Buffalo vs Liberty Prediction, Picks & Odds | 04 Jan 2025

Going Over the Total Points Makes Sense

Liberty and Buffalo are capable of exceeding the set points total line which leads us to predict Over 50.5 as a value wager at -115.

Teams’ Last Clash Saw 55-27 Liberty Win

Buffalo Bulls made it four consecutive wins after a 43-7 home success over Kent State Golden Flashes at University of Buffalo Stadium.

Liberty Flames lost on the road in their last game. Sam Houston Bearkats won 20-18 at Bowers Stadium.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Liberty had the edge in the most recent matchup between these teams. At University of Buffalo Stadium, they recorded a 55-27 win over Buffalo.

Buffalo vs Liberty Prediction & Picks

Over 50.5 points are expected be scored during this college football matchup, with this pick available at odds of -115 and this looks like a bet worth taking.

Injuries can affect the overall outcome and we use this information as well as the latest form guide. The same applies to the stats so that we can get the best understanding of how things might pan out.

Key Buffalo vs Liberty stats:

• The 50.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Buffalo games.
• The 50.5 line has been covered in 9 of the last 11 Liberty games this season.
• The 50.5 line has been covered in 8 of the last 10 Liberty games.

Over 50.5 Probability

The sportsbooks make it a 53.5% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. This college wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

Want more juice from your Over wager on the Totals? Bigger odds can be found if you move the line and go for a riskier bet. You can choose from a range of options.

Best Bet

Over 50.5 Points @ -115 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Buffalo 27 - 31 Liberty

We’ll throw a dart when it comes to Liberty landing a 31-27 win. This correct score pick is available at huge odds and could be an entertaining bet to place.

Buffalo vs Liberty Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Books Predicting a Tight Affair

With a 66% chance of securing victory, Buffalo are favorites for this college game and the sportsbooks have them at betting odds of -192. Liberty are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +155.

3.5 is the spread and 50.5 is the total points line. There are many ways to wager on football including the Totals. The Over 50.5 selection is available to back at -115.

If you’re betting on college football, we recommend heading to the betting sites and scanning through the many team props and game lines. There’s a chance to wager pre-game and in-game.

Moneyline

Buffalo

-192

Liberty

+155

Point Spread

Buffalo -3.5

-114

Liberty +3.5

-106

Total Points

Under 50.5

-105

Over 50.5

-115

Al-Jay Henderson Favorite to Be First Touchdown Scorer

There is -175 available that Al-Jay Henderson scores a touchdown anytime. If you’re interested in the favorite to score the first TD, then you are able to secure +390.

Touchdown

Al-Jay Henderson (Buffalo)

First TD

+390

Anytime TD

-175

Billy Lucas (Liberty)

First TD

+460

Anytime TD

-161

C.J. Ogbonna (Buffalo)

First TD

+800

Anytime TD

+115

Victor Snow (Buffalo)

First TD

+900

Anytime TD

+145

JJ Jenkins (Buffalo)

First TD

+1000

Anytime TD

+150

Vaughn Blue (Liberty)

First TD

+1500

Anytime TD

+210

Tyson Mobley (Liberty)

First TD

+1700

Anytime TD

+230

Treon Sibley (Liberty)

First TD

+2100

Anytime TD

+250

Taji Johnson (Buffalo)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+340

Elijah Canion (Liberty)

First TD

+2400

Anytime TD

+330

Reese Smith (Liberty)

First TD

+2500

Anytime TD

+350

Tadd Barr (Buffalo)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+460

Jake Orlando (Buffalo)

First TD

+3100

Anytime TD

+440

Jacob Jenkins (Liberty)

First TD

+3100

Anytime TD

+500

Jacqez Barksdale (Buffalo)

First TD

+3700

Anytime TD

+410

Receiving Yards

Victor Snow (Buffalo)

Over 54.5

-112

Under 54.5

-112

JJ Jenkins (Buffalo)

Over 49.5

-112

Under 49.5

-112

Tyson Mobley (Liberty)

Over 29.5

-112

Under 29.5

-112

Treon Sibley (Liberty)

Over 26.5

-112

Under 26.5

-112

Taji Johnson (Buffalo)

Over 23.5

-112

Under 23.5

-112

Reese Smith (Liberty)

Over 22.5

-112

Under 22.5

-112

Elijah Canion (Liberty)

Over 21.5

-112

Under 21.5

-112

Al-Jay Henderson (Buffalo)

Over 14.5

-112

Under 14.5

-112

Rushing Yards

Al-Jay Henderson (Buffalo)

Over 105.5

-112

Under 105.5

-112

Billy Lucas (Liberty)

Over 84.5

-112

Under 84.5

-112

C.J. Ogbonna (Buffalo)

Over 30.5

-112

Under 30.5

-112

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Buffalo Bulls Stats

Liberty Flames Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• -2.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• +2.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 60.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 45.20 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 50.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 50.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 31.90 pts and allowed 28.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 18.00 pts and allowed 27.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 52.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 62.00 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 50.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
• Over 50.5 at Home: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 29.70 pts and allowed 23.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 38.60 pts and allowed 23.40 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAF Standings Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Conference USA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Western Kentucky	5	2	208	162	46	3-1	2-1	1L
Kennesaw State	4	2	132	123	9	4-0	0-2	4W
Louisiana Tech	4	2	147	103	44	3-0	1-2	1L
Jacksonville State	4	3	215	186	29	3-0	1-3	2W
Delaware Blue Hens	3	3	173	170	3	2-1	1-2	2L
FIU	3	3	131	166	-35	2-1	1-2	1W
Missouri State	3	3	130	178	-48	1-2	2-1	1W
New Mexico State	3	3	138	144	-6	3-0	0-3	1L
Liberty	3	4	134	151	-17	2-1	1-3	2W
UTEP	2	5	147	169	-22	1-3	1-2	1W
M. Tennessee	1	5	102	177	-75	0-3	1-2	3L
Sam Houston	0	7	119	272	-153	0-3	0-4	7L

Mid-American	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Western Michigan	4	3	160	124	36	3-1	1-2	4W
Bowling Green	3	3	134	152	-18	3-0	0-3	1W
Buffalo	3	3	151	128	23	2-2	1-1	1W
Central Michigan	3	3	131	173	-42	2-0	1-3	1L
Miami (OH)	3	3	138	124	14	1-1	2-2	3W
Ohio	3	3	158	156	2	3-0	0-3	1L
Toledo	3	3	202	90	112	3-0	0-3	1L
Ball State	2	4	82	189	-107	2-0	0-4	1L
Kent State	2	4	115	226	-111	2-1	0-3	1W
Akron	2	5	117	203	-86	2-2	0-3	1L
Eastern Michigan	2	5	166	224	-58	2-1	0-4	1W
Northern Illinois	1	5	65	122	-57	1-2	0-3	5L
Massachusetts	0	6	58	221	-163	0-3	0-3	6L