Alabama vs Missouri Prediction, Picks & Odds | 11 Oct 2025

College Football Betting Preview: Alabama vs Missouri

Alabama battle Missouri in this NCAAF Week 7 matchup at Faurot Field, with kickoff scheduled for 12:00 on Saturday 11 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.

Mizzou Good Value vs Bama

There’s some value on the spread and we like Missouri at +3.5. We’re very happy to take them with this advantage against Alabama at -115.

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34-0 Win for Bama in Pair’s Last Matchup

Alabama Crimson Tide have won their previous four games. The latest was a 30-14 home triumph at Bryant-Denny Stadium against Vanderbilt Commodores.

Missouri Tigers last game was a 42-6 home win. This victory over Massachusetts Minutemen at Faurot Field was their fifth successive victory.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The scoreline was 34-0 in favor of Alabama when they last played Missouri, with the matchup taking place at Bryant-Denny Stadium.

Quarterbacks

Ty Simpson

285.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Beau Pribula

204.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Alabama vs Missouri Prediction & Picks

Get set for Alabama vs Missouri with our full betting breakdown, complete with an expert match prediction, a likely final score, top player prop picks and a value-driven bet builder.

Game Prediction

The market might have underrated Missouri in this college football showdown and -115 makes appeal considering the underdogs are +3.5 on the spread. Bet on them to cover the line.

The handicappers at Sportsgambler.com stay on top of the latest injuries, while recent form also shapes our CFB predictions. We combine this insight with up-to-date stats for sharper picks

Key Alabama vs Missouri stats:

• The +3.5 line has been covered by Missouri in 16 consecutive games at home.
• The +3.5 line has been covered by Missouri in 19 of their last 20 games at home.
• The -3.5 line hasn’t been covered by Alabama in 4 consecutive games on the road.
• The -3.5 line hasn’t been covered by Alabama in 8 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -3.5 line hasn’t been covered by Alabama in 11 of their last 20 games on the road.

Mizzou +3.5 Probability

Based on the odds from the top betting apps, our pick has a 53.5% chance of landing a return. In the opinion of our analysts, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

In the quest to secure bigger odds, there’s the possibility of moving the line. There are plenty of choices when it comes to doing this, so you can choose the option that suits you.

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Best Bet

Missouri +3.5 @ -115 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Beau Pribula Over 204.5 Passing Yards -114

You can back Beau Pribula (Missouri) at -114 to top 204.5 passing yards. The line for QB Passing Yards looks attractive and we’re confident of securing a return.

Latest Beau Pribula Player Prop Odds

Passing Yards

Over 204.5

-114

Under 204.5

-114

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Jam Miller Over 67.5 Rushing Yards -114

You can back Jam Miller (Missouri) at -114 to accumulate over 67.5 rushing yards. The line for him on the Overs looks attractive and bettors can get plenty of juice from this Player Rushing Yards wager.

Latest Jam Miller Player Prop Odds

Rushing Yards

Over 67.5

-114

Under 67.5

-114

Correct Score Prediction

Alabama 20 - 23 Missouri

There are massive odds available when it comes to the Tigers claiming a 23-20 victory. A close battle is anticipated between two evenly-matched teams.

Alabama vs Missouri Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Books Expecting a Bama Victory

Alabama are regarded as having a 62% chance of winning this college game according to the latest betting odds. The sportsbooks have priced them up at -161. For those wanting to back Missouri, you will find +136 about the underdogs.

The current spread is 3.5 and total points is 51.5. Having a bet on the Totals is one of the most popular football wagers. If you’re going for Under 51.5, this outcome can be backed at -110.

Whether you are betting pre-game or in-game on college football, the best sportsbooks let you feast on a wide range of game lines and team props. The selections are practically endless, and it’s fantastic to have so many options.

Moneyline

Alabama

-161

Missouri

+136

Point Spread

Alabama -3.5

-106

Missouri +3.5

-114

Total Points

Under 51.5

-110

Over 51.5

-110

Player Odds

Receiving Yards

Ryan Williams (Alabama)

Over 70.5

-114

Under 70.5

-114

Kevin Coleman Jr. (Missouri)

Over 65.5

-114

Under 65.5

-114

Germie Bernard (Alabama)

Over 62.5

-114

Under 62.5

-114

Isaiah Horton (Alabama)

Over 45.5

-114

Under 45.5

-114

Marquis Johnson (Missouri)

Over 40.5

-114

Under 40.5

-114

Brett Norfleet (Missouri)

Over 26.5

-114

Under 26.5

-114

Josh Cuevas (Alabama)

Over 22.5

-114

Under 22.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Ahmad Hardy (Missouri)

Over 96.5

-114

Under 96.5

-114

Jam Miller (Alabama)

Over 67.5

-114

Under 67.5

-114

Jamal Roberts (Missouri)

Over 45.5

-114

Under 45.5

-114

Passing Yards

Ty Simpson (Alabama)

Over 285.5

-114

Under 285.5

-114

Beau Pribula (Missouri)

Over 204.5

-114

Under 204.5

-114

Missouri Looking to Keep Rolling at Home

Missouri have gone 10-0 across their last 10 home games, scoring 36.20 points per contest and conceding 18.20.

Alabama have four wins and six losses in the last 10 games on the road, averaging 24.00 points on offense and surrendering 23.30 on defense.

Alabama beat Missouri 38-19 in their most recent meeting at Faurot Field.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O52.5	U52.5
Missouri Home Stats		10-0	54.40	36.20	18.20	5	5
Alabama Away Stats		4-6	47.30	24.00	23.30	2	8

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O52.5 = Games Over 52.5 Points
• U52.5 = Games Under 52.5 Points

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Alabama Crimson Tide Stats

Missouri Tigers Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games
• 10 wins and 0 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -3.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
• +3.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 47.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 47.30 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 52.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 52.5 on the Road: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 32.00 pts and allowed 15.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 24.00 pts and allowed 23.30 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 57.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 54.70 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 52.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 52.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 38.00 pts and allowed 19.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 36.20 pts and allowed 18.50 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAF Standings Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Southeastern	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Missouri	5	0	226	73	153	5-0	0-0	5W
Oklahoma	5	0	169	36	133	4-0	1-0	5W
Ole Miss	5	0	203	94	109	4-0	1-0	5W
Texas A&M	5	0	174	105	69	4-0	1-0	5W
Vanderbilt	5	1	259	116	143	3-0	2-1	1L
Alabama	4	1	182	80	102	3-0	1-1	4W
Georgia	4	1	173	92	81	3-1	1-0	1W
LSU	4	1	135	61	74	3-0	1-1	1L
Tennessee	4	1	255	145	110	3-1	1-0	2W
Mississippi State	4	2	202	119	83	3-1	1-1	2L
Auburn	3	2	138	82	56	2-0	1-2	2L
South Carolina	3	2	124	94	30	3-1	0-1	1W
Texas	3	2	148	60	88	3-0	0-2	1L
Arkansas	2	3	187	150	37	2-1	0-2	3L
Florida	2	3	117	85	32	2-1	0-2	1W
Kentucky	2	3	122	139	-17	2-1	0-2	2L