Kansas State vs Baylor Prediction, Picks & Odds | 04 Oct 2025

College Football Betting Preview: K-State vs Baylor

K-State face Baylor in this NCAAF Week 6 matchup at McLane Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 12:00 on Saturday, October 4. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.

When Baylor meet K-State, we’re not sure that the total points will go over the line. Based on this prediction, you can land odds of -110 for Under 61.5 and this looks worth taking.

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Kansas State Wildcats won their previous game which was at home. It was a 34-20 triumph at Bill Snyder Family Stadium against UCF Knights.

Baylor Bears got the win in their last game. A 45-27 triumph occurred on the road at Boone Pickens Stadium when meeting Oklahoma State Cowboys.

Head-to-Head Statistics

K-State have claimed victories in the last two matchups against Baylor. At McLane Stadium, the scoreline was 31-3 and then we saw 59-25 at Bill Snyder Family Stadium. In the past 5 games between the teams, Baylor have won three.

Quarterbacks

Avery Johnson

219.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Sawyer Robertson

300.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Kansas State vs Baylor Prediction & Picks

We dive into the top Kansas State vs Baylor betting angles, including our main match prediction, correct score play, standout player prop picks and a bet builder tailored for value.

Game Prediction

The Unders looks the way to go for this college football showdown. The line looks too high at 61.5 and odds of -110 could favor bettors who go below that total.

The CFB handicappers at Sportsgambler.com regularly track injury updates and pair that with current form. We also tap into a deep stats database to highlight the key numbers that help shape our picks.

Key Kansas State vs Baylor stats:

• The 61.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 Kansas State games.
• The 61.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Kansas State games this season.
• The 61.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 3 Kansas State games.
• The 61.5 line hasn’t been covered in 13 of the last 20 Baylor games at home.
• The 61.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Baylor games at home.

Under 61.5 Probability

The best sportsbooks make it a 52.4% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 55-60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

The sportsbooks will allow you to shoot for bigger odds on your Under bet. By moving the line and going for a lower Total, there’s the chance to get more juice.

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Our Game Prediction

Under 61.5 Points @ -110 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Josh Cameron Anytime TD +105

The odds for Josh Cameron (Baylor) to make it to the end zone are +105. He looks like an attractive wager to take it to the house and we recommend backing this Anytime Touchdown Scorer selection.

Latest Josh Cameron Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+110

First

+900

Receiving Yards

Over 65.5

-112

Under 65.5

-112

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Sawyer Robertson Under 287.5 Passing Yards -114

Sawyer Robertson (Baylor) can be backed at -114 to finish with fewer than 287.5 passing yards. He could struggle to reach the QB Passing Yards line, making this prop bet highly appealing.

Latest Sawyer Robertson Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+120

First

+1300

Passing Yards

Over 300.5

-114

Under 300.5

-114

Correct Score Prediction

Kansas State 21 - 35 Baylor

Correct score betting might be tough to predict but there’s a tasty potential return if you get it right. We’ll try Baylor to achieve a 35-21 victory at massive odds.

Kansas State vs Baylor Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

The sportsbooks’ betting odds have Baylor as -179 favorites for this college game, implying that they are 64% likely to win. Kansas State are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +152.

The spread is 4.5 and the total points line is currently 60.5. There are many ways to wager on football including the Totals. There’s the chance to back Under 60.5 at -112.

If you're wagering on college football, it's a good idea to visit the top betting apps and browse the extensive selection of team props and game lines. You'll find great opportunities to place bets both pre-game and in-game.

Moneyline

K-State

+152

Baylor

-179

Point Spread

K-State +4.5

-110

Baylor -4.5

-110

Total Points

Under 60.5

-112

Over 60.5

-108

Bryson Washington is priced at +390 when it comes to First TD Scorer. He’s the favorite and also available at odds of -270 to score a touchdown at anytime.

Touchdown

Bryson Washington (Baylor)

First TD

+390

Anytime TD

-270

Caden Knighten (Baylor)

First TD

+390

Anytime TD

-270

Dylan Edwards (K-State)

First TD

+700

Anytime TD

-130

Josh Cameron (Baylor)

First TD

+900

Anytime TD

+110

Avery Johnson (K-State)

First TD

+1000

Anytime TD

+105

Jayce Brown (K-State)

First TD

+1100

Anytime TD

+135

Michael Trigg (Baylor)

First TD

+1100

Anytime TD

+120

Sawyer Robertson (Baylor)

First TD

+1300

Anytime TD

+120

Kobe Prentice (Baylor)

First TD

+1400

Anytime TD

+165

Kole Wilson (Baylor)

First TD

+1500

Anytime TD

+185

Jaron Tibbs (K-State)

First TD

+1600

Anytime TD

+175

Ashtyn Hawkins (Baylor)

First TD

+1800

Anytime TD

+220

Joe Jackson (K-State)

First TD

+2000

Anytime TD

+210

Garrett Oakley (K-State)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+220

Jerand Bradley (K-State)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+300

Sterling Lockett (K-State)

First TD

+5000

Anytime TD

+550

Receiving Yards

Josh Cameron (Baylor)

Over 65.5

-112

Under 65.5

-112

Jayce Brown (K-State)

Over 63.5

-112

Under 63.5

-112

Ashtyn Hawkins (Baylor)

Over 54.5

-112

Under 54.5

-112

Jaron Tibbs (K-State)

Over 44.5

-112

Under 44.5

-112

Kole Wilson (Baylor)

Over 43.5

-112

Under 43.5

-112

Michael Trigg (Baylor)

Over 40.5

-112

Under 40.5

-112

Rushing Yards

Bryson Washington (Baylor)

Over 89.5

-114

Under 89.5

-114

Dylan Edwards (K-State)

Over 85.5

-112

Under 85.5

-112

Avery Johnson (K-State)

Over 48.5

-112

Under 48.5

-112

Passing Yards

Sawyer Robertson (Baylor)

Over 300.5

-114

Under 300.5

-114

Avery Johnson (K-State)

Over 219.5

-114

Under 219.5

-114

Among the various options for wagering on college football, you will find that micro betting is provided. It focuses on short-term in-game outcomes such as whether a touchdown will be scored within the next few minutes.

Baylor Have Taken Six Wins From Last Ten Home Outings

Baylor own a 6-4 mark in their past 10 home games, putting up 34.50 points on average and giving up 22.50.

Kansas State have come up short in their last three on the road. They have a 5-5 record in their last 10 games away from home, posting 27.50 points per contest while yielding 26.80.

In their most recent matchup at McLane Stadium, K-State got the better of Baylor 31-3.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O61.5	U61.5
Baylor Home Stats		6-4	57.00	34.50	22.50	6	4
Kansas State Away Stats		5-5	54.30	27.50	26.80	2	8

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O61.5 = Games Over 61.5 Points
• U61.5 = Games Under 61.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Kansas State Wildcats Stats

Baylor Bears Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• +6.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -6.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 52.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 54.30 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 61.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
• Over 61.5 on the Road: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 27.00 pts and allowed 25.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 27.50 pts and allowed 26.80 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 64.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 57.00 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 61.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 61.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 36.50 pts and allowed 28.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 34.50 pts and allowed 22.50 pts in the last 10 home games

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