Arizona State vs Mississippi State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 06 Sep 2025

College Football Betting Preview: Arizona State vs Mississippi State

Arizona State face off against Mississippi State in this NCAAF Week 2 matchup at Davis Wade Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 19:30 on Saturday 6 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.

Will Arizona State Cover the Spread?

We are confident that Arizona State will cover the spread. -6.5 seems a more than generous betting line and you can get -110 that they will win by a bigger margin in their clash against Mississippi State.

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30-23 Victory for Arizona State in Pair’s Last Head-to-Head

Arizona State Sun Devils claimed a victory in their previous game. A 38-19 home win occurred against Northern Arizona Lumberjacks at Mountain America Stadium.

Mississippi State Bulldogs won last time out by a 34-17 scoreline. It was on the road against Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles at M.M. Roberts Stadium.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Arizona State beat Mississippi State in their last head-to-head matchup. It was a 30-23 scoreline at Mountain America Stadium.

Quarterbacks

Sam Leavitt

250.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Blake Shapen

248.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Arizona State vs Mississippi State Prediction & Picks

Get the edge with our best Arizona State vs Mississippi State tips: a key match prediction, correct score recommendation, top player prop bets and a ready-made bet builder.

Game Prediction

We’re bullish about Arizona State on the spread at -6.5.5. The market leaders should be able to claim a victory by a comfortable margin in this college football matchup and you can get -110.

We only make our college football picks after confirming the latest team news. Studying recent form and digging into the most relevant stats also helps us build a complete picture.

Key Arizona State vs Mississippi State stats:

• The -6.5 line has been covered by Arizona State in 3 consecutive games on the road.
• The -6.5 line has been covered by Arizona State in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The +6.5 line hasn’t been covered by Mississippi State in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The +6.5 line hasn’t been covered by Mississippi State in 4 of their last 5 games at home.

Arizona State -6.5 Probability

The top betting apps are suggesting that our pick has a 52.4% chance of delivering a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our analysts think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we can recommend this college wager.

If the initial odds don’t grab your fancy, there’s the alternative to shoot for more juice by moving the line when it comes to your pick. It all comes down to how confident you feel.

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Best Bet

Arizona State -6.5 @ -110 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Blake Shapen Under 248.5 Passing Yards -114

You can place a bet on Blake Shapen (Mississippi State) at -114 to finish with fewer than 248.5 passing yards. He may fall short of the QB Passing Yards line, making this prop bet a strong pick.

Latest Blake Shapen Player Prop Odds

Passing Yards

Over 248.5

-114

Under 248.5

-114

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Anthony Evans III Under 40.5 Receiving Yards -114

You can back Anthony Evans III (Mississippi State) at -114 to finish with fewer than 40.5 receiving yards. He’s not guaranteed to cover the Player Receiving Yards line and we’re happy to take this bet.

Latest Anthony Evans III Player Prop Odds

Receiving Yards

Over 44.5

-114

Under 44.5

-114

Correct Score Prediction

Arizona State 31 - 20 Mississippi State

Should you wish to go for a speculative bet, try Arizona State to triumph 31-20 on the correct score lines. This should be a fun wager which could potentially yield a huge return.

Arizona State vs Mississippi State Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Books Make Arizona State Likelier Winners

With a 69% chance of securing victory, Arizona State are favorites for this college game and the sportsbooks have them at betting odds of -227. Mississippi State are the underdogs at +184 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

The current spread is 6.5 and total points is 58.5. A Total bet relates to the number of points that will be scored overall. Those that want to back Under 58.5 can find odds of -105 available.

The top sportsbooks cover every college football matchup with a great mix of game lines and team props. Whether you prefer to bet before kickoff or during the action, make sure to explore all available options.

Moneyline

Arizona State

-227

Mississippi State

+184

Point Spread

Arizona State -6.5

-110

Mississippi State +6.5

-110

Total Points

Under 58.5

-105

Over 58.5

-115

Player Odds

Receiving Yards

Jordyn Tyson (Arizona State)

Over 98.5

-114

Under 98.5

-114

Brenen Thompson (Mississippi State)

Over 51.5

-114

Under 51.5

-114

Anthony Evans III (Mississippi State)

Over 44.5

-114

Under 44.5

-114

Seydou Traore (Mississippi State)

Over 40.5

-114

Under 40.5

-114

Chamon Metayer (Arizona State)

Over 18.5

-114

Under 18.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Kyson Brown (Arizona State)

Over 62.5

-114

Under 62.5

-114

Davon Booth (Mississippi State)

Over 56.5

-114

Under 56.5

-114

Sam Leavitt (Arizona State)

Over 41.5

-114

Under 41.5

-114

Fluff Bothwell (Mississippi State)

Over 36.5

-114

Under 36.5

-114

Passing Yards

Sam Leavitt (Arizona State)

Over 250.5

-114

Under 250.5

-114

Blake Shapen (Mississippi State)

Over 248.5

-114

Under 248.5

-114

Mississippi State Sitting on Seven Losses in Their Previous Ten at Home

Mississippi State have three wins and seven losses in the last 10 home games, averaging 26.60 points on offense and surrendering 30.50 on defense.

Arizona State are riding three straight road wins. They are 5-5 in their last 10 road games, averaging 23.00 points on offense and surrendering 22.50 on defense.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O58.5	U58.5
Mississippi State Home Stats		3-7	57.10	26.60	30.50	6	4
Arizona State Away Stats		5-5	45.50	23.00	22.50	2	8

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O58.5 = Games Over 58.5 Points
• U58.5 = Games Under 58.5 Points

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Arizona State Sun Devils Stats

Mississippi State Bulldogs Stats

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -6.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
• +6.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 54.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 45.50 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 58.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 58.5 on the Road: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 33.30 pts and allowed 21.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 23.00 pts and allowed 22.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 59.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 57.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 58.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 58.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 24.80 pts and allowed 34.80 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 26.60 pts and allowed 30.50 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAF Standings Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Southeastern	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Arkansas	1	0	52	7	45	1-0	0-0	1W
Auburn	1	0	38	24	14	0-0	1-0	1W
Florida	1	0	55	0	55	1-0	0-0	1W
Georgia	1	0	45	7	38	1-0	0-0	1W
Kentucky	1	0	24	16	8	1-0	0-0	1W
LSU	1	0	17	10	7	0-0	1-0	1W
Mississippi State	1	0	34	17	17	0-0	1-0	1W
Missouri	1	0	61	6	55	1-0	0-0	1W
Oklahoma	1	0	35	3	32	1-0	0-0	1W
Ole Miss	1	0	63	7	56	1-0	0-0	1W
South Carolina	1	0	24	11	13	1-0	0-0	1W
Tennessee	1	0	45	26	19	1-0	0-0	1W
Texas A&M	1	0	42	24	18	1-0	0-0	1W
Vanderbilt	1	0	45	3	42	1-0	0-0	1W
Alabama	0	1	17	31	-14	0-0	0-1	1L
Texas	0	1	7	14	-7	0-0	0-1	1L