Michigan vs Michigan State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 25 Oct 2025

College Football Betting Preview: Michigan vs Michigan State

Michigan battle Michigan State in this NCAAF Week 9 clash at Spartan Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 19:30 on Saturday, October 25. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.

It’s hard to resist wagering Michigan State considering they’ve been given +14.5 on the spread. The underdogs are a good shout at -115 to stay close to Michigan.

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Michigan Wolverines previous game saw them claim a 24-7 home win over Washington Huskies at Michigan Stadium.

Michigan State Spartans have suffered defeat in their last four games. Most recently, a 38-13 scoreline occurred on the road at Memorial Stadium against Indiana Hoosiers.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last head-to-head saw Michigan claim a 24-17 win over Michigan State at Michigan Stadium. Michigan have won four of the previous 6 H2H meetings.

Quarterbacks

Bryce Underwood

195.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Aidan Chiles

194.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Michigan vs Michigan State Prediction & Picks

Join us as we dissect the best Michigan vs Michigan State betting tips — from our expert match prediction and correct score advice to top player prop insights and a ready-made bet builder.

Game Prediction

We’ve smashed into Michigan State +14.5 and this spread bet at -115 means we need the underdogs to avoid a big defeat in this college football battle.

We only publish our CFB predictions once we’ve got a clear and confident read on team news and the latest form. We also stay sharp by digging into the most valuable stats to support every pick we make.

Key Michigan vs Michigan State stats:

• The +14.5 line has been covered by Michigan State in 3 of their last 4 games at home this season.
• The +14.5 line has been covered by Michigan State in 5 of their last 7 games this season.
• The -14.5 line hasn’t been covered by Michigan in 7 consecutive games on the road.
• The -14.5 line hasn’t been covered by Michigan in 9 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -14.5 line hasn’t been covered by Michigan in 15 of their last 20 games.

Michigan State +14.5 Probability

Looking at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 53.5% chance of winning. However, our cappers think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this college bet.

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Our Game Prediction

Michigan State +14.5 @ -115 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (02:26, 24 October 2025). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Aidan Chiles Over 195.5 Passing Yards -114

Aidan Chiles (Michigan State) is available at -114 to accumulate over 195.5 passing yards. He looks capable of covering the line and that leads us to taking this QB Passing Yards bet.

Latest Aidan Chiles Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+165

First

+1100

Passing Yards

Over 194.5

-114

Under 194.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Over 27.5

-114

Under 27.5

-114

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Makhi Frazier Over 34.5 Rushing Yards -114

Makhi Frazier (Michigan State) can be backed at -114 to go over 34.5 rushing yards. We believe it makes sense to stick with him on the Over and bettors can be confident in this Player Rushing Yards pick.

Latest Makhi Frazier Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+150

First

+950

Rushing Yards

Over 34.5

-114

Under 34.5

-114

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Michigan 30 - 24 Michigan State

We’re going for the Wolverines to win by a 30-24 scoreline, something which is available at massive odds. This speculative bet can provide a big return for a small stake.

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Michigan vs Michigan State Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

According to the Moneyline betting odds, Michigan are red-hot -294 favorites with the sportsbooks and that means a 75% chance of winning this college game. At +235, Michigan State are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

8.5 is where the spread lies, with total points being 46.5 right now. There is no denying the popularity of wagering on the Totals. Those who wager Under 46.5 can get -110.

If you’re planning to place a college football wager, visit the best betting apps and check out the huge selection of available team props and game lines. Find the odds and betting lines which are the most attractive.

Moneyline

Michigan

-294

MSU

+235

Point Spread

Michigan -8.5

-105

MSU +8.5

-115

Total Points

Under 46.5

-110

Over 46.5

-110

Jordan Marshall is the First Touchdown Scorer favorite at +350. Alternatively, there’s the opportunity to simply back him to score a TD anytime at -208.

Touchdown

Jordan Marshall (Michigan)

First TD

+350

Anytime TD

-208

Justice Haynes (Michigan)

First TD

+350

Anytime TD

-208

Andrew Marsh (Michigan)

First TD

+850

Anytime TD

+140

Donaven McCulley (Michigan)

First TD

+950

Anytime TD

+155

Makhi Frazier (MSU)

First TD

+950

Anytime TD

+150

Bryce Underwood (Michigan)

First TD

+1100

Anytime TD

+170

Aidan Chiles (MSU)

First TD

+1100

Anytime TD

+165

Jasper Parker (Michigan)

First TD

+1100

Anytime TD

+185

Semaj Morgan (Michigan)

First TD

+1200

Anytime TD

+210

Nick Marsh (MSU)

First TD

+1300

Anytime TD

+220

Zack Marshall (Michigan)

First TD

+1400

Anytime TD

+270

Brandon Tullis (MSU)

First TD

+1900

Anytime TD

+340

Omari Kelly (MSU)

First TD

+2000

Anytime TD

+330

Jack Velling (MSU)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+550

Chrishon McCray (MSU)

First TD

+3300

Anytime TD

+600

Receiving Yards

Andrew Marsh (Michigan)

Over 55.5

-114

Under 55.5

-114

Nick Marsh (MSU)

Over 55.5

-114

Under 55.5

-114

Donaven McCulley (Michigan)

Over 43.5

-114

Under 43.5

-114

Omari Kelly (MSU)

Over 37.5

-114

Under 37.5

-114

Chrishon McCray (MSU)

Over 23.5

-114

Under 23.5

-114

Semaj Morgan (Michigan)

Over 20.5

-114

Under 20.5

-114

Jack Velling (MSU)

Over 19.5

-112

Under 19.5

-112

Rushing Yards

Makhi Frazier (MSU)

Over 34.5

-114

Under 34.5

-114

Bryce Underwood (Michigan)

Over 27.5

-114

Under 27.5

-114

Aidan Chiles (MSU)

Over 27.5

-114

Under 27.5

-114

Passing Yards

Bryce Underwood (Michigan)

Over 195.5

-114

Under 195.5

-114

Aidan Chiles (MSU)

Over 194.5

-114

Under 194.5

-114

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Michigan State Hold Six Wins From Last Ten at Home

Michigan State have six wins and four losses in the last 10 games at home, averaging 24.60 points scored and 27.10 points allowed.

Michigan have five wins and five losses in the last 10 games on the road, averaging 18.90 points scored and 19.90 points allowed.

The last time Michigan faced Michigan State at Spartan Stadium, they won 49-0.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O47.5	U47.5
Michigan State Home Stats		6-4	51.70	24.60	27.10	6	4
Michigan Away Stats		5-5	38.80	18.90	19.90	2	8

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O47.5 = Games Over 47.5 Points
• U47.5 = Games Under 47.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Michigan Wolverines Stats

Michigan State Spartans Stats

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -14.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -14.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +14.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +14.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 43.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 38.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 47.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 47.5 on the Road: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 28.30 pts and allowed 14.80 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 18.90 pts and allowed 19.90 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 56.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 51.70 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 47.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
• Over 47.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 24.40 pts and allowed 32.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 24.60 pts and allowed 27.10 pts in the last 10 home games

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