Kansas State vs Baylor Prediction, Picks & Odds | 04 Oct 2025
College Football Betting Preview: Kansas State vs Baylor
Kansas State face Baylor in this NCAAF Week 6 matchup at McLane Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 12:00 on Saturday 4 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.
Few Points Expected
When Baylor meet Kansas State, we’re not sure that the total points will go over the line. Based on this prediction, you can land odds of -110 for Under 61.5 and this looks worth taking.
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K-State Overcame Baylor in Last H2H
Kansas State Wildcats won their previous game which was at home. It was a 34-20 triumph at Bill Snyder Family Stadium against UCF Knights.
Baylor Bears got the win in their last game. A 45-27 triumph occurred on the road at Boone Pickens Stadium when meeting Oklahoma State Cowboys.
Head-to-Head Statistics
K-State have claimed victories in the last two matchups against Baylor. At McLane Stadium, the scoreline was 31-3 and then we saw 59-25 at Bill Snyder Family Stadium. In the past 5 games between the teams, Baylor have won three.
Quarterbacks
Avery Johnson
Sawyer Robertson
Kansas State vs Baylor Prediction & Picks
We dive into the top Kansas State vs Baylor betting angles, including our main match prediction, correct score play, standout player prop picks and a bet builder tailored for value.
Game Prediction
The Unders looks the way to go for this college football showdown. The line looks too high at 61.5 and odds of -110 could favor bettors who go below that total.
The CFB handicappers at Sportsgambler.com regularly track injury updates and pair that with current form. We also tap into a deep stats database to highlight the key numbers that help shape our picks.
Key Kansas State vs Baylor stats:
Under 61.5 Probability
The best sportsbooks make it a 52.4% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 55-60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.
The sportsbooks will allow you to shoot for bigger odds on your Under bet. By moving the line and going for a lower Total, there’s the chance to get more juice.
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Best Bet
Under 61.5 Points @ -110
Player Prop Picks
The odds for Josh Cameron (Baylor) to make it to the end zone are +105. He looks like an attractive wager to take it to the house and we recommend backing this Anytime Touchdown Scorer selection.
Sawyer Robertson (Baylor) can be backed at -114 to finish with fewer than 287.5 passing yards. He could struggle to reach the QB Passing Yards line, making this prop bet highly appealing.
Same Game Parlay Picks
We’ve compiled a same game parlay that includes Under 61.5, along with Baylor -6.5 on the spread and a touchdown to be scored by Josh Cameron (Baylor).
Many betting sites now allow you to place a same game parlay on each individual football game. It means that you can create a personalised wager at bigger odds, with there generally being no limit as to the number of picks.
Correct Score Prediction
21
-
35
Baylor
Correct score betting might be tough to predict but there’s a tasty potential return if you get it right. We’ll try Baylor to achieve a 35-21 victory at massive odds.
Kansas State vs Baylor Odds
The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.
Baylor Have the Shortest Odds to Win
The sportsbooks’ betting odds have Baylor as -233 favorites for this college game, implying that they are 70% likely to win. Kansas State are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +190.
The spread is 6.5 and the total points line is currently 61.5. There are many ways to wager on football including the Totals. There’s the chance to back Under 61.5 at -110.
If you're wagering on college football, it's a good idea to visit the top betting apps and browse the extensive selection of team props and game lines. You'll find great opportunities to place bets both pre-game and in-game.
Bryson Washington Favorite to Be First Touchdown Scorer
Bryson Washington is priced at +450 when it comes to First TD Scorer. He’s the favorite and also available at odds of -222 to score a touchdown at anytime.
Touchdown
Receiving Yards
Rushing Yards
Passing Yards
Baylor Have Taken Six Wins From Last Ten Home Outings
Baylor own a 6-4 mark in their past 10 home games, putting up 34.50 points on average and giving up 22.50.
Kansas State have come up short in their last three on the road. They have a 5-5 record in their last 10 games away from home, posting 27.50 points per contest while yielding 26.80.
In their most recent matchup at McLane Stadium, K-State got the better of Baylor 31-3.
| Last 10 Games | W-L | P | PF | PA | O61.5 | U61.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Baylor Home Stats |
6-4 | 57.00 | 34.50 | 22.50 | 6 | 4 | |
 Kansas State Away Stats |
5-5 | 54.30 | 27.50 | 26.80 | 2 | 8 | |
- W-L = Wins-Losses
- P = Avg. Points
- PF = Avg. Points For
- PA = Avg. Points Against
- O61.5 = Games Over 61.5 Points
- U61.5 = Games Under 61.5 Points
Last 5 & H2H
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Kansas State Wildcats Stats
Baylor Bears Stats
- 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
- 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
- +6.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games on the road
- -6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
- -6.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 52.90 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 54.30 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 61.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
- Over 61.5 on the Road: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 27.00 pts and allowed 25.90 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 27.50 pts and allowed 26.80 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 64.90 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 57.00 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 61.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
- Over 61.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 36.50 pts and allowed 28.40 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 34.50 pts and allowed 22.50 pts in the last 10 home games
NCAAF Standings Select Season
| Big 12 | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BYU
|
4 | 0 | 154 | 37 | 117 | 2-0 | 2-0 | 4W |
Houston
|
4 | 0 | 125 | 53 | 72 | 2-0 | 2-0 | 4W |
Iowa State
|
5 | 0 | 158 | 71 | 87 | 3-0 | 2-0 | 5W |
Texas Tech
|
4 | 0 | 208 | 45 | 163 | 3-0 | 1-0 | 4W |
Utah
|
4 | 1 | 195 | 73 | 122 | 1-1 | 3-0 | 1W |
Arizona
|
3 | 1 | 125 | 65 | 60 | 3-0 | 0-1 | 1L |
Cincinnati
|
3 | 1 | 158 | 74 | 84 | 2-1 | 1-0 | 3W |
TCU
|
3 | 1 | 149 | 86 | 63 | 2-0 | 1-1 | 1L |
UCF
|
3 | 1 | 139 | 60 | 79 | 3-0 | 0-1 | 1L |
|
Baylor
|
3 | 2 | 183 | 144 | 39 | 1-2 | 2-0 | 1W |
Kansas
|
3 | 2 | 183 | 103 | 80 | 3-1 | 0-1 | 1L |
Colorado
|
2 | 3 | 129 | 114 | 15 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 1L |
|
Kansas State
|
2 | 3 | 131 | 126 | 5 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 1W |
West Virginia
|
2 | 3 | 110 | 133 | -23 | 2-1 | 0-2 | 2L |
Oklahoma State
|
1 | 3 | 69 | 140 | -71 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3L |
Sam Houston
New Mexico St
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