Mississippi State vs Southern Miss Prediction, Picks & Odds | 30 Aug 2025
College Football Betting Preview: Mississippi State vs Southern Miss
Mississippi State meet Southern Miss in this NCAAF Week 1 matchup at M.M. Roberts Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 12:00 on Saturday, August 30. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, the latest betting odds and H2H stats.
Let’s shoot for a total wager between Southern Miss and Mississippi State, with Under 60.5 available at -105. This betting prediction has plenty of juice in the price.
In their most recent game, the Mississippi State Bulldogs were beaten 26–14 by Ole Miss in the Egg Bowl at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium.
Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles were beaten last game and this was on the road at Veterans Memorial Stadium. Troy State Trojans claimed a 52-20 win.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The last head-to-head saw Mississippi State claim a 41-20 win over Southern Miss at Davis Wade Stadium.
Quarterbacks
Blake Shapen
Braylon Braxton
Mississippi State vs Southern Miss Prediction & Picks
From our main match prediction to correct score advice, must-watch player props and a custom bet builder — this Mississippi State vs Southern Miss betting preview covers it all.
Game Prediction
We’re not sure that the two teams will collectively reach a certain points threshold. Our pick is to take the -105 that there are Under 60.5 points in this college football matchup.
We put solid research behind every CFB pick, starting with recent form and a clear read on injuries. From there, key stats and advanced metrics help complete the picture and support smarter betting decisions.
Key Mississippi State vs Southern Miss stats:
Under 60.5 Probability
According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 51.3% chance of winning. Our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 55-60%. That means we are regarding it as a value wager.
If you want bigger odds for your Under wager, then there’s a way of changing the line and shooting for a lower points total in the hope of a better payout.
Don’t miss the chance to claim free bets using our exclusive betting promo codes —check our bonus guide before placing your bets.
Player Prop Picks
You can back Blake Shapen (Mississippi State) at -114 to finish with fewer than 265.5 passing yards. He could struggle to reach the QB Passing Yards line, making this prop bet highly appealing.
You can place a bet on Seydou Traore (Southern Miss) at -114 to finish with fewer than 36.5 receiving yards. If you agree with our verdict that the line is too high, this Player Receiving Yards wager is worth backing.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Same Game Parlay Picks
We’ve loaded up a same game parlay with the combined picks of Under 60.5, Mississippi State -13.5 and Blake Shapen (Mississippi State) to have Under 265.5 passing yards.
Should you want to back different outcomes for the same game, then a football same game parlay will suit your needs. The betting sites create this personalised wagering tool where you can make different picks and combine the odds together.
Correct Score Prediction
34
-
17
Southern Miss
There are stacks of correct score lines available and we’re looking at Mississippi State to achieve a winning scoreline of 34-17 where a massive potential return is on the cards.
Mississippi State vs Southern Miss Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
You might not get rich backing Mississippi State at -588. However, the sportsbooks’ betting odds imply a 85% chance of winning this college game. Southern Miss are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +430.
14.5 is where the spread lies, with total points being 60.5 right now. There are many ways to wager on football including the Totals. If you fancy Under 60.5, then the odds are -105.
Consider every angle when placing your college football wagers. The best betting sites have a huge selection of team props and game lines and it’s all about finding a bet which matches your prediction of the game.
Fluff Bothwell is the market leader at +500 to be the First TD Scorer. Should you think he will score the final touchdown, then a similar price can be found.
Touchdown
Receiving Yards
Rushing Yards
Passing Yards
Micro betting is something that’s really popular with bettors, with college football fans essentially being able to wager in-game when it comes to score, player and team props. Sometimes these are two-way lines where you can bet on the Next Play or Next Drive.
Southern Miss Home Record Includes Five Straight Defeats
Southern Miss have taken five losses in a row at M.M. Roberts Stadium. They own a 2-8 mark in their past 10 home games, putting up 20.70 points on average and giving up 30.70.
Mississippi State have suffered seven consecutive road defeats. They have two wins and eight losses in the last 10 road games, putting up 17.40 points on average and giving up 29.30.
| Last 10 Games | W-L | P | PF | PA | O60.5 | U60.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Southern Miss Home Stats |
2-8 | 51.40 | 20.70 | 30.70 | 3 | 7 | |
 Mississippi State Away Stats |
2-8 | 46.70 | 17.40 | 29.30 | 3 | 7 | |
- W-L = Wins-Losses
- P = Avg. Points
- PF = Avg. Points For
- PA = Avg. Points Against
- O60.5 = Games Over 60.5 Points
- U60.5 = Games Under 60.5 Points
Latest regular season and playoff games stats.
Mississippi State Bulldogs Stats
Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles Stats
- 1 win and 9 defeats in the last 10 games
- 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
- -13.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 10 games
- -13.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have not covered the spread in any of the last 10 games on the road
- +13.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 10 games
- +13.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 home games
- Game Totals: An average of 60.30 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals on the Road: An average of 46.70 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
- Over 60.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
- Over 60.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 23.10 pts and allowed 37.20 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 17.40 pts and allowed 29.30 pts in the last 10 games on the road
- Game Totals: An average of 56.00 pts in the previous 10 games
- Game Totals at Home: An average of 51.40 pts in the previous 10 home games
- Over 60.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
- Over 60.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
- Team Totals: Have scored an average of 14.80 pts and allowed 41.20 pts in the last 10 games
- Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 20.70 pts and allowed 30.70 pts in the last 10 home games
| Sun Belt | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
James Madison
|
12 | 1 | 485 | 206 | 279 | 7-0 | 5-1 | 11W |
Old Dominion
|
9 | 3 | 392 | 231 | 161 | 6-0 | 3-3 | 5W |
Troy
|
8 | 5 | 316 | 318 | -2 | 4-2 | 4-3 | 1L |
|
Southern Miss
|
7 | 5 | 358 | 329 | 29 | 4-3 | 3-2 | 3L |
Coastal Carolina
|
6 | 6 | 274 | 407 | -133 | 4-2 | 2-4 | 3L |
Arkansas State
|
6 | 6 | 293 | 328 | -35 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 1W |
Louisiana
|
6 | 6 | 325 | 360 | -35 | 4-2 | 2-4 | 4W |
Georgia Southern
|
6 | 6 | 334 | 410 | -76 | 4-2 | 2-4 | 1W |
Texas State
|
6 | 6 | 433 | 367 | 66 | 4-2 | 2-4 | 3W |
Marshall
|
5 | 7 | 369 | 363 | 6 | 3-3 | 2-4 | 2L |
Appalachian State
|
5 | 7 | 304 | 358 | -54 | 3-3 | 2-4 | 1L |
South Alabama
|
4 | 8 | 318 | 365 | -47 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 1L |
UL Monroe
|
3 | 9 | 199 | 383 | -184 | 2-3 | 1-6 | 8L |
Georgia State
|
1 | 11 | 237 | 454 | -217 | 1-5 | 0-6 | 9L |
| Southeastern | W | L | PF | PA | N. Pts | Home | Away | Strk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Georgia
|
12 | 1 | 415 | 207 | 208 | 6-1 | 6-0 | 9W |
Ole Miss
|
11 | 1 | 447 | 241 | 206 | 8-0 | 3-1 | 5W |
Texas A&M
|
11 | 1 | 436 | 263 | 173 | 7-0 | 4-1 | 1L |
Oklahoma
|
10 | 2 | 317 | 167 | 150 | 6-1 | 4-1 | 4W |
Vanderbilt
|
10 | 2 | 473 | 263 | 210 | 7-0 | 3-2 | 3W |
Alabama
|
10 | 3 | 406 | 226 | 180 | 6-2 | 4-1 | 1L |
Texas
|
9 | 3 | 355 | 237 | 118 | 7-0 | 2-3 | 2W |
Missouri
|
8 | 4 | 386 | 233 | 153 | 6-2 | 2-2 | 1W |
Tennessee
|
8 | 4 | 489 | 345 | 144 | 5-3 | 3-1 | 1L |
LSU
|
7 | 5 | 262 | 220 | 42 | 6-1 | 1-4 | 1L |
Kentucky
|
5 | 7 | 276 | 317 | -41 | 4-3 | 1-4 | 2L |
Auburn
|
5 | 7 | 321 | 248 | 73 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 1L |
|
Mississippi State
|
5 | 7 | 366 | 350 | 16 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 3L |
Florida
|
4 | 8 | 259 | 288 | -29 | 4-3 | 0-5 | 1W |
South Carolina
|
4 | 8 | 272 | 265 | 7 | 4-4 | 0-4 | 1L |
Arkansas
|
2 | 10 | 395 | 406 | -11 | 2-5 | 0-5 | 10L |
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