Louisville vs Miami Prediction, Picks & Odds | 17 Oct 2025

College Football Betting Preview: Louisville vs Miami

Louisville square off against Miami in this NCAAF Week 8 matchup at Hard Rock Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 19:00 on Friday, October 17. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.

A High-Scoring Game On the Cards?

We’re confident that Over 50.5 is the value play at -105. We’re expecting Miami and Louisville to rack up the points, so we’ll have a bet on the totals.

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Miami 52-45 Winners in Previous H2H Matchup

Louisville Cardinals lost when they last took to the field. At L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium, they were turned over 30-27 at home to Virginia Cavaliers.

Miami Hurricanes won their last game 28-22, making it five on the bounce. This was a road victory at Doak Campbell Stadium against Florida State Seminoles.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was Miami who came out on top when they last played Louisville. At L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium, a 52-45 win was recorded. It’s been three Miami wins in the past 4 games between these teams.

Quarterbacks

Miller Moss

254.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Carson Beck

241.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Louisville vs Miami Prediction & Picks

We dive into the top Louisville vs Miami betting angles, including our main match prediction, correct score play, standout player prop picks and a bet builder tailored for value.

Game Prediction

We’re surprised that the total line is 50.5 and it’s all about going for the Overs option when these college football teams take to the field. Take the -105 and cheer on points.

Our CFB predictions are always well-researched, starting with a combination of the latest team news and current form. Once we’ve got a solid read on the matchup, we layer in the key data to back it up.

Key Louisville vs Miami stats:

• The 50.5 line has been covered in the last 6 Louisville games on the road.
• The 50.5 line has been covered in 8 of the last 10 Louisville games.
• The 50.5 line has been covered in 15 of the last 20 Louisville games.
• The 50.5 line has been covered in 16 of the last 20 Miami games.
• The 50.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Miami games.
• The 50.5 line has been covered in the last 4 games between these teams.

Over 50.5 Probability

The top betting apps make it a 51.3% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be 55-60%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

The sportsbooks give you the option to get bigger odds for your Overs pick by combining this selection on the Result & Total lines. Predict a team to win as part of the deal.

Before you make your picks, explore our detailed betting guide filled with free bets, the latest promo codes and welcome bonuses.

Best Bet

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Carson Beck Over 241.5 Passing Yards -114

Carson Beck (Miami) is priced at -114 to go over 241.5 passing yards. We're confident in him covering the QB Passing Yards line and hitting our Over bet.

Latest Carson Beck Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+370

First

+2700

Passing Yards

Over 241.5

-114

Under 241.5

-114

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Mark Fletcher Jr. Over 77.5 Rushing Yards -114

The odds for Mark Fletcher Jr. (Miami) to go beyond 77.5 rushing yards are -114. We’re tempted to back him to cover the Player Rushing Yards line, with plenty of juice on offer.

Latest Mark Fletcher Jr. Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

-185

First

+400

Rushing Yards

Over 64.5

-114

Under 64.5

-114

Correct Score Prediction

Louisville 20 - 38 Miami

There’s the chance to land massive odds when it comes to a Miami correct score win. We’ll try a 38-20 victory in their favor and this should be in the right ball park.

Louisville vs Miami Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Miami Big Favorites According to Latest Odds

At betting odds of -435 with the sportsbooks, Miami are regarded as 81% likely to win this college game. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Louisville are trading at +340.

12.5 is the spread and 49.5 is the total points line. Football bettors regularly enjoy the opportunity to wager on the Totals. If you want to wager Over 49.5, there are odds of -110.

If you’re wagering on college football, we recommend heading to the best betting sites and scanning through the huge selection of team props and game lines. There’s the opportunity to bet pre-game and in-game.

Moneyline

Louisville

+340

Miami

-435

Point Spread

Louisville +12.5

-115

Miami -12.5

-105

Total Points

Under 49.5

-110

Over 49.5

-110

Mark Fletcher Jr. Favorite to Score First TD

Mark Fletcher Jr. is the First Touchdown Scorer favorite at +400. Alternatively, there’s the opportunity to simply back him to score a TD anytime at -185.

Touchdown

Mark Fletcher Jr. (Miami)

First TD

+400

Anytime TD

-185

Malachi Toney (Miami)

First TD

+600

Anytime TD

-130

CharMar Brown (Miami)

First TD

+700

Anytime TD

-100

Isaac Brown (Louisville)

First TD

+700

Anytime TD

+115

CJ Daniels (Miami)

First TD

+800

Anytime TD

+120

Chris Bell (Louisville)

First TD

+1000

Anytime TD

+155

Caullin Lacy (Louisville)

First TD

+1600

Anytime TD

+240

Elija Lofton (Miami)

First TD

+1600

Anytime TD

+280

Keelan Marion (Miami)

First TD

+1900

Anytime TD

+330

Carson Beck (Miami)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+370

Keyjuan Brown (Louisville)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+340

Alex Bauman (Miami)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+600

Jaleel Skinner (Louisville)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+500

Miller Moss (Louisville)

First TD

+3500

Anytime TD

+460

Duke Watson (Louisville)

First TD

+5500

Anytime TD

+600

Antonio Meeks (Louisville)

First TD

+5500

Anytime TD

+750

TreyShun Hurry (Louisville)

First TD

+6500

Anytime TD

+950

Nate Kurisky (Louisville)

First TD

+7000

Anytime TD

+1000

Receiving Yards

Chris Bell (Louisville)

Over 90.5

-114

Under 90.5

-114

Malachi Toney (Miami)

Over 67.5

-114

Under 67.5

-114

CJ Daniels (Miami)

Over 54.5

-114

Under 54.5

-114

Caullin Lacy (Louisville)

Over 49.5

-114

Under 49.5

-114

Elija Lofton (Miami)

Over 23.5

-114

Under 23.5

-114

Jaleel Skinner (Louisville)

Over 20.5

-114

Under 20.5

-114

Keelan Marion (Miami)

Over 19.5

-114

Under 19.5

-114

Isaac Brown (Louisville)

Over 9.5

-114

Under 9.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Mark Fletcher Jr. (Miami)

Over 64.5

-114

Under 64.5

-114

Isaac Brown (Louisville)

Over 49.5

-114

Under 49.5

-114

CharMar Brown (Miami)

Over 37.5

-114

Under 37.5

-114

Passing Yards

Miller Moss (Louisville)

Over 254.5

-114

Under 254.5

-114

Carson Beck (Miami)

Over 241.5

-114

Under 241.5

-114

Micro Betting

There are lots of exciting college football micro betting lines that are created and they are available in-game. Among them are whether a field goal will be scored and you simply bet whether the player will make it or miss.

Miami Eye Another Home Win

Miami have ten wins and zero loss in the last 10 games at home, putting up 43.40 points per matchup and giving up 14.80.

Louisville have stacked up three straight wins away from home. They have six wins and four losses in the last 10 road games, averaging 29.10 points scored and 27.00 points allowed.

The last time these teams met at Hard Rock Stadium, Louisville came out on top 38-31 against Miami.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O50.5	U50.5
Miami Home Stats		10-0	58.20	43.40	14.80	7	3
Louisville Away Stats		6-4	56.10	29.10	27.00	8	2

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O50.5 = Games Over 50.5 Points
• U50.5 = Games Under 50.5 Points

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Louisville Cardinals Stats

Miami Stats

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +13.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in the last 10 games
• +13.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -13.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -13.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 58.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 56.10 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 50.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
• Over 50.5 on the Road: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 36.10 pts and allowed 22.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 29.10 pts and allowed 27.00 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 59.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 60.00 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 50.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 50.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 37.20 pts and allowed 22.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 41.90 pts and allowed 18.10 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAF Standings Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Atlantic Coast	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Georgia Tech	8	1	324	208	116	5-0	3-1	1L
Virginia	8	2	337	216	121	5-1	3-1	1L
Pittsburgh	7	2	357	196	161	4-1	3-1	5W
Louisville	7	2	296	195	101	4-2	3-0	1L
Miami	7	2	296	135	161	6-1	1-1	1W
SMU	7	3	322	204	118	4-1	3-2	2W
Wake Forest	6	3	210	183	27	3-2	3-1	1W
California	6	4	250	252	-2	3-2	3-2	1W
Duke	5	4	317	262	55	2-2	3-2	1L
NC State	5	4	292	275	17	4-1	1-3	1W
Clemson	4	5	251	202	49	2-4	2-1	1W
North Carolina	4	5	175	192	-17	2-3	2-2	2W
Florida State	4	5	330	189	141	4-2	0-3	1L
Virginia Tech	3	6	219	267	-48	2-4	1-2	1L
Stanford	3	7	175	291	-116	3-1	0-6	3L
Syracuse	3	7	223	315	-92	2-3	1-4	6L
Boston College	1	9	237	345	-108	1-5	0-4	9L