Boston College vs Michigan State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 06 Sep 2025

College Football Betting Preview: Boston College vs Michigan State

Boston College meet Michigan State in this NCAAF Week 2 matchup at Spartan Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 19:30 on Saturday 6 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.

Expect a Tight Affair

With Boston College capable of remaining close to Michigan State, backing them against the spread could be the best way forward. -118 is available that the +4.5 is covered.

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BC 23-19 Winners in Previous H2H Matchup

Boston College Eagles won their previous game which was at home. It was a 66-10 triumph at Alumni Stadium against Fordham Rams.

Michigan State Spartans last game saw them claim a 23-6 home win over Western Michigan Broncos at Spartan Stadium.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The scoreline was 23-19 in favor of Boston College when they last played Michigan State, with the matchup taking place at Alumni Stadium.

Quarterbacks

Dylan Lonergan

201.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Aidan Chiles

208.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Boston College vs Michigan State Prediction & Picks

Our Boston College vs Michigan State betting outlook has it all, including a trusted match forecast, our predicted score, top player prop picks and a hand-picked bet builder.

Game Prediction

Boston College are more than capable of staying close to the favorites so there’s a case for backing them against the spread in this college football matchup. Take the -118 for the +4.5 that is available.

We keep a close eye on team news and our CFB handicappers stay sharp by tracking the latest form and lineups. You’ll also find a full set of stats that offer valuable insight and help shape smarter predictions ahead of the action.

Key Boston College vs Michigan State stats:

• The +4.5 line has been covered by Boston College in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The +4.5 line has been covered by Boston College in 12 of their last 20 games.
• The -4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Michigan State in 15 of their last 20 games.
• The -4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Michigan State in 7 of their last 10 games.

Boston College +4.5 Probability

Looking at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 54.1% chance of winning. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

Bettors can choose between buying or selling points depending on their attitude to risk. When you move the line in either direction, the odds change accordingly.

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Best Bet

Boston College +4.5 @ -118 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Aidan Chiles Under 208.5 Passing Yards -114

The odds for Aidan Chiles (Michigan State) to record fewer than 208.5 passing yards stand at -114. He could struggle to reach the QB Passing Yards line, making this prop bet highly appealing.

Latest Aidan Chiles Player Prop Odds

Passing Yards

Over 208.5

-114

Under 208.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Over 16.5

-114

Under 16.5

-114

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Nick Marsh Under 50.5 Receiving Yards -114

Nick Marsh (Boston College) can be backed at -114 to end with fewer than 50.5 receiving yards. There’s no reason to doubt our instinct, so we’ll bet on him falling short of the Player Receiving Yards line.

Latest Nick Marsh Player Prop Odds

Receiving Yards

Over 50.5

-114

Under 50.5

-114

Correct Score Prediction

Boston College 27 - 28 Michigan State

We’ll roll the dice and go for the Spartans to register a 28-27 victory. We don’t think that there will be too much between the teams and we’re happy to take the huge odds.

Boston College vs Michigan State Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Michigan State Could Have the Edge Say the Books

With a 64% chance of securing victory, Michigan State are favorites for this college game and the sportsbooks have them at betting odds of -175. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +146 about Boston College.

The spread is 3.5 and the total points line is currently 45.5. There is no denying the popularity of wagering on the Totals. Those that want to back Under 45.5 can find odds of -110 available.

You can find a wide range of team props and game lines for every college football matchup, with the best sportsbooks creating lots of different options. Explore the pre-game and in-game selections before placing your wagers.

Moneyline

BC

+146

MSU

-175

Point Spread

BC +3.5

-108

MSU -3.5

-112

Total Points

Under 45.5

-110

Over 45.5

-110

Player Odds

Receiving Yards

Lewis Bond (BC)

Over 55.5

-114

Under 55.5

-114

Nick Marsh (MSU)

Over 50.5

-114

Under 50.5

-114

Omari Kelly (MSU)

Over 45.5

-114

Under 45.5

-114

Jeremiah Franklin (BC)

Over 28.5

-114

Under 28.5

-114

Jack Velling (MSU)

Over 26.5

-114

Under 26.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Makhi Frazier (MSU)

Over 56.5

-114

Under 56.5

-114

Turbo Richard (BC)

Over 52.5

-114

Under 52.5

-114

Aidan Chiles (MSU)

Over 16.5

-114

Under 16.5

-114

Passing Yards

Aidan Chiles (MSU)

Over 208.5

-114

Under 208.5

-114

Dylan Lonergan (BC)

Over 201.5

-114

Under 201.5

-114

Michigan State With Six Wins in Past Ten Home Games

Michigan State have six wins and four losses in the last 10 home games, scoring 18.60 points per contest and conceding 23.80.

Boston College have dropped five consecutive away games. They have four wins and six losses in the last 10 games on the road, putting up 22.50 points on average and giving up 24.50.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O46.5	U46.5
Michigan State Home Stats		6-4	42.40	18.60	23.80	3	7
Boston College Away Stats		4-6	47.00	22.50	24.50	5	5

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O46.5 = Games Over 46.5 Points
• U46.5 = Games Under 46.5 Points

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Boston College Stats

Michigan State Spartans Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +4.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• -4.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 56.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 47.00 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 46.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 46.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 30.40 pts and allowed 26.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 22.50 pts and allowed 24.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 45.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 42.40 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 46.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 46.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 17.20 pts and allowed 28.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 18.60 pts and allowed 23.80 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAF Standings Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Big Ten	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Illinois	1	0	52	3	49	1-0	0-0	1W
Indiana	1	0	27	14	13	1-0	0-0	1W
Wisconsin	1	0	17	0	17	1-0	0-0	1W
Washington	1	0	38	21	17	1-0	0-0	1W
USC	1	0	73	13	60	1-0	0-0	1W
Rutgers	1	0	34	31	3	1-0	0-0	1W
Purdue	1	0	31	0	31	1-0	0-0	1W
Penn State	1	0	46	11	35	1-0	0-0	1W
Oregon	1	0	59	13	46	1-0	0-0	1W
Ohio State	1	0	14	7	7	1-0	0-0	1W
Nebraska	1	0	20	17	3	0-0	1-0	1W
Minnesota	1	0	23	10	13	1-0	0-0	1W
Michigan	1	0	34	17	17	1-0	0-0	1W
Michigan State	1	0	23	6	17	1-0	0-0	1W
Maryland	1	0	39	7	32	1-0	0-0	1W
Iowa	1	0	34	7	27	1-0	0-0	1W
Northwestern	0	1	3	23	-20	0-0	0-1	1L
UCLA	0	1	10	43	-33	0-1	0-0	1L

Atlantic Coast	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Boston College	1	0	66	10	56	1-0	0-0	1W
NC State	1	0	24	17	7	1-0	0-0	1W
Wake Forest	1	0	10	9	1	1-0	0-0	1W
Virginia	1	0	48	7	41	1-0	0-0	1W
SMU	1	0	42	13	29	1-0	0-0	1W
California	1	0	34	15	19	0-0	1-0	1W
Pittsburgh	1	0	61	9	52	1-0	0-0	1W
Miami	1	0	27	24	3	1-0	0-0	1W
Louisville	1	0	51	17	34	1-0	0-0	1W
Georgia Tech	1	0	27	20	7	0-0	1-0	1W
Florida State	1	0	31	17	14	1-0	0-0	1W
Duke	1	0	45	17	28	1-0	0-0	1W
Clemson	0	1	10	17	-7	0-1	0-0	1L
North Carolina	0	1	14	48	-34	0-1	0-0	1L
Stanford	0	1	20	23	-3	0-0	0-1	1L
Syracuse	0	1	26	45	-19	0-0	0-1	1L
Virginia Tech	0	1	11	24	-13	0-0	0-1	1L