Florida vs Kentucky Prediction, Picks & Odds | 08 Nov 2025

College Football Betting Preview: Florida vs Kentucky

Florida go up against Kentucky at Kroger Field, with kickoff scheduled for 19:30 on Saturday, November 8. Our betting preview features expert NCAAF predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.

Will Kentucky Stay in Reach of the Favorites?

The underdogs are more than capable of staying close to Florida so there’s a strong case for betting Kentucky against the spread here. Take the -120 for the +3.5 that is available.

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Florida Overcame Kentucky in Last H2H Meeting

Florida Gators have been defeated in three straight road games. Their previous contest was a 24-20 home defeat against Georgia Bulldogs at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium.

Kentucky Wildcats have suffered two consecutive home losses. Their last game was a 10-3 road triumph at Jordan-Hare Stadium when meeting Auburn Tigers.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Florida beat Kentucky in their last head-to-head matchup. It was a 48-20 scoreline at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium. Each team has landed three wins in the previous 6 games between these teams.

Quarterbacks

DJ Lagway

224.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Cutter Boley

207.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Florida vs Kentucky Prediction & Picks

Tackle Florida vs Kentucky with all the betting insight you need, including our match prediction, scoreline forecast, key player prop selections and a hand-picked bet builder.

Game Prediction

We’re delighted to see Kentucky have been given a headstart on the spread. Take the +3.5 at -120 before they line up for this college football battle.

Team news plays a key role in our college football forecasts and we’re always tracking players with injury concerns. We also stay on top of the form guide, supported by detailed stats that help paint a clearer picture of what to expect

Key Florida vs Kentucky stats:

• The +3.5 line has been covered by Kentucky in 3 of their last 5 games at home this season.
• The +3.5 line has been covered by Kentucky in 11 of their last 20 games at home.
• The -3.5 line hasn’t been covered by Florida in 17 of their last 20 games on the road.
• The -3.5 line hasn’t been covered by Florida in 8 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -3.5 line hasn’t been covered by Florida in 3 consecutive games.

Kentucky +3.5 Probability

Based on the odds from the top sportsbooks, our pick has a 54.6% chance of winning. However, our cappers think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. It’s the reason why we are recommending this college bet.

We recommend moving the line if you are searching for bigger odds about the same selection. Take your spread pick and get the juice that you want from your bet in the process.

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Best Bet

Kentucky +3.5 @ -120 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: DJ Lagway Under 224.5 Passing Yards -114

The odds for DJ Lagway (Florida) to record fewer than 224.5 passing yards stand at -114. There’s a strong case for choosing him to fall short of the required line in the QB Passing Yards market.

Latest DJ Lagway Player Prop Odds

Passing Yards

Over 224.5

-114

Under 224.5

-114

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Jadan Baugh Under 78.5 Rushing Yards -114

Jadan Baugh (Kentucky) is available at -114 to have less than 78.5 rushing yards. He is likely to fall short of the line, making this Player Rushing Yards bet an appealing option.

Latest Jadan Baugh Player Prop Odds

Rushing Yards

Over 78.5

-114

Under 78.5

-114

Correct Score Prediction

Florida 23 - 24 Kentucky

A close battle could be on the cards. We’ll bet on the Cats to claim a 24-23 victory at huge odds and this correct score pick should hopefully be a fun one.

Florida vs Kentucky Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Books Have Florida as Favorites

Florida are -159 favorites and that means a 61% chance of winning this college game according to the Moneyline betting odds with the sportsbooks. Kentucky are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +134.

The current spread is 3.5 and total points is 44.5. Having a bet on the Totals is one of the most popular football wagers. If you’re going for Under 44.5, this outcome can be backed at -110.

If you're wagering on college football, it's a good idea to visit the top betting apps and browse the extensive selection of team props and game lines. You'll find great opportunities to place bets both pre-game and in-game.

Moneyline

Florida

-159

Kentucky

+134

Point Spread

Florida -3.5

-102

Kentucky +3.5

-120

Total Points

Under 44.5

-110

Over 44.5

-110

Player Odds

Receiving Yards

Eugene Wilson III (Florida)

Over 57.5

-114

Under 57.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Jadan Baugh (Florida)

Over 78.5

-114

Under 78.5

-114

Seth McGowan (Kentucky)

Over 57.5

-114

Under 57.5

-114

Passing Yards

DJ Lagway (Florida)

Over 224.5

-114

Under 224.5

-114

Cutter Boley (Kentucky)

Over 207.5

-114

Under 207.5

-114

Kentucky Home Form Reads Six Defeats in Last Ten

Kentucky own a 4-6 mark in their past 10 home games, averaging 26.80 points on offense and surrendering 23.80 on defense.

Florida have suffered three defeats in a row away from home. They own a 2-8 mark in their past 10 games away from home, scoring 23.00 points per contest and conceding 31.00.

Kentucky defeated Florida 33-14 when the teams last met at Kroger Field.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O44.5	U44.5
Kentucky Home Stats		4-6	50.60	26.80	23.80	6	4
Florida Away Stats		2-8	54.00	23.00	31.00	6	4

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O44.5 = Games Over 44.5 Points
• U44.5 = Games Under 44.5 Points

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Florida Gators Stats

Kentucky Wildcats Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -3.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• +3.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 42.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 54.00 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 44.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 44.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 24.10 pts and allowed 18.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 23.00 pts and allowed 31.00 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 49.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 50.60 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 44.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 44.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 20.70 pts and allowed 28.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 26.80 pts and allowed 23.80 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAF Standings Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Southeastern	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Texas A&M	8	0	302	189	113	5-0	3-0	8W
Ole Miss	8	1	326	198	128	6-0	2-1	2W
Alabama	7	1	275	146	129	4-0	3-1	7W
Georgia	7	1	260	157	103	4-1	3-0	4W
Texas	7	2	266	148	118	5-0	2-2	4W
Oklahoma	7	2	260	127	133	4-1	3-1	1W
Vanderbilt	7	2	338	184	154	5-0	2-2	1L
Missouri	6	2	283	134	149	5-1	1-1	1L
Tennessee	6	3	392	280	112	4-2	2-1	1L
LSU	5	3	204	151	53	4-1	1-2	2L
Mississippi State	5	4	299	222	77	3-2	2-2	1W
Auburn	4	5	201	159	42	2-3	2-2	1L
Florida	3	5	177	164	13	3-2	0-3	1L
Kentucky	3	5	179	214	-35	2-3	1-2	1W
South Carolina	3	6	177	199	-22	3-3	0-3	4L
Arkansas	2	7	319	300	19	2-4	0-3	7L