James Madison vs Texas State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 28 Oct 2025
College Football Betting Preview: James Madison vs Texas State
James Madison meet Texas State in this NCAAF Week 9 matchup at UFCU Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 20:00 on Tuesday 28 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.
Don’t Underestimate Texas State
We wouldn’t be surprised to see Texas State triumph and it makes sense to take +6.5 on the spread at -110 when they go up against James Madison.
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40-13 Victory for James Madison in Pair’s Previous H2H
James Madison Dukes made it five consecutive wins after a 63-27 home success over Old Dominion Monarchs at Bridgeforth Stadium.
Texas State Bobcats have been defeated in their last three games. On the road, they recently suffered a 40-37 (OT) loss against Marshall Thundering Herd at Joan C. Edwards Stadium.
Head-to-Head Statistics
It was James Madison who came out on top when they last played Texas State. At Bridgeforth Stadium, a 40-13 win was recorded.
Quarterbacks
Alonza Barnett III
Brad Jackson
James Madison vs Texas State Prediction & Picks
Our James Madison vs Texas State betting outlook has it all, including a trusted match forecast, our predicted score, top player prop picks and a hand-picked bet builder.
Game Prediction
The underdogs look a great play at +6.5 on the spread. Texas State could beat their opponents and the -110 about this college football pick makes lots of appeal.
We only make our college football picks after confirming the latest team news. Studying recent form and digging into the most relevant stats also helps us build a complete picture.
Key James Madison vs Texas State stats:
Texas State +6.5 Probability
The best betting apps imply that our pick has a 52.4% chance of winning. Based on our cappers in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. It's why we think it’s worth placing this college wager.
If you want bigger odds, then you can move the line by selling points. Choose how many points to sell until you are happy with the juice available.
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Best Bet
Texas State +6.5 @ -110
Player Prop Picks
Alonza Barnett III (James Madison) is available at -114 to end with fewer than 193.5 passing yards. He is likely to fall short of the line, making this QB Passing Yards bet an appealing option.
The odds for Beau Sparks (James Madison) to record fewer than 72.5 receiving yards are -114. Several factors suggest he will fall short of the Player Receiving Yards line, making this an appealing wager.
Same Game Parlay Picks
We’ve got a same game parlay with three options: Texas State +6.5, Under 58.5 points and Alonza Barnett III (James Madison) to have Under 193.5 passing yards.
Should you want to back different outcomes for the same game, then a football same game parlay will suit your needs. The betting sites create this personalised wagering tool where you can make different picks and combine the odds together.
Correct Score Prediction
28
-
27
Texas State
James Madison are available at massive odds to register a 28-27 victory and they might have the edge. This should be a close matchup and there won’t be much between the teams.
James Madison vs Texas State Odds
The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.
Latest Odds Suggest James Madison Win
The sportsbooks have James Madison at -227 when it comes to the Moneyline betting, implying the market leaders are 69% likely to win this college game according to the latest odds. Texas State are the underdogs at +188 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.
The spread currently stands at 6.5 and the total points line is 58.5. There are many ways to wager on football including the Totals. Those expecting a low total can back Under 58.5 at -110.
College football fans are spoilt for choice thanks to the wide range of game lines and team props which are available for every clash on the coupon. Head to the top betting sites and find the best value picks.
Player Odds
Receiving Yards
Rushing Yards
Passing Yards
Texas State Have Won Six of Their Last Ten Home Games
Texas State are 6-4 in their last 10 home games, putting up 39.90 points on average and giving up 23.30.
James Madison have five wins and five losses in the last 10 games on the road, putting up 26.80 points on average and giving up 25.10.
| Last 10 Games | W-L | P | PF | PA | O58.5 | U58.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Texas State Home Stats |
6-4 | 63.20 | 39.90 | 23.30 | 7 | 3 | |
 James Madison Away Stats |
5-5 | 51.90 | 26.80 | 25.10 | 2 | 8 | |
- W-L = Wins-Losses
- P = Avg. Points
- PF = Avg. Points For
- PA = Avg. Points Against
- O58.5 = Games Over 58.5 Points
- U58.5 = Games Under 58.5 Points
Last 5 & H2H
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
James Madison Dukes Stats
Texas State Bobcats Stats
- 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
- 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- -6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
- -6.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road
- +6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
- +6.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 50.10 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 51.90 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 58.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
- Over 58.5 on the Road: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 30.60 pts and allowed 19.50 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 26.80 pts and allowed 25.10 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 70.90 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 62.90 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 58.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
- Over 58.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 37.20 pts and allowed 33.70 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 39.50 pts and allowed 23.40 pts in the last 10 home games
NCAAF Standings Select Season
| Sun Belt | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
James Madison
|
6 | 1 | 226 | 109 | 117 | 4-0 | 2-1 | 5W |
Southern Miss
|
6 | 2 | 264 | 197 | 67 | 4-1 | 2-1 | 4W |
Troy State
|
6 | 2 | 233 | 194 | 39 | 3-1 | 3-1 | 5W |
Old Dominion
|
5 | 3 | 256 | 205 | 51 | 4-0 | 1-3 | 1W |
Coastal Carolina
|
4 | 3 | 133 | 198 | -65 | 2-1 | 2-2 | 2W |
Marshall
|
4 | 3 | 246 | 216 | 30 | 3-1 | 1-2 | 2W |
Appalachian State
|
4 | 4 | 216 | 221 | -5 | 2-1 | 2-3 | 2L |
Arkansas State
|
4 | 4 | 189 | 228 | -39 | 3-1 | 1-3 | 3W |
|
Texas State
|
3 | 4 | 253 | 219 | 34 | 2-1 | 1-3 | 3L |
Georgia Southern
|
3 | 5 | 230 | 283 | -53 | 3-1 | 0-4 | 1L |
UL Monroe
|
3 | 5 | 138 | 265 | -127 | 2-1 | 1-4 | 4L |
Louisiana
|
2 | 6 | 188 | 242 | -54 | 2-2 | 0-4 | 3L |
South Alabama
|
2 | 6 | 202 | 236 | -34 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1W |
Georgia State
|
1 | 7 | 163 | 326 | -163 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 5L |
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