Louisville vs Miami Prediction, Picks & Odds | 17 Oct 2025
College Football Betting Preview: Louisville vs Miami
Louisville square off against Miami in this NCAAF Week 8 matchup at Hard Rock Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 19:00 on Friday 17 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.
A High-Scoring Game On the Cards?
We’re confident that Over 50.5 is the value play at -105. We’re expecting Miami and Louisville to rack up the points, so we’ll have a bet on the totals.
Forecasting a highscoring affair? Grab the latest BetMGM promo code and check out our comprehensive review before placing your bet.
Miami 52-45 Winners in Previous H2H Matchup
Louisville Cardinals lost when they last took to the field. At L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium, they were turned over 30-27 at home to Virginia Cavaliers.
Miami Hurricanes won their last game 28-22, making it five on the bounce. This was a road victory at Doak Campbell Stadium against Florida State Seminoles.
Head-to-Head Statistics
It was Miami who came out on top when they last played Louisville. At L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium, a 52-45 win was recorded. It’s been three Miami wins in the past 4 games between these teams.
Quarterbacks
Miller Moss
Carson Beck
Louisville vs Miami Prediction & Picks
We dive into the top Louisville vs Miami betting angles, including our main match prediction, correct score play, standout player prop picks and a bet builder tailored for value.
Game Prediction
We’re surprised that the total line is 50.5 and it’s all about going for the Overs option when these college football teams take to the field. Take the -105 and cheer on points.
Our CFB predictions are always well-researched, starting with a combination of the latest team news and current form. Once we’ve got a solid read on the matchup, we layer in the key data to back it up.
Key Louisville vs Miami stats:
Over 50.5 Probability
The top betting apps make it a 51.3% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be 55-60%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.
The sportsbooks give you the option to get bigger odds for your Overs pick by combining this selection on the Result & Total lines. Predict a team to win as part of the deal.
Before you make your picks, explore our detailed betting guide filled with free bets, the latest promo codes and welcome bonuses.
Best Bet
Over 50.5 Points @ -105
Player Prop Picks
Carson Beck (Miami) is priced at -114 to go over 241.5 passing yards. We're confident in him covering the QB Passing Yards line and hitting our Over bet.
The odds for Mark Fletcher Jr. (Miami) to go beyond 77.5 rushing yards are -114. We’re tempted to back him to cover the Player Rushing Yards line, with plenty of juice on offer.
Same Game Parlay Picks
Take a same game parlay that incorporates Over 50.5 points followed by Miami to cover the -13.5 spread. We’ve also gone for Carson Beck (Miami) to go Over 241.5 passing yards.
There are many options when you place a same game parlay. You can go through the football lines and identify your favorite outcomes before combining the odds on the bet slip. Personalised betting doesn’t come any better.
Correct Score Prediction
20
-
38
Miami
There’s the chance to land massive odds when it comes to a Miami correct score win. We’ll try a 38-20 victory in their favor and this should be in the right ball park.
Louisville vs Miami Odds
The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.
Miami Big Favorites According to Latest Odds
At betting odds of -588 with the sportsbooks, Miami are regarded as 85% likely to win this college game. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Louisville are trading at +430.
13.5 is the spread and 50.5 is the total points line. Football bettors regularly enjoy the opportunity to wager on the Totals. If you want to wager Over 50.5, there are odds of -105.
If you’re wagering on college football, we recommend heading to the best betting sites and scanning through the huge selection of team props and game lines. There’s the opportunity to bet pre-game and in-game.
Player Odds
Receiving Yards
Rushing Yards
Passing Yards
Miami Eye Another Home Win
Miami have ten wins and zero loss in the last 10 games at home, putting up 43.40 points per matchup and giving up 14.80.
Louisville have stacked up three straight wins away from home. They have six wins and four losses in the last 10 road games, averaging 29.10 points scored and 27.00 points allowed.
The last time these teams met at Hard Rock Stadium, Louisville came out on top 38-31 against Miami.
| Last 10 Games | W-L | P | PF | PA | O50.5 | U50.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Miami Home Stats |
10-0 | 58.20 | 43.40 | 14.80 | 7 | 3 | |
 Louisville Away Stats |
6-4 | 56.10 | 29.10 | 27.00 | 8 | 2 | |
- W-L = Wins-Losses
- P = Avg. Points
- PF = Avg. Points For
- PA = Avg. Points Against
- O50.5 = Games Over 50.5 Points
- U50.5 = Games Under 50.5 Points
Last 5 & H2H
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Louisville Cardinals Stats
Miami Stats
- 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
- 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- +13.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in the last 10 games
- +13.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games on the road
- -13.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
- -13.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 58.20 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 56.10 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 50.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
- Over 50.5 on the Road: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 36.10 pts and allowed 22.10 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 29.10 pts and allowed 27.00 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 59.70 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 60.00 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 50.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
- Over 50.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 37.20 pts and allowed 22.50 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 41.90 pts and allowed 18.10 pts in the last 10 home games
NCAAF Standings Select Season
| Atlantic Coast | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Georgia Tech
|
6 | 0 | 220 | 126 | 94 | 4-0 | 2-0 | 6W |
|
Miami
|
5 | 0 | 175 | 68 | 107 | 4-0 | 1-0 | 5W |
Virginia
|
5 | 1 | 258 | 143 | 115 | 4-0 | 1-1 | 4W |
|
Louisville
|
4 | 1 | 180 | 105 | 75 | 3-1 | 1-0 | 1L |
SMU
|
4 | 2 | 204 | 134 | 70 | 3-1 | 1-1 | 2W |
Wake Forest
|
4 | 2 | 174 | 120 | 54 | 2-2 | 2-0 | 2W |
Pittsburgh
|
4 | 2 | 239 | 129 | 110 | 3-1 | 1-1 | 2W |
Duke
|
4 | 2 | 219 | 153 | 66 | 2-1 | 2-1 | 3W |
California
|
4 | 2 | 145 | 135 | 10 | 2-1 | 2-1 | 1L |
NC State
|
4 | 3 | 210 | 186 | 24 | 3-1 | 1-2 | 1L |
Clemson
|
3 | 3 | 158 | 111 | 47 | 1-2 | 2-1 | 2W |
Florida State
|
3 | 3 | 265 | 138 | 127 | 3-2 | 0-1 | 3L |
Syracuse
|
3 | 3 | 174 | 179 | -5 | 2-1 | 1-2 | 2L |
North Carolina
|
2 | 3 | 94 | 129 | -35 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2L |
Stanford
|
2 | 4 | 113 | 181 | -68 | 2-0 | 0-4 | 1L |
Virginia Tech
|
2 | 5 | 161 | 205 | -44 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2L |
Boston College
|
1 | 5 | 167 | 199 | -32 | 1-2 | 0-3 | 5L |
Tulsa
East Carolina
Nebraska
Minnesota
San Jose State
Utah State
North Carolina
California
Zalgiris Kaunas
Olimpia Milano
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