Michigan vs Michigan State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 25 Oct 2025

College Football Betting Preview: Michigan vs Michigan State

Michigan battle Michigan State in this NCAAF matchup at Spartan Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 19:30 on Saturday 25 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.

Can Michigan State Cover the Line?

It’s hard to resist wagering Michigan State considering they’ve been given +14.5 on the spread. The underdogs are a good shout at -115 to stay close to Michigan.

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24-17 Win for Michigan in Pair’s Previous Clash

Michigan Wolverines previous game saw them claim a 24-7 home win over Washington Huskies at Michigan Stadium.

Michigan State Spartans have suffered defeat in their last four games. Most recently, a 38-13 scoreline occurred on the road at Memorial Stadium against Indiana Hoosiers.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last head-to-head saw Michigan claim a 24-17 win over Michigan State at Michigan Stadium. Michigan have won four of the previous 6 H2H meetings.

Quarterbacks

Bryce Underwood

204.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Aidan Chiles

195.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Michigan vs Michigan State Prediction & Picks

Join us as we dissect the best Michigan vs Michigan State betting tips — from our expert match prediction and correct score advice to top player prop insights and a ready-made bet builder.

Game Prediction

We’ve smashed into Michigan State +14.5 and this spread bet at -115 means we need the underdogs to avoid a big defeat in this college football battle.

We only publish our CFB predictions once we’ve got a clear and confident read on team news and the latest form. We also stay sharp by digging into the most valuable stats to support every pick we make.

Key Michigan vs Michigan State stats:

• The +14.5 line has been covered by Michigan State in 3 of their last 4 games at home this season.
• The +14.5 line has been covered by Michigan State in 5 of their last 7 games this season.
• The -14.5 line hasn’t been covered by Michigan in 7 consecutive games on the road.
• The -14.5 line hasn’t been covered by Michigan in 9 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -14.5 line hasn’t been covered by Michigan in 15 of their last 20 games.

Michigan State +14.5 Probability

Looking at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 53.5% chance of winning. However, our cappers think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this college bet.

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Best Bet

Michigan State +14.5 @ -115 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Aidan Chiles Over 195.5 Passing Yards -114

Aidan Chiles (Michigan State) is available at -114 to accumulate over 195.5 passing yards. He looks capable of covering the line and that leads us to taking this QB Passing Yards bet.

Latest Aidan Chiles Player Prop Odds

Passing Yards

Over 195.5

-114

Under 195.5

-114

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Makhi Frazier Over 34.5 Rushing Yards -114

Makhi Frazier (Michigan State) can be backed at -114 to go over 34.5 rushing yards. We believe it makes sense to stick with him on the Over and bettors can be confident in this Player Rushing Yards pick.

Latest Makhi Frazier Player Prop Odds

Rushing Yards

Over 34.5

-114

Under 34.5

-114

Correct Score Prediction

Michigan 30 - 24 Michigan State

We’re going for the Wolverines to win by a 30-24 scoreline, something which is available at massive odds. This speculative bet can provide a big return for a small stake.

Michigan vs Michigan State Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Michigan Win on the Cards According to the Books

According to the Moneyline betting odds, Michigan are red-hot -667 favorites with the sportsbooks and that means a 87% chance of winning this college game. At +480, Michigan State are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

14.5 is where the spread lies, with total points being 47.5 right now. There is no denying the popularity of wagering on the Totals. Those who wager Under 47.5 can get -110.

If you’re planning to place a college football wager, visit the best betting apps and check out the huge selection of available team props and game lines. Find the odds and betting lines which are the most attractive.

Moneyline

Michigan

-667

MSU

+480

Point Spread

Michigan -14.5

-105

MSU +14.5

-115

Total Points

Under 47.5

-110

Over 47.5

-110

Player Odds

Receiving Yards

Nick Marsh (MSU)

Over 60.5

-114

Under 60.5

-114

Andrew Marsh (Michigan)

Over 59.5

-114

Under 59.5

-114

Omari Kelly (MSU)

Over 49.5

-114

Under 49.5

-114

Donaven McCulley (Michigan)

Over 43.5

-114

Under 43.5

-114

Chrishon McCray (MSU)

Over 28.5

-114

Under 28.5

-114

Semaj Morgan (Michigan)

Over 27.5

-114

Under 27.5

-114

Jack Velling (MSU)

Over 19.5

-114

Under 19.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Makhi Frazier (MSU)

Over 34.5

-114

Under 34.5

-114

Bryce Underwood (Michigan)

Over 16.5

-114

Under 16.5

-114

Passing Yards

Bryce Underwood (Michigan)

Over 204.5

-114

Under 204.5

-114

Aidan Chiles (MSU)

Over 195.5

-114

Under 195.5

-114

Michigan State Hold Six Wins From Last Ten at Home

Michigan State have six wins and four losses in the last 10 games at home, averaging 24.60 points scored and 27.10 points allowed.

Michigan have five wins and five losses in the last 10 games on the road, averaging 18.90 points scored and 19.90 points allowed.

The last time Michigan faced Michigan State at Spartan Stadium, they won 49-0.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O47.5	U47.5
Michigan State Home Stats		6-4	51.70	24.60	27.10	6	4
Michigan Away Stats		5-5	38.80	18.90	19.90	2	8

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O47.5 = Games Over 47.5 Points
• U47.5 = Games Under 47.5 Points

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Michigan Wolverines Stats

Michigan State Spartans Stats

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -14.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -14.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +14.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +14.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 43.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 38.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 47.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 47.5 on the Road: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 28.30 pts and allowed 14.80 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 18.90 pts and allowed 19.90 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 56.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 51.70 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 47.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
• Over 47.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 24.40 pts and allowed 32.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 24.60 pts and allowed 27.10 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAF Standings Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Big Ten	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Indiana	7	0	307	81	226	5-0	2-0	7W
Ohio State	7	0	255	41	214	4-0	3-0	7W
Oregon	6	1	309	101	208	3-1	3-0	1W
Nebraska	5	2	252	136	116	3-1	2-1	1L
Washington	5	2	242	142	100	3-1	2-1	1L
Northwestern	5	2	159	106	53	4-1	1-1	4W
USC	5	2	297	162	135	4-0	1-2	1L
Minnesota	5	2	188	133	55	5-0	0-2	2W
Michigan	5	2	201	119	82	4-0	1-2	1W
Iowa	5	2	209	102	107	3-1	2-1	2W
Illinois	5	2	238	178	60	3-1	2-1	1L
Maryland	4	3	198	121	77	3-2	1-1	3L
Michigan State	3	4	190	229	-39	3-1	0-3	4L
Penn State	3	4	238	136	102	3-2	0-2	4L
Rutgers	3	4	224	221	3	3-2	0-2	4L
UCLA	3	4	157	192	-35	2-2	1-2	3W
Purdue	2	5	159	195	-36	2-2	0-3	5L
Wisconsin	2	5	93	170	-77	2-3	0-2	5L