Arkansas State vs Troy Trojans Prediction, Picks & Odds | 01 Nov 2025

College Football Betting Preview: Arkansas State vs Troy

Arkansas State go up against Troy in this NCAAF matchup at Veterans Memorial Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 19:00 on Saturday, November 1. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.

We’re confident of backing Troy to cover the -7.5 spread when they face Arkansas State. This is a generous line and the favorites look a value bet at odds of -105.

Going with our spread pick? Make the most of it by securing the best BetMGM promo code and reading our in-depth site review ahead of your wager.

Arkansas State Red Wolves made it three consecutive wins after a 34-24 home success over Georgia Southern Eagles at Centennial Bank Stadium.

Troy State Trojans were winners for the fifth straight time in their last game. Landing a 35-23 home victory against Louisiana Ragin Cajuns at Veterans Memorial Stadium.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last head-to-head saw Arkansas State claim a 34-31 win over Troy State at Centennial Bank Stadium. In the past 5 H2H meetings, Troy State have won three.

Arkansas State vs Troy Trojans Prediction & Picks

We dive into the best Arkansas State vs Troy Trojans betting angles, including a key match prediction, our correct score forecast and a value-focused bet builder. Read on for the full breakdown.

Game Prediction

The best betting angle could be Troy against the spread. You can land -105 that the market leaders are able to cover the -7.5 line and they are more than capable in this college football matchup.

Team news plays a key role in our college football forecasts and we’re always tracking players with injury concerns. We also stay on top of the form guide, supported by detailed stats that help paint a clearer picture of what to expect

Key Arkansas State vs Troy stats:

• The -7.5 line has been covered by Troy State in 3 of their last 5 games at home.
• The -7.5 line has been covered by Troy State in 11 of their last 20 games at home.
• The -7.5 line has been covered by Troy State in 2 consecutive games.
• The -7.5 line has been covered by Troy State in 3 of their last 5 games against Arkansas State.

Troy -7.5 Probability

According to the top sportsbooks, there’s a 51.3% likelihood of our pick landing a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our analysts think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

Bigger prices can be secured for bettors who are prepared to move the line. The odds increase according to how much risk you are prepared to have with your wager.

Before you bet, make sure to check out the latest offers. Our guide is packed with the best welcome bonuses from leading sportsbooks.

Our Game Prediction

Troy -7.5 @ -105 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Correct Score Prediction

Arkansas State 17 - 30 Troy

There’s lots of entertainment when it comes to a correct score wager. A play on Troy State to achieve a 30-17 win should give bettors a good run for their money.

Arkansas State vs Troy Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

The Troy odds have been priced up by the sportsbooks and they are -333 betting favorites to land victory in this college game which means a 77% chance of winning. At +270, Arkansas State are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

The spread currently stands at 8.5 and the total points line is 52.5. Having a bet on the Totals is one of the most popular football wagers. If you’re going for Under 52.5, this outcome can be backed at -105.

When it comes to college football, the top betting apps deliver a wide variety of game lines and team props. With so many options available, it’s worth taking your time to find the wager that fits your view of the matchup.

Moneyline

Arkansas State

+270

Troy

-333

Point Spread

Arkansas State +8.5

-110

Troy -8.5

-110

Total Points

Under 52.5

-105

Over 52.5

-115

You shouldn’t overlook the player props when it comes to betting on individual games. Many gambling sites will give you the chance to get with or bet against a specific player or quarterback when it comes to number of Touchdowns, Passing or Rushing Yards.

Micro betting is something that’s really popular with bettors, with college football fans essentially being able to wager in-game when it comes to score, player and team props. Sometimes these are two-way lines where you can bet on the Next Play or Next Drive.

Troy State Have Picked Up Six Wins From Last Ten Home Games

Troy State own a 6-4 mark in their past 10 home games, posting 28.70 points per contest while yielding 23.00.

Arkansas State have gone 4-6 across their last 10 games on the road, putting up 21.00 points per contest and giving up 35.30.

Troy State earned a 37-3 win over Arkansas State the last time they played at Veterans Memorial Stadium.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O52.5	U52.5
Troy Trojans Home Stats		6-4	51.70	28.70	23.00	7	3
Arkansas State Away Stats		4-6	56.30	21.00	35.30	5	5

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O52.5 = Games Over 52.5 Points
• U52.5 = Games Under 52.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Arkansas State Red Wolves Stats

Troy Trojans Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +7.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -7.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 55.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 56.30 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 52.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 52.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 25.90 pts and allowed 29.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 21.00 pts and allowed 35.30 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 58.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 51.70 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 52.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 52.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 31.50 pts and allowed 26.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 28.70 pts and allowed 23.00 pts in the last 10 home games

Top American Football Pages