-1

Capitals

+1300

Islanders

+1300

3-0

Capitals

+2800

Islanders

+2900

3-1

Capitals

+1700

Islanders

+1700

3-2

Capitals

+800

Islanders

+850

4-0

Capitals

+3500

Islanders

+4000

4-1

Capitals

+1400

Islanders

+1500

4-2

Capitals

+1500

Islanders

+1600

4-3

Capitals

+1100

Islanders

+1100

5-0

Capitals

+6600

Islanders

+7000

5-1

Capitals

+2400

Islanders

+2500

5-2

Capitals

+1700

Islanders

+1800

5-3

Capitals

+2500

Islanders

+2500

5-4

Capitals

+2200

Islanders

+2400

6-0

Capitals

+10000

Islanders

+11000

6-1

Capitals

+5500

Islanders

+6600

6-2

Capitals

+3300

Islanders

+3500

6-3

Capitals

+3300

Islanders

+3500

6-4

Capitals

+5500

Islanders

+5500

6-5

Capitals

+6000

Islanders

+6000

7-1

Capitals

+10000

Islanders

+11000

7-2

Capitals

+8000

Islanders

+9000

7-3

Capitals

+6000

Islanders

+7000

7-4

Capitals

+7500

Islanders

+8000

7-5

Capitals

+12000

Islanders

+12500

7-6

Capitals

+14000

Islanders

+14000

8-4

Capitals

+13000

Islanders

+14000

View More

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Washington Capitals vs New York Islanders Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

New York Islanders are on offer at -100 on the Moneyline if you want to back this team, with Washington Capitals available at -120. The probability of the home team winning this game is 50% according to the sportsbooks.

The puck line is 1.5 and total goals is 5.5. There is no denying the popularity of wagering on Totals. If you’re wanting to back Over 5.5, the odds are -114.

Whether you're placing bets before the puck drops or during the live action, the top betting sites offer hundreds of game lines and team props to explore. The sheer variety means there's no shortage of options to match your strategy.

Moneyline

Capitals

-120

Islanders

-100

3-Way Moneyline

Capitals

+135

Tie

+330

Islanders

+155

Puck Line

Capitals -1.5

+198

Islanders +1.5

-250

Total Goals

Under 5.5

-106

Over 5.5

-114

As an alternative to the game lines, check out the player prop bets that are available. It’s especially great if you have a view when it comes to Blocked Shots, Goaltender Saves or Shutouts while there are lots of other options.

It’s good to consider all wagering options when it comes to NHL and micro betting can be an exciting way to get involved in the action. When everything goes in-game, bet on the Next Goalscorer or Next Goal.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Washington Capitals Stats

New York Islanders Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Puck Line

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 5 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the -1.5 puck line in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Puck Line

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 8 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the +1.5 puck line in 8 of the last 10 home games

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 7.20 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 6.00 goals in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 6.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 4.20 goals and allowed 3.00 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 3.30 pts and allowed 2.70 goals in the last 10 games on the road

Total Goals

• Game Totals: An average of 4.70 goals in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 5.60 goals in the previous 10 home games
• Over 6.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
• Over 6.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 2.50 goals and allowed 2.20 goals in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 2.90 goals and allowed 2.70 goals in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.4
• Shots: 31.4
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 3.5
• Empty Net Goals: 0.5
• Penalty Minutes: 7.6
• Blocks: 14.9
• Faceoff Wins : 24.6
• Hits: 17.5
• Giveaways: 15.3
• Takeaways: 5.2

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 30.2
• Goals Shorthanded: 0
• Penalties: 4.7
• Empty Net Goals: 0.2
• Penalty Minutes: 11.9
• Blocks: 14.8
• Faceoff Wins : 25.8
• Hits: 20.3
• Giveaways: 16.3
• Takeaways: 5.1

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.3
• Shots: 28.5
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.2
• Penalties: 3.3
• Empty Net Goals: 0
• Penalty Minutes: 9.8
• Blocks: 14
• Faceoff Wins : 26.9
• Hits: 15.2
• Giveaways: 14
• Takeaways: 4.4

Last 10 Home Games

• Goals Powerplay: 0.5
• Shots: 32
• Goals Shorthanded: 0.1
• Penalties: 3.1
• Empty Net Goals: 0.1
• Penalty Minutes: 7.8
• Blocks: 13.7
• Faceoff Wins : 27.7
• Hits: 16.2
• Giveaways: 15.8
• Takeaways: 4.7

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

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