Arizona State vs Mississippi State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 06 Sep 2025

College Football Betting Preview: Arizona State vs Mississippi State

Arizona State face off against Mississippi State in this NCAAF Week 2 matchup at Davis Wade Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 19:30 on Saturday, September 6. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.

We are confident that Arizona State will cover the spread. -6.5 seems a more than generous betting line and you can get -110 that they will win by a bigger margin in their clash against Mississippi State.

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Arizona State Sun Devils claimed a victory in their previous game. A 38-19 home win occurred against Northern Arizona Lumberjacks at Mountain America Stadium.

Mississippi State Bulldogs won last time out by a 34-17 scoreline. It was on the road against Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles at M.M. Roberts Stadium.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Arizona State beat Mississippi State in their last head-to-head matchup. It was a 30-23 scoreline at Mountain America Stadium.

Quarterbacks

Sam Leavitt

250.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Blake Shapen

240.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Arizona State vs Mississippi State Prediction & Picks

Get the edge with our best Arizona State vs Mississippi State tips: a key match prediction, correct score recommendation, top player prop bets and a ready-made bet builder.

Game Prediction

We’re bullish about Arizona State on the spread at -6.5.5. The market leaders should be able to claim a victory by a comfortable margin in this college football matchup and you can get -110.

We only make our college football picks after confirming the latest team news. Studying recent form and digging into the most relevant stats also helps us build a complete picture.

Key Arizona State vs Mississippi State stats:

• The -6.5 line has been covered by Arizona State in 3 consecutive games on the road.
• The -6.5 line has been covered by Arizona State in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The +6.5 line hasn’t been covered by Mississippi State in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The +6.5 line hasn’t been covered by Mississippi State in 4 of their last 5 games at home.

Arizona State -6.5 Probability

The top betting apps are suggesting that our pick has a 52.4% chance of delivering a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our analysts think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we can recommend this college wager.

If the initial odds don’t grab your fancy, there’s the alternative to shoot for more juice by moving the line when it comes to your pick. It all comes down to how confident you feel.

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Our Game Prediction

Arizona State -6.5 @ -110 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Blake Shapen Under 248.5 Passing Yards -114

You can place a bet on Blake Shapen (Mississippi State) at -114 to finish with fewer than 248.5 passing yards. He may fall short of the QB Passing Yards line, making this prop bet a strong pick.

Latest Blake Shapen Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+200

First

+1700

Passing Yards

Over 240.5

-114

Under 240.5

-114

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Anthony Evans III Under 40.5 Receiving Yards -114

You can back Anthony Evans III (Mississippi State) at -114 to finish with fewer than 40.5 receiving yards. He’s not guaranteed to cover the Player Receiving Yards line and we’re happy to take this bet.

Latest Anthony Evans III Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+165

First

+1400

Receiving Yards

Over 41.5

-112

Under 41.5

-112

Correct Score Prediction

Arizona State 31 - 20 MS State

Should you wish to go for a speculative bet, try Arizona State to triumph 31-20 on the correct score lines. This should be a fun wager which could potentially yield a huge return.

Arizona State vs Mississippi State Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

With a 71% chance of securing victory, Arizona State are favorites for this college game and the sportsbooks have them at betting odds of -244. Mississippi State are the underdogs at +198 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

The current spread is 6.5 and total points is 58.5. A Total bet relates to the number of points that will be scored overall. Those that want to back Under 58.5 can find odds of -105 available.

The top sportsbooks cover every college football matchup with a great mix of game lines and team props. Whether you prefer to bet before kickoff or during the action, make sure to explore all available options.

Moneyline

Arizona State

-244

MS State

+198

Point Spread

Arizona State -6.5

-115

MS State +6.5

-105

Total Points

Under 58.5

-105

Over 58.5

-115

Kyson Brown is the First Touchdown Scorer favorite at +600. Alternatively, there’s the opportunity to simply back him to score a TD anytime at -161.

Touchdown

Kyson Brown (Arizona State)

First TD

+600

Anytime TD

-161

Jordyn Tyson (Arizona State)

First TD

+650

Anytime TD

-175

Davon Booth (MS State)

First TD

+700

Anytime TD

-105

Sam Leavitt (Arizona State)

First TD

+800

Anytime TD

-125

Fluff Bothwell (MS State)

First TD

+900

Anytime TD

+120

Raleek Brown (Arizona State)

First TD

+1000

Anytime TD

+125

Brenen Thompson (MS State)

First TD

+1100

Anytime TD

+120

Anthony Evans III (MS State)

First TD

+1400

Anytime TD

+165

Chamon Metayer (Arizona State)

First TD

+1500

Anytime TD

+170

Blake Shapen (MS State)

First TD

+1700

Anytime TD

+200

Malik McClain (Arizona State)

First TD

+1800

Anytime TD

+240

Seydou Traore (MS State)

First TD

+2000

Anytime TD

+270

Markus Allen (MS State)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+330

Derek Eusebio (Arizona State)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+380

Receiving Yards

Jordyn Tyson (Arizona State)

Over 98.5

-112

Under 98.5

-112

Brenen Thompson (MS State)

Over 52.5

-112

Under 52.5

-112

Anthony Evans III (MS State)

Over 41.5

-112

Under 41.5

-112

Seydou Traore (MS State)

Over 40.5

-112

Under 40.5

-112

Chamon Metayer (Arizona State)

Over 18.5

-112

Under 18.5

-112

Rushing Yards

Davon Booth (MS State)

Over 58.5

-112

Under 58.5

-112

Kyson Brown (Arizona State)

Over 57.5

-112

Under 57.5

-112

Sam Leavitt (Arizona State)

Over 41.5

-112

Under 41.5

-112

Fluff Bothwell (MS State)

Over 38.5

-112

Under 38.5

-112

Passing Yards

Sam Leavitt (Arizona State)

Over 250.5

-114

Under 250.5

-114

Blake Shapen (MS State)

Over 240.5

-114

Under 240.5

-114

Micro betting provides a rollercoaster ride for college football bettors. It can be great to enjoy the live lines, with the opportunity to wager on the Next Scoring Play. Watch the live action before deciding which way to go.

Mississippi State Sitting on Seven Losses in Their Previous Ten at Home

Mississippi State have three wins and seven losses in the last 10 home games, averaging 26.60 points on offense and surrendering 30.50 on defense.

Arizona State are riding three straight road wins. They are 5-5 in their last 10 road games, averaging 23.00 points on offense and surrendering 22.50 on defense.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O58.5	U58.5
Mississippi State Home Stats		3-7	57.10	26.60	30.50	6	4
Arizona State Away Stats		5-5	45.50	23.00	22.50	2	8

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O58.5 = Games Over 58.5 Points
• U58.5 = Games Under 58.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Arizona State Sun Devils Stats

Mississippi State Bulldogs Stats

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -6.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
• +6.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 54.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 45.50 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 58.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 58.5 on the Road: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 33.30 pts and allowed 21.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 23.00 pts and allowed 22.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 59.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 57.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 58.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 58.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 24.80 pts and allowed 34.80 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 26.60 pts and allowed 30.50 pts in the last 10 home games

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