Florida State vs NC State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 21 Nov 2025
College Football Betting Preview: Florida State vs NC State
Florida State go up against NC State at Carter Finley Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 20:00 on Friday, November 21.
We’re confident that the underdogs can either win or suffer a narrow defeat. That makes NC State at +4.5 the best wager when they clash with Florida State and odds of -110 are available.
Confident in our wager? Snag our exclusive BetMGM promo code and read our in-depth site review before placing locking in your spread pick.
Florida State Seminoles have suffered three consecutive road losses. In their previous game, they enjoyed a 34-14 home triumph against Virginia Tech Hokies at Doak Campbell Stadium.
North Carolina State Wolfpack have secured back-to-back home victories. Their last game was on the road and a 41-7 loss occurred against Miami Hurricanes at Hard Rock Stadium.
Head-to-Head Statistics
NC State beat FSU when the teams last met. It was a 19-17 scoreline at Carter Finley Stadium. The past 4 H2H games have seen NC State land three wins.
Quarterbacks
Tommy Castellanos
CJ Bailey
Florida State vs NC State Prediction & Picks
Join us as we dissect the best Florida State vs NC State betting tips — from our expert match prediction and correct score advice to top player prop insights and a ready-made bet builder.
Game Prediction
We’re expecting a spirited performance from NC State which leads us to backing the underdogs against the spread for this college football battle. They should be able to cover the +4.5 line where -110 can be found.
Recent form is always part of the equation and we combine it with team news as soon as it’s available. To deliver expert predictions, our college football handicappers also analyze the latest stats to ensure we’re working with the best information possible.
Key Florida State vs NC State stats:
NC State +4.5 Probability
According to the top sportsbooks, there’s a 52.4% likelihood of our pick landing a return. After careful examination, our analysts calculate this probability to be somewhere between 55-60%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.
The sportsbooks give you the chance to buy or sell points, meaning that you can select from a variety of lines. Buying means shorter prices, with selling sending the odds upwards.
Find top value before betting. Our guide includes the latest free bets and sign-up bonuses from trusted sites.
Player Prop Picks
The odds for CJ Bailey (NC State) to go over 234.5 passing yards stand at -114. We’re tempted to back him to cover the QB Passing Yards line, with plenty of juice on offer.
The odds for Tommy Castellanos (NC State) to reach over 44.5 rushing yards are -114. We’re tempted to back him to cover the Player Rushing Yards line, with plenty of juice on offer.
Same Game Parlay Picks
Take a same game parlay that incorporates NC State to cover the +4.5 spread along with Under 61.5 points. We’ve also gone for CJ Bailey (NC State) to have Over 234.5 passing yards.
The same game parlay option is fantastic for football bettors wanting a personalised multi-leg wager on the same game. It’s especially good if you have a strong opinion on the likely outcomes and the odds for each selection are combined.
Correct Score Prediction
27
-
28
NC State
There are massive odds available when it comes to NC State claiming a 28-27 victory. A close battle is anticipated between two evenly-matched teams.
Florida State vs NC State Odds
The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.
The sportsbooks have Florida State at -204 when it comes to the Moneyline betting, implying the market leaders are 67% likely to win this college game according to the latest odds. NC State are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +172.
The current spread is 5.5 and total points is 61.5. The Totals offers football bettors an alternative way of getting involved. Those who wager Under 61.5 can get -110.
If you’re getting ready to place a college football bet, head over to one of the top betting apps and explore the wide variety of game lines and team props. Take your time to spot the most appealing opportunities.
Receiving Yards
Rushing Yards
Passing Yards
NC State Have Collected Six Wins From Last Ten at Home
NC State have six wins and four losses in the last 10 games at home, posting 33.30 points per matchup while yielding 24.90.
Florida State have been beaten eight consecutive times away from home. They have two wins and eight losses in the last 10 road games, putting up 17.90 points per matchup and giving up 28.90.
In their most recent matchup at Carter Finley Stadium, NC State got the better of FSU 19-17.
| Last 10 Games | W-L | P | PF | PA | O61.5 | U61.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 NC State Home Stats |
6-4 | 58.20 | 33.30 | 24.90 | 5 | 5 | |
 Florida State Away Stats |
2-8 | 46.80 | 17.90 | 28.90 | 1 | 9 | |
- W-L = Wins-Losses
- P = Avg. Points
- PF = Avg. Points For
- PA = Avg. Points Against
- O61.5 = Games Over 61.5 Points
- U61.5 = Games Under 61.5 Points
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Florida State Seminoles Stats
North Carolina State Wolfpack Stats
- 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
- 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- -4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
- -4.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games on the road
- +4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
- +4.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 56.70 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 46.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 61.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
- Over 61.5 on the Road: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 36.40 pts and allowed 20.30 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 17.90 pts and allowed 28.90 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 61.50 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 58.80 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 61.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
- Over 61.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 29.90 pts and allowed 31.60 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 33.00 pts and allowed 25.80 pts in the last 10 home games
| Atlantic Coast | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Georgia Tech
|
9 | 1 | 360 | 242 | 118 | 5-0 | 4-1 | 1W |
Virginia
|
9 | 2 | 371 | 233 | 138 | 5-1 | 4-1 | 1W |
Miami
|
8 | 2 | 337 | 142 | 195 | 7-1 | 1-1 | 2W |
Pittsburgh
|
7 | 3 | 372 | 233 | 139 | 4-2 | 3-1 | 1L |
SMU
|
7 | 3 | 322 | 204 | 118 | 4-1 | 3-2 | 2W |
Louisville
|
7 | 3 | 315 | 215 | 100 | 4-3 | 3-0 | 2L |
Wake Forest
|
7 | 3 | 238 | 195 | 43 | 4-2 | 3-1 | 2W |
California
|
6 | 4 | 250 | 252 | -2 | 3-2 | 3-2 | 1W |
Clemson
|
5 | 5 | 271 | 221 | 50 | 2-4 | 3-1 | 2W |
Duke
|
5 | 5 | 334 | 296 | 38 | 2-3 | 3-2 | 2L |
|
NC State
|
5 | 5 | 299 | 316 | -17 | 4-1 | 1-4 | 1L |
|
Florida State
|
5 | 5 | 364 | 203 | 161 | 5-2 | 0-3 | 1W |
North Carolina
|
4 | 6 | 187 | 220 | -33 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 1L |
Stanford
|
3 | 7 | 175 | 291 | -116 | 3-1 | 0-6 | 3L |
Virginia Tech
|
3 | 7 | 233 | 301 | -68 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2L |
Syracuse
|
3 | 7 | 223 | 315 | -92 | 2-3 | 1-4 | 6L |
Boston College
|
1 | 10 | 271 | 381 | -110 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 10L |
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Arkansas State
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Southern Indiana
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